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March 2014 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes April 14th
- Thread starter donny2112
- Start date
Graphics Horse
Member
At least I wasn't behind Pachter...
How many people predicted the Xbone to be down in weekly sales?
Ehh... Really? If anything most people were caught out by underwhelming xbox numbers.
How many people predicted the Xbone to be down in weekly sales?
Graphics Horse
Member
PS4 is only constrained because people are buying lots of them, it's not that confusing. Most people expected more to be shipped this month, and they were right. But the week on week drop from Feb of Xbox One is pretty weird.
Randolph Freelander
Member
You have failed me for the last time, PS3.
Was also a bit high on XBO, but at least I had its order correct.
Wow. I'm suddenly out of overall rankings. Damn
It's pretty obvious I don't know what the hell I am talking about. But, I thought being released in about 52 more countries than xb1 had some to do with constrained also. And since NPD is US only, this would give another advantage to XB1
prag16
Banned
Boom, nailed 3DS. Otherwise, I'll take it. Just need to keep inching up the overall rankings. Thought this would be good enough to have a shot at top 10, but lots of people did well this month. Well done everyone.
Graphics Horse
Member
Well yeah there are more xbox stockpiles in the US. But look at it this way: If Sony's supply is greater than xbox's demand, then they will outsell them. That's been true for 4 months now, December was the last time Sony couldn't ship enough.
theprodigy
Member
Wait, so how do the standings for the year work?
SwiftDeath
Member
[Screams Internally]
Congrats Delusibeta and moneal2001
Thanks as always Donny
Maybe next month I'll predict last gen numbers accurately :\
1.21Gigawatts
Banned
Except for Ps4 and XboxOne this was pretty good. I'm proud.
I intentionally try to do it in the first few days just so something doesn't come up in RL, and I forget. Usually don't have a problem leaving it there unless some specific PR comes out to change things, then.
The final standings for the year will be the Top 10/12 months for each poster. Gives two missed months or just stinkin'-it-up months as throwaways then.
This was the first month to start excluding something, and the second excluded month will start with September.SwiftDeath
Member
The final standings for the year will be the Top 10/12 months for each poster. Gives two missed months or just stinkin'-it-up months as throwaways then.
Yes! Now just to not suck for the next 8 months
:'(
lol
theprodigy
Member
The final standings for the year will be the Top 10/12 months for each poster. Gives two missed months or just stinkin'-it-up months as throwaways then.
oh, so my best month so far relative to the competition doesn't count because everyone sucked that month (January), great >_>
just gotta do well for 8 months in a row right
SwiftDeath
Member
Don't think so? It's your best 10 out of 12 months not aggregate from Donny's wording
charrrrrtzzz performance:
Units
1. moneal2001 - 79,000
2. Delusibeta - 83,000
2. baekshi - 83,000
4. TomShoe - 92,000
5. Deku Tree - 105,000
6. Randolph Freelander - 106,000
7. astrogamer - 108,000
8. Dr. Kitty Muffins - 112,000
9. FTF - 113,000
9. confuziz - 113,000
11. Duxxy3 - 115,000
12. 1.21Gigawatts - 118,000
13. FiggyCal - 120,000
13. travisbickle - 120,000
15. FusionCode - 121,000
16. Mr Swine - 122,000
16. vinnygambini - 122,000
18. allan-bh - 123,000
19. metalslimer - 128,000
20. GAF_Agg - 129,700
21. prag16 - 130,000
22. Maxxan - 131,000
22. Paskil - 131,000
24. molvetica - 133,000
25. doicare - 134,000
26. Freeman - 135,000
26. Gbpackers31 - 135,000
28. pitseleh - 138,000
29. TheBanditKing - 139,000
30. Bruno MB - 140,000
30. JaguarCROW - 140,000
30. sacrificengineer - 140,000
30. theprodigy - 140,000
34. shinra-bansho - 141,000
35. GhaleonEB - 143,000
36. Orteip490 - 147,000
37. 1000 Branches - 148,000
37. Lexxus - 148,000
37. Road - 148,000
40. BlackJace - 151,000
40. RamzaIsCool - 151,000
42. donny2112 - 151,005
43. chartzzzzzzzzz - 152,366
Points
1 Delusibeta 107.87
2 baekshi 107.26
3 moneal2001 106.69
4 TomShoe 100.24
5 JaguarCROW 99.8
6 Deku Tree 99.58
7 FiggyCal 99.1
8 RamzaIsCool 98.61
9 Randolph Freelander 97.5
10 astrogamer 97.04
11 Dr. Kitty Muffins 95.86
12 confuziz 95.53
13 allan-bh 92.79
14 travisbickle 92.25
15 vinnygambini 92.11
16 TheBanditKing 91.93
17 Gbpackers31 91.63
18 DoubleTake 91.56
19 Maxxan 91.36
20 pitseleh 90.92
21 Zalman 90.82
22 1.21Gigawatts 90.63
23 Mr Pockets 90.46
24 Paskil 90.39
25 FTF 90.09
26 archnemesis 89.71
27 Hexa 89.52
28 Bruno MB 89.41
29 shinra-bansho 88.99
30 Lexxus 88.85
31 Jonsoncao 88.8
32 prag16 88.76
33 sacrificengineer 88.75
34 donny2112 88.68
35 BlackJace 88.64
36 doicare 88.55
37 molvetica 88.54
38 theprodigy 88.45
39 1st Course 88.42
40 Phatmac 88.21
41 FusionCode 88.07
42 Blablurn 88.05
43 gtj1092 88.05
44 GhaleonEB 88.04
45 Road 87.96
46 Gonzo The Great 87.72
47 jvm 87.56
48 Dynopia 87.38
49 BlackBuzzard 87.3
50 airmangataosenai 86.99
...
XX chartzzzzzzz 84.26
Everyone in the units top 42 and points top 50 is qualified to start heir own racketeering website business.
Units
1. moneal2001 - 79,000
2. Delusibeta - 83,000
2. baekshi - 83,000
4. TomShoe - 92,000
5. Deku Tree - 105,000
6. Randolph Freelander - 106,000
7. astrogamer - 108,000
8. Dr. Kitty Muffins - 112,000
9. FTF - 113,000
9. confuziz - 113,000
11. Duxxy3 - 115,000
12. 1.21Gigawatts - 118,000
13. FiggyCal - 120,000
13. travisbickle - 120,000
15. FusionCode - 121,000
16. Mr Swine - 122,000
16. vinnygambini - 122,000
18. allan-bh - 123,000
19. metalslimer - 128,000
20. GAF_Agg - 129,700
21. prag16 - 130,000
22. Maxxan - 131,000
22. Paskil - 131,000
24. molvetica - 133,000
25. doicare - 134,000
26. Freeman - 135,000
26. Gbpackers31 - 135,000
28. pitseleh - 138,000
29. TheBanditKing - 139,000
30. Bruno MB - 140,000
30. JaguarCROW - 140,000
30. sacrificengineer - 140,000
30. theprodigy - 140,000
34. shinra-bansho - 141,000
35. GhaleonEB - 143,000
36. Orteip490 - 147,000
37. 1000 Branches - 148,000
37. Lexxus - 148,000
37. Road - 148,000
40. BlackJace - 151,000
40. RamzaIsCool - 151,000
42. donny2112 - 151,005
43. chartzzzzzzzzz - 152,366
Points
1 Delusibeta 107.87
2 baekshi 107.26
3 moneal2001 106.69
4 TomShoe 100.24
5 JaguarCROW 99.8
6 Deku Tree 99.58
7 FiggyCal 99.1
8 RamzaIsCool 98.61
9 Randolph Freelander 97.5
10 astrogamer 97.04
11 Dr. Kitty Muffins 95.86
12 confuziz 95.53
13 allan-bh 92.79
14 travisbickle 92.25
15 vinnygambini 92.11
16 TheBanditKing 91.93
17 Gbpackers31 91.63
18 DoubleTake 91.56
19 Maxxan 91.36
20 pitseleh 90.92
21 Zalman 90.82
22 1.21Gigawatts 90.63
23 Mr Pockets 90.46
24 Paskil 90.39
25 FTF 90.09
26 archnemesis 89.71
27 Hexa 89.52
28 Bruno MB 89.41
29 shinra-bansho 88.99
30 Lexxus 88.85
31 Jonsoncao 88.8
32 prag16 88.76
33 sacrificengineer 88.75
34 donny2112 88.68
35 BlackJace 88.64
36 doicare 88.55
37 molvetica 88.54
38 theprodigy 88.45
39 1st Course 88.42
40 Phatmac 88.21
41 FusionCode 88.07
42 Blablurn 88.05
43 gtj1092 88.05
44 GhaleonEB 88.04
45 Road 87.96
46 Gonzo The Great 87.72
47 jvm 87.56
48 Dynopia 87.38
49 BlackBuzzard 87.3
50 airmangataosenai 86.99
...
XX chartzzzzzzz 84.26
Everyone in the units top 42 and points top 50 is qualified to start heir own racketeering website business.
SwiftDeath
Member
Aquamarine
Member
Chobel
Member
I did worse than Chartzzz
LOL
SwiftDeath
Member
My namesake always betrays me in the end
Only the top 50 is shown, but all the points are kept track of. For the shifts in overall totals this month, it seems to be mainly due to 1) the exclusion of the worst month per user so far this year from the totals starting this month and 2) January being horrible for just about everyone. For the most part, that makes people's Top 2/3 month total really their February+March total now.
Here's a Top 100 points, for example.
Points Top 100
Code:
March 2014 Overall 2014 Top (2/3)
01. Delusibeta 107.87 kyser73 184.71
02. baekshi 107.26 Dynopia 177.08
03. moneal2001 106.69 baekshi 174.73
04. TomShoe 100.24 Loris146 174.70
05. JaguarCROW 99.80 Bruno MB 172.69
06. Deku Tree 99.58 Road 170.53
07. FiggyCal 99.10 Canis lupus 169.80
08. RamzaIsCool 98.61 BuzzJive 169.48
09. Randolph Freelander 97.50 astrogamer 167.47
10. astrogamer 97.04 sacrificengineer 167.39
11. Dr. Kitty Muffins 95.86 RamzaIsCool 166.68
12. confuziz 95.53 Hammer24 166.47
13. allan-bh 92.79 Duxxy3 163.24
14. travisbickle 92.25 digoutyoursoul 162.72
15. vinnygambini 92.11 FiggyCal 162.29
16. TheBanditKing 91.93 doicare 161.67
17. Gbpackers31 91.63 archnemesis 161.58
18. DoubleTake 91.56 Asd202 161.15
19. Maxxan 91.36 Elios83 160.99
20. pitseleh 90.92 Delusibeta 160.69
21. Zalman 90.82 donny2112 159.43
22. 1.21Gigawatts 90.63 confuziz 159.16
23. Mr Pockets 90.46 gtj1092 158.45
24. Paskil 90.39 michaelius 158.43
25. FTF 90.09 allan-bh 157.82
26. archnemesis 89.71 BlackBuzzard 157.31
27. Hexa 89.52 daegan 157.14
28. Bruno MB 89.41 Randolph Freelander 157.12
29. shinra-bansho 88.99 shinra-bansho 157.11
30. Lexxus 88.85 Gbpackers31 155.44
31. Jonsoncao 88.80 Jallopy 155.35
32. prag16 88.76 vinnygambini 154.92
33. sacrificengineer 88.75 pitseleh 154.45
34. donny2112 88.68 prag16 153.87
35. BlackJace 88.64 Roboleon 153.74
36. doicare 88.55 LicenceToK1ll 152.86
37. molvetica 88.54 CorporateClown 152.69
38. theprodigy 88.45 Megadragon15 152.53
39. 1st Course 88.42 travisbickle 152.38
40. Phatmac 88.21 airmangataosenai 152.25
41. FusionCode 88.07 bakman21 152.18
42. Blablurn 88.05 rokkerkory 151.65
43. gtj1092 88.05 Syphon Filter 151.50
44. GhaleonEB 88.04 BlackJace 151.48
45. Road 87.96 Bgamer90 150.75
46. Gonzo The Great 87.72 FusionCode 150.43
47. jvm 87.56 Zero-Crescent 150.23
48. Dynopia 87.38 Jonsoncao 150.18
49. BlackBuzzard 87.30 Maxxan 149.93
50. airmangataosenai 86.99 Orteip490 149.87
51. BuzzJive 86.95 Jamix012 149.42
52. Coulomb_Barrier 86.93 Mass Effect 149.22
53. DrWong 86.78 theprodigy 149.02
54. Mass Effect 86.75 LOCK 148.60
55. unknownstranger 86.55 Paskil 148.49
56. Hammer24 86.49 skedar897 148.42
57. sext0n 86.24 GhaleonEB 148.40
58. thenameDS 86.19 SwiftDeath 148.27
59. Asd202 86.00 Hexa 148.25
60. MasterSheen 85.96 andy_lhc 148.21
61. FliXFantatier 85.95 MasterSheen 148.09
62. Duxxy3 85.71 1.21Gigawatts 147.88
63. Roboleon 85.70 TechnicPuppet 147.73
64. bakman21 85.63 Lexxus 147.71
65. BruceLeeRoy 85.60 1st Course 147.17
66. The Llama 85.58 anexanhume 146.64
67. rokkerkory 85.49 jvm 146.23
68. Metfanant 85.35 DrWong 145.58
69. Orteip490 85.17 samus4ever 145.54
70. michaelius 84.89 pieatorium 145.22
71. Jamix012 84.54 Into 144.77
72. jayu26 84.51 Madao 144.59
73. Freeman 84.50 Zok310 144.12
74. metalslimer 84.38 jayu26 144.02
75. Elios83 83.98 Graphics Horse 143.12
76. andromeduck 83.98 Kriken 142.68
77. CorporateClown 83.95 Dedication Through L 142.32
78. andy_lhc 83.87 TheRealTalker 140.89
79. LicenceToK1ll 83.81 S┐mon 140.62
80. Mr Swine 83.72 Tratorn 140.51
81. Bgamer90 83.59 Prototype Viktor 140.39
82. 1000 Branches 83.47 noobie 139.96
83. Pound_lb003 83.23 Guymelef 139.24
84. Wynnebeck 83.23 ascii42 138.76
85. anexanhume 83.23 Goldmund 138.63
86. MaximusPayne 82.89 dolemite 137.71
87. Loris146 82.61 Aquamarine 136.85
88. Zero-Crescent 82.57 sjagolinzer 135.06
89. samus4ever 82.26 Anth0ny 134.02
90. SwiftDeath 82.24 mejin 133.33
91. KillerMan91 82.19 AniHawk 133.03
92. perfectchaos007 82.01 Chobel 131.97
93. pestul 82.00 beast786 131.03
94. Bsigg12 81.46 LordOcidax 130.68
95. Goldmund 81.37 Codeblew 128.29
96. Megadragon15 81.20 famousmortimer 127.56
97. skedar897 81.18 metalslimer 123.83
98. LOCK 81.07 Coulomb_Barrier 122.60
99. Darth Zandatsu 80.94 perfectchaos007 120.85
100. VanCityGamer 80.81 RexNovis 118.38I was cracking up with this! Based on the above all in the top 74 did better than VGC by points, then. :lol
Dr. Kitty Muffins
Member
March was only my second ever attempt at predicting and I placed high. I should phone my momma.
vinnygambini
Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
Yay me!
Most importantly though, thanks Donny. Really appreciate you taking the time of doing this every month. You a kindhearted person
Yes, chiming in here, we very much appreciate your service to the community.Thanks, guys. The appreciation is appreciated.
I'm so far... Congratulations to the winner!
BlackBuzzard
Banned
Did better then chartzzz. Well seems its time to start my own tracking website, with blackjack and hookers.
Seriously I didn't make a prediction in this topic, but I never would have predicted it'd be down weekly. I mean, I could have perhaps seen a scenario where PS4 won again, but Xbox One down in Titanfall month? Welp...
Prediction threads are normally open one day after the NPD month ends.
You can see when the NPD month ends here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AtXhc02VTSWzdFQ4ejJFMUtXdXlpM3NrREg3Z1c5eFE&output=html