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NPD Sales Results for November 2013 [Up3: Zelda, Pokemon, Mario, 3DS, Wii U]

javac

Member
"I have cashed out all of your shares and using them to buy Wii Us. We will reach 9 million. *pulls out bomb and detonator*"

iwatabombshell3ki.jpg

A blast from the past ;)
 

thefro

Member
at some point people will stop blaming marketing and realize that no one wants the system

Well, if they would have marketed the thing properly at first it wouldn't have as much bad inertia and wouldn't be in quite as bad of a position as it is now.

Marketing's one of several problems, but it's definitely a factor.
 

WolvenOne

Member
So odd how Nintendo can do so well in the portable market, and so poorly in console space. I mean I'm not about to call the Wii U dead, as it could still very well sell 20-30million units world wide, and end up fairly profitable, but they are pretty much guaranteed a distant third place finish by this point.

The X1 did about as well as I expected, given the immense marketing campaign Microsoft put into it. I suspect sales will drop fairly dramatically in the coming months though. While X1s still sell out, they seem to be staying in stock for decent amounts of time. This suggests demand is closer to catching up with supply, as PS4s still sell out at lighting speed.

The PS4 outselling the X1 in North America has big implications for the future of the hardware market. If it holds up, it all but assures that Sony is the big winner of this generation. Microsoft needed a big sales advantage in North America, to off set Sony's advantage in Europe and Japan. Without that advantage, it'll be all but impossible for Microsoft to take the lead in global sales. Even if Microsoft pulls ahead in North America, the initial loss and close competition would make it difficult for Microsoft.

This isn't to say that Microsoft is doing poorly, but they're going to have to work a lot harder this time around. They can't spend half thier consoles lifespan leaning on multiple platform titles to sell consoles, like they did with the 360. With an initial disadvantage, money hatting exclusives from third parties will be difficult as well. They'll probably have to put thier own studio's into overdrive, like Sony did.
 

UNCMark

Banned
Why are people trying to prop up Wii U by comparing it to Vita now? Two different devices selling poorly for two different reasons. The main difference however is that Sony understands that Vita is in a place where they are trying to build it up as a companion device to PS4 and let it cut its own niche out. Wii U is supposed to be the successor to one of the highest selling consoles of all time and is selling bomba levels. I suspect Nintendo investors are on suicide watch or close to it.

Sony's wasting its time too then.
 
When you explode in the mainstream culture like the Wii did, the bulk of your audience is transient by nature (unless people really thought waggle tennis was going to create millions and millions of new hardcore gamers). 90% loss is a bummer, but it doesn't mean what it would mean if MS or Sony lost 90%. Still, that shit is crazy.

Keep in mind the PS1 did the same thing. Sony went from industry newcomer to 100 million consoles sold in a single generation, retained that expanded audience, and continued to build on it with the PS2.

I don't buy that there was nothing nintendo could have done to prevent the mass exodus of literally everyone they brought in with the wii, plus 10 million people who bought a gamecube.

some of that responsibility is hardware decisions, some is software, some is marketing, but nintendo fucked up in every possible way one COULD have fucked up with the wiiU.

the only consoles selling LESS than the wiiU is tracking to sell are the absolute failure tier consoles, like 3D0, jaguar, CDi, virtual boy, and master system. Edit: I take that back. The wii U is going to be outsold by the sega master system.

Any random gaffer could have put together a business plan that would sell more consoles than this.
 
The Wii U was one of the most successful launches up to that point.

PS4 and X1 will not maintain these sales. Just like every system, they will drop, nor is Wii U "dead", anymore than 3DS was dead and a major flop destined never to sell and proof that Nintendo would be going 3rd party:

www.vg247.com/2011/04/14/the-problem-with-3ds-why-we-could-be-looking-at-a-failure/
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/09/13/us-nintendo-idUSTRE78C0PF20110913

Anyone who was paying attention last generation should have realized 2 things:

1. The market is insatiably hungry for games
2. The market will not buy systems until they are cheap

Every single platform last generation sold over 80 million: DS, PSP, Wii, 360, PS3. Some of those platforms took 1-3 years before they ever reached regularly high monthly sales numbers. In fact, the only system to reach and maintain high monthly sales was the Wii. And the prime determinants of when EVERY system reached and maintained high monthly sales were a low initial hardware cost, be it the Wii's off-the-bat cheap launch price or after price drops to $299 for the PS3 and 360 and the buildup of a compelling software library (yes, even Wii Sports counts, cultural phenomenon that it was).

While that's not to say one of the two or even both systems, the PS4 and X1, may maintain high monthly sales immediately as with the Wii or PS2, it is to say that while Wii U may never reach 100 million, 80 million, or even 60 million, it is in no way dead. Anyone who is trying to sell you that idea is...

A) ignorant of the market and its history
B) trolling
C) pushing an agenda

As bad as things seem to be, the Wii U is not without saving. Iwata needs to be make some big decisions if he's going to stay where he is. Gonna have to eat losses and get the price down too
 

Plinko

Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
I think it's pretty easy to see that effect, but some people are in straight denial. 3DS won't even reach GBA numbers, in my opinion.

Why should that be surprising when tablets/smartphones with $1 games are everywhere?
 

gcubed

Member
Well, if they would have marketed the thing properly at first it wouldn't have as much bad inertia and wouldn't be in quite as bad of a position as it is now.

Marketing's one of several problems, but it's definitely a factor.

the gamepad is a bigger hurdle then marketing... but yes, the name was a disaster as well, i'd consider that marketing
 

KingSnake

The Birthday Skeleton
I think Nintendo should drop their stupid "secrecy". They should drop this "we focus only on the next launching game" strategy. Is not useful, it doesn't build enough hype, it overloads the public with info about one game and one game only and it maintains this appearance that there are no other games coming.
Announce the damn launching schedule for 2014, show all your cards, it will help you much more. Be transparent, if you have good games there is no sense to keep them hidden. Or you can keep 1-2 surprise IPs, but everyone knows that the big ones are coming anyway. Announce the months at list. And even if there are delay, that happens to everyone. Look at GTA V or AC IV. Shit happens. But you get people to talk and know your games. And get some money towards the 3rd parties. Get some good ports, get some collaborations.
 

Stumpokapow

listen to the mad man
BTW, here is something that will blow your mind... Almost as many 360's sold as the XB1.

... That's not really all that mindblowing and typically happens during the first little bit of console transitions, especially console transitions where the precedent console hasn't been dead for a year or more before the new console launch.
 
Alright, so where do we go from here? Should I make a video of me flinging my Wii U out of a window, then publicly apologize to the internet ever having liked such a shameful, awful thing? Must I accept that any fun I've ever had with Nintendo products has just been a delusion produced by an immature mind?

I'm frustrated. The situation is terrible and I know there's no real way of turning around, but this shit is so overwhelming that I feel like I'm doing something wrong by even looking forward the few positive things the Wii U has left. Fuck me.

I've never really seen the point of being emotionally invested in sales. I mean, I understand it to the extent that it affects whether you'll get more or less of the stuff you like in the future, sure. But other than that? I like sales discussions because I find it fun to sit around being an armchair analyst and pretend like I'm smart when I'm right because I "get" the industry. But outside of those factors? I find it best to distance it from the act of actually playing games.

There have been good games. There'll be a few more. There probably won't be as many as you would have liked if things don't improve, but obviously there's still some must-have games. So in that regard, I advocate just enjoying them. Mario 3D World is still great. DK will be as well. So will Mario Kart. And X. And Smash. I bought on launch day, and I don't regret it. And this is coming from someone that's been down on it's sales prospects since last December.
 
Man, what a trainwreck. Loved 3D World but not terribly surprised the mass-market is simply bored with the non-stop Mario games nowadays.

While it probably wouldn't have sold nearly near the Wii's level, it's still bizarre to think with a less-confusing name and without the fucking gamepad the Wii U wouldn't be the complete disaster it is now. The fact that it's still selling at a loss makes this all the worse.

At least I'm getting my cranky kong fix in two months.
 

Sanjuro

Member
i dont even understand the current campaign, families and walmart shoppers?

It's targeting parents. My experience with Nintendo and my father was he would play a golf game with me maybe twice a year and throw the console in the fucking basement for me to play.
 

Log4Girlz

Member
Nothing annoys me more when people bring up the Gamecube when it is suggested Nintendo release a powerful console.

Were people not there at the time? Perception is key! The fact is that since the n64 Nintendo systems have been gimped in a major way one way or the other. They have not released a system that in eyes of the media/core players is equal or better than their counterparts. This along with the shitty 3d party relations, and Marketing are the reason they are failing.


n64 - Carts
GC - No DVD when DVD were the hot shit, Purple, Handle
Wii - No HD, Shitty Online, Weak
Wii U - Weak, Shitty online

Omg thank you. When someone brings up the GC as an attempt at creating a powerful console...shaped like a purse and never having performance specs officially released to brag...I feel like slapping them through the internet.
 
People just need realize it's something new that exists. The name and poor marketing have crippled the system which otherwise is a good product.
The "better marketing boat" has sailed at this point. The other two competitors have released and hit the ground running. Third parties are already well invested in Sony/MS.

That's what happens when you completely piss away a 12 month headstart. The timing for "saving the console" is past.
 

RedSwirl

Junior Member
The Wii U was one of the most successful launches up to that point.

PS4 and X1 will not maintain these sales. Just like every system, they will drop, nor is Wii U "dead", anymore than 3DS was dead and a major flop destined never to sell and proof that Nintendo would be going 3rd party:

www.vg247.com/2011/04/14/the-problem-with-3ds-why-we-could-be-looking-at-a-failure/
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/09/13/us-nintendo-idUSTRE78C0PF20110913

Anyone who was paying attention last generation should have realized 2 things:

1. The market is insatiably hungry for games
2. The market will not buy systems until they are cheap

Every single platform last generation sold over 80 million: DS, PSP, Wii, 360, PS3. Some of those platforms took 1-3 years before they ever reached regularly high monthly sales numbers. In fact, the only system to reach and maintain high monthly sales was the Wii. And the prime determinants of when EVERY system reached and maintained high monthly sales were a low initial hardware cost, be it the Wii's off-the-bat cheap launch price or after price drops to $299 for the PS3 and 360 and the buildup of a compelling software library (yes, even Wii Sports counts, cultural phenomenon that it was).

While that's not to say one of the two or even both systems, the PS4 and X1, may maintain high monthly sales immediately as with the Wii or PS2, it is to say that while Wii U may never reach 100 million, 80 million, or even 60 million, it is in no way dead. Anyone who is trying to sell you that idea is...

A) ignorant of the market and its history
B) trolling
C) pushing an agenda

I'll definitely agree with your comment that most consoles tend to make most of their sales when they drop below $200. That's why I still wonder about the PS3 and 360 which are only just now going sub-$300 for their fully-featured models.
 

chadboban

Member
Desperate Nintendo is the Nintendo that cuts two dungeons from Wind Waker so they can rush it out to prop up the GameCube or pads 3D Land with remixed versions of levels to mask the shortness of the game after they did the same for the 3DS.

The "panic mode Nintendo is best Nintendo" thing is shit.

I meant in terms of making announcements and stuff. And honestly, the stuff you mentioned there is really freaking petty shit compared to the constant unfinished DLC ridden, broken ass, patch needed, games we get all the time these days from some companies.

I ain't defending Nintendo one bit, I just hope that after seeing so much signs and ignoring them all that they finally wake the hell up.
 

Hiltz

Member
Nintendo forecast revision incoming? Or is Iwata going to continue his delusional streak by hoping for 2 million consoles sold in December?

I guess we'll find this out in January. Iwata' clearly got a lot of explaining to do. What would panic mode Nintendo even entail for Wii U ? Not sure if Nintendo can really afford to do bigger price cut, but then again, they are in a desperate situation faced with steep competition and the reliance on its own software to give Wii U any hope of drastically improving in the future. Nintendo sure has a lot of weight to carry around here.
 
Nintendo has maybe 1-2 more handheld generations left. After that it is a wrap.

With their consoles already having become irrelevant, I don't see a place for Nintendo in this industry in 10-15 years. Barring some HUGE lucky hits like the Wii & DS again, they will be going third party in the future, like it or not.

I don't think going third party would really work for Nintendo. I just don't see the type of people who buy PlayStations and Xboxes really taking to Nintendo software and I don't think anybody's going to buy those systems just to get Nintendo software.

I don't really see a place for Nintendo's existance in 10-15 years.
 
I give up on gaming altogether when one of the best games ever made this gen, 3DWorld is outsold by Skylanders and Disney Infinity or a franchises that's been milked to death.

:(

RIP Nintendo.
 
As bad as things seem to be, the Wii U is not without saving. Iwata needs to be make some big decisions if he's going to stay where he is. Gonna have to eat losses and get the price down too

Nintendo doing what they did with Bayonetta 2 was a great gesture because it was a nice move for something third party related. Just imagine if they did that more often and got more studios on board with making games that are only possible to play with the game pad. If they can't do that, they need to drop the game pad, release an SKU with the pro controller, include a big game and drop the price.
 

Sanjuro

Member
Omg thank you. When someone brings up the GC as an attempt at creating a powerful console...shaped like a purse and never having performance specs officially released to brag...I feel like slapping them through the internet.

Calling foul here. All of that generations consoles were ugly anyway. The primary flaw was giving it a purple color for launch.

Yes, I had a purple Gamecube.
 

UNCMark

Banned
Do you really believe that? Do you think in March of this year for example MS expected to have to even fight with Sony for the US? Have you seen the percentages in the US for the 360/PS3? Here's a hint - the 360 wiped the floor with the PS3 in the US. Now, it comes out that Sony outsold MS in the US (their strongest area), and this is good news for MS? Really? The only good news is that MS will not be able to force parity with a weaker system.

BTW, here is something that will blow your mind... Almost as many 360's sold as the XB1.

Since when is 300,000+ almost as many?
 

cafemomo

Member
You are delusional. The Vita would be ignored even if it came bundled in with a PS4.

Unlike the WiiU, the Vita has decent third party support from the likes of SEGA, TecmoKoei, Namco, etc.
Plus the Vita has 1st party support (albeit limited)

Wheres the WiiU has little to no 3rd party support, and it's own 1st party line up can't even save the damn thing.

WiiU is done for good. The Vita has a chance to overtake it.
 

Phatmac

Member
Sucks that the Wii U is doing badly but I doubt any sane person ever expected one game to save a console that's already dead to the people that actually buy consoles. It's clear that the Wii U name was a horrible mistake that confused the console market. The tablet is a neat gimmick but it still hasn't been proven to be truly useful like the Wii mote. The Wii U won't be abandoned like the Dreamcast but I wouldn't be surprised if it's life cycle was cut short. 3DS sales aren't that great but it's still doing just fine. Software will continue to sell big with tons of great games that were released this year.
 

CCIE

Banned
Nintendo needs to drop the Wii U price down into the $200 range... people don't consider it next generation, and it has to compete with the 360/PS3. Nintendo needs to realize people DO care about power

Look at the PS4 numbers for proof. Nintendo makes great software, but their hardware is just not even capable.
 

Cygnus X-1

Member
I truly hope these numbers have scared the crap out of Nintendo and have Iwata scared as to what investors will want to do and say. They need to get their heads out of their asses or this system is going to be dead and no first party games are going to sell well. Forget third parties completely at this point. Nintendo's own games aren't selling on it and that's been the case for a while now.That is a massive problem they have to address. There is still December but I don't see things being much different.

Same opinion. The reaper grim is seriously behind their backs at this point. I'm also curious to see what they are going to do.
 

Ashodin

Member
I've never really seen the point of being emotionally invested in sales. I mean, I understand it to the extent that it affects whether you'll get more or less of the stuff you like in the future, sure. But other than that? I like sales discussions because I find it fun to sit around being an armchair analyst and pretend like I'm smart when I'm right because I "get" the industry. But outside of those factors? I find it best to distance it from the act of actually playing games.

There have been good games. There'll be a few more. There probably won't be as many as you would have liked if things don't improve, but obviously there's still some must-have games. So in that regard, I advocate just enjoying them. Mario 3D World is still great. DK will be as well. So will Mario Kart. And X. And Smash. I bought on launch day, and I don't regret it. And this is coming from someone that's been down on it's sales prospects since last December.

Yep! This is the best attitude to take with any system that is lagging behind in sales. There will be gems, and you will be glad you had the system in the first place to purchase them. Which is why I can see the bright future of quality gaming on Wii U, just not the bright future of sales. You take the good with the bad.
 
$$$$

They have enough cash. We'll probably see another Gamecube - situation: Great exclusive games and almost zero 3rd oparty software. I expect a new console in 2016

Why would they spend any serious money on something that will never get them a reasonable return? They are more likely to move games to the 3DS than put anything on the WiiU, especially when it costs them more to make a WiiU game than a 3DS game.

Yeah, no 3rd party support is terrible for them. Why is that, because they make no money in licensing fees. At least the Gamecube had 3rd parties right up until the end. Who is going to finance even a port to WiiU when Nintendo can barely break even on their own machine?
 

Road

Member
Code:
Nintendo hardware sales in November:

2002	1.62m
2003	1.94m
2004	1.95m
2005	1.46m
2006	2.11m
2007	2.51m
2008	3.61m
2009	2.96m
2010	2.78m
2011	2.01m
2012	1.76m
2013	0.99m + DS + WII


(GBA+DS+3DS+GC+WII+WIU)

DS + Wii need to have sold over 460k combined to prevent this from being the worst Nintendo November since 2002.


Brought to you by "Nintendo is Doomed".
 
So odd how Nintendo can do so well in the portable market, and so poorly in console space.

I think there's few things here:

1) A lot of the games they release are better suited to a portable experience. Animal Crossing is great for commutes or lunch breaks if you don't take public transport like a peasant.

2) A lot of the games are best tasted in small bites. A Mario Kart race or two before bed. These aren't the kinds of things you'll sit down with a can of Monster and play for 8 hour binge sessions.

3) There's a certain attraction to having a single all-in-one unit that you can play without disrupting others. I think that there was a lot of that thinking that went into the Wii U Gamepad. Unfortunately, the Gamepad is limited by it's range and it's not exactly stellar.
 

Nibel

Member
Why are people trying to prop up Wii U by comparing it to Vita now? Two different devices selling poorly for two different reasons. The main difference however is that Sony understands that Vita is in a place where they are trying to build it up as a companion device to PS4 and let it cut its own niche out. Wii U is supposed to be the successor to one of the highest selling consoles of all time and is selling bomba levels. I suspect Nintendo investors are on suicide watch or close to it.

One device is failing as a handheld device, the other one is failing as a console device

Call it a "companion device" or whatever, it's a failure just like the other one
 
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