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donny2112 · Jan 4, 2010

We're predicting for five games that I'm reasonably sure will be in the Top 10 for the month with some leaning to what EEDAR predicts will make the Top 10 for the month.

Games/Format:

[360 Left 4 Dead 2]
[360 Modern Warfare 2]
[PS3 Modern Warfare 2]
[WII New Super Mario Bros. Wii]
[WII Wii Sports Resort]

[Total SW $ in millions]

* - Indicates EEDAR cannot confirm game in the monthly Top 10 at the time of this thread's posting. (N/A for this month.)

Code:

Good                              Bad
[360 Modern Warfare 2] 2000K      [360 Modern Warfare 2] 2.0m
[360 Modern Warfare 2] 2,000,000  [360 Modern Warfare 2] 2.000.000
[360 Modern Warfare 2] 2000000    [360 Modern Warfare 2] - 2,000,000

The Hardware Prediction thread is here.

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 5 p.m. EST on Sunday, January 10th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: November 29-January 2 (5 weeks, November was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: January 14th @ 4 p.m. EST (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EST)

Code:

                                Oct 2009  Nov 2009
[360 Left 4 Dead 2]                    -      744K
[360 Modern Warfare 2]                 -     4200K
[PS3 Modern Warfare 2]                 -     1870K
[WII New Super Mario Bros. Wii]        -     1390K
[WII Wii Sports Resort]             314K      720K

[Total SW $ in millions]             573      1400

Code:

Nov-08 -> Dec-08 SW $
  1450      2750 (+ 90%)

andy_lhc · Jan 4, 2010

[360 Left 4 Dead 2] 630k
[360 Modern Warfare 2] 1380k
[PS3 Modern Warfare 2] 780k
[WII New Super Mario Bros. Wii] 2550k
[WII Wii Sports Resort] 1350k

[Total SW $ in millions] 2760

nextgeneration · Jan 4, 2010

[360 Left 4 Dead 2] 350k
[360 Modern Warfare 2] 1400k
[PS3 Modern Warfare 2] 600k
[WII New Super Mario Bros. Wii] 2600k
[WII Wii Sports Resort] 1200k

[Total SW $ in millions] 2500

donny2112 · Jan 6, 2010

NSMBWii nearing 4m in the U.S. from Nintendo.

[360 Left 4 Dead 2] 800K
[360 Modern Warfare 2] 1200K
[PS3 Modern Warfare 2] 700K
[WII New Super Mario Bros. Wii] 2400K
[WII Wii Sports Resort] 1000K

[Total SW $ in millions] 2700

The_lascar · Jan 7, 2010

[360 Left 4 Dead 2] 600K
[360 Modern Warfare 2] 1900K
[PS3 Modern Warfare 2] 850K
[WII New Super Mario Bros. Wii] 2500K
[WII Wii Sports Resort] 1200K

[Total SW $ in millions] 2800

VegaShinra · Jan 7, 2010

[360 Left 4 Dead 2] 650k
[360 Modern Warfare 2] 1480k
[PS3 Modern Warfare 2] 680k
[WII New Super Mario Bros. Wii] 2750k
[WII Wii Sports Resort] 1500k

[Total SW $ in millions] 2850

thestopsign · Jan 7, 2010

[360 Left 4 Dead 2] 750k
[360 Modern Warfare 2] 1600k
[PS3 Modern Warfare 2] 700k
[WII New Super Mario Bros. Wii] 2575k
[WII Wii Sports Resort] 1250k

[Total SW $ in millions] 2725

Hammer24 · Jan 7, 2010

[360 Left 4 Dead 2] 675K
[360 Modern Warfare 2] 1275K
[PS3 Modern Warfare 2] 695K
[WII New Super Mario Bros. Wii] 2665K
[WII Wii Sports Resort] 1155K

[Total SW $ in millions] 2850

botticus · Jan 7, 2010

[360 Left 4 Dead 2] 600k
[360 Modern Warfare 2] 1600k
[PS3 Modern Warfare 2] 800k
[WII New Super Mario Bros. Wii] 2500k
[WII Wii Sports Resort] 1200k

[Total SW $ in millions] 2600

GrotesqueBeauty · Jan 7, 2010

Hold on, I'm waiting on some press releases.

RBH · Jan 7, 2010

[360 Left 4 Dead 2] 650k
[360 Modern Warfare 2] 1300k
[PS3 Modern Warfare 2] 800k
[WII New Super Mario Bros. Wii] 2400k
[WII Wii Sports Resort] 900k

[Total SW $ in millions] 2800

boontje · Jan 9, 2010

[360 Left 4 Dead 2] 725k
[360 Modern Warfare 2] 1400k
[PS3 Modern Warfare 2] 800k
[WII New Super Mario Bros. Wii] 2450k
[WII Wii Sports Resort] 1450k

[Total SW $ in millions] 2850

apujanata · Jan 10, 2010

[360 Left 4 Dead 2] 750K
[360 Modern Warfare 2] 1500K
[PS3 Modern Warfare 2] 820K
[WII New Super Mario Bros. Wii] 2300K
[WII Wii Sports Resort] 1380K

[Total SW $ in millions] 2700

rostocker · Jan 10, 2010

[360 Left 4 Dead 2] 670K
[360 Modern Warfare 2] 1630K
[PS3 Modern Warfare 2] 790K
[WII New Super Mario Bros. Wii] 2220K
[WII Wii Sports Resort] 1410K

[Total SW $ in millions] 2680

starship · Jan 10, 2010

[360 Left 4 Dead 2] 650k
[360 Modern Warfare 2] 1100k
[PS3 Modern Warfare 2] 600k
[WII New Super Mario Bros. Wii] 2500k
[WII Wii Sports Resort] 1150k

[Total SW $ in millions] 2850

Brakara · Jan 10, 2010

[360 Left 4 Dead 2] 650k
[360 Modern Warfare 2] 1300k
[PS3 Modern Warfare 2] 600k
[WII New Super Mario Bros. Wii] 2300k
[WII Wii Sports Resort] 1250k

[Total SW $ in millions] 2600

Accident · Jan 10, 2010

[360 Left 4 Dead 2] 650k
[360 Modern Warfare 2] 2000k
[PS3 Modern Warfare 2] 1200k
[WII New Super Mario Bros. Wii] 2200k
[WII Wii Sports Resort] 1000k

[Total SW $ in millions] 2600[/QUOTE]

John Dunbar · Jan 10, 2010

[360 Left 4 Dead 2] 700,000
[360 Modern Warfare 2] 1,500,000
[PS3 Modern Warfare 2] 850,000
[WII New Super Mario Bros. Wii] 2,600,000
[WII Wii Sports Resort] 1,400,000

[Total SW $ in millions] 2750

Road · Jan 10, 2010

[360 Left 4 Dead 2] 499,999
[360 Modern Warfare 2] 1,499,999
[PS3 Modern Warfare 2] 599,999
[WII New Super Mario Bros. Wii] 2,499,999
[WII Wii Sports Resort] 999,999

[Total SW $ in millions] 2500

andy_lhc · Jan 15, 2010

andy_lhc said:
[360 Left 4 Dead 2] 630k
[360 Modern Warfare 2] 1380k
[PS3 Modern Warfare 2] 780k
[WII New Super Mario Bros. Wii] 2550k
[WII Wii Sports Resort] 1350k

[Total SW $ in millions] 2760

[360 Left 4 Dead 2] Off 98.5k
[360 Modern Warfare 2] Off 250k
[PS3 Modern Warfare 2] Off 340k
[WII New Super Mario Bros. Wii] Off 270k
[WII Wii Sports Resort] Off 440k

donny2112 · Jan 17, 2010

December 2009 NPD Software Prediction Results

Code:

     December 2009               Last 3 months                Overall 2009
1.   John Dunbar        96.88    boontje             274      apujanata           970.31
2.   apujanata          94.19    apujanata           272.14   boontje             941.27
3.   rostocker          94       John Dunbar         269.94   botticus            922.64
4.   Stopsign           93.77    botticus            264.37   rostocker           913.65
5.   botticus           91.53    rostocker           255.84   GAF Average         909.80
6.   andy_lhc           91.33    GAF Average         252.75   Brakara             879.52
7.   GAF Average        90.56    donny2112           246.89   andy_lhc            867.93
8.   The_lascar         89.48    Brakara             239.18   RBH                 848.75
9.   Accident           88.65    andy_lhc            233.01   donny2112           847.66
10.  RBH                85.16    VegaShinra          218.91   llonesmiz           817.31
11.  boontje            84.94    Hammer24            214.13   Hammer24            815.49
12.  Brakara            84.79    RBH                 207.18   John Dunbar         677.16
13.  VegaShinra         84.41    Accident            180.46   WaltJay             639.52
14.  donny2112          83.46    Road                172.72   rikitikitik         634.60
15.  Road               81.75    Stopsign            168.16   billy.sea           616.50
16.  nextgeneration     79.35    DaveTheSnake        163.51   Jesse2040           615.04
17.  Hammer24           78.39    Orbitcube           155.67   TwinIonEngines      608.91
18.  starship           72.64    whizthekid          154.56   The M.O.B           608.88
19.                              llonesmiz           141.77   Accident            526.04
20.                              shinshero           140.79   Chumly              523.32
21.                              rikitikitik         127.69   VegaShinra          393.09
22.                              WaltJay             105.18   shykyoichi          390.59
23.                              AnIco                91.89   starship            343.56
24.                              The_lascar           89.48   kefka2030           267.31
25.                              gimmmick             86.97   Ondore              266.88

Congratulations, John Dunbar for December and apujanata for all of 2009!

boontje came within 30 points of sweeping the 2009 NPD predictions. :lol Good work!

boontje · Jan 17, 2010

Congratulations John Dunbar and apujanata! Not a lot of people making software predictions though... hope the amount of people participating will go up again when we start over in 2010.

apujanata · Feb 2, 2010

boontje said:
Congratulations John Dunbar and apujanata! Not a lot of people making software predictions though... hope the amount of people participating will go up again when we start over in 2010.

Thanks. Congratulation to John Dunbar and his bold (and much closer) NSMB Wii predictions.

Congratulations with your #1 H/W prediction. I am only #25 there, and 100 points lower compared to yours. Therefore, you are 70 points higher (100-30) than me in total (H/W+S/W).

Hope I can keep my S/W in 2010, and improve my H/W in 2010.

Hope we can get more participation from those Top 50 H/W predictor, like doicare, esc, Pachter,

H/W+S/W

Code:

	Overall 2009	S/W	H/W	Total
1	boontje 	941.27	1,321.82	2,263.09
2	botticus	922.64	1,265.31	2,187.95
3	apujanata	970.31	1,211.41	2,181.72
4	Brakara 	879.52	1,270.55	2,150.07
5	rostocker	913.65	1,204.87	2,118.52
6	andy_lhc	867.93	1,240.33	2,108.26
7	RBH     	848.75	1,219.48	2,068.23
8	donny2112	847.66	1,204.84	2,052.50
9	Hammer24	815.49	1,156.70	1,972.19
10	llonesmiz	817.31	1,147.20	1,964.51
11	Jesse2040	615.04	1,255.64	1,870.68
12	John Dunbar	677.16	1,144.10	1,821.26
13	rikitikitik	634.6	1,168.85	1,803.45
	WaltJay	639.52	N/A	#VALUE!
	GAF Average	909.8	N/A	#VALUE!
	billy.sea	616.5	N/A	#VALUE!
	TwinIonEngines	608.91	N/A	#VALUE!
	The M.O.B	608.88	N/A	#VALUE!
	Accident	526.04	N/A	#VALUE!
	Chumly	523.32	N/A	#VALUE!
	VegaShinra	393.09	N/A	#VALUE!
	shykyoichi	390.59	N/A	#VALUE!
	starship	343.56	N/A	#VALUE!
	kefka2030	267.31	N/A	#VALUE!
	Ondore	266.88	N/A	#VALUE!

Donny, can we get data for those who have N/A as their points for H/W ?

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