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[TDLink]

Not at launch. We'll see how the holiday season goes though, especially if they have Mario, Xenoblade, and Pokemon before the year is out.

Launch is dire as hell though.

 

[pswii60]

It'll have a decent launch due to early adopters, and after that it'll do better than Wii U but far, far worse than 3DS.

It's too expensive and the first year line-up is barren. Kids are happy playing on tablets these days and when they grow out of that they want to play PS4/XBO/PC.

And most kids and grown-ups alike find smartphone gaming a sufficient fix for passing the time when they're out and about, no need to carry an additional device. Those who do want to play full blown console games on the move were the dozen or so hardcore gamers who bought the Vita, which actually had a better launch line-up than Switch does.

I have no idea who Switch is actually aimed at, beyond (some) Nintendo fans.

 

[notaskwid]

Cut the price by a hundred and it might sell close to the 3ds.

 

[pastrami]

I reckon it'll do well. A solid amount. It won't set charts on fire, but it'll outsell the Wii U and Gamecube and approach N64 & 3DS.

Uh, hasn't the 3DS sold almost twice as much as the N64?

 

[twobear]

It could be an unexpected Wii-like smash hit, but I'd put money on it being effectively similar sales performance to Wii U.

 

[Blobbers]

40 million consoles sold the absolute ceiling

Spoiler

Here's hoping my post is a part of a mass-quote wall of shame in 4-5 years when the switch is a massive success, but nah

 

[scraz]

With monster hunter online play behind a paywall they can fuck right off. $70 pro controller was the shit cherry on top.

 

[Audioboxer]

Initially maybe as geeky folk always like new products/hardware. Long term I have no idea how Nintendo will be able to do anything different than they normally do (kill off 3rd party, 1st party only). Not to mention with paid online now they'll find it even harder.

This should have been called the Wii U 2.

 

[Majmun]

It sounds like a mediocre handheld AND console so far.

Mediocre handheld because of the low battery life and huge size.
Mediocre console because of the archaic storage system and lowspec hardware.

And everything about the system is expensive.

I don't see it happening.

 

[Vincent Grayson]

I do think it'll fare better than the Wii U did. Beyond that, who knows.

 

[Pennywise]

It'll do better than the WIIU but that's hardly a high bar to set. It won't sell gangbustes though

Nothing more to add.

 

[kruis]

This will flop. Nintendo is lucky if it sells a third of what the 3DS did - and that's when the price is under $200. But at $300 it's far, far too expensive as a handheld console and far, far too underpowered as a console. It's the worst of both worlds.

 

[Lilo_D]

it will be tough at the start, but when software pick up it will be success

 

[Tricky I Shadow]

LOL, no. Nintendo is in quite a bit of trouble....

Though, it'll probably do better than the Wii U.

 

[Harlequin]

It won't flop as badly as the Wii U did but I don't think it's going to be much of a success either, no.

 

[wapplew]

Too early to tell.
As it's stand, repeat of WiiU. Maybe a 3DS like soft relaunch will make it a huge success.

 

[Yado]

Nope. Too expensive with lackluster games. The more I find out about this device the more unappealing it gets.

 

[120v]

it'll do okay. won't take off like wildfire but will have a good enough holiday '17 and build from there

switch 1,2 or whatever should've been a pack in. don't know what they were smoking on that one

 

[Jintor]

Prices are god awful. I don't see a giant success without a suddenly stronger lineup and a price drop.

 

[Nameless]

Nintendo fans and core gamers would have kept l
limited quantities moving all year whatever the price. But long term, hell no. Unless of course Nintendo starts acting outside its nature with aggressive price drops year 2.

 

[ShockingAlberto]

Hm. Above Wii U, probably above Gamecube...likely not touching anything else.

Game industry is too in-flux to say anything with certainty. I don't think people here have enough of a map to call it accurately yet. If it fails, I suspect it will be a mixture of the reasons people say here and ones that were not expected.

 

[Rolodzeo]

At those prices... DOA.

 

[Ferulci]

Nope.
Between the line-up, paying online and overall prices (if you count controllers), it's almost doomed to fail.

 

[Gormless Noodle]

Completely dead on arrival. Will shift Wii U numbers at best. Looking at what Nintendo is planning and what they're charging for it, they seem think they're Apple or something.

 

[BeforeU]

Its a hard sell

 

[Aztechnology]

This will flop.

More like half a Tflop.

 

[TC McQueen]

Over it's lifetime, yes. For the first 9 or so months of its life, it's going to heavily depend on A) the few big first party games in its lineup (Zelda, Splatoon 2, Mario Odyssey), B) whether retailers come up with attractive bundles/pricing for Black Friday/CyberMonday, and C) whether Nintendo will do its stupid restrictive supply bullshit during Black Friday/CyberMonday.

 

[Oddish1]

Zelda's at launch so I think it'll do well then with early adopters and it seems like they're trying to keep a stream of games throughout the year to keep them happy. So I think it'll meet Nintendo's expectations. The holidays will probably be the true test if this can connect with a mass market and it'll depend on the software.

But yeah, it's hard to say with any certainty. I think it'll be modest success.

 

[AtlantiC_CodeX]

With that stupid price tag it'll be a wii u 2.0 pretty much.

 

[LewieP]

This device will be marginally more successful than the Wii U.

If they make a home console version and a handheld version they will do pretty well.

 

[Stallion Dan]

Dead on arrival with UK and EU prices.

 

[Nokagi]

I don't like to try and predict these things but it's really hard to see it being a success.

 

[woopWOOP]

Not right away, probably.
It's a matter if that 1, 2, Switch kind of gameplay becomes a hit among general public eventually.

That rumoured mainline Pokemon entry will save it from being a total failure either way.

 

[Chindogg]

Hard to tell yet.

"Real" 3D Mario, Zelda, Mario Kart, Splatoon sequel, and Xenoblade sequel all in 2017 with smaller games like Bomberman might be enough to make some sales.

 

[cacildo]

Just like the 3DS it will have a rough start, but will start to do better when the price come down.

Thats how i feel too

 

[JoeM86]

Uh, hasn't the 3DS sold almost twice as much as the N64?

More like 1.5, but there is a gap yeah

 

[Gamezone]

As an Xbox One and Playstation 4 owner, I see no desire in the Switch at all. I think many see the it the same way. There aren`t enough hardcore Nintendo fans out there to make this console a success.

 

[Tenshin]

Surpass wii u maybe.. Fuck they still have no solid info of their network at they already saying they are going for a paid sub for online.

 

[Paertan]

They need more third party games but yes I think there is potential for success. I want one at least.

 

[breakfuss]

I wouldn't say I'm a fanboy but I freaking adore Nintendo. Honestly. It's how my dad first introduced me to gaming and it's what I grew up on. I buy all their shit. Even the Wii U. But this? This? At $300? And those games? I am not seeing the appeal. I'm just not. But I hope I'm wrong.

 

[Mengy]

I think they are going to have serious problems with their price point, peripheral prices, and paid online subscription, in addition to the lower specs than both Playstation and Xbox currently offer. If they don't have enough 3rd party games or even enough Nintendo games to really, really push hardware sales, they won't do well with this. That's my opinion.

Their price points really needed to be lower in order to rapidly grow a userbase and generate buzz. They also need to reform their youtube policy into a more modern and fan friendly policy, without it they lose out on huge amounts of free advertising and buzz generation which their competitors freely enjoy. That's very bad.

 

[AHindD]

I see no reason this thing will succeed in any way humanly possible.

 

[Haunted]

I think there's going to be more excitement at launch because it generally has seen a warmer reception than the WiiU, but I also think that it will peter off very quickly as the software drought begins and it's going to become clear that this is yet another Nintendo console disregarded by third parties, especially the biggest players in the industry who drive most of the marketing and mindshare in the dedicated console space.

This might very well be another WiiU.

 

[cluderi]

The launch allocation will sell worldwide and then it'll settle into a slow period like the Wii U, I doubt it'll break 15 million when all is said and done but if they're making a small profit on each machine then I'm sure Nintendo will be ok with that.

They seem to have gone for the niche market that has no real competition rather than take on the XBOX one and PS4 in the powerhouse home console market.

 

[Vamp]

Nope, it will fail like wiiU.

 

[breveglieri]

Crash and burn

 

[murgo]

DOA imo.

 

[RobRSG]

With these prices I can foresee Nintendo going softhouse in a not so far future. What the hell are they thinking with the entry price at US$300?

Edit: I was wrong, and do have a Switch.

 

[Machina]

If they don't at least make the paid for online a better proposition before launch, they're in trouble again. Third party Nintendo will follow within 3-4 years

 

[dude]

I think it will fail worse than the Wii U, but I hope it won't.
I'm just not sure who this device is for - I don't really see the scenarios in which the hybrid model would work.