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January 2011 NPD Predictions - Closes February 7th

donny2112

Member
Predict for the full year, too! :)

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 5 p.m. EST on Monday, February 7th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: January 2-29 (4 weeks, December was 5 weeks)
NPD Release: February 17th @ 4 p.m. EST (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EST)

Format:

[360]
[NDS]
[PS3]
[WII]

Code:
Good              Bad
[NDS] 500K        [NDS] 500 thousand
[NDS] 500,000     [NDS] 500.000
[NDS] 500000      [NDS] - 500000


Potential hardware impacting events in January:
End of Kinect/360 shortages


December's Results - thanks to EviLore/Nirolak

EviLore said:
Hardware
Nintendo DS - 2.5 Million (-24%)
Wii - 2.36 Million (-38%)
Xbox 360 - 1.86 Million (+42%, best ever sales by 420k units)
PS3 - 1.21 Million (-11%)
Dec-09 -> Jan-10 transition:

Code:
      Dec-09  Jan-10   % change
360    1310K    333K   - 75%
NDS    3310K    422K   - 87%
PS3    1360K    277K   - 80%
WII    3810K    466K   - 88%

NPD Prediction Thread Archive

Note:
Points will be worth 25 per system until 3DS comes out. At that time, it'll drop back to 20 points per system. Also, the final annual results will only count the top 10 months predicted, so if you miss a month or just blow one, it'll get thrown out.
 
Do we want to do a 2011 full year NPD prediction thread?

I haven't done the results, yet, for 2010, but if we're going to do a 2011 one, it has to be before January's NPD comes out. :P
 
donny2112 said:
Potential hardware impacting events in January:
End of Kinect/360 shortages
Didn't they say that shortages would continue through January / February? For the 360 at least, don't know about Kinect.

Microsoft still experienced out-of-supply situations in late December, and it expects supply constraint to continue in January and February as it works with retail and manufacturing partners to expedite production and shipments to replenish the channel.
 
May as well try jumping in for the start of the year..

[360] 290k
[NDS] 310k
[PS3] 230k
[Wii] 265k
 
Psychotext said:
Didn't they say that shortages would continue through January / February? For the 360 at least, don't know about Kinect.

The non-kinect systems seem to be in short supply. Dont see the 360 doing very well this month without the $199 system in stock.
 
[360] 400K
[NDS] 400K
[PS3] 270K
[WII] 375K

No idea what to expect from the 360. Hard tosee how much the demand for kinect will keep up particularly with no new software coming out, there is also the supply problem.
 
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