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Atheism vs Theism |OT|

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V_Arnold

Member
That's the thing though, a God in any shape doesn't add a single thing to the universe aside from validation for believers. If a great omnipotent being was necessary for the universe, I might believe it the same way I'm tentatively believing in the string theory.

Only it would still not be true, just as I cant with hand on heart say that the string theory is anything but neat.

But I don't hold the God entity in that position because it is as mentioned unnecessary.

Thanks for bringing this up before I had to. I find it absolutely fascinating that String theory is almost considered a fringe thing just because it seems so "out there" compared to other fields of science. Almost crazy.

If I were rich, I would bet INSANE amounts of money with many people that String theory will make them eat their HATS in the span of 15-40 years. I would bet all my money away. All of it.
 

Ashes

Banned
So stating I am the abrahamic god is unreasonable? So you are assuming my statement rings hollow? Quite the assumption based on absolutely no evidence on your part.

Ha ha. Atheists arguing for no evidence necessary for some claims for something to be reasonable.
 
Thanks for bringing this up before I had to. I find it absolutely fascinating that String theory is almost considered a fringe thing just because it seems so "out there" compared to other fields of science. Almost crazy.

If I were rich, I would bet INSANE amounts of money with many people that String theory will make them eat their HATS in the span of 15-40 years. I would bet all my money away. All of it.
It's a neat explanation, but until we have proof for it it remains nothing more than a neat hypothesis.
Unlike the God hypothesis, you can actually test string theory to a degree and hopefully I'll live to see that.
 

televator

Member
Also, if the burden of proof is on a person making a claim, and athiests aren't making claim, how are 'some' athiests 99% certain that god doesn't exist?

To me, it depends on what kind of god we're talking about. I can be a gnostic or agnostic atheist depending on how god is defined.

For the record though atheism really doesn't make a claim. Or rather, a claim can't be assumed about it. It broadly describes the absence of belief. It's up to the individual to account for whether or not that absence is derived from a claim or not -- if there ever is a claim for that individual to put forth.
 
Have you heard what simplicio had to say on the matter?
Perhaps you will have to enlighten me. But relatedly, maybe, my understanding was that the universe can be observed on the infinitely large and infinitesimally small scales, and the relationships we can derive between its constituent variables--ratios that we can calculate even with our feeble human faculties--will hold true (like laws), no matter at what "magnification" we observe the phenomena. As such, I view the universe as an equation of sorts. But anyway, forgive my tangent. (I was assuming that "Simplicio's" argument was that we may not be observing everything needed to make a conclusion.)
 

iapetus

Scary Euro Man
Huh. What was the discussion about? Do we at least agree that the burden of proof for the existence of God is on the person making the claim he does exist?

The burden of proof for the existence of God (or otherwise) is on the person making claims about that. If I claim that God exists, the burden of proof is on me. If I claim that God does not exist, the burden of proof is on me. What claim I am making is irrelevant.

Also, if the burden of proof is on a person making a claim, and athiests aren't making claim, how are 'some' athiests 99% certain that god doesn't exist?

Isn't the neutral/default answer that we don't know?

Some atheists are making a claim. But there's a very rational atheist position that doesn't involve making such a claim, and most atheists in this sort of discussion are likely to hold that position in my experience; that while the existence or otherwise of a given God may be impossible to prove either way, unless there is any evidence to suggest that they do, it's best to work on the assumption that they don't. Not claiming explicitly that God doesn't exist; just selecting a default behaviour on the basis of a lack of evidence.

Strong atheists, who hold the position that God does not exist, have a burden of proof on them which they tend not to meet any more than their theist friends.

Any atheist who talks in terms of percentage likelihood of God existing without showing their working deserves a slap. Anyone who claims for a second that since either God exists or God doesn't exist that percentage is 50% deserves a follow-up punch.

They're not really illogical /irrational though, they just don't necessarily vibe with our intuition.

But there's the problem; how do we determine which seemingly illogical/irrational things are illogical/irrational, and which are fully logical but don't match with our current understanding?
 
"God done it" as an answer to everything is a pretty parsimonious explanation.
I actually had that in mind when I wrote that, but I would disagree since it is not the most parsimonious (given that a lot of assumptions are packed into the statement) and logical explanation (given what humankind knows through empiricism). And if we start redefining logic, then I suppose anything goes and arguing it is pointless! :p
 

iapetus

Scary Euro Man
I actually had that in mind when I wrote that, but I would disagree since it is not the most parsimonious and logical explanation (given what humankind knows through empiricism). And if we start redefining logic, then I suppose anything goes and arguing it is pointless! :p

It can account for everything in our system of logic, though. An omnipotent God has the ability to redefine logic or to make our application of it repeatably faulty.

Either way, we have to reject any system that makes that the default answer, so we place more constraints on our principle of parsimony so that it can't send us back to God every time we want an explanation.
 

iapetus

Scary Euro Man
I'd also like to make it clear that "the burden of proof" assumes that both parties require knowledge (or at least the claim of knowledge) for the basis of belief. In the case where one person does and the other does not, there really is no conversation to be had.

Can you give an example? I'm not convinced that changes the burden - either you're changing the claim to one that doesn't require proof or you're just saying that you won't provide proof in that case, surely?
 

hym

Banned
"If God is omniscient then how is its omnipotence able to create free will, furthermore it has no free will so how is it omnipotent."

I cringe so hard at the omnipotence/omnipresence linguistic bullshit, though. The only thing these two words prove is that it is very easy to create paradoxes. "If God can do everything, why cant he create a rock that even he cant move? HUH? WHAT ABOUT THAT, MAN?"

Paradoxes are fun, that is about it.
Does that mean you're admitting humans attached those labels making that definition purely conjecture or do you argue for a God with those attributes outside of reality on which our logic does not apply?

Either way would be an agreement with my reasoning that it can't be humanly defined.

This is semantics really not some silly wordplay, the moment you correctly assign an attribute to God would in my opinion stop making it a God.
In a funny way Religion is the destruction of God, if I was God I would be greatly annoyed by it, crediting some imaginary douche with my scheme.
 
It can account for everything in our system of logic, though. An omnipotent God has the ability to redefine logic or to make our application of it repeatably faulty.

Either way, we have to reject any system that makes that the default answer, so we place more constraints on our principle of parsimony so that it can't send us back to God every time we want an explanation.
You would first need to logically explain how this aforementioned omnipotent god exists, however. For it to be parsimonious, it need not only be the least contrived conclusion, but also be contextually rational. The statement would only be parsimonious if this god was proven to exist, and was also proven to meet our standards of omnipotence. Otherwise, we could just as easily attribute everything to the work of a powerful demon.
I'd also like to make it clear that "the burden of proof" assumes that both parties require knowledge (or at least the claim of knowledge) for the basis of belief. In the case where one person does and the other does not, there really is no conversation to be had.
And lo, this thread was born regardless!
 

V_Arnold

Member
Does that mean you're admitting humans attached those labels making that definition purely conjecture or do you argue for a God with those attributes outside of reality on which our logic does not apply?

Either way would be an agreement with my reasoning that it can't be humanly defined.

This is semantics really not some silly wordplay, the moment you correctly assign an attribute to God would in my opinion stop making it a God.
In a funny way Religion is the destruction of God, if I was God I would be greatly annoyed by it, crediting some imaginary douche with my scheme.

I am arguing that paradoxes are as real as our underwear. Our brain will still try to make sense of everything even when provided with conflicting inputs, but that does not mean that something and its opposite cant be BOTH true at the same time here. It is just hard to comprehend that for us.

And that semantics only apply to a concept where God is this "all-powerful, all-present, all-mysterious being". Where everything is a constant mystery, with new, ever-expanding mysteries lying behind all discoveries, being all-mysterious is just not that big of a deal.

You would first need to logically explain how this aforementioned omnipotent god exists, however. For it to be parsimonious, it need not only be the least contrived conclusion, but also be contextually rational. The statement would only be parsimonious if this god was proven to exist, and was also proven to meet our standards of omnipotence. Otherwise, we could just as easily attribute everything to the work of a powerful demon.

All we need now is Occam's Razor in this party, and we will all be cut out of the equation, since life is apparently more improbable than this whole universe just being rocks and burning fuel scattered aroun in a vast field :p
 

Kinitari

Black Canada Mafia
"If God is omniscient then how is its omnipotence able to create free will, furthermore it has no free will so how is it omnipotent."

I cringe so hard at the omnipotence/omnipresence linguistic bullshit, though. The only thing these two words prove is that it is very easy to create paradoxes. "If God can do everything, why cant he create a rock that even he cant move? HUH? WHAT ABOUT THAT, MAN?"

Paradoxes are fun, that is about it.

It's not about linguistic bullshit - depending on the religious claims made by people, the characteristics they ascribe to their particular God often times conflicts directly with some particular beliefs. So obviously, anyone who is critical/sceptical will point this out.

It's not 'evidence against God' or anything, but it is evidence of bad storytelling.
 
All we need now is Occam's Razor in this party, and we will all be cut out of the equation, since life is apparently more improbable than this whole universe just being rocks and burning fuel scattered aroun in a vast field :p
I think that, technically, that was Occam's Razor... But in any case, the evolution of life (from inorganic matter) has already been shown to be quite probable . ;)
It's not 'evidence against God' or anything, but it is evidence of bad storytelling.
I'm starting to think that the root of most arguments is miscommunication, misunderstanding, and misrepresentation of the opponent's position.
 

V_Arnold

Member
It's not about linguistic bullshit - depending on the religious claims made by people, the characteristics they ascribe to their particular God often times conflicts directly with some particular beliefs. So obviously, anyone who is critical/sceptical will point this out.

It's not 'evidence against God' or anything, but it is evidence of bad storytelling.

Well, I would say that the "common folk" is not the brightest one when it comes to storytelling - and I would love to be able to say that our civilization has improved so much since 2200bc, but when I look at the way our majority is still easily being decieved by empty rhetorics, fear-based tactics, bullshit advertisements and dead simple literature/movies, I just shut up.

But I also would not say that the complexity of the Bible equals that of a Vajrayana Buddhist sutra.
 

Nocebo

Member
I'm starting to think that the root of most arguments is miscommunication, misunderstanding, and misrepresentation of the opponent's position.
And willful ignorance?
Well, I would say that the "common folk" is not the brightest one when it comes to storytelling - and I would love to be able to say that our civilization has improved so much since 2200bc, but when I look at the way our majority is still easily being decieved by empty rhetorics, fear-based tactics, bullshit advertisements and dead simple literature/movies, I just shut up.
We're still the same animal after all.
 

iapetus

Scary Euro Man
You would first need to logically explain how this aforementioned omnipotent god exists, however. For it to be parsimonious, it need not only be the least contrived conclusion, but also be contextually rational. The statement would only be parsimonious if this god was proven to exist, and was also proven to meet our standards of omnipotence. Otherwise, we could just as easily attribute everything to the work of a powerful demon.
And lo, this thread was born regardless!

When you're dealing with things at that level, 'God' is functionally equivalent to 'FSM', 'powerful demon', 'EviLore the Almighty' or any other entity of equivalent power you want to posit. There's no choosing between them.

Many principles of parsimony don't actually specify anything of the sort you describe; they're at a very simple level of multiplication of entities or the suchlike. The further you get from that sort of simplicity, the more you're pushing in a direction that appeals increasingly to our preconceptions.

The idea that God has to be proven to exist for this explanation to be parsimonious is flawed. Principles like this are used to develop hypotheses; requiring proof of the hypothesis before we generate it isn't practical.
 
The idea that God has to be proven to exist for this explanation to be parsimonious is flawed. Principles like this are used to develop hypotheses; requiring proof of the hypothesis before we generate it isn't practical.
But if we haven't yet observed or proved the presence of a god yet, then our claim is not useful to us. We can't develop a hypothesis using phenomena we haven't observed. In that case, we're aiming for reductionism with a dash of speculation rather than simplicity. I'm arguing for the simplest probable explanation.
And willful ignorance?
We are all ignorant, and not always willfully, unfortunately.
 

iapetus

Scary Euro Man
But if we haven't yet observed or proved the presence of a god yet, then our claim is not useful to us. We can't develop a hypothesis using phenomena we haven't observed.

So we have to reject all hypotheses that relate to phenomena we haven't observed? That's going to set the development of our scientific understanding back a long way. :p

The observation is in the results we're trying to explain. The explanation may (and frequently does) posit new phenomena. The difference between the way this is applied in practice and the way it's applied in the 'God done it' model is that the former requires that the output is parsimonious and testable.
 

remist

Member
I find the Christian God to be an artifical construct, created from fear, feed with fear, sustained with fear and violence. Atheists can argue whether it "exists" physicall or not, but it is a being that represents many bad deeds. And on a personal level, it has a smaller (imho smaller, christians might argue with me about this) positive potential as well for helping individuals with addictions and hopeless situations. I think that it all depends on personal preference, cause I could not relate to that too much.

Highly "probable" for me are the existence of "beings" that describe our existence as either:
a. People are like cells in the body of a higher being, the higher being experiencing this life through us, with us, by us, not "commanding" us in a direct sense
(Just like when we say "I am", we really are not, our billions and billions of cell are, then they are not, then they are again, and so on, and so on.)
b. The "Creator" of this particular plane started it with a thought, set out the rules or let the rules be, and then observes from the point of view of EVERYTHING how this unfolds. Which would allow for a "godless" experience if we go with the strict godlike figures
c. Beings exist simultaneously with us, but not on the same physical plane as we are able to percieve, and once we were able to make a connection with these planes, more or less, but as our collective consciousness became more rigid, it is no longer possible to perform certain things that would have otherwise been claimed to be easily done. Etc. We might rediscover all this with scientific progress, at which point it would no longer be considered bullshit, but it would be very embarassing for today's hardest atheists and theists as well, imho :D

There are many non-mainstream and several more famous religions/spiritual belief systems that have one of these elements, do not want you to do destroy your reasoning, and can be really good food for thought even for someone who otherwise just deals with only strictly materialist things in his/her everyday life. Dismissing these, for me, equals with throwing out the baby with the washwater.

Do you claim that there is evidence that such "beings" exist or merely that it is not improbable. Do you not have to have some suspension of reason or faith in order to affirmatively believe in these types of supernatural beings?

Also I'm curious what specific examples you would say fit these criteria.
 
So we have to reject all hypotheses that relate to phenomena we haven't observed? That's going to set the development of our scientific understanding back a long way. :p

The observation is in the results we're trying to explain. The explanation may (and frequently does) posit new phenomena.
No. But hypotheses that are not backed up by sufficient evidence fall apart. (The evidence, in this case, being the data gathered from observations.) I have yet to see anywhere in the scientific community where that isn't the case. Unsubstantiated hypotheses are in the realm of speculation.
The difference between the way this is applied in practice and the way it's applied in the 'God done it' model is that the former requires that the output is parsimonious and testable.
In the scientific application of parsimonious principles, it does need to be testable, yes, which is what I have been arguing. I'm not even sure what we're arguing anymore.
 

iapetus

Scary Euro Man
No. But hypotheses that are not backed up by sufficient evidence fall apart. (The evidence, in this case, being the data gathered from observations.) I have yet to see anywhere in the scientific community where that isn't the case. Unsubstantiated hypotheses are in the realm of speculation.

Most hypotheses begin as unsubstantiated ones, of course. Some continue for a reasonably long time in that form; some would put string theory in that category.

In the scientific application of parsimonious principles, it does need to be testable, yes, which is what I have been arguing.

I don't think you have, though it may be what you meant to argue. :)
 
Most hypotheses begin as unsubstantiated ones, of course. Some continue for a reasonably long time in that form; some would put string theory in that category.

I don't think you have, though it may be what you meant to argue. :)
I disagree, unless you have a very different definition of unsubstantiated. But feel free to keep misconstruing what I have been saying.
 

Erigu

Member
There are so many different religions that I find this sweeping statement quite irrational. Not every religion has a bearded, angry old man shouting from the skies.
Can you think of even one religion that's likely to be factual?

If you REALLY value your beloved science, you shut up about these beings "absolutely, one hundred percent not exisiting", and go on with your life, making an educated guess - but not a complete dismissal.
I value my (short) life a bit too much not to dismiss kittens in the center of the moon and the like.
 

iapetus

Scary Euro Man
I disagree, unless you have a very different definition of unsubstantiated. But feel free to keep misconstruing what I have been saying.

You might want to say it better, then.

A hypothesis is a proposed explanation for a phenomenon. The requirement for it to be a hypothesis is that it is a possible explanation for that phenomenon. And also, since we're looking at things scientifically and we've agreed this is necessary, that it's testable (and therefore probably predictive). Other than that, it's unsubstantiated; there is no evidence at this point that it is the cause of the phenomenon, just that it could explain it. It's using it to make predictions and testing those predictions that substantiates it.

Which part of the definition do you disagree with?
 

Soodanim

Gold Member
Blind dismissal is irrational if your dogma is peer reviewed studies and evidence. To not see this clearly is a sign of zealotry.
If you REALLY value your beloved science, you shut up about these beings "absolutely, one hundred percent not exisiting", and go on with your life, making an educated guess - but not a complete dismissal.

I think the Christopher Hitchens quote says it well enough: “That which can be asserted without evidence can be dismissed without evidence.”
 

iapetus

Scary Euro Man
I think the Christopher Hitchens quote says it well enough: “That which can be asserted without evidence can be dismissed without evidence.”

Hitchens is (not for the first time) wrong. Or at least this interpretation of him is.

That assertion that is made without evidence can be dismissed without evidence.

The fact that an assertion has been made without evidence doesn't mean that no evidence is required to state the opposite of that assertion. It just means the assertion itself is invalid.
 
Seems like the discussion has again (as it almost always does) come down to the difference between the god definitions that people have actually been proposing for thousands of years, and codified in numerous dozens of major religions currently believed by billions of people, with thoughts and feelings and emotions, and especially concerned with the behaviors of human beings...

...and the vague, open-ended, nothing-really-said-but-it-sounds-pretty-and-meaningful-I-guess god definitions that are slyly substituted in when the obvious flaws in the former definition is pointed out. So you get one group of folks who are thinking of the former when talking about "God", and another group of folks who are thinking of the latter when talking about "God", and ultimately end up talking past each other.

There's also a tendency to see the former definition as so unserious and "obviously fake", that we should of course elevate ourselves above such base and unsophisticated claims about God, and any atheist who focuses on it is attacking a silly strawman. Yet the "obviously fake" god claims are the ones that the vast majority of people actually believe in. After all, if a large amount of people are gonna believe in a God, they're more likely to believe in one that actually does shit. I'd wager there's a reason that deism isn't very common.

And of course, until we actually agree on the definition of God being discussed at any given moment, it can be kinda pointless to argue the likelihood of its existence. The type of god most people have believed in throughout history? The one most of us are exposed to and raised with, the one that has special feelings for human beings and how we behave, and writes holy texts and what not? I have no problem saying it doesn't exist, just like we don't have problems saying millions of other fictional things humans have created don't exist. Not sure why "god" is supposed to be a special exception to this. If speaking in that kind of plain English without a million philosophical disclaimers (the same philosophical disclaimers no one ever uses when discussing, say, comic book characters) is considered "irrational", then fuck it, I'll be that.

If we're only talking about "vague, powerful creator thingy", then sure, I suppose I'm more "agnostic" towards that (I usually just find that type of definition mostly useless). But "vague, powerful creator thingy" is an entirely different discussion from what is going on in the actual real world of religious belief that is currently found in the world. And that should be clarified before that discussion is had.
 

Cyan

Banned
Also, if the burden of proof is on a person making a claim, and athiests aren't making claim, how are 'some' athiests 99% certain that god doesn't exist?

Isn't the neutral/default answer that we don't know?

99% is pretty sure. heck, normally, it's all but certainty. I'm 99% sure I'm typing this. You should be a little less sure that the usual 'ashes' is typing this, but it is reasonable to assume that it is ashes1396 - instead of somebody else typing under my username.

Still, we only need one smart aleck to come in and say they are more sure that the normal ashes is typing this, than the idea that god exists.

And yet, noone, is making a claim.

That's a good question, Ashes, and my answer would be that the default answer must indeed be that we don't know, but that it must also be probabilistic. There are simple cases where the probabilities are obvious--take a lottery, for example. If I buy a ticket, the neutral answer ahead of time must be that we don't know whether or not I'll win, but that the chances are vanishingly small.

Now, how do you assign probability to something totally abstract like God or religion? Some folks would argue you can't, and that's fine. I would use something along the lines of Solomonoff's inductive inference using Kolmogorov complexity (which sound all fancy, but together they're essentially just a formalized version of Ockham's Razor). By this model, adding a God to the universe adds an enormous quantity of complexity without actually adding any explanatory power, and so the initial probability for a God must be considered quite small. This could change with evidence one way or the other, of course. I would likely argue that over the centuries, the weight of evidence has mostly accumulated on one side and not the other, and the conception of what God is has retreated as physical evidence has failed to manifest. And I'd further argue that once you remove any possibility of physical actions from God, and make Him a sort of abstract metaphysical entity, He sort of loses His luster.

But that's neither here nor there. I'm not going to tell you you're wrong for believing, I just want to point out that it can be fair and rational to start out with a low probability for God. (Although, per the prior discussion, I'd also add that plenty of atheists are neither fair nor rational!)

Edit:
Here's a good layman's explanation of Solomonoff's induction: http://lesswrong.com/lw/dhg/an_intuitive_explanation_of_solomonoff_induction/

And now that I've read the prior page, I hope iapetus doesn't slap me! :p
 

televator

Member
Can you give an example? I'm not convinced that changes the burden - either you're changing the claim to one that doesn't require proof or you're just saying that you won't provide proof in that case, surely?

Actually, I misspoke. It was getting early in the morning and my brain crashed when I made that post.

Mainly the idea I had was that you can't really get any proof when one side of the argument likes to shirk this responsibility with the faith card. This may work for their own personal belief, but it is painfully incompatible with a more skeptical approach to the question of the existence of a deity. So yeah, I don't think it changes it, but you got one side that doesn't really integrate the concept into their thought processes.
 

The Technomancer

card-carrying scientician
Cyan's post is a pretty good explanation of what I've tried to express a few times in this thread. I've devoted a lot of words to it in the past, so I'm going to try and see if I can do it concisely this time:

-We start with the axiom that evidence is the way to determine the probability of claims being accurate. Read to the end before you jump on me for this

-There are also theoretically infinite claims about the nature of reality.

-Are all claims by default, without evidence, assumed to be plausible or implausible? I see it as only two options, if someone has a third option, well I kind of address that in the next point.

-If we assume all claims are plausible by default that makes it basically impossible to think about anything. Every small variation on any claim is as valid as any other until...evidence has been found against it? I don't actually know how this world would work. And I think that this issue occurs even if all claims are assumed to be only semi-plausible; any attempt to theoretically understand the world that assumes all possible claims have enough weight to require consideration requires infinite time to reach any meaningful conclusion.

-Therefore all claims by default need to be considered implausible. My claim that the sun is actually green and has a giant glass filter around it that makes it look yellow has no evidence at this time, therefore it is implausible.

-The claims of God have no evidence. Therefore they are implausible

-But wait! What if you don't agree with the axiom? What if you don't think evidence is the only, or even primary way to determine plausibility of claims?

-Then I'd love to hear what else you think should be used. I'm serious here.

Most hypotheses begin as unsubstantiated ones, of course. Some continue for a reasonably long time in that form; some would put string theory in that category.

I would argue the opposite, that most hypothesis are substantiated in some form by inferences made from past knowledge.
 

t-ramp

Member
Most hypotheses begin as unsubstantiated ones, of course. Some continue for a reasonably long time in that form; some would put string theory in that category.
This is a bit off-topic, but I just watched a talk between Lawrence Krauss and Brian Greene about string theory that was remarkably interesting and comprehensible. Despite theoretical physics not being a direct aspect of the debates in this thread, I think science in general is just so incredibly fascinating that if you delve into hypothetical or theoretical disciplines, the typical "Is there a God?" discussion seems a bit elementary or premature. In some sense one should put a large amount of effort into attempting to gain understanding about how the universe functions before tackling the why question.
 
You both are right to point out/debate the nature of the hypothesis, however religious claims aren't pitched as a working model or something that could be true.

Religious texts (according to their proponents) are absolutely, undeniably, and unequivocally true.
 

t-ramp

Member
You both are right to point out/debate the nature of the hypothesis, however religious claims aren't pitched as a working model or something that could be true.

Religious texts (according to their proponents) are absolutely, undeniably, and unequivocally true.
Which makes it kind of strange when people are willing to reject certain aspects of their chosen religion but still accept shit that's far more ridiculous. It's clearly a backwards way of attempting to ascertain truth.
 
Which makes it kind of strange when people are willing to reject certain aspects of their chosen religion but still accept shit that's far more ridiculous. It's clearly a backwards way of attempting to ascertain truth.

I believe that there was a dude (who's also an all powerful god) who died, stayed dead for 3 days, and came back alive and rose up into heaven. Also, this same being (who was a human dude, but was also a god dude at the same time and is now currently an invisible god dude) has thoughts and feelings and other emotions, and can telepathically communicate with us at any time. Also, after I die, I will get to talk to god dude, and also with other people that were previously dead.

But god dude creating the universe a few thousand years ago? Only a nutball close-minded fundamentalist believes that.
 

phisheep

NeoGAF's Chief Barrister
Cyan's post is a pretty good explanation of what I've tried to express a few times in this thread. I've devoted a lot of words to it in the past, so I'm going to try and see if I can do it concisely this time:

-We start with the axiom that evidence is the way to determine the probability of claims being accurate. Read to the end before you jump on me for this

-There are also theoretically infinite claims about the nature of reality.

-Are all claims by default, without evidence, assumed to be plausible or implausible? I see it as only two options, if someone has a third option, well I kind of address that in the next point.

-If we assume all claims are plausible by default that makes it basically impossible to think about anything. Every small variation on any claim is as valid as any other until...evidence has been found against it? I don't actually know how this world would work. And I think that this issue occurs even if all claims are assumed to be only semi-plausible; any attempt to theoretically understand the world that assumes all possible claims have enough weight to require consideration requires infinite time to reach any meaningful conclusion.

-Therefore all claims by default need to be considered implausible. My claim that the sun is actually green and has a giant glass filter around it that makes it look yellow has no evidence at this time, therefore it is implausible.

-The claims of God have no evidence. Therefore they are implausible

-But wait! What if you don't agree with the axiom? What if you don't think evidence is the only, or even primary way to determine plausibility of claims?

-Then I'd love to hear what else you think should be used. I'm serious here.

Your logic it fine as far as it goes. Where it fails is in assuming that there is in fact any objective or default position of plausibility, and there isn't one. What's plausible depends on many things - your intellect, culture, background, prior knowledge, prior experience and so on. And in particular in this debate what's plausible to a theist might be implausible to an atheist and vice-versa; so what happens is each side, following Russell's teapot argument, places the burden of proof on the other side - and quite reasonably so.

That's not to say that some, or even many, or even most possible claims, wouldn't be implausible to both theists and atheists (like kittens on the moon/teapots in space and so on and so forth), but's not generalisable to all claims and certainly not to the specific ones that usually crop up in this debate.

I would argue the opposite, that most hypothesis are substantiated in some form by inferences made from past knowledge.

I'd argue the opposite to that. Certainly, or at least probably, most successful hypotheses will be substantiated by past knowledge or experience but many, including a lot of the unsuccessful ones (Democritus' atomic theory, the Ptolemaic universe, Freudian psychology, phlogiston to name but a few of them) aren't. And it's no good trying to pin ourselves down to only successful hypotheses because we don't know which are successful until afterwards - and indeed, many of the successful ones grew out of previous unsuccessful ones.
 

remist

Member
Your logic it fine as far as it goes. Where it fails is in assuming that there is in fact any objective or default position of plausibility, and there isn't one. What's plausible depends on many things - your intellect, culture, background, prior knowledge, prior experience and so on. And in particular in this debate what's plausible to a theist might be implausible to an atheist and vice-versa; so what happens is each side, following Russell's teapot argument, places the burden of proof on the other side - and quite reasonably so.

That's not to say that some, or even many, or even most possible claims, wouldn't be implausible to both theists and atheists (like kittens on the moon/teapots in space and so on and so forth), but's not generalisable to all claims and certainly not to the specific ones that usually crop up in this debate..

I don't see where he claims or assumes that there is an objective or default position on plausibility. He's merely saying that if you care about the accuracy of claims based on reality, then as a matter of pure practicality you can't treat every single claim that has no evidence as valid. This is assuming you agree with his axiom, which I'm sure many people don't.
 

remist

Member

He's asking a rhetorical question and answering with a subjective opinion on how he thinks the plausibility of claims ought to be determined. Nothing in his post is denying that people of different intellect, culture, background, prior knowledge and prior experience will determine plausibility differently or that they are objectively wrong. He's just arguing that his way is most practical if you agree that evidence is the best way to determine the accuracy of claims.
 

phisheep

NeoGAF's Chief Barrister
He's asking a rhetorical question and answering with a subjective opinion on how he thinks the plausibility of claims ought to be determined. Nothing in his post is denying that people of different intellect, culture, background, prior knowledge and prior experience will determine plausibility differently or that they are objectively wrong. He's just arguing that his way is most practical if you agree that evidence is the best way to determine the accuracy of claims.

Must have misunderstood. I'll sleep on it. Night night.
 
Also, if the burden of proof is on a person making a claim, and athiests aren't making claim, how are 'some' athiests 99% certain that god doesn't exist?

Isn't the neutral/default answer that we don't know?

We're 99% certain because there is zero proof a god exists. We don't have to prove god doesn't exist. We have absolutely no reason to believe one does. The claims of some holy books do not qualify as proof of such extraordinary claims.
 

The Technomancer

card-carrying scientician
Your logic it fine as far as it goes. Where it fails is in assuming that there is in fact any objective or default position of plausibility, and there isn't one. What's plausible depends on many things - your intellect, culture, background, prior knowledge, prior experience and so on. And in particular in this debate what's plausible to a theist might be implausible to an atheist and vice-versa; so what happens is each side, following Russell's teapot argument, places the burden of proof on the other side - and quite reasonably so.

That's not to say that some, or even many, or even most possible claims, wouldn't be implausible to both theists and atheists (like kittens on the moon/teapots in space and so on and so forth), but's not generalisable to all claims and certainly not to the specific ones that usually crop up in this debate.
He's asking a rhetorical question and answering with a subjective opinion on how he thinks the plausibility of claims ought to be determined. Nothing in his post is denying that people of different intellect, culture, background, prior knowledge and prior experience will determine plausibility differently or that they are objectively wrong. He's just arguing that his way is most practical if you agree that evidence is the best way to determine the accuracy of claims.
This is pretty good, and thanks for the elaboration, but I think it doesn't quite hit on one point which I'll elaborate on here. Namely the evidence axiom arises because I assume that both parties are arguing while agreeing that there is an objective reality. Note that I don't necessarily think we'll ever understand that objective reality in its totality; I actually believe the opposite, that we can only ever approximate it with increasingly accurate representations (weather internal and mediated by sensory perception or external and mediated by intellectual modeling). But I have never gotten the feeling, at least when dealing with most Western religion, that the objective nature of reality is in question. Maybe this is a misunderstanding on my part, but I don't think I've encountered the argument, not just that a persons interpretation of reality is subjective, but that reality itself is subjective. Discussions of religion at do not seem to deal with the idea, put simply, that "I believe in God, and so he is real and you do not believe in God and so he is not real and both positions are simultaneously correct as very serious expressions of the nature of reality"

(or, possibly, that not only is there not an objective reality but there is not even an external reality, insomuch that what any individual believes is true is true in every meaningful way (and by extension any ways which imply external reality are not meaningful). Which I'm aware some thinkers have written about, but which I don't believe figures into any theology)

I'd argue the opposite to that. Certainly, or at least probably, most successful hypotheses will be substantiated by past knowledge or experience but many, including a lot of the unsuccessful ones (Democritus' atomic theory, the Ptolemaic universe, Freudian psychology, phlogiston to name but a few of them) aren't. And it's no good trying to pin ourselves down to only successful hypotheses because we don't know which are successful until afterwards - and indeed, many of the successful ones grew out of previous unsuccessful ones.

I feel like this may come down to how we define evidence. I'd say that a lot of things like the Ptolemaic universe and Freudian psychology were at least to a degree based on observation. They weren't based on very good evidence, but they weren't based on nothing at all. Of course this leads us down the rabbit hole of "does anything come from nothing at all or are all ideas the result of some form of observation"
 

Mgoblue201

Won't stop picking the right nation
Your logic it fine as far as it goes. Where it fails is in assuming that there is in fact any objective or default position of plausibility, and there isn't one. What's plausible depends on many things - your intellect, culture, background, prior knowledge, prior experience and so on. And in particular in this debate what's plausible to a theist might be implausible to an atheist and vice-versa; so what happens is each side, following Russell's teapot argument, places the burden of proof on the other side - and quite reasonably so.

That's not to say that some, or even many, or even most possible claims, wouldn't be implausible to both theists and atheists (like kittens on the moon/teapots in space and so on and so forth), but's not generalisable to all claims and certainly not to the specific ones that usually crop up in this debate.
There is certainly an element of truth here. To a priest living in the 8th century, as I have argued before, Christianity would appear to be very plausible. But to a literate, highly educated person living in the 21st century, I don't think there is any good reason for believing in a god who directly communicates with humanity and/or reveals himself through organized religion. The key difference is that the person in the 21st century has access to more knowledge than ever before. My belief, therefore, is that if one is highly knowledgeable and perfectly rational, then the usual theological claims wouldn't seem to be very plausible at all, because there is little evidence for god in the first place. The closer one gets to the truth, the less plausible theology appears. There are certainly cases of intelligent, educated people believing anyway (for example, Francis Collins), but I think they're putting aside the evidence and choosing to believe because they want to believe; any rational reasons why they say they believe are simply after-the-fact rationalizations.
 
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