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Next-Gen PS5 & XSX |OT| Console tEch threaD

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VFXVeteran

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Tqaulity,

Dont forget memory bandwidth and the type of memory. GDDR6 is cool, but it would be nice if the consoles had 1 TB/sec of bandwidth with HBM3...…….. one can only dream :messenger_savoring::pie_drooling:

Speaking on the memory.. what difference does it make if it's 16 or 32G.

I know that they will use unified virtual memory so whatever their storage is should be extremely fast and transparent to the developer.

One other thing -- Every game isn't going to eat up all available RAM. 1) It's too close to getting a segfault and 2) consuming up nearly all RAM lowers performance significantly. Definitely expect padding.
 
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Fake

Member
Scarlett will follow the same path ...
His was asked about how they can release so many games when they should be saving them for Scarlett he said he doesnt need to because they have so many games in the pipeline.

As playstation will do, many games will be cross gen ... there is no mandate that Microsoft or third parties cant release Scarlett only games.
I know, but is important to not mistake 'crossgen' with 'bc'. Crossgen is great for early gen and give devs time to adapt the consoles. After 4 or less devs should master the PS5 hardware and drop support for PS4 in the same way PS3~PS4 get. Only when those games came out we'll see the next gen game.

In the Xbox family is a bit problematic because base Xbox One have a different memory scheme. Will be DDR3+ESRAM vs GDDR5 from Xbox One X and probably GDDR6 from Scarlett.

So, IMO I don't know if will be a good ideia keep supporting base Xbox One. If games start to look bad when Xbox One X launch imagine when Scarlett came out.
 
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Tqaulity

Member
i still can’t believe folks are still believing that the next gen consoles will only have 16GB! Guys that is ridiculous. In fact, I promise if either system only had 16GB, devs would riot against. It will literally be suicide for either company to do that.

I would love know what analysis you are referring to pointing to a next console designed to last through to 2025 and beyond to only have 4 more GB than a console released in 2017! Does that really make sense to anyone? While Sony not Microsoft have confirmed anything, most credible leaks that already has been proven to have some credible information has pointed to at least 24GB. You have no reason not to believe that will be the case? I’ll give you some.

Ok I keep saying this so real quick let’s recap: for the past 40 years almost, what has been the #1 requested hardware feature for video game developers working on a console? No not better CPUs, not better GPUs...It’s more memory! Every generation, the polls conducted by the console manufacturer say the same thing...the primary bottleneck that they run into by the end of a console generation is lack of RAM. Having sizeable RAM is the single most important feature to ensure the longevity of a console! This isn’t new guys, this has been the story for generations.

Again, if we look at the history of PlayStation specifically, EVERY SINGLE PLAYSTATION CONSOLE HAD SEEN A 16X INCREASE IN RAM from one generation to the next:
PS1 to PS2 = 2MB to 32MB (16X)
PS2 to PS3 = 32MB to 512MB (16X)
PS3 to PS4 = 512 MB to 8GB (16X)

Remember how Sony was initially targeting only 4GB for PS4 to which developers cried foul and they increased it at the last moment. Clearly that was a critical move that contributed to the success of the PS4 and people acted like they did something so unprecedented but all they did was make sure they kept the precedence established in the past.

So no, PS5 will not have 8GB x 16 = 128GB as that is clearly not feasible and would be excessive given the current standards. But I’ve said that 24GB, which is only a Measly 3x increase over current gen in and of itself, is the absolute minimum. Anything less and devs would be enraged and it will be commercial suicide. Again the Xbox One X already has 12GB. Most midrange laptops come with 16GB today. There is no way a console pushing cutting edge tech like 7nm Zen2, SSD,Ray-Tracing etc designed to last 5-7 years will be viable to support that business model with only 16GB (only a 2x increase from consoles released 7 years earlier!). That’s makes no sense.

I really want to know why folks insist on holding onto to the idea of 16GB in next gen? Even to go so far as to reject the rumors or leaks pointing to 24GB or higher. It contradicts every previous console generation, it contradicts all the leaks for the most part so far, and it defies all logic. Really why?


I'm still waiting...can anyone provide even a little rationale as to why the next gen consoles will only have 16GB of RAM?
 

bitbydeath

Member
I'm still waiting...can anyone provide even a little rationale as to why the next gen consoles will only have 16GB of RAM?

I’d think it’d be 20GB minimum.
16GB games
4GB OS

I can’t see them going any lower than that and it’s over a 2x jump from what we have currently which I think would be enough.

RAM is still expensive (I think) and the 16x jumps we had in previous gens are no longer required.

At max I’m thinking 24GB
20GB games
4GB OS
 
Somebody else mentioned this on the last past but, wouldn't the OS footprint increase for next-gen? I don't see it being only 4GB; they'll probably increase it to 6GB just to be safe, and scale back later in the gen.

Personally, thinking they'll have 24GB of RAM minimum (as 12x 2GB chips...didn't the Scarlet motherboard have 12 GDDR6 chips on it?). Or if they can somehow get 8x 4GB chips, we could see 32GB RAM for at least one of the systems, but that'll be the absolute maximum.

...Maybe. Some people are still thinking HBM2 could be involved here, so a lot can happen in the meantime.
 

Tqaulity

Member
OS will use the SSD as virtual RAM. No need for higher than 16G.
No need? Why not? Was there a need for 8GB when PS4 launched (5GB in games in know)? People then was saying PS4 would have 4GB or even 2GB because that seemed like more than enough back in 2012/2013. But by 2015, games were already at 8GB limits. Was there a need for 64MB of RAM when the OG Xbox launched? I could go on...

Everyone keeps using current gen games running at max settings on PC as a rationale: no current game uses >8GB etc. But it's not about the current gen games. We are moving to next gen games and creating the worlds of tomorrow will definitely use more than 16GB of total RAM. You never base the RAM decision in a console for what is necessary for current games. You need to be thinking how much RAM will be needed in games 5 years from now (or later).
 

VFXVeteran

Banned
Everyone keeps using current gen games running at max settings on PC as a rationale: no current game uses >8GB etc. But it's not about the current gen games. We are moving to next gen games and creating the worlds of tomorrow will definitely use more than 16GB of total RAM. You never base the RAM decision in a console for what is necessary for current games. You need to be thinking how much RAM will be needed in games 5 years from now (or later).

OK. Let's be real about the actual number used for RAM in a game. It's obviously not going to be 16G if the total amount of ram is 16G. So that's that.

I say it won't matter because their SSD tech is nearly as fast as RAM. You could stream a lot of shit like that and will essentially be like having 2TB of RAM (not literally). If I can allocate a virtual memory space of 64G and store variables/data into that space and run a game engine on it without knowing where that 64G is coming from, I don't care what the *actual* RAM is on the system. If a game can literally be installed such that reads/writes are transparent and not the bottleneck, then I'm good. I can see 1st party games using this RAM + SSD = virtual memory this way. If the streaming is consistent without any cache misses, then you'll never know the difference between 16G CPU RAM + SSD or 32G CPU RAM + SSD.
 
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Racer!

Member
OK. Let's be real about the actual number used for RAM in a game. It's obviously not going to be 16G if the total amount of ram is 16G. So that's that.

I say it won't matter because their SSD tech is nearly as fast as RAM. You could stream a lot of shit like that and will essentially be like having 2TB of RAM (not literally). If I can allocate a virtual memory space of 64G and store variables/data into that space and run a game engine on it without knowing where that 64G is coming from, I don't care what the *actual* RAM is on the system. If a game can literally be installed such that reads/writes are transparent and not the bottleneck, then I'm good. I can see 1st party games using this RAM + SSD = virtual memory this way. If the streaming is consistent without any cache misses, then you'll never know the difference between 16G CPU RAM + SSD or 32G CPU RAM + SSD.

Yeah, just off by a factor of a hundred. Nearly the same :D
 
GTX 1080 performance. Compute whatever that would be but it'll be > 10TF if using AMD numbers.
???????
The 5700XT with 40CU and around 9.2TFLOPS handily smashes a GTX 1080 and in some instances like RDR2, beats a 1080ti. The 5700XT also smashes a 12TFLOP Vega 64.
Have you completely forgotten Navi's architectural improvements?

At worst, most people expect the next gen consoles to be based on Navi 10 (40CU).
 
No chance it will be 2tb and £450, try £600! I want the larger hdd due to futureproofing, but to be honest even 8tb is not enough if you plan on redownloading those ps4 games on to it like me.
 

NeroDaGod

Member
i know economies of scale come into play, but even then the cost of a 2tb ssd drive will be too high and sony won’t bring out a console that makes a loss. Those days are gone.

They will, specially when they include subscription services like PS+, PSNow and the rumoured PS+ Premium that allow them to recoup that money.
 

VFXVeteran

Banned
???????
The 5700XT with 40CU and around 9.2TFLOPS handily smashes a GTX 1080 and in some instances like RDR2, beats a 1080ti. The 5700XT also smashes a 12TFLOP Vega 64.
Have you completely forgotten Navi's architectural improvements?

At worst, most people expect the next gen consoles to be based on Navi 10 (40CU).

LOL! You guys think this GPU is going to be ranked #6 of all-time fastest GPUs currently and sell for $500??? Where are you guys getting this shit from? You guys are wearing complete and utter rose-colored glasses!

You want 24G RAM main memory
You want 2T SSD NvMe
You want GTX 1080Ti or above
You want Ryzen CPU
You are getting a 100GB Bluray drive

All for $500?? Sign me up!
 

VFXVeteran

Banned
#1 Nvidia Titan RTX100TU1021350/1770 MHz24GB GDDR6280W
#2 Nvidia GeForce RTX 2080 Ti98.4TU1021350/1635 MHz11GB GDDR6260W
#3 Nvidia GeForce RTX 2080 Super98.2TU1041650/1815 MHz8GB GDDR6250W
#4 Nvidia GeForce RTX 208096.1TU1041515/1800 MHz8GB GDDR6225W
#5 Nvidia Titan X96.0GP1021405/1480 MHz12GB GDDR5X250W
#6 Nvidia GeForce GTX 1080 Ti (pie in the sky Sony bois)96.0GP1021480/1582 MHz11GB GDDR5X250W
#7 AMD Radeon RX 5700 XT95.8Navi 101605/1905 MHz8GB GDDR6225W
#8 Nvidia GeForce RTX 2070 Super94.1TU1041605/1770 MHz8GB GDDR6215W
#9 AMD Radeon VII92.4Vega 201400/1750 MHz16GB HBM2300W
#10 AMD Radeon RX 570087.5Navi 101465/1725 MHz8GB GDDR6185W
#11 Nvidia GeForce RTX 207087.2TU1061410/1710 MHz8GB GDDR6185W
#12 Nvidia GeForce RTX 2060 Super85.4TU1061470/1650 MHz8GB GDDR6175W
#13 AMD Radeon RX Vega 6484.4Vega 101274/1546 MHz8GB HBM2295W
#14 Nvidia GeForce GTX 1080 (my prediction)84.3GP1041607/1733 MHz8GB GDDR5X295W
 
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LOL! You guys think this GPU is going to be ranked #6 of all-time fastest GPUs currently and sell for $500??? Where are you guys getting this shit from? You guys are wearing complete and utter rose-colored glasses!

You want 24G RAM main memory
You want 2T SSD NvMe
You want GTX 1080Ti or above
You want Ryzen CPU
You are getting a 100GB Bluray drive

All for $500?? Sign me up!
Finally, another realist.
 
Wait till 2020 when a lot of other announcements come crashing down since Team Guerrella and Team Kojima control Sony 1st party exclusives.. Death Stranding announcement on PC isn't a one-off.
I'm on the side of the fence where I think selling games is more important than selling consoles. In order for these companies to thrive in this new streaming world, having options is going to be super important and being confined to a single console would be detrimental to their overall business. I think Microsoft understands this, however, Sony isn't far behind. I'm expecting a Playstation PC launcher in 2020 or Q1 2021.
 
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VFXVeteran

Banned
I'm on the side of the fence where I think selling games is more important than selling consoles. In order for these companies to thrive in this new streaming world, having options is going to be super important and being confined to a single console would be detrimental to their overall business. I think Microsoft understands this, however, Sony isn't far behind. I'm expecting a Playstation launcher in 2020 or Q1 2021.

OK. Understand your doubt.

Changes are coming. It's as blatant as you are going to get. It has to do with the whole porting issue that people seem to be locked in one camp.
 
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LOL! You guys think this GPU is going to be ranked #6 of all-time fastest GPUs currently and sell for $500??? Where are you guys getting this shit from? You guys are wearing complete and utter rose-colored glasses!

You want 24G RAM main memory
You want 2T SSD NvMe
You want GTX 1080Ti or above
You want Ryzen CPU
You are getting a 100GB Bluray drive

All for $500?? Sign me up!

I remember back in 2013 when Sony gave us the PS4 with 8GB RAM, a 500GB HDD, and all that other stuff for $399. For the time, that was insane. No one expected that from a next gen console. Pretty much everyone was blown away. The machine went straight to the top of Amazon's movers and shakers with a 2000% jump in one day.

But, let's take a step back.

24GB RAM? More like 16GB with some slower RAM just for the OS.
2TB SSD? Again, I doubt this. It'll be 1TB at most. Maybe even 500GB.
1080 TI? I actually believe this will happen, given supposed 3DMark score leaks. Also, the GPU in the console will be sharing the machine's main RAM and won't have any of its own, thus reducing the cost.

But let's not forget about buying all this stuff in bulk. If I went to buy a PC with the above specs, it's clearly not happening for $500. Even if I buy 10,000 of each component, it's not happening. But what if I put in an order for 12 million of each and pay in advance? What sort of discount am I looking at? And is there a further discount on the next 10 million if I give you some cash for those too? And finally, what if I can do it for $600 but decide to take a loss of $100 on each sale?
 
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#1 Nvidia Titan RTX100TU1021350/1770 MHz24GB GDDR6280W
#2 Nvidia GeForce RTX 2080 Ti98.4TU1021350/1635 MHz11GB GDDR6260W
#3 Nvidia GeForce RTX 2080 Super98.2TU1041650/1815 MHz8GB GDDR6250W
#4 Nvidia GeForce RTX 208096.1TU1041515/1800 MHz8GB GDDR6225W
#5 Nvidia Titan X96.0GP1021405/1480 MHz12GB GDDR5X250W
#6 Nvidia GeForce GTX 1080 Ti (pie in the sky Sony bois)96.0GP1021480/1582 MHz11GB GDDR5X250W
#7 AMD Radeon RX 5700 XT95.8Navi 101605/1905 MHz8GB GDDR6225W
#8 Nvidia GeForce RTX 2070 Super94.1TU1041605/1770 MHz8GB GDDR6215W
#9 AMD Radeon VII92.4Vega 201400/1750 MHz16GB HBM2300W
#10 AMD Radeon RX 570087.5Navi 101465/1725 MHz8GB GDDR6185W
#11 Nvidia GeForce RTX 207087.2TU1061410/1710 MHz8GB GDDR6185W
#12 Nvidia GeForce RTX 2060 Super85.4TU1061470/1650 MHz8GB GDDR6175W
#13 AMD Radeon RX Vega 6484.4Vega 101274/1546 MHz8GB HBM2295W
#14 Nvidia GeForce GTX 1080 (my prediction)84.3GP1041607/1733 MHz8GB GDDR5X295W

I mean, according to your own list, even a cut down Navi 10; the 36CU 5700 is faster than a GTX1080? I don't understand your issue? If the consoles have a 10TF Navi card it will be more performant than the 5700XT assuming it has enough bandwidth. Unless you're suggesting that the Navi GPU in the PS5/Scarlett will be significantly underclocked and only computing 7TF peak?

That all aside, do you think the 5700XT be the 7th fastest graphics card in the world in 12 months from now? I mean the 5700XT is the 7th fastest right now, but it's still like 35% slower than a 2080ti. GPU market prices have been inflated for a while since the mining boom, so RRP is not relevant in the discussion for a console that is 12 months from release.
There are rumours of Nvidia's Ampere being headed by a 8000+ cuda core GA100 and 5-7000 cuda core GA102. There are also AMD's own Navi 2x GPUs to be released. By which point, the 2070S/5700XT performance bracket will have shifted down considerably.

Also all this stuff about RAM, SSD etc. Is not something I plan on believing, till I see it. But expecting a console to have performance around the level of a year-old mid-range GPU is not unfathomable to be quite honest.
 
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