JimJamJones
Member
Winner: Disney.
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Place your bets: Age of Ultron vs The Force Awakens
- Thread starter Malyse
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brickarts295
Member
These are my predictions.
- Avengers 2 will be #1 Foreign and WW for 2015
- Force Awakens will be #1 Domestic for 2015
- Both will pass 1 billion
- Neither will reach 2 Billion (if they do, well Holy Shit) but Avengers 2 will get closest to it
- Force Awakens will have the highest RT
gutter_trash
Banned
I have foreseen it.
I might have posted before, but I'll make a new prediction now that the recent SW trailer dropped:
OW: Avengers almost certainly
DOM: Avengers 3:1 chance (critical reception will play a big role for SW, and also could potentially have a 40mil+ impact on Avengers)
WW: Split, w/ slight edge for SW. Avengers is bound to break 1bil OS, but lord knows what the expansion in the OS market over the past 10 YEARS could mean for SW. I think there's a potiential for Avatar-esque numbers if SW gets a perfect storm going. Otherwise, it's anyone's guess.
Final Predicts (assuming similarly warm critical reception):
Avengers: 230 mil OW, 630 DOM, 1.1 bil OS
SW: 180 mil OW, 590 DOM, 1.2 bil OS
OW: Avengers almost certainly
DOM: Avengers 3:1 chance (critical reception will play a big role for SW, and also could potentially have a 40mil+ impact on Avengers)
WW: Split, w/ slight edge for SW. Avengers is bound to break 1bil OS, but lord knows what the expansion in the OS market over the past 10 YEARS could mean for SW. I think there's a potiential for Avatar-esque numbers if SW gets a perfect storm going. Otherwise, it's anyone's guess.
Final Predicts (assuming similarly warm critical reception):
Avengers: 230 mil OW, 630 DOM, 1.1 bil OS
SW: 180 mil OW, 590 DOM, 1.2 bil OS
What makes you think this one'll be good? XP
Sorcerer
Member
You are correct and I am jumping the gun.
But the trailers look amazing.
Of course the Phantom Menace trailer was also amazing and look how that turned out.
Same
Zeyphersan
Banned
Solid predictions, I'm on your side
I will add that Force Awakens will have a better RT score, but not by a giant amount. 7 points or less
weekend_warrior
Banned
No, they're really not. Avengers will get the Furious 7 crowd plus the comic book crowd. Star Wars hasn't been relevant since the 70's.
Zeyphersan
Banned
Listen I hate the prequels as much as the next guy but that is a fucking absurd statement
I'm changing my bet.
At this point I believe Star Wars is going to be #1 in sales. It's been years since we've had a Star Wars film and it opens up in December. What else opened up in December? Avatar.
However, as good as the trailer looks I put my trust in Whedon over JJ in terms of a quality film. The Avengers looked like a disaster and yet it resonated with fans a lot more and it somehow beat The Dark Knight Rises, a film every Nolan diehard were betting their lives that it will gross more and be the better film entirely. JJ has never made a great film. Super 8 was trying to be E.T but it goes into schlock second half. Star Trek is a fun action but not a great Star Trek movie. Into Darkness was boring. The greatest thing JJ has done was co-create Lost (have not seen MI:III). But, most critics won't realize this and still give the film good scores (Into Darkness is 87%). So, I do predict that the RT scores for both films will be around the same but fans will most likely realize that AoU is the better film.
Of course this is all a prediction. I would love for Star Wars to be great and I'm hoping that it is but I'm not expecting it for it to be.
At this point I believe Star Wars is going to be #1 in sales. It's been years since we've had a Star Wars film and it opens up in December. What else opened up in December? Avatar.
However, as good as the trailer looks I put my trust in Whedon over JJ in terms of a quality film. The Avengers looked like a disaster and yet it resonated with fans a lot more and it somehow beat The Dark Knight Rises, a film every Nolan diehard were betting their lives that it will gross more and be the better film entirely. JJ has never made a great film. Super 8 was trying to be E.T but it goes into schlock second half. Star Trek is a fun action but not a great Star Trek movie. Into Darkness was boring. The greatest thing JJ has done was co-create Lost (have not seen MI:III). But, most critics won't realize this and still give the film good scores (Into Darkness is 87%). So, I do predict that the RT scores for both films will be around the same but fans will most likely realize that AoU is the better film.
Of course this is all a prediction. I would love for Star Wars to be great and I'm hoping that it is but I'm not expecting it for it to be.
Zeyphersan
Banned
Dude that thread is a fucking RIOT these days
Dance Inferno
Unconfirmed Member
Some guy over on Reddit claims to have seen Age of Ultron and says it's surprisingly bad. Take it with a grain of salt obviously, but thought it was an interesting read.
bananafactory
Banned
Vestal
Gold Member
Conflicted in answering this.
The Hype right now is for Starwars. I would say it is close to Phatom Menace hype right now, that is pretty fucking big. If the movie is what we expected the Prequels to be, it will be the Biggest movie of the year by far Domestically, possibly surpassing anything and everything in its path.
Not so sure about WW.
The Hype right now is for Starwars. I would say it is close to Phatom Menace hype right now, that is pretty fucking big. If the movie is what we expected the Prequels to be, it will be the Biggest movie of the year by far Domestically, possibly surpassing anything and everything in its path.
Not so sure about WW.
Combichristoffersen
Combovers don't work when there is no hair
Star Wars for everything, although Avengers will be close in terms of WW gross.
Either way, Disney wins.
Either way, Disney wins.
Zeyphersan
Banned
1. Reddit, c'mon
2. I agree with one of the top comments, it reads like it was meant to tick all the Reddit checkboxes
I just assume that 95% of the people posting on Reddit are doing it for attention. Saying a highly anticipated film is garbage will get you a lot more attention than saying you liked it.
That said, Marvel is like 1 in 3 with their first sequels so far, so who knows.
TacticalFox88
Banned
Yep.
In Asian countries people don't care about Star Wars much if at all whereas Avengers Team is super popular. So there is no way SW can beat Avengers in worldwide gross.
Personally, I've quite low interest in Avengers and am more interested in SW.
Prediction time:
Domestic BO: Star Wars (Avengers not far behind)
Worldwide: Avengers
RT score: Avengers (chances of a Star Wars movie getting negative reviews are higher)
Personally, I've quite low interest in Avengers and am more interested in SW.
Prediction time:
Domestic BO: Star Wars (Avengers not far behind)
Worldwide: Avengers
RT score: Avengers (chances of a Star Wars movie getting negative reviews are higher)
JimJamJones
Member
The same Star Wars that generates $1 billion in sold merchandise every year?
Star Wars. It's going to be the nostalgia factor that brings EVERYONE in.
Earning that junior tag
Earning that junior tag
MiamiWesker
Member
It's Star Wars. It has the Original cast, I think everyone underestimates what kind of megaton nuclear bomb that is. The cast of maybe the most beloved movies of all time are back after 30 years, together again in a movie no one believed would ever happen. Every single age group is going to go nuts for this.
It's going to be insane and be the better movie.
It's going to be insane and be the better movie.
t-storm
Member
So much this.
Today I saw baby boomers I work with and on Twitter go absolutely nuts over the second teaser, all reminiscing about 1977.
If that's the slightest indication then: Star Wars. All ages will be going to see it. Not once, not twice but many, many times.
Can'y exactly say the same for Ultron.
Septimus Prime
Member
Side note: do you think either of these will top Furious 7?
TacticalFox88
Banned
LOOOOOOOOOL
Combichristoffersen
Combovers don't work when there is no hair
I think both will, but SW should definitely top it. C'mon, it's goddamn Star Wars.
Vestal
Gold Member
Hero_of_the_Day
Member
LOL. How is it possible for someone to not realize how massive Star Wars is? This shit is mind blowing.
Septimus Prime
Member
Yes, I know. But F7 is doing insanely well and, if it hasn't already grossed over $1 billion, is on track to do it more quickly than The Avengers.
Meanwhile, the last Star Wars films didn't even outpace their contemporary Spider-Man competitors.
Both should top it considerably but with that said, Furious 7 will break $1 billion tonight, it's piling up the cash in China (already at $165 million or so after 5 days)
Decided to see how things were looking over at BoxOffice.com forums. Consensus there now seems that without question it will be topping Avengers, and it even has a decent chance to surpass Avatar as the #1 grossing movie domestically (not worldwide of course). In terms of domestic, the baseline there seems to be at least 600 mil now, many in the 700 mil range.
I am thinking about 760 mil domestic for Star Wars now, 2.2 bill worldwide.
I am thinking about 760 mil domestic for Star Wars now, 2.2 bill worldwide.
Combichristoffersen
Combovers don't work when there is no hair
That's because even Star Wars fans think the prequel trilogy is mediocre to straight up godawful, and word of mouth hurt the movies (and rightly so, Episode I is offensively terrible). The new trilogy where Lucas isn't around to muck around with it has hype levels over 9000 and rising.
DeathoftheEndless
Crashing this plane... with no survivors!
Bold.
Age of Ultron is a lock to be one of the best comic book movies ever. The RT score won't be less than 85%.
Star Wars VII is looking good so far and I think it will review well (even Into Darkness did), but it could prove to be too similar to the first movie.
That being said, Star Wars will definitely have the bigger box office, so I think you're safe.
Box office forums are about as informed as GAF when it comes to movie performance. Some of them make solid predictions, but you have to wade through so much fanboy shit that any consensus is useless.
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