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donny2112 · Feb 27, 2011

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EST on Monday, March 7th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: January 30-February 26 (4 weeks, January was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: March 10th @ 4 p.m. EST (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EST)

Format:

[360]
[NDS]
[PS3]
[WII]

Code:

Good              Bad
[360] 400K        [360] 400 thousand
[360] 400,000     [360] 400.000
[360] 400000      [360] - 400000

Potential hardware impacting events in February:
Bundle vs. non-bundle 360 saga

January's Results - thanks to EviLore/Nirolak/jvm/Pachter (Wedbush)

Hardware
Xbox 360 - 381,000 (+15%) [Only console platform to see year over year growth]
Wii - 319,000 (-32%)
PS3 - 267,000 (-3.6%)
NDS - 291,000

Jan-10 -> Feb-10 transition:

Code:

      Jan-10  Feb-10   % change
360     333K    422K   + 27%
NDS     422K    613K   + 45%
PS3     277K    360K   + 30%
WII     466K    398K   - 15%

NPD Prediction Thread Archive

jvm · Feb 28, 2011

What's the bundle-vs-non-bundle saga? Just Kinect bundles doing well?

Will be interesting to see what happens to PSP next month. It will have a full five weeks of post-price-drop sales.

Predictions later. Just wanted to chime in.

Scott32020 · Feb 28, 2011

[360] 435k
[NDS] 300k
[PS3] 300k
[WII] 310k

Dedication Through Light · Feb 28, 2011

[360] 370K
[NDS] 270K
[PS3] 330K
[WII] 310K

(Wow what happened in 2010 to have the consoles increase in Sales from Jan-Feb...)

Kagari · Feb 28, 2011

Dedication Through Light said:
[360] 370K
[NDS] 270K
[PS3] 330K
[WII] 310K

(Wow what happened in 2010 to have the consoles increase in Sales from Jan-Feb...)

Tax season.

jvm · Feb 28, 2011

Kagari said:
Tax season.

Actually, wasn't that the month that NPD adjusted their modeling? I wouldn't rule that out as a factor, if I'm remembering correctly. Maybe not *the* factor, but possibly *a* factor.

Dr. Feel Good · Feb 28, 2011

[360] 371K
[NDS] 319K
[PS3] 310K
[WII] 355K

Hoping DS doesn't screw me and sales flatline with impending 3DS release, but I'm hoping Black/White might spur some sales. Definitely going to be a huge drop compared to last year's 600k though. Can't believe it managed that many in February.

NeoUltima · Feb 28, 2011

[360] 415k
[NDS] 325k
[PS3] 320k
[WII] 330k

These numbers will either go very well or very bad.

starsky · Feb 28, 2011

[360] 430k
[NDS] 275k
[PS3] 285k
[WII] 300k

Appollowexx · Feb 28, 2011

[360] 375k
[NDS] 240k
[PS3] 270k
[WII] 310k

andy_lhc · Feb 28, 2011

[360] 365k
[NDS] 290k
[PS3] 280k
[WII] 320k

DaBuddaDa · Feb 28, 2011

[360] 325k
[NDS] 220k
[PS3] 270k
[WII] 300k

Osuwari · Feb 28, 2011

[360] 400k
[NDS] 340k
[PS3] 280k
[WII] 320k

GhaleonEB · Feb 28, 2011

[360] 412k
[NDS] 329k
[PS3] 325k
[WII] 348k

Megadragon15 · Feb 28, 2011

[360] 400K
[NDS] 325K
[PS3] 270K
[WII] 300K

donny2112 · Feb 28, 2011

jvm said:
What's the bundle-vs-non-bundle saga? Just Kinect bundles doing well?

360s are apparently "in-stock" but it's mostly Kinect bundles. That may or may not be intentional to push up Kinect adoption, but it could be affecting anyone looking for non-bundle SKUs. It was mentioned last month when I said that 360s are "in-stock," and people chimed in that it was pretty much just the bundles that were available.

Edit:
On Amazon right now, they have both Kinect bundles and the 4GB arcade. No plain 250GB 360s, for example.

Dlacy13g · Feb 28, 2011

[360] 440k
[NDS] 580k
[PS3] 390k
[WII] 370k

dalemurphy · Feb 28, 2011

[360] 415K
[NDS] 275K
[PS3] 310K
[WII] 280K

Credo · Feb 28, 2011

[360] 400K
[NDS] 240K
[PS3] 270K
[WII] 290K

Jokeropia · Feb 28, 2011

[360] 380k
[NDS] 280k
[PS3] 260k
[WII] 300k

Kinspiracy · Feb 28, 2011

[360] 360k
[NDS] 220k
[PS3] 180k
[WII] 300k

But I'm more interested in seeing how the two new shooters fared.

confuziz · Feb 28, 2011

[360] 420K
[NDS] 350K
[PS3] 330K
[WII] 290K

BLaZiN PRopHeT · Feb 28, 2011

[360] 410k
[NDS] 345k
[PS3] 295k
[WII] 305k

Jonsoncao · Feb 28, 2011

[360] 410k
[NDS] 290k
[PS3] 260k
[WII] 305k

orion434 · Mar 1, 2011

[360] 410K
[NDS] 325K
[PS3] 265K
[WII] 315K

donny2112 · Mar 2, 2011

[360] 410K
[NDS] 310K
[PS3] 275K
[WII] 305K

Randolph Freelander · Mar 2, 2011

[360] 410K
[NDS] 325K
[PS3] 280K
[WII] 360K

Dedication Through Light · Mar 2, 2011

What month will 3DS enter? April, or will it make it in time for March?

SonicX_Zero · Mar 2, 2011

[360] 400K
[NDS] 315K
[PS3] 280K
[WII] 300K

_Alkaline_ · Mar 2, 2011

[360] 385K
[NDS] 280K
[PS3] 275K
[WII] 305K

donny2112 · Mar 2, 2011

Dedication Through Light said:
What month will 3DS enter? April, or will it make it in time for March?

It'll be the last week of March's period.

botticus · Mar 2, 2011

[360] 350k
[WII] 300k
[PS3] 250k
[NDS] 275k

perfectchaos007 · Mar 2, 2011

[360] 390K
[NDS] 300K
[PS3] 200K
[WII] 260K

Baki · Mar 4, 2011

[360] 387k
[NDS] 303k
[PS3] 346k
[WII] 309k

Conflict NZ · Mar 4, 2011

Is NPD really going to be released on the 10th? Seems pretty early.

Randolph Freelander · Mar 4, 2011

Conflict NZ said:
Is NPD really going to be released on the 10th? Seems pretty early.

It's right on schedule. Last month was late.

nextgeneration · Mar 4, 2011

Conflict NZ said:
Is NPD really going to be released on the 10th? Seems pretty early.

Not only that, but will they even be releasing numbers? It seems like with each passing month, less and less information is disclosed.

a Master Ninja · Mar 4, 2011

jvm said:
What's the bundle-vs-non-bundle saga? Just Kinect bundles doing well?

It has become hard to find un-bundled 360s at US retailers for a little while.

I have to imagine this will hurt 360 sales because a fair number of people just don't want Kinect. I wouldn't be that surprised if the 360 was still the top console, but it'll be way closer than before.

jvm · Mar 4, 2011

nextgeneration said:
Not only that, but will they even be releasing numbers? It seems like with each passing month, less and less information is disclosed.

According to Pachter, it's due on 10 March. We'll see.

And there were fewer numbers for January 2011 release because Anita Frazier didn't give out any analysis (which often contains some stuff), Sony's PR had nothing in it, and Nintendo didn't put out a PR.

StealthGoblin · Mar 4, 2011

[360] 340k
[NDS] 304k
[PS3] 387k
[WII] 333k

pitseleh · Mar 5, 2011

[360] 350k
[NDS] 280k
[PS3] 260k
[WII] 300k

AdventureRacing · Mar 5, 2011

[360] 420k
[WII] 300k
[PS3] 310k
[NDS] 260k

scottnak · Mar 5, 2011

[360] 396k
[NDS] 299k
[PS3] 244k
[WII] 301k

Frillen · Mar 5, 2011

[360] 390k
[NDS] 330k
[PS3] 275k
[WII] 290k

archnemesis · Mar 5, 2011

[360] 400k
[NDS] 300k
[PS3] 275k
[WII] 300k

Orgen · Mar 5, 2011

[360] 342k
[NDS] 313k
[PS3] 251k
[WII] 298k

Elios83 · Mar 5, 2011

[360] 380k
[NDS] 270k
[PS3] 340k
[WII] 290k

SuperBanjo · Mar 5, 2011

[360] 350k
[NDS] 300k
[PS3] 290k
[WII] 310k

jvm · Mar 6, 2011

[360] 350K
[NDS] 280K
[PS3] 270K
[WII] 290k

Gadfly · Mar 6, 2011

[360] 300K
[NDS] 280K
[PS3] 300K
[WII] 320k

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