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Wii U Speculation thread IV: Photoshop rumors and image memes

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Oddduck

Member
What do you guys think are the chances of Mario appearing at launch?

3D Mario or 2D Mario.

And would Nintendo have Mario and Pikmin launch on the same day?
 
Which is why they'll sell it much closer to the break even point and try and sweeten the pot with some built in software (note: Not a bundled game).
3DS had built in software and it didn't help at all. It may be dumb, but I feel pressing a disc gives whatever games comes bundled with Wii U more psychological value than simply preloading them on it's flash would.
 

Linkhero1

Member
What do you guys think are the chances of Mario appearing at launch?

3D Mario or 2D Mario.

Pretty slim imo. They had demo out NSMB Mii last E3, but it seemed to look exactly like the Wii version of the game. I'm guessing they rushed it for E3, so we probably won't see a Mario title for the console until after launch.
 
What do you guys think are the chances of Mario appearing at launch?

3D Mario or 2D Mario.

0%

It's what I've always said, and it's what I will say.
They simply do not need Mario at launch.
Anyone that says they do is trying to doom Nintendo. You're basically saying that they can't hit it with anything other than Mario and that is doing a huge disservice to Nintendo's teams and creativity.

3DS had built in software and it didn't help at all. It may be dumb, but I feel pressing a disc gives whatever games comes bundled with Wii U more psychological value than simply preloading them on it's flash would.



Street Pass and the AR most certainly did help sales (particularly in Japan).
The problem was that it was still $250 and had no real compelling software.
 

Roo

Member
What do you guys think are the chances of Mario appearing at launch?

3D Mario or 2D Mario.

And would Nintendo have Mario and Pikmin launch on the same day?


1. at launch.... hmmm... none
2. and NO in a million years..

EDIT: Damn you guys!! you're stalking this thread!
and I'm a slow writer lol
 

HylianTom

Banned
The responses to my hypothetical are interesting. Personally I think it'd be a pretty big mistake and potentially disastrous for both the industry and nintendo's profit margins. Of course I'd be excited for upcoming games, but I'd be very very concerned about future sustainability.

That was my stance in a nutshell. You can be damn sure I'd be sweating NPD numbers every month, biting my nails. Nintendo surviving is paramount, and if it means that I have to wait five more years to see 720-level graphics from a Nintendo system, then so be it. I'll enjoy 360 v2.0 graphics in the meantime; I'm sure they're fantastic.

(And I think if Sony ever does make their exit, it'll forever be in the background of each time where industry enthusiasts have this debate/discussion, having a very long-lasting impression.)
 

Oddduck

Member
Pretty slim imo. They had demo out NSMB Mii last E3, but it seemed to look exactly like the Wii version of the game. I'm guessing they rushed it for E3, so we probably won't see a Mario title for the console until after launch.

Well if they don't have Mario, Zelda, or even Metroid at launch...then would you say most of the Nintendo published games at launch would be "B franchises"? Franchises that aren't super popular but have a decent sized fan following like Pikmin, Star Fox, Wave Race, Eternal Darkness, etc.
 

Linkhero1

Member
Well if they don't have Mario, Zelda, or even Metroid at launch...then would you say most of the Nintendo published games at launch would be "B franchises"? Franchises that aren't super popular but have a decent sized fan following like Pikmin, Star Fox, Wave Race, Eternal Darkness, etc.

Nothing wrong with that. I'm pretty sure a lot of Nintendo fans would still love to get those games. As long as they don't repeat what they did with the 3DS I'm sure they'll do just fine.
 

test_account

XP-39C²
UE4 isn't confirmed, officially, for any platform.
However, we've heard talk that the system is being optimized for it.
For PC it kinda is , but makes sense that it isnt confirmed for any other system since it most likely wont be supported on PS3 and Xbox 360, and their follow up consoles arent announced

But i ment the talk about it. I've only heard talk about UE3 and WiiU, not about UE4 and WiiU.


there's been rumours that they've been tweaking the dev kits to optimize for new engines, I assume that means UE4 and CryEngine 3 right?

BG or IdeaMan or someone would need to confirm that.
I've only seen talk about UE3, that is why i had to ask :)
 
Well if they don't have Mario, Zelda, or even Metroid at launch...then would you say most of the Nintendo published games at launch would be "B franchises"? Franchises that aren't super popular but have a decent sized fan following like Pikmin, Star Fox, Wave Race, Eternal Darkness, etc.


They'll do something new and unexpected.
Their first goal is to foster a long term userbase. That would be us. The ones that buy a game every month at least and will continue to do so for years.
They'll do this by making a game that helps to support third parties.
Nothing huge like Zelda. More of Metroid's level. Either a new Prime game, or some spin off or another adventure game.

For PC it kinda is , but makes sense that it isnt confirmed for any other system since it most likely wont be supported on PS3 and Xbox 360, and their follow up consoles arent announced

But i ment the talk about it. I've only heard talk about UE3 and WiiU, not about UE4 and WiiU.



I've only seen talk about UE3, that is why i had to ask :)


Black has mentioned it a few times. And lherre has said they are testing popular engines for optimization (though not UE4 specifically).
 

Akai

Member
Well if they don't have Mario, Zelda, or even Metroid at launch...then would you say most of the Nintendo published games at launch would be "B franchises"? Franchises that aren't super popular but have a decent sized fan following like Pikmin, Star Fox, Wave Race, Eternal Darkness, etc.

Hey, have to give third parties their "chance" again. God forbid Ninty have a major franchise at launch, resulting in third parties having a big cry about it...
 

BlackJace

Member
Well if they don't have Mario, Zelda, or even Metroid at launch...then would you say most of the Nintendo published games at launch would be "B franchises"? Franchises that aren't super popular but have a decent sized fan following like Pikmin, Star Fox, Wave Race, Eternal Darkness, etc.

"B Franchises"? No such things. Relying on games that will appeal to all bases(which is what Ninty wants to achieve with the Wii U) is what the launch games will be like.
 

Roo

Member
Well if they don't have Mario, Zelda, or even Metroid at launch...then would you say most of the Nintendo published games at launch would be "B franchises"? Franchises that aren't super popular but have a decent sized fan following like Pikmin, Star Fox, Wave Race, Eternal Darkness, etc.

I've said it before, we won't see a big Nintendo franchise till next year
I'm expecting a sports/party Mario game but that's pretty much it.
so yeah, I'm going to say this year Nintendo will publish only "B franchises"
 

BurntPork

Banned
You'll have to ask the journalist who wrote that.

That tone makes you seem a bit suspicious of it. (Especially with you saying the journalist, rather than the dev.) I can't really blame you if you are, however, since it really doesn't make any sense unless some shader units just aren't be used, and even that can only be blamed on the dev. I mean, we even heard that Nintendo is giving fairly good developer support, so what excuse do they have?
 

HylianTom

Banned
What do you guys think are the chances of Mario appearing at launch?

3D Mario or 2D Mario.

And would Nintendo have Mario and Pikmin launch on the same day?

3D Mario? No chance. It'd be a bimbshell if Nintendo unveiled Super Mario Universe at E3. But I see that as their big 2013 E3/holiday headliner.

2D Mario? Count me in as one of the believers. 80% chance.

Mario and Pikmin at launch on the same day? 75% chance.

Count me as an optimist. I think a 2D Mario game is great for appealing to a broad audience, gently showing what the system and uPad can do - while not overcrowding the more hardcore third-party titles that'll be available at Launch.
 

test_account

XP-39C²
Black has mentioned it a few times. And lherre has said they are testing popular engines for optimization (though not UE4 specifically).
Who is Black?

But the only thing i've heard is this from Mark Rein:

"Do you remember the Zelda demo they had on it? Would you not buy a Wii U just to play that? Of course you would. That's what Nintendo is all about. Their hardware is the software delivery service for their great content. That Zelda demo was gorgeous and we can do even more than that with Unreal Engine 3. I think it will do great."

http://www.eurogamer.net/articles/2012-03-12-epic-vp-id-be-shocked-if-wii-u-doesnt-do-well

To me it seems that he is trying to "sell" UE3 here, talking about how good it will be on WiiU. Just found it curious that he didnt mention anything about UE4.
 
Street Pass and the AR most certainly did help sales (particularly in Japan).
The problem was that it was still $250 and had no real compelling software.
Honestly, I don't think they did really. At least not to the degree Nintendo wanted.

Wii's $250 was all always buffered with the "free game" effect. 3DS wasn't generally, though I have to wonder if it'd have been different if AR-Games and Face Raiders had come on a 128MB card?
 
That's essentially semantics, as most individual instructions (i.e. all except those heavily reliant on fat microcode implementations) can be deemed 'fixed function'.

I'm honestly very thankful you're here man. I've been trying to get this across for years, with none of the technical proficiency to sum it up.

I've always tried to sum it up how I read it. "Colour Combiners are pixel-shaders!" Pixel-Shading in and of itself is just a buzz word for a highly documented colour combiner. The programmability of said shaders (fixed function or otherwise) don't define pixel-shading. Their proficiency with combining texture layers to create separate effects is what defines pixel-shading.

Even the PS2 is capable of software based pixel-shading, and it doesn't even have a fixed-function pixel-shader!

I argued this stuff last gen, but no one listened.
 

orioto

Good Art™
I've said it before, we won't see a big Nintendo franchise till next year
I'm expecting a sports/party Mario game but that's pretty much it.
so yeah, I'm going to say this year Nintendo will publish only "B franchises"

Yet if 3ds showed them one thing, besides the price point, is that they need to have big Nintendo games to launch a console. People don't buy a Nintendo hardware for third parties.
 

Linkhero1

Member
Who is Black?

But the only thing i've heard is this from Mark Rein:

"Do you remember the Zelda demo they had on it? Would you not buy a Wii U just to play that? Of course you would. That's what Nintendo is all about. Their hardware is the software delivery service for their great content. That Zelda demo was gorgeous and we can do even more than that with Unreal Engine 3. I think it will do great."

http://www.eurogamer.net/articles/2012-03-12-epic-vp-id-be-shocked-if-wii-u-doesnt-do-well

I'm not saying that it's definite, but that doesn't mean UE4 won't be optimized for the Wii U. It seems to only state that the UE3 can do more than what the Zelda demo displayed.
 
Who is Black?

But the only thing i've heard is this from Mark Rein:

"Do you remember the Zelda demo they had on it? Would you not buy a Wii U just to play that? Of course you would. That's what Nintendo is all about. Their hardware is the software delivery service for their great content. That Zelda demo was gorgeous and we can do even more than that with Unreal Engine 3. I think it will do great."

http://www.eurogamer.net/articles/2012-03-12-epic-vp-id-be-shocked-if-wii-u-doesnt-do-well

Seems he heard the same thing I did... Nintendo was tweaking the HW to work more favorably with "popular" engines. In my case it was specifically Unreal Engine 4.

And we know that the hardware tweaking is true from other sources as well. If they're tweaking it for popular engines, you can bet that UE4 is on their minds right now.
Again, how it'll pan out is unknown, but right now, I have no reason to doubt it, especially with the way Nintendo has been acting.
 

Oddduck

Member
Hey, have to give third parties their "chance" again. God forbid Ninty have a major franchise at launch, resulting in third parties having a big cry about it...

This is what I pretty much expect.

I think Nintendo will hope that exclusive Wii U games like Dragon Quest X, Killer Freaks, and Lego City Stories will make up for the lack of bigger first party games not being ready for launch.

But I do expect Pikmin and Retro's game at launch. I have this hunch feeling. Also something from NST or Monster Games.
 

test_account

XP-39C²
I'm not saying that it's definite, but that doesn't mean UE4 won't be optimized for the Wii U. It seems to only state that the UE3 can do more than what the Zelda demo displayed.
Sure, i'm not trying to say otherwise. I was just curious if there had been any words on UE4 support for the WiiU since all i've seen is talk about UE3. We know for sure that UE3 support will come.


And we know that the hardware tweaking is true from other sources as well. If they're tweaking it for popular engines, you can bet that UE4 is on their minds right now.
Again, how it'll pan out is unknown, but right now, I have no reason to doubt it, especially with the way Nintendo has been acting.
I see, thanks. Yes, i think it is key for Nintendo regarding 3rd party support to have UE4 runing on their system. Well, at least it is important.
 

BurntPork

Banned
This is what I pretty much expect.

I think Nintendo will hope that exclusive Wii U games like Dragon Quest X, Killer Freaks, and Lego City Stories will make up for the lack of bigger first party games not being ready for launch.

But I do expect Pikmin and Retro's game at launch. I have this hunch feeling. Also something from NST or Monster Games.

Are we still pretending that there's a chance of that being good?

Sorry, I just have no faith in Ubisoft. Plus, it's B-level shooter. It won't sell systems.
 

Linkhero1

Member
Honestly if GTA V, RE6, etc. are announced for the Wii U and come out around launch time that would be insane. I don't like some of these games but that would be insane.

Has Square Enix stated that DQ X will be a launch title for the Wii U?

Sure, i'm not trying to say otherwise. I was just curious if there had been any words on UE4 support for the WiiU since all i've seen is talk about UE3. We know for sure that UE3 support will come.

We'll find out at E3. Hopefully UE4 runs without a hitch.
 

Oddduck

Member
On what basis? There is zero basis to expect them at launch. Pikmin may be a launch window title but expecting anything at launch is like playing the lottery.

Well I said it's a hunch. I don't have any real evidence that they will be at launch.

Miyamoto said this about Pikmin 3: "Originally, I was making Pikmin 3 to be launched on the Wii platform."

That doesn't mean it will be a launch title for Wii U. But what it tells me is that Miyamoto wants Pikmin 3 to launch with any Nintendo console to show off the console's features.
 

axisofweevils

Holy crap! Today's real megaton is that more than two people can have the same first name.
The way to avoid the "waiting for a price drop" thing....

Announce that the first consoles will have a free game included at launch. But after 2 months, you have to buy it....
 
Are we still pretending that there's a chance of that being good?

Sorry, I just have no faith in Ubisoft. Plus, it's B-level shooter. It won't sell systems.
It has a better chance than Red Steel did, at least.
Honestly if GTA V, RE6, etc. are announced for the Wii U and come out around launch time that would be insane. I don't like some of these games but that would be insane.

Has Square Enix stated that DQ X will be a launch title for the Wii U?



We'll find out at E3. Hopefully UE4 runs without a hitch.

If it is, it won't be at the Western launch.
 

Deguello

Member
I think a new IP is prudent for launch, but I hesitate to be optimistic about its chances. I still remember how Pikmin was treated when it came out, in the burgeoning days of televised video game reviews.

Par exemple.
 

guek

Banned
Terrible sales? This is pretty standard in electronics. Sony sold the ps2 at a loss at a premium price. Even Apple did this with the Iphone when they released it.(sold it at a premium price). You milk the early adopters early on and eventually broaden out down the line. Rarely you go after the mass market right away. I even remember people being surprised the wii's launch price since there were rumors of it being $199. I wouldn't be shocked if that was the original price, but Nintendo sold it at $249 because they knew they could get away with it early on.

Both of the examples you give are exactly what I'm talking about. The loss leader strategy is also not standard in electronics. That doesn't make a lick of sense. The only reason it's become common in phones and consoles is because those devices are heavily monetized platforms for software and subscription plans for phones (and in the case of consoles, such a business model is not all that profitable either. Gamecube made a little less money for nintendo than PS2 did for Sony for example). You don't see stereos, displays, and cameras selling at a loss because that wouldn't make anybody any money.

Anyway, going back to the PS2 and iphone, the PS2 at least went after the mass market from day 1. PS2 had a built in dvd player, which was in incredible high demand at the time, and launched at $300. Cheap? Not really. But it wasn't outrageously expensive either, and DVD playback had huge casual appeal. It was a 2 in 1 product riding off the back of the immensely popular PS1. The 360 tard pack in comparison was identically priced but had virtually no mass market appeal and was quickly discontinued. That's what I'm talking about. It goes beyond just price and tech, you have to marry that effectively with mass market appeal. That's exactly what the Wii U and all future consoles should be striving for, and unlike in 2000, bleeding edge tech isn't going to be absolutely necessary to achieve that goal. As for the iphone, it didn't necessarily explode out of the gate, and surveys suggested that only the incredibly affluent were able to pick it up. It wasn't until the device went down in price (coupled with long term phone contracts) and it gained cultural appeal that it really morphed into the behemoth that it is today. There was a huge outcry over the price of the iphone, but that's hard to remember in light of it's market position today.

In short, going after the hardcore and only the hardcore dedicated market is a really dumb idea.

edit: btw, I realized there's a discrepancy in your claim. PS2 sold at a loss while iphone sold at an enormous premium. The top model iphone was FIVE HUNDRED AND NINETY NINE US DOLLARS :p
 
Pikmin 3 has been in developement for a long time, so a launch title is possible.
It also only had a few people working on it forever and a platform switch.
That said, I still think they'll try and work it out near launch.
I think a new IP is prudent for launch, but I hesitate to be optimistic about its chances. I still remember how Pikmin was treated when it came out, in the burgeoning days of reviews.

Par exemple.

I think we'll see a new IP, but it won't be what people expect.
 

HylianTom

Banned
Are we still pretending that there's a chance of that being good?

Sorry, I just have no faith in Ubisoft. Plus, it's B-level shooter. It won't sell systems.

jim%252Bcarrey.jpg


I won't categorically rule it out from being good, but Ubi will have to convince me through good reviews, impressions, etc before I blindly trust again.
 

Akai

Member
Sorry, I just have no faith in Ubisoft. Plus, it's B-level shooter. It won't sell systems.

From that point-of-view, any new IP FPS is destined to be "B-level," which I personally think is a load of crap. Of course, not saying that the game WILL be great, but to say that the possibility isn't there at all is being negative for the sake of being negative. And I also believe that its ability to sell systems lies entirely on just how well UbiSoft markets it to the FPS-loving crowd...
 

nordique

Member
And just to add, don't forget how important effort on a developer's part in with regards to graphical effort.

Don't forget that these games were all on the same system


The worst:

fa.r-cry-vingea.nce-20060921083023893.jpg

934754_20061220_790screen004.jpg

EenWeekjeWii_03.jpg

cruisn-nintendo-wii.jpg

941689_20071212_790screen001.jpg

941689_20071212_screen002.jpg

the-destiny-of-zorro.jpg

screenshot_034-thumb.jpg

quantum-of-solace-20081104042459891.jpg

943775_20071121_790screen003.jpg

call-of-duty-4-modern-warfare-20090819003436865_640w.jpg



And the best:

g.jpg

l_592_333_5E4DD94F-63B9-4B4E-BCC4-C3680A4A5C66.jpeg

cbb38d10dc45cb985bc7357fb210b503.jpg

DS_Extraction_06.jpg

939803_20071113_embed003.jpg

endless-ocean-2-beautiful-ocean-20090602115542342_640w.jpg

02149982-photo-super-mario-galaxy-2.jpg

13906.jpg

sky-crawlers-images-20080905035110469_640w.jpg

metroid-other-m-20090602111600392_640w.jpg

red-steel-2-anticipated-wii-games-q1-2010.jpg

mh316.jpg

image-101.jpg

129890709118_flatout__3_.jpg




*phew*


Sorry for all the pics but just to (more) clearly demonstrate how stark of a difference with similar looking titles can exist on just one platform, due to developer competence/effort/time
 

Plinko

Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
I think the talk in here of Nintendo not releasing a MAJOR 1st-party title at launch is absolutely ludicrous.

They learned with the launch of the 3DS that launching without a title like that is a huge, huge mistake. I highly doubt they do it again.

Again, Pikmin 3 is NOT that main title.

I fully expect something bigger.

My money is on (in order of likelihood):

1) 2D Mario (that somehow connects to the 3DS version)
2) 3D Mario
3) Retro-made Metroid Prime reboot
4) F-Zero

For Nintendo 64, they had Super Mario 64. For Gamecube, they had Luigi's Mansion and Wave Race Blue Storm. The Wii had Zelda: Twilight Princess. 3DS had basically nothing--Steel Diver, a really bad new IP, and Pilotwings Resort, almost a tech demo.
 

Roo

Member
Yet if 3ds showed them one thing, besides the price point, is that they need to have big Nintendo games to launch a console. People don't buy a Nintendo hardware for third parties.

but you're forgetting that Nintendo itself is leaving room FOR third parties at launch.
though I totally understand what you're saying I just don't see Nintendo releasing a big name at launch for obvious
Momma! Nintendo ate my cake, now I don't want to play anymore!!!!!!! -third party excuse-
reasons.

That's why I said I'm expecting "B franchises" at launch, something 3DS lacked till Mario Kart 7 and Super Mario 3D Land were released and tbh, I think that's all Wii U needs from Nintendo to get healty sales at launch.
 
I think the talk in here of Nintendo not releasing a MAJOR 1st-party title at launch is absolutely ludicrous.

They learned with the launch of the 3DS that launching without a title like that is a huge, huge mistake. I highly doubt they do it again.

Again, Pikmin 3 is NOT that main title.

I fully expect something bigger.

My money is on (in order of likelihood):

1) 2D Mario (that somehow connects to the 3DS version)
2) 3D Mario
3) Retro-made Metroid Prime reboot

No, what they learned from the 3DS launch is to not have a system at an exorbitant price with no compelling software period.
They do not NEED a Mario game if they can fill the void with other titles.
Again, saying they NEED a Mario game is saying Nintendo will fail.
Period.
 

Plinko

Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
No, what they learned from the 3DS launch is to not have a system at an exorbitant price with no compelling software period.
They do not NEED a Mario game if they can fill the void with other titles.
Again, saying they NEED a Mario game is saying Nintendo will fail.
Period.

I didn't say they NEED a Mario game in particular. I said they NEED a major 1st-party title. "Major" as in a Zelda, Mario, Metroid, etc.

Also, saying they need a Mario game isn't saying Nintendo will fail--that's an incredibly foolish leap of logic.
 

HylianTom

Banned
Nordique, what an awesome post!

If anything, it reinforces my stance that even a hardware half-step between generations is going to produce some fiiiiiine-lookin' games.

...

And there's a small part of me that is considering not taking the full week off of work for this launch (five day weekend instead, perhaps?). If Pikmin is there, that question instantly goes out the window.
 
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