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April 2014 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes May 12th

Ty4on

Member
Oh my god I came 2nd?!?!? Blah so close.

Oh wait, I came 1st in points. Woohoo!

I like how you wrote that the PS4 would comfortably be over 200k and it got 199k :p
Edit: Forgot to write congratulations (!) and also to FiggyCal who posted right below me making me look stupid :D

My points score really suffered from the PS3 it seems. I'm happy otherwise. Not a big score, but nothing was far off apart from the PS3.
 

jayu26

Member
18. jayu26 - 134,000

[PS4] 245K
[XB1] 159K
[3DS] 101K
[360] 79K
[WIU] 62K
[PS3] 52K
Whatever, after those terrible predictions, I will take 18th place any day.

Congratulations to FiggyCal.

How do you know there are more Trials players on XB1? Did you compare the leaderboards? Just curious.
Sorry for the late reply, but I think based on leader boards general consensus in the Trails OT was that it sold more on Xbone than PS4.
 
I was utterly destroyed by PS4 and Xbox One. I was too high on everybody, but +84K on XB1 and +83K on PS4 hurt. PS3 hurt in percentage terms, but not so much in raw value.

Code:
System	  Pred.  Actual	   Off	Pct
[360]	 84,000	 71,000	13,000	18%
[3DS]	121,000	106,000	15,000	14%
[PS3]	 51,000	 35,000	16,000	46%
[PS4]	282,000	199,000	83,000	42%
[WIU]	 53,000	 48,000	 5,000	10%
[XB1]	199,000	115,000	84,000	73%
 

Ty4on

Member
PS3 is not included in points. You may have been missing the 10 point bonus for getting the system order correct due to PS3, though.

Ah, I just did worse than I thought :p

Those ten points would bump me from 42. to 16 so that seems to explain the delta from unit placement (18).
It always surprises me how close it is. That jump in placement from a 13% higher score.
 

Bgamer90

Banned
The Xbox One and PS4 drop being bigger than I thought it would be really messed things up for me. My last gen predictions were pretty close.
 

Road

Member
WIU at 48K, but yeah. :)

NeoGAF Prediction Results - April 2014

In the name of fairness, I'm gonna do it one more time (maybe it was bad luck last month).

NeoGAF Prediction Results - April 2014

Units

1. FiggyCal - 54,000
2. The Llama - 73,000
3. Culex - 94,000
4. kadotsu - 96,000
5. Dodecagon - 97,000
6. Asd202 - 99,000
6. Zero-Crescent - 99,000
8. BeforeU - 105,000
9. Chobel - 107,000
10. prag16 - 108,000
11. Bruno MB - 119,000
12. Sifl - 126,000
13. Orteip490 - 131,000
13. Welfare - 131,000
13. theprodigy - 131,000
16. Wynnebeck - 132,000
17. kyser73 - 133,000
18. Ty4on - 134,000
18. jayu26 - 134,000
18. vinnygambini - 134,000
VGGGCCCCG- 135,000
21. GrayDock - 136,000
21. Omotesando - 136,000
21. allan-bh - 136,000
21. shwimpy - 136,000
...

Points
1 The Llama 113.94
2 FiggyCal 111.19
3 kadotsu 98.54
4 Chobel 95.06
5 prag16 94.49
6 Zero-Crescent 94.36
7 Dodecagon 93.13
8 BeforeU 92.2
9 Culex 91.84
10 shwimpy 91.04
11 jayu26 90.66
12 vinnygambini 90.51
13 Canis lupus 90.48
14 Asd202 88.53
15 allan-bh 87.43
16 BlackJace 87.29
17 BlackBuzzard 86.47
18 donny2112 86.44
19 Welfare 86.19
20 theprodigy 85.98
21 doicare 85.75
22 bakman21 84.7
23 Aquamarine 84.55
24 strangedopamine 84.46
25 Elios83 84.34
26 dreamghost 84.27
27 Road 83.33
28 jvm 82.65
29 Graphics Horse 82.48
30 Sifl 81.78
31 Omotesando 81.03
32 Lilalaunebaer 80.71
33 FliXFantatier 80.45
34 coldone 80.25
35 noobie 80.2
36 GrayDock 79.69
37 aspiegamer 79.66
38 Gbpackers31 79.07
39 Bruno MB 78.87
40 kyser73 78.12
41 BuzzJive 77.92
42 Ty4on 77.88
43 Wynnebeck 77.61
44 Apophis2036 77.51
45 Loris146 77.42
46 confuziz 76.93
47 Man-is-Obsolete 76.88
48 Lexxus 75.61
49 archnemesis 74.05
50 BrokenIcarus 73.88
...
VGGGCCCCG- 71.90

They didn't do that bad in units, but putting XBO ahead of the PS4... tsc tsc tsc

Did anyone else predict that (that counted)?
 
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