That's the 2PM advisory, hurricane hunters were out after that. Watch for the next advisory at 5 PM.
Edit: Beaten
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Atlantic Hurricane season 2017 |OT|
- Thread starter perfectchaos007
- Start date
That's the 2PM advisory, hurricane hunters were out after that. Watch for the next advisory at 5 PM.
Edit: Beaten
Frankfurter
Member
It says 115 kt, unless I'm reading it wrong. Cat 4 is 114-135.
Master Yoshi
Member
Just seen this pic of Irma from the ISS:
Pesmerga00
Member
I am fucking shaking with anxiety right now.
The only positive news I have had, is that the one contractor we hired, called back and said we were eligible for a differed payment on our roof(to pay when house is sold). The problem being, they are backed up with emergency jobs. They wont be able to get to us for a few weeks.
ChaosZeroX
Banned
fucking hell man.
Nice to be back with you boys after our ride last year with Hurricane Matthew
Ok are we sure, because the website linked for that information says that the data is as of 18:00 UTC which is the same as the 2PM update.
Furthermore the tweet linked https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/904781019492093952/photo/1?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=http%3A%2F%2Fstorm2k.org%2Fphpbb2%2FEmbedTweet.html%23904781019492093952
Has a time stamp of 11:59 AM. also before the 2pm update. sooooo why the descrepancy?
Just seen this pic of Irma from the ISS:
Fun fact: the entire Earth could fit through the Great Red Spot with room to spare (it's 1.3x as wide). It's also 350 years old.
perfectchaos007
Member
Just seen this pic of Irma from the ISS:
Looks like the storm on Jupiter
edit: oh that's the joke
fluffydelusions
Member
cause it is lol
Rebel Leader
THE POWER OF BUTTERSCOTCH BOTTOMS
Which would probably be less than 18:00 UTC
Furthermore. The 18:00 UTC update has it at roughly the same position (lat, long) as the tweet and the cat 4 kt readings
https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2017/hurricane-irma
Sep 04
18:00 GMT
16.7°
-53.8°
120 mph 944 mb
Hurricane
3
I'm looking at this image on their page (I've re-hosted, since they're linking directly to the image on the NOAA website that link will automatically update with new advisories);
That was posted at 2PM AST (Atlantic Standard, which is right now synced with Eastern Daylight Time), which is also 18:00 UTC. The tweet you linked has a timestamp of 2:59 PM for me and I'm in EDT, so it went up at a few minutes before 1900 UTC.
So there's a possibility it will enter the gulf?
Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
There are numerous possibilities for its direction.
Ok and that chart says 120MPH which is still a cat3
Judge Magister Zexion
Banned
As a South Floridian, this storm worries me. Then again i thought Matthew was going to destroy us.
Still need to watch, this could be disastrous depending on how it goes. I just hope it doesn't go to the Gulf into Texas, those guys have had way to much to deal with recently.
Still need to watch, this could be disastrous depending on how it goes. I just hope it doesn't go to the Gulf into Texas, those guys have had way to much to deal with recently.
... How do you get that from my post? The cone shows anywhere the storm is projected to be 1-5 days out (1-3 is in the white area, 4-5 is in the patterned area). It could be way down at the bottom of the cone, way out in the front or way up at the top, that's why everyone always says "wait for things to clear up but keep an eye on it". Also keep in mind that that's just the current projection; that cone may shift as the storm gets closer and the models get clearer.
Because this map is from the 2PM advisory, which is before the recon flights went in and observed Category 4 conditions.
Solidsnakejej
Member
NHC has confirm, Officially a Cat 4 storm at 130MPH winds. Storm now moving due West at 13 mph
Still waiting on track.
Still waiting on track.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT1+shtml/042037.shtml
piratepwnsninja
Member
They generally do the updates in AST, which is UTC-4, not straight up UTC. We're ~20 minutes away from the 5pm update.
Solidsnakejej
Member
Florida now in the cone
piratepwnsninja
Member
Florida now in the cone
All going to be about how sharply it turns. Tomorrows updates in the evening will be the ones to start really seeing that in a more predictable fashion.
mordecaii83
Member
I wish I could make myself stop looking for updates constantly and just wait until tomorrow... It's just too interesting!
If it keeps shifting south we might be okay here. Current track would still be really bad.
Worst part about all of this is that it's due to hit us from 8pm Thursday until 7am Friday. So the entire thing is going to happen in the dark.
It's not that I find it frightening, it's just that if my house and car are going to be utterly wrecked I'd at least like to see a show for my troubles.
Worst part about all of this is that it's due to hit us from 8pm Thursday until 7am Friday. So the entire thing is going to happen in the dark.
It's not that I find it frightening, it's just that if my house and car are going to be utterly wrecked I'd at least like to see a show for my troubles.
perfectchaos007
Member
South Florida residents: Go get a case or two of bottled water, (Or Gallon jugs) and make sure your gas tanks are full. Now is the time to take preliminary action.
Already filled up gas and did basic shopping. FEMA recommended a gallon per day per person with water I believe.
I learned not to wait even a day after Matthew last time. We got lucky it didn't hit, but people went bananas shopping and I don't want to repeat the Wal-Mart: Battle Royale Edition experience.
From what I've read, it's actually pretty low key and the only real thrills happen when they're pushing through the eyewall. Tried to find some non-sensationalist footage (i.e. Discovery Network schlock with dramatic music, scary narration and quick cuts), here ya go; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fCilVpxh6Cs
Went to pick up a few cases during my regular grocery trip here in North Tampa and they were flying off the shelves.
maquiladora
Member
Latest Euro ensemble forecast. A lot of intense tracks near south Florida and numerous tracks that take it right up through Florida.
fluffydelusions
Member
Inner circle is 100+ mph winds
VanMardigan
has calmed down a bit.
That would be terrible for me in the Virgin Islands. I'm hoping for a sharp northward turn and then it just turns back towards the Atlantic and avoids everyone.
mordecaii83
Member
Latest Euro ensemble forecast. A lot of intense tracks near south Florida and numerous tracks that take it right up through Florida.
That looks further west than the Euro track from earlier, like it's going up the middle of Florida instead of the east coast...
Master Yoshi
Member
CitizenVectron
Member
Also, people keep saying they hope it goes south because it would be 'good,' but they are just referring to it being good for them and their location. If it held south, then it will just hit some other state instead of Florida.
If you get anything it will just be a lot of rain and some wind. Tropical cyclones really start falling apart once they are over land.
Hurricanes head inland all the time, though they tend to severely weaken after landfall. That doesn't mean they're not a threat, but being so far inland your big worries are wind, rain (TS Alberto in 94 dumped 9-13 inches of rain just south of ATL) and tornadoes (Cindy in 2005 spawned a bunch of tornadoes in the Atlanta area). Expect wind damage (Trees, maybe some minor roof damage), power outages and flooding. Obviously the stronger the storm and the faster it moves inland, the worse things will be.
JHoNNy1OoO
Member
Shit gets real now.
Master Yoshi
Member
I live in the panhandle (Pensacola). Definitely watching this one closely.
Saint Gregory
Member
Welp, I chose the perfect time to move to Miami :{
I'm not even home, I'll be away working until the end of the month so I'll have to pray that my family stays safe until I get back.
I'm not even home, I'll be away working until the end of the month so I'll have to pray that my family stays safe until I get back.
Sounds like a new news, new thread type of thing; at least a dedicated one for the islands that are about to get torn up by this monster. This hurricane could hit cat 5 status based on what I'm hearing about the unusually warm waters it still has yet to arrive to.