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The Official 2008 NPD Prediction Thread

This prediction thread covers the grand total of all console hardware sales as given in the NPD reports from January through December 2008. This is the only thread that I will run the parser on.

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 4 p.m. EST on Thursday, January 31st. That's ten days from today and one day before January's NPD prediction thread goes up. Format use is absolutely required.

Do not use decimal points or "m"/"million" in your predictions. If you predict over 1 million for a system, you can use 1000K or more to get to your prediction. Be careful to use the appropriate number of place values so you don't over or understate your predictions by a factor of 10. People who have such outliers will be disqualified.

Format:

[360]
[NDS]
[PS2]
[PS3]
[PSP]
[WII]

Good

[360] 5500K
[360] 5500000
[360] 5,500,000

Bad

[360] 5.500.000
[360] 5.5 million
[360] 5.5m
[360] - 5.5 m
360 - 5 million

2007 Results

sonycowboy said:
Many thanks to NPD as always for their participation.

HW Sales
System Annual 2007
PlayStation 2 3.97 million
PlayStation 3 2.56 million
PlayStation Portable 3.82 million
Xbox 360 4.62 million
Wii 6.29 million
Nintendo DS 8.50 million

Potentially significant releases for 2008 (No guarantee these'll come out in 2008. Also, this list is not meant to be comprehensive.)

360 - GTA IV, Gears of War 2, Halo Wars
NDS - DQ IX, DQ IV, Ninja Gaiden: DS
PS2 - Madden 09, Guitar Hero IV, $99 price drop
PS3 - GTA IV, MGS 4, Resistance 2
PSP - God of War: CoO, Crisis Core:FFVII, Madden 09
WII - SSBB, Mario Kart Wii, Wii Fit

2007 US Prediction Thread
2006 US Prediction Thread
 

schuelma

Wastes hours checking old Famitsu software data, but that's why we love him.
[360] 5600000
[NDS] 9500000
[PS2] 3000000
[PS3] 4000000
[PSP] 4500000
[WII] 9000000
 

Cooter

Lacks the power of instantaneous movement
[360] 5,500,000
[NDS] 10,250,000
[PS2] 2,600,000
[PS3] 4,250,000
[PSP] 4,750,000
[WII] 8,750,000
 

Yoshichan

And they made him a Lord of Cinder. Not for virtue, but for might. Such is a lord, I suppose. But here I ask. Do we have a sodding chance?
[360] 4700k
[NDS] 8100k
[PS2] 1900k
[PS3] 4100k
[PSP] 3500k
[WII] 5900k
 

B E N K E

Member
A lot depends on whether we'll see price cuts of course.

[360] 5500000
[NDS] 9000000
[PS2] 3500000
[PS3] 4000000
[PSP] 3800000
[WII] 7800000
 

donny2112

Member
Cheesemeister said:
Format use is absolutely required.

Just in case you were wondering, I figured that if someone at least tried to follow the format but got something a little off, I'd still have a year to add them in manually. I was counting on most to use the parser format, though.

Since it seemed like a lot in the other thread weren't getting the idea, thanks for going ahead and restarting the thread. :)
 

sh4mike

Member
[NDS] 8000K
[WII] 6666K
[360] 5500K
[PSP] 3500K
[PS3] 4400K
[PS2] 2860K

(Edited for price cut expectations and repurchases via quality control issues.)
 

AlteredBeast

Fork 'em, Sparky!
No reason to be butt-hurt, I gave up the keys to one of sales-age's company cars years ago. :p


[PS2] 2500k
[PS3] 4200k
[PSP] 3700k
[360] 5200k
[WII] 6900k
[NDS] 8000k
 
[360] 5700K
[NDS] 9000K
[PS2] 2700K
[PS3] 5000K
[PSP] 4500K
[WII] 7100K

First time ever guessing in these things. I bet I will be WAY off.
 
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