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Sony Q3 FY15 Results - Beats Market Expectations & 6.4 Million Shipped PS4's

nasanu

Banned
The expensive as fuck Walkman competes with the Astell & Kern bullshit on the market. Its probably the only usable "audiophile" DAP on the market. This is not Sony's problem, if the market wants stupid snake oil products then they should absolutely sell them.

The problem with Sony Mobile has everything to do with poorly promoted phones that are objectively worse than the cheaper Chinese competition. This is not surprising, even Samsung is starting to feel the squeeze from cheaper / better competitors that they can't beat in terms of price/performance/quality.

It is not snake oil. My walkman sounds better than any other mobile device I have ever heard. Sure it's expensive, but what price do I put on the enjoyment of most pure and crisp sound most people would ever have heard while I travel to and from work? Enjoying living is far more important than the numbers in my bank account. The walkmans and iems are the real deal.
 
Sony should really sell off Pictures. It makes little money and has no synergy with the rest of the company. The cash from the sale would be better re-invested elsewhere.
 
6.4m PS4 shipped.

So Sony over shipped/channel stuffed? Would make a little sense for the UK at least, considering how crazy the PS4 bundles were in the six weeks to Christmas.
 

Lace

Member
Hoping Sony can hit $299 this holiday with PS4, keep the momentum going.

I doubt we'll see such a price drop. As long as the PS4 continues to sell gangbusters there is no financial or logical reason to drop it. I'd expect 349 by the holidays though.
 

Nirolak

Mrgrgr
6.4m PS4 shipped.

So Sony over shipped/channel stuffed? Would make a little sense for the UK at least, considering how crazy the PS4 bundles were in the six weeks to Christmas.

If you're confident the inventory will sell eventually it's not a terrible idea to make sure you have enough for even the extreme scenario.
 

Lace

Member
If you're confident the inventory will sell eventually it's not a terrible idea to make sure you have enough for even the extreme scenario.

I agree with this. Sony is in the rare position that having too much inventory shipped cannot hurt them. Better to be able to meet any demand for a hot product than have inadequate supply. Not like retailers are against stocking more PS4's.
 
Sony also provides one of the best mobile imaging sensors so I expect to see them continuing to invest heavily in that area.

Already doing it

Sony bets on image sensors

February 3, 2015 1:55 am JST

TOKYO -- Sony said Monday that it will spend about 105 billion yen ($886 million) to increase production of image sensors used in smartphones, aiming to solidify its lead in the global market.

The Japanese company will boost production capacity for stacked complementary metal-oxide semiconductor (CMOS) image sensors to 80,000 wafers a month on a 300mm basis by the end of June 2016, up about 30% from current levels. Sony will install equipment at plants in Nagasaki, Kumamoto and Yamagata prefectures. An earlier plan called for lifting output capacity to 75,000 wafers a month in 2015 or 2016.

Sony's stacked CMOS image sensors are used in the company's own smartphones, in Apple's and in those of growing players, such as China's Xiaomi.
The company will boost supplies to key customers, with an eye on eventually having the sensors used in a broader range of products, such as wearable devices, medical equipment and automobiles.

Since the sensors are made in Japan and exported, the weak yen improves competitiveness and boosts earnings in semiconductor operations, according to a Sony official. With business conditions improving, Sony plans to go on the offensive to extend its market lead.

Meanwhile, Sony plans to shut down a facility in Oita Prefecture that makes system chips for the PlayStation 3 game console by the end of March 2016. Closure costs are seen as small and the facility's roughly 220 workers are expected to be transferred to Sony's image sensor plants or to other sites. Production of PlayStation components will be handled by another Sony chip-making facility.

Sony is scrambling to turn around its sluggish electronics operations by boosting output of competitive smartphone components. Its smartphone business is projected to log an operating loss of roughly 200 billion yen for the year ending March 31, with the business' workfoce to be slashed by about 2,000 workers by the end of next fiscal year. Its devices business, however, has fared well, with its sales seen surging as much as 69% from current-year projections, to 1.5 trillion yen, in fiscal 2017.

http://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Companies/Sony-bets-on-image-sensors
 
I doubt we'll see such a price drop. As long as the PS4 continues to sell gangbusters there is no financial or logical reason to drop it. I'd expect 349 by the holidays though.

That hasn't stopped Sony in the past, right around 2 years in is when they price drop, regardless of current success. The install base they've fostered up until that point will more than cover the minor hardware profit margins they would be losing through software licensing and PS+ subscriptions.

Sony also looks like they'll be able to save a good chunk of money on the next revision between a SoC shrink and that new high density Samsung GDDR5 that should allow them to cut the amount of RAM modules needed for each console in half.
 
If you're confident the inventory will sell eventually it's not a terrible idea to make sure you have enough for even the extreme scenario.

That's a fair point and you could argue that Sony are in a pretty great position to do this with how well it's selling.

Still, I feel the shipped numbers gives some insight into why the UK had some really amazing bundles/deals. I vaguely recall the mainland having some pretty great bundles/deals too.
 

Sjefen

Member
Good job Sony in turning a profit. I read alot that Sony prices are high, but in my country, Norway, the prices is very competetive and Sony product often win "Best of" reviews. When I look into purchasing a new product I always have the same process: read reviews both from customers and experts and what gives me most value for my money. Over the recent years I have bought from Sony, all "best in test":
- Blu ray player
- Compact camera
- Xperia phone
- HD digital video camera
- Wireless headphones

And I got a eye for a 60 inch led tv from Sony that won best TV of 2014 from a higly regarded hardware magazine in Norway. Hell I almost bought a new Sony receiver because it got great reviews, but I have a love for Yamaha receivers. So how do Sony prices compare to Samsung/LG and is the value comparable in the states?
 

Lace

Member
That hasn't stopped Sony in the past, right around 2 years in is when they price drop, regardless of current success. The install base they've fostered up until that point will more than cover the minor hardware profit margins they would be losing through software licensing and PS+ subscriptions.

Sony also looks like they'll be able to save a good chunk of money on the next revision between a SoC shrink and that new high density Samsung GDDR5 that should allow them to cut the amount of RAM modules needed for each console in half.

I fully expect Sony to drop the price to remain competitive and will continue to look for ways to drop the cogs. However, right now Sony is in the unusual position to grow their profit margin and their revenue base. History has no bearing in determining how much they will drop that price. It will be 100% dependent on the market conditions.
 
That's a fair point and you could argue that Sony are in a pretty great position to do this with how well it's selling.

Still, I feel the shipped numbers gives some insight into why the UK had some really amazing bundles/deals. I vaguely recall the mainland having some pretty great bundles/deals too.

They're shipping to over a hundred markets.
 
One would think that PS+ would be a big cash cow for yhe Playstation division. I was thinking that Sony would be making hundreds of million from Plus alone.
 

Lace

Member
One would think that PS+ would be a big cash cow for yhe Playstation division. I was thinking that Sony would be making hundreds of million from Plus alone.

I couldn't find anything referencing PS+ numbers however their network sales (separate from digital and physical software) was up to $100 million this year. Last year it was at $50 million so they doubled their network revenue in one year (I'd assume PS+ is the cause of this).
 

madmackem

Member
6.4m PS4 shipped.

So Sony over shipped/channel stuffed? Would make a little sense for the UK at least, considering how crazy the PS4 bundles were in the six weeks to Christmas.

I doubt it, werent they saying there would be shortages in europe germany etc. Also deals didnt seem official more so shops like game taking the hit on the bundles to push sales unlike the official price cut and bundles from ms.
 

madmackem

Member
Good job Sony in turning a profit. I read alot that Sony prices are high, but in my country, Norway, the prices is very competetive and Sony product often win "Best of" reviews. When I look into purchasing a new product I always have the same process: read reviews both from customers and experts and what gives me most value for my money. Over the recent years I have bought from Sony, all "best in test":
- Blu ray player
- Compact camera
- Xperia phone
- HD digital video camera
- Wireless headphones

And I got a eye for a 60 inch led tv from Sony that won best TV of 2014 from a higly regarded hardware magazine in Norway. Hell I almost bought a new Sony receiver because it got great reviews, but I have a love for Yamaha receivers. So how do Sony prices compare to Samsung/LG and is the value comparable in the states?

Yeah they on the whole make great tech, as you say most of it wins awards its just a shame most people would rather save a few quid and get a worse bit of tech.
 
That's a fair point and you could argue that Sony are in a pretty great position to do this with how well it's selling.

Still, I feel the shipped numbers gives some insight into why the UK had some really amazing bundles/deals. I vaguely recall the mainland having some pretty great bundles/deals too.

Going off of the retailer insiders for the US, Xbox1 are over shipped to their distribution centers to as high as ten times their PS4 stock post holiday. If PS4 is overshipped than Xbox1 is in a significantly darker position.


Edit: Wanted to put a link so I do not look like a jackass pulling numbers from nowhere (note: his ban was a GG thread thing, not numbers)

http://m.neogaf.com/showthread.php?p=147048455#post147048455
 
Hey they're profitable. That's nice to see. If it wasn't for mobile the company looks like it would be pretty healthy.
This is great news, sucks that mobile keeps going bad though. Love my Z3v.
Thought that mobile loss was going to hurt them bad. Good for them.
They had a huge write down in Q2, but Q3 is actually slightly profitable:
sonydvqn4.png


On another note, Sonys image sensors are selling REALLY great.
 
Finally a profit. Not a bad one either, clearly inflated by weak yen but a profit nonetheless.

SCE is going great guns and it doesn't look like slowing down any time soon. One thing to note is that software sales have been restated from units to revenue in billions of yen.

Even the mobile division managed to make money this quarter despite strong USD weighing it down. All kinds of crazy happening this Q.

Still, it is becoming clear that HE&S and MPC are being lined up for a disposal, all of the goodwill has been written of in both divisions and thrre are aonly ¥100bn worth of long lived assets left. Compared to Vaio they are in a much better position to dump either or both divisions. Exiting Vaiohas cost them ¥300bn over two years. It is clear that they want to avoid the same high cost exits should they decide to can either of them.
 
6.4m PS4 shipped.

So Sony over shipped/channel stuffed? Would make a little sense for the UK at least, considering how crazy the PS4 bundles were in the six weeks to Christmas.

The previous quarter "estimation" of ship vs sold-through was around 1.1 million difference, I recall someone on GAF analysed based on the graph trend.

At 1.5 mil difference, there's probably a bit of overshipment,but not significantly above normal trends.

Remember that Sony sells through roughly a million PS4s a month, even through Q1 to Q3 last year. Assuming there's no sales decline, they'll sell through that stock in slightly over a month.
 

jryi

Senior Analyst, Fanboy Drivel Research Partners LLC
6.4m PS4 shipped.

So Sony over shipped/channel stuffed? Would make a little sense for the UK at least, considering how crazy the PS4 bundles were in the six weeks to Christmas.

I don't know if you can call it channel stuffing. Keep in mind, that PS4 sold a bit less than a million per month early last year. Difference between sold in and sold through is 1.4M, which amounts to maybe month and a half of stock.

Then you have to take into account that it takes on average something like three weeks to transport the consoles, so that's easily something like 6-700k in transit. Now, we are left with something like 800k consoles in distribution centres and store shelves. Across the whole globe.
 

zeromcd73

Member
Japan. Vita has been having somewhat of a resurgence there for a while with tons more games coming out. It competes with 3DS weekly now too
Vita actually sold more in the US in December than it did in Japan.

Also, Vita isn't close to competing with 3DS in Japan or doing well at all. Vita hardware is still struggling to outsell Sega Saturn, and software sales aren't that great for it nor are they likely for the rest of the year since most games are small niche visual novels.
 

COPLonesteban

Neo Member
While I'm glad Sony is profitable, am I incorrect in the rise in sales in most categories being directly attributed to the weakening yen? The FX impact column for games, for example has more than the difference in sales between quarters year-over-year. Maybe I'm reading it wrong?

Ah, nevermind, I see the "constant currency" note in the report. 8% growth is pretty hot but devices seems to be the real star.
 

eFKac

Member
I'm so worried about the Mobile Comunications division ;_; Sony makes the bestAndroid sets right now hands down, they can't stop! But it's not looking good...

I thought it was a great idea from Kaz to double down on smartphone a few years back, that it is the future, that it will take Sony back to profit, now it looks like the biggest anchor.
 

Steroyd

Member
That's a fair point and you could argue that Sony are in a pretty great position to do this with how well it's selling.

Still, I feel the shipped numbers gives some insight into why the UK had some really amazing bundles/deals. I vaguely recall the mainland having some pretty great bundles/deals too.

I think that's a key point to take in.

That was probably triggered by MS' suicide price run through the holiday, shops want to move stock and the Xbox one might have sabotaged moving PS4 at a certain pace hence the deals, at least it would explain the UK versus mainland Europe.
 
The previous quarter "estimation" of ship vs sold-through was around 1.1 million difference, I recall someone on GAF analysed based on the graph trend.

At 1.5 mil difference, there's probably a bit of overshipment,but not significantly above normal trends.

Remember that Sony sells through roughly a million PS4s a month, even through Q1 to Q3 last year. Assuming there's no sales decline, they'll sell through that stock in slightly over a month.

I don't know if you can call it channel stuffing. Keep in mind, that PS4 sold a bit less than a million per month early last year. Difference between sold in and sold through is 1.4M, which amounts to maybe month and a half of stock.

Then you have to take into account that it takes on average something like three weeks to transport the consoles, so that's easily something like 6-700k in transit. Now, we are left with something like 800k consoles in distribution centres and store shelves. Across the whole globe.

I think that's a key point to take in.

That was probably triggered by MS' suicide price run through the holiday, shops want to move stock and the Xbox one might have sabotaged moving PS4 at a certain pace hence the deals, at least it would explain the UK versus mainland Europe.

Fair enough. I only mentioned it due to the crazy bundling deals that were available. I thought that was a sign of there being excess stock in the supply chian.


I can't speak 100% for the mainland, but I know that Sonyvjad the best deals in the UK. MS didn't bring any game to court. Their main bundle was the crappy ASA Creed duo, Sony were knocking out bundles left and right, with some hitting as low as £280.

It was crazy. O can honestly say I've never seen anything like it before.
 

RalchAC

Member
What happened with their phone line in Q2? That's a big loss, and it's hard to believe it's just R&D costs.

Did they fire people (since the Vaio line wouldn't need R&D anymore) or something?

I doubt we'll see such a price drop. As long as the PS4 continues to sell gangbusters there is no financial or logical reason to drop it. I'd expect 349 by the holidays though.

The PS2 had a 100€/$ pricedrop when it was around 30 months in the market.

And it was selling gangbusters.

So it's totally posible. A 100€/$ would be a lot more notorious and drive sales a lot more than 2 smaller drops.
 
Fair enough. I only mentioned it due to the crazy bundling deals that were available. I thought that was a sign of there being excess stock in the supply chian.

Honestly, we do need to see if Sony are able to maintain their current sell-through rate. 1.5 million isn't a big deal if they can continue their 1 mil a month rate, but if not, then there's reason to be concerned.
 

Rixa

Member
What happened with their phone line in Q2? That's a big loss, and it's hard to believe it's just R&D costs.

Did they fire people (since the Vaio line wouldn't need R&D anymore) or something?



The PS2 had a 100€/$ pricedrop when it was around 30 months in the market.

And it was selling gangbusters.

So it's totally posible. A 100€/$ would be a lot more notorious and drive sales a lot more than 2 smaller drops.
About Q2:
See my post nr 134 in this thread.
 

Marlenus

Member
I fully expect Sony to drop the price to remain competitive and will continue to look for ways to drop the cogs. However, right now Sony is in the unusual position to grow their profit margin and their revenue base. History has no bearing in determining how much they will drop that price. It will be 100% dependent on the market conditions.

It will be dependant on what their forecasts suggest. I doubt a company like Sony will want to react to market conditions and instead guide them to their direction.

Selling 12M at the current price might seem great but if they can sell 18M by dropping the price the extra users can easily make up the margin difference and it gives them more time to spend more money through the course of the generation. It also strengthens the network effect making future purchases come that bit easier.

The console itself is just one of many variables to the overall profit of the division and maximising profit for the whole division might mean sacrificing margin in one area to increase it further in others.
 
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