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Japanese Magazine Talks about Possible War with South Korea

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Deleted member 17706

Unconfirmed Member
An opinion in a magazine doesn't mean much. Elections are coming up soon in Japan, China, and Korea. I'm pretty sure that's the main reason there's so much tension right now. Lee Myung-bak in particular is probably just trying to manufacture conflict to boost his slim chances of getting re-relected. The likelihood of military conflict is very slim, in my opinion. Then again, Noda is holding a press conference today to talk about the disputed islands with Korea and explain Japan's position. It will be interesting to see what he says, assuming it's anything more than "deeply regrettable."
 

BocoDragon

or, How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Realize This Assgrab is Delicious
The real reason Japan wants to keep the damn rocks is because of fishing rights, yes? Anyone have a clue what the price tag is on that?
 
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Deleted member 17706

Unconfirmed Member
ROK would wipe the floor with Japan.

I think you're underestimating the SDF if you think they would "wipe the floor" with Japan. Korea obviously has superior manpower, but that's not necessarily the most important element. Do you think China would wipe the floor with the USA because they have a much larger military?
 

numble

Member
I think you're underestimating the SDF if you think they would "wipe the floor" with Japan. Korea obviously has superior manpower, but that's not necessarily the most important element. Do you think China would wipe the floor with the USA because they have a much larger military?
He's probably not referring to manpower. You just created a strawman.
 

Blackace

if you see me in a fight with a bear, don't help me fool, help the bear!
The real reason Japan wants to keep the damn rocks is because of fishing rights, yes? Anyone have a clue what the price tag is on that?

Pride... Japan is a small small country with a lot of pride..

They arent really there anyways think Korea's coast gaurd is stationed there..

The small island China is trying to claim has fish and oil...
 
An opinion in a magazine doesn't mean much. Elections are coming up soon in Japan, China, and Korea. I'm pretty sure that's the main reason there's so much tension right now. Lee Myung-bak in particular is probably just trying to manufacture conflict to boost his slim chances of getting re-relected. The likelihood of military conflict is very slim, in my opinion. Then again, Noda is holding a press conference today to talk about the disputed islands with Korea and explain Japan's position. It will be interesting to see what he says, assuming it's anything more than "deeply regrettable."

The SK presidency is one term I believe. However, I wouldn't be surprised if his party is becoming more assertive for the electorate. I know shamefully little about their politics.

Japan, or more specifically, Ishihara, is the cause for the newly inflamed Senkaku row as far as I can tell due to his promise to use Tokyo funds to purchase them from the current private owners, and that has nothing to do with an election as Ishihara recently won a new term. Besides, this is perfectly consistent with his genuine attitude.
 

Blackace

if you see me in a fight with a bear, don't help me fool, help the bear!
But is that the general idea only with mouths instead of hands, or is it something different, lol?

Pretty sure you get to see what you pay for... But wouldn't know first hand
 

Hari Seldon

Member
I think you're underestimating the SDF if you think they would "wipe the floor" with Japan. Korea obviously has superior manpower, but that's not necessarily the most important element. Do you think China would wipe the floor with the USA because they have a much larger military?

I think the ROK armed forces are a superior military force not even considering numbers.
 

BocoDragon

or, How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Realize This Assgrab is Delicious
Pride... Japan is a small small country with a lot of pride..

They arent really there anyways think Korea's coast gaurd is stationed there..

The small island China is trying to claim has fish and oil...

And same with Korea. Perhaps even moreso!

So of course I know this is a nationalism/pride/competition-with-number-1-rival thing... but I was just wondering what the actual monetary loss would be if Japan gave it up (or Korea gained it).

I know Dokdo is functionally controlled by SK, but I assumed Japan was still allowed to fish in the waters that Takeshima (Dokdo) would award them...? Perhaps not....?

Is there a hidden reason to care about this rock aside from pride?
 

Dyno

Member
The overall validity of the OP is something I can't comment on but the core issue is very real and is going to happen: rescource wars.

Those small and medium sized countries are going to be the first to feel the pinch and if they have no colonial programs in place (like China in various African countries) then they're going to have to pay through the nose just to maintain their quality of life.

There are only two options in this scenario. You join a protectorate and in essence become a vassal state to a greater power in hopes of getting doled out your share, or you get into the game of conquest.

This is why South Korea and Japan can conceivably be snarling over a rock in the middle of the ocean that nobody gave a damn about a few decades ago.
 
D

Deleted member 17706

Unconfirmed Member
He's probably not referring to manpower. You just created a strawman.

Possibly? He didn't specify his reason. I (possibly wrongfully) assumed he meant manpower, since that's the biggest objectively superior thing the South Korean military has going for it.
 

OnkelC

Hail to the Chef
rokfemalespecialforcesrw2.jpg


That lion is a Special Forces patch.
No tits squadron?
 

ChiTownBuffalo

Either I made up lies about the Boston Bomber or I fell for someone else's crap. Either way, I have absolutely no credibility and you should never pay any attention to anything I say, no matter what the context. Perm me if I claim to be an insider
Possibly? He didn't specify his reason. I (possibly wrongfully) assumed he meant manpower, since that's the biggest objectively superior thing the South Korean military has going for it.

The ROK army culture is more set towards aggression than the JDSF. The readiness of troops who are all trained for imminent combat because it borders the DPRK leads to a very different type of readiness mentality to a nation that is regulated to a self defense force.

Also, ROK army would have more leadership with combat experience than the JDSF.

I'm also wondering about civilian citizenship readiness. Not just the reserves, but how often does Japan conduct civil readiness drills? Japan has a higher population by far, which does mean they would have more ad hoc troops available.
 

BocoDragon

or, How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Realize This Assgrab is Delicious
The overall validity of the OP is something I can't comment on but the core issue is very real and is going to happen: rescource wars.

Those small and medium sized countries are going to be the first to feel the pinch and if they have no colonial programs in place (like China in various African countries) then they're going to have to pay through the nose just to maintain their quality of life.

There are only two options in this scenario. You join a protectorate and in essence become a vassal state to a greater power in hopes of getting doled out your share, or you get into the game of conquest.

This is why South Korea and Japan can conceivably be snarling over a rock in the middle of the ocean that nobody gave a damn about a few decades ago.

While there is some sliver of fishing resources attached to this claim, the fight over Dokdo really has nothing to do with resource pressure and everything to do with with culture, politics and national rivalry.

Koreans have a notorious rivalry with Japan and Dokdo is the button they push repeatedly to play the game.
 

Dyno

Member
The ROK army culture is more set towards aggression than the JDSF. The readiness of troops who are all trained for imminent combat because it borders the DPRK leads to a very different type of readiness mentality to a nation that is regulated to a self defense force.

Also, ROK army would have more leadership with combat experience than the JDSF.

I'm also wondering about civilian citizenship readiness. Not just the reserves, but how often does Japan conduct civil readiness drills? Japan has a higher population by far, which does mean they would have more ad hoc troops available.

Plus, you know, U.S. battleships and the odd aircraft carrier in Japanese harbours along with thousands of U.S. troops on any given day.
 

ChiTownBuffalo

Either I made up lies about the Boston Bomber or I fell for someone else's crap. Either way, I have absolutely no credibility and you should never pay any attention to anything I say, no matter what the context. Perm me if I claim to be an insider
Plus, you know, U.S. battleships and the odd aircraft carrier in Japanese harbours along with thousands of U.S. troops on any given day.

We're removing US armed forces as a factor in the heads up war between the two.

Which is why I'm also leaving out the crazy cousins up north as well.
 

ChiTownBuffalo

Either I made up lies about the Boston Bomber or I fell for someone else's crap. Either way, I have absolutely no credibility and you should never pay any attention to anything I say, no matter what the context. Perm me if I claim to be an insider

tino

Banned
I purpose each country send 1 person to the island to decide the ownership of the island

China: Jackie Chan
Japan: Beat Takeshi
Russia: Fedor
Korea: some K-pop group
 

ChiTownBuffalo

Either I made up lies about the Boston Bomber or I fell for someone else's crap. Either way, I have absolutely no credibility and you should never pay any attention to anything I say, no matter what the context. Perm me if I claim to be an insider
I purpose each country send 1 person to the island to decide the ownership of the island

China: Jackie Chan
Japan: Beat Takeshi
Russia: Fedor
Korea: some K-pop group

Wow.

None of them are real fighters.

/troll
 
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Deleted member 17706

Unconfirmed Member
The ROK army culture is more set towards aggression than the JDSF. The readiness of troops who are all trained for imminent combat because it borders the DPRK leads to a very different type of readiness mentality to a nation that is regulated to a self defense force.

Also, ROK army would have more leadership with combat experience than the JDSF.

I'm also wondering about civilian citizenship readiness. Not just the reserves, but how often does Japan conduct civil readiness drills? Japan has a higher population by far, which does mean they would have more ad hoc troops available.

I'd be very surprised if the SDF thinks of itself as just a self defense force. They are Japan's military and consist of a 100% volunteer force. I think it would be perilous for Korea to underestimate them based on "readiness mentality." I'm sure the Korean military isn't dumb, though.

Either way, a conflict would never happen without involving the U.S. since it has military bases in both countries, is a strong ally to both, and does joint practice operations with both, too.
 

Blackace

if you see me in a fight with a bear, don't help me fool, help the bear!
Plus, you know, U.S. battleships and the odd aircraft carrier in Japanese harbours along with thousands of U.S. troops on any given day.

The GW isn't a part of the JSDF..
 

Blackace

if you see me in a fight with a bear, don't help me fool, help the bear!
I'd be very surprised if the SDF thinks of itself as just a self defense force. They are Japan's military and consist of a 100% volunteer force. I think it would be perilous for Korea to underestimate them based on "readiness mentality." I'm sure the Korean military isn't dumb, though.

Either way, a conflict would never happen without involving the U.S. since it has military bases in both countries, is a strong ally to both, and does joint practice operations with both, too.

The JSDF still trains in a very defensive way... They have zero long range capabilities at this point
 

Dyno

Member
We're removing US armed forces as a factor in the heads up war between the two.

Which is why I'm also leaving out the crazy cousins up north as well.

Can you really do that though? Because they wouldn't go at it mano a mano.

Up top you said NK would jump in uninvited and I definitely think you're right. By the same token the U.S. would never allow Japanese soil to be even touched in such a conflict. It's strategic importance in the region is huge and they have way too much hardware to risk in a strike.
 
D

Deleted member 17706

Unconfirmed Member
The JSDF still trains in a very defensive way... They have zero long range capabilities at this point

Oh, I don't think Japan would actually try to invade Korea. The conflict would probably be restricted to Takeshima/Dokdo if it happened at all. I just don't see how it could escalate further than that with the U.S. intervening.
 

ChiTownBuffalo

Either I made up lies about the Boston Bomber or I fell for someone else's crap. Either way, I have absolutely no credibility and you should never pay any attention to anything I say, no matter what the context. Perm me if I claim to be an insider
Can you really do that though? Because they wouldn't go at it mano a mano.

Up top you said NK would jump in uninvited and I definitely think you're right. By the same token the U.S. would never allow Japanese soil to be even touched in such a conflict. It's strategic importance in the region is huge and they have way too much hardware to risk in a strike.

I mean, if we are going to go by historic traits, Japan would invade. Because that's what they've done. And given how both militaries are set up. That would be tactically disadvantageous for Japan. The JDSF's current TOE doesn't have any significant amphibious landing capability.

However, if Korea would invade, I think they would have a much harder time getting boots on the ground. However, once they do. I don't feel the JDSF is a match for ROK ground forces.
 

ChiTownBuffalo

Either I made up lies about the Boston Bomber or I fell for someone else's crap. Either way, I have absolutely no credibility and you should never pay any attention to anything I say, no matter what the context. Perm me if I claim to be an insider
You are missing the point. Were the students in Battle Royal fighters?

Why are Russia and China involved then?

They have no stake in Dokdo/Takeshima.
 

Blackace

if you see me in a fight with a bear, don't help me fool, help the bear!
Can you really do that though? Because they wouldn't go at it mano a mano.

Up top you said NK would jump in uninvited and I definitely think you're right. By the same token the U.S. would never allow Japanese soil to be even touched in such a conflict. It's strategic importance in the region is huge and they have way too much hardware to risk in a strike.

US foreign policy in Asia has shifted quite a bit in the last few years... Already the US is getting ready to pull all the way out of Okinawa, something that would have never happened in the 80s 90s or 00s...

But I think people are just comparing the two countries military might not trying to write a Tom Clancy novel
 

Blackace

if you see me in a fight with a bear, don't help me fool, help the bear!
Oh, I don't think Japan would actually try to invade Korea. The conflict would probably be restricted to Takeshima/Dokdo if it happened at all. I just don't see how it could escalate further than that with the U.S. intervening.

Long range strike capabilities would be needed in any kind of offensive war
 
Well, since it seems that it might be inevitable...
*Puts on top-hat*
War! War, everyone! Get your tickets and place your bets! The most glorious imbecilic conflagration since WWI is about to begin!
 

ChiTownBuffalo

Either I made up lies about the Boston Bomber or I fell for someone else's crap. Either way, I have absolutely no credibility and you should never pay any attention to anything I say, no matter what the context. Perm me if I claim to be an insider
Just don't fuck up H-Mart. Where else am I going to get my Maxim coffee? And prices for Chocopies are horrible at 99 Ranch.

Mom snd Pop Korean grocers and you flirt with the daughter for a free box of Choco Pies.
 

ChiTownBuffalo

Either I made up lies about the Boston Bomber or I fell for someone else's crap. Either way, I have absolutely no credibility and you should never pay any attention to anything I say, no matter what the context. Perm me if I claim to be an insider
That wouldn't make a good movie.

Actually Beat Takeshi vs K-Pop is a good enough premise, I wilk take it.

It's going to degenerate into the KPop members bugging him about his "secret" Korean heritage or something. Boring.
 
If somehow that did ever happen, as much as I love Japan id have to say the US(if it has to be involved) should side with South Korea.
North Korea would probably jump at the first chance after South Korea is attacked.

Will never happen though.
 

Kuro Madoushi

Unconfirmed Member
Of course, if the war does happen between two countries, China will most likely claim whatever is leftover from this war.

Awfully inflammatory remarks considering you have NO evidence to back this up.

I don't believe this island is going to case an East Asian war. More saber rattling than anything else.
 
I don't know, I think the country not allowed to have an army by international law might have the edge over the country where every man is forced to be in the military... (lol)

You know what's funny? There are some Emperor-Tier Weeaboos out there that would try to argue it, I'd wager.

This will be a Maritime war, as in a war were the Navies and Airforce square off. From my knowledge Japan has the best Navy in all of East Asia and possible the whole of Asia, their Air force might be comparable so it comes down to what country has better trained pilots. In a land war ROK will demolish Japan but unfortunately a war with Japans navy will have ROK feeling the hammer.


JSDF Martime Forces:

45,800 personnel. 69 ships.

ROK Navy:

68,000 personnel. 170 ships.

Plus, 27,700 personnel in the ROKMC.


JSDF Airforce:

45,000 Personnel

424 Combat aircraft

ROK Airforce:

65,000 personnel

487 Combat Aircraft

Quality over Quantity my friend. Last i checked Japan had 6 Aegis destroyers (some of the most advance destroyers), ROK had 2. The Soryu class submarine that was introduced to the JMSDF is widely considered the be one of the best conventional subs out there, its also the biggest conventional sub out there i believe.
 
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