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donny2112 · Jan 1, 2011

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 5 p.m. EST on Sunday, January 9th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: November 28-January 1 (5 weeks, November was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: January 13th @ 4 p.m. EST (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EST)

Format:

[360]
[NDS]
[PS3]
[PSP]
[WII]

Code:

Good              Bad
[NDS] 1500K       [NDS] 1.5m
[NDS] 1,500,000   [NDS] 1.500.000
[NDS] 1500000     [NDS] - 1500000

Potential hardware impacting events in December:
December

November's Results - thanks to EviLore/Nirolak

EviLore said:
4- week month; reporting period 10/31/10 through 11/27/10
...
Hardware:

Nintendo DS: 1.5 Million (-11.8%)
Xbox 360: 1.37 Million (+68%)
Wii: 1.27 Million (+0.8%)
PS3: 530k (-25%)
New! PSP: 288K (-2%)

Nov-09 -> Dec-09 transition:

Code:

      Nov-09  Dec-09   % change
360     820K   1310K   + 60%
NDS    1700K   3310K   + 95%
PS3     710K   1360K   + 91%
PSP     294K    655K   +123%
WII    1260K   3810K   +202%

NPD Prediction Thread Archive

Edit:
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=417656 Wii YTD > 7m; DS LTD > 47m
Wii minimum 2.3m
DS minimum 2.2m

Megadragon15 · Jan 1, 2011

[360] 2200K
[NDS] 3000K
[PS3] 900K
[PSP] 450K
[WII] 2800K

Jokeropia · Jan 1, 2011

[360] 1950k
[NDS] 3001k
[PS3] 950k
[PSP] 500k
[WII] 3000k

perfectchaos007 · Jan 1, 2011

[360] 2400K
[NDS] 2900K
[PS3] 630K
[PSP] 370K
[WII] 2100K

jonnybryce · Jan 1, 2011

[360] 2,400,000
[NDS] 3,000,000
[PS3] 960,000
[PSP] 450,000
[WII] 2,500,000

Aad · Jan 1, 2011

[360] 2,000,000
[NDS] 3,000,000
[PS3] 1,000,000
[PSP] 400,000
[WII] 2,700,000

Sadist · Jan 1, 2011

[360] 2000K
[NDS] 2100K
[PS3] 930K
[PSP] 480K
[WII] 2200K

Gadfly · Jan 1, 2011

[360] 1500k
[NDS] 3000k
[PS3] 1200k
[PSP] 500k
[WII] 2800k

Edit: Didn't know 360 was supply constrained.

Yes Boss! · Jan 1, 2011

Wii bigger than 360? I hope!

Gadfly · Jan 1, 2011

Yes Boss! said:
Wii bigger than 360? I hope!

No doubt.

Although I am not sure why you "hope" that is the case. Usually we pretend to be objective and unbiased in this thread!

tahrikmili · Jan 1, 2011

[360] 2400K
[NDS] 2800K
[PS3] 900K
[PSP] 400K
[WII] 2000K

Osuwari · Jan 2, 2011

[360] 2200K
[NDS] 3100K
[PS3] 1500K
[PSP] 500K
[WII] 2800K

Not a Jellyfish · Jan 2, 2011

[360] 2300K
[NDS] 3100K
[PS3] 1100K
[PSP] 500K
[WII] 1900K

Frillen · Jan 2, 2011

[360] 1950K
[NDS] 2900K
[PS3] 980K
[PSP] 570K
[WII] 3500K

zero_suit · Jan 2, 2011

[360] 2300k
[NDS] 3100k
[PS3] 1200k
[PSP] 600k
[WII] 3200k

starsky · Jan 2, 2011

[360] 2450k
[NDS] 2600k
[PS3] 850k
[PSP] 550k
[WII] 2400k

Glowingmonx · Jan 2, 2011

[360] 2100K
[NDS] 2400K
[PS3] 800K
[PSP] 450K
[WII] 2900K

WaltJay · Jan 2, 2011

[360] 1800K
[NDS] 2500K
[PS3] 900K
[PSP] 250K
[WII] 1900K

duk · Jan 2, 2011

[360] 2150k
[NDS] 2850k
[PS3] 1150k
[PSP] 580k
[WII] 2575k

Yes Boss! · Jan 2, 2011

Gadfly said:
No doubt.

Although I am not sure why you "hope" that is the case. Usually we pretend to be objective and unbiased in this thread!

I'm not predicting! But it has been sad seeing Wii down this year...hoping for a bit of a comeback!

Scott32020 · Jan 2, 2011

[360] 2000k
[NDS] 2500k
[PS3] 1110k
[PSP] 300k
[WII] 2500k

psrock · Jan 2, 2011

[360] 2200k
[NDS] 3100k
[PS3] 1300k
[PSP] 590k
[WII] 3670k

apana · Jan 2, 2011

[360] 2300k
[NDS] 2900k
[PS3] 1100k
[PSP] 550k
[WII] 3000k

Jonsoncao · Jan 2, 2011

[360] 2200k
[NDS] 2910k
[PS3] 1000k
[PSP] 600k
[WII] 3100k

confuziz · Jan 2, 2011

bookmarked for later. People predicting Wii to be under 2500k are just silly :lol

AniHawk · Jan 2, 2011

[360] 1800k
[NDS] 2900k
[PS3] 1000k
[PSP] 640k
[WII] 2800k

Baki · Jan 2, 2011

[360] 1800k
[NDS] 2900k
[PS3] 1190k
[PSP] 450k
[WII] 2670k

N.A · Jan 2, 2011

[360] 1900k
[NDS] 2800k
[PS3] 1000k
[PSP] 450k
[WII] 2200k

antonz · Jan 2, 2011

[360] 2100K
[NDS] 3000K
[PS3] 1020K
[PSP] 460K
[WII] 3650K

Kenka · Jan 2, 2011

I just don't smell it. Anyway :

[360] 1850K
[NDS] 2950K
[PS3] 1180K
[PSP] 510K
[WII] 2850K

Linkup · Jan 2, 2011

[360] 1500k
[NDS] 2600k
[PS3] 1100k
[PSP] 400k
[WII] 2900k

donny2112 · Jan 3, 2011

[360] 1900K
[NDS] 3100K
[PS3] 1000K
[PSP] 550K
[WII] 3000K

Hammer24 · Jan 3, 2011

[360] 2225K
[NDS] 2925K
[PS3] 995K
[PSP] 555K
[WII] 2825K

Rad- · Jan 3, 2011

Yes Boss! said:
I'm not predicting! But it has been sad seeing Wii down this year...hoping for a bit of a comeback!

Wii is still the number 1 gift console. It will easily come on top.

gollumsluvslave · Jan 3, 2011

[360] 2362K
[NDS] 3210K
[PS3] 1205K
[PSP] 400K
[WII] 2710K

Gadfly · Jan 3, 2011

How many Wii needs to sell more than 360 to surpass it for 2010?

SonicX_Zero · Jan 3, 2011

[360] 2500k
[NDS] 2925k
[PS3] 1150k
[PSP] 475k
[WII] 2650k

orion434 · Jan 3, 2011

[360] 2500K
[NDS] 2750K
[PS3] 1000K
[PSP] 500K
[WII] 2250K

Road · Jan 3, 2011

Gadfly said:
How many Wii needs to sell more than 360 to surpass it for 2010?

Total Jan-Nov (millions):

NDS - 6.1
360 - 4.9
Wii - 4.7
PS3 - 3.1
PSP - 1.2

Answering, around 200k more.

Gadfly · Jan 3, 2011

Road said:
Total Jan-Nov (millions):

NDS - 6.1
360 - 4.9
Wii - 4.7
PS3 - 3.1
PSP - 1.2

Answering, around 200k more.

So I guess this answers the question of the likelihood of 360 coming out on top for the year!

Ingeniero · Jan 3, 2011

[360] 2300k
[NDS] 2850k
[PS3] 1200k
[PSP] 400k
[WII] 2100k

archnemesis · Jan 3, 2011

[360] 2115k
[NDS] 2999k
[PS3] 979k
[PSP] 485k
[WII] 2908k

Horns · Jan 3, 2011

[NDS] 3,100,000
[360] 2,600,000
[WII] 2,500,000
[PS3] 1,200,000
[PSP] 200,000

SteveSteve · Jan 4, 2011

[360] 2,500,000
[NDS] 2,600,000
[PS3] 800,000
[PSP] 400,000
[WII] 3,300,000

Anasui Kishibe · Jan 4, 2011

[360] 2200K
[NDS] 2950K
[PS3] 870K
[PSP] 380K
[WII] 2100K

NeoUltima · Jan 4, 2011

[360] 2545k
[NDS] 2850k
[PS3] 1060k
[PSP] 550k
[WII] 2540k

a Master Ninja · Jan 4, 2011

Helpful Reminder: Major retailers were giving away $100 gift cards with purchase of a PS3 and $75 gift cards with purchase of a Wii the week before Christmas.

antonz · Jan 4, 2011

2nd Helpful Hint. People predicting like 2.1 million Wii are expecting sales in December to fall over 40% from last year. Seeing as November saw a increase YOY no matter how small to expect a drop that large is a bit odd

seady · Jan 4, 2011

[360] 2950K
[NDS] 2750K
[PS3] 1200K
[PSP] 700K
[WII] 2650K

Gamemaster_ca_2003 · Jan 4, 2011

[360] 2845k
[NDS] 3075k
[PS3] 1150k
[PSP] 510k
[WII] 2455k

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