the academy love her though. The fact she even got nominated for American Hustle proves that. She's like a young Meryl Streep.
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GAF Oscar Pool
- Thread starter Charles Foster Kane
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the academy love her though. The fact she even got nominated for American Hustle proves that. She's like a young Meryl Streep.
War Peaceman
You're a big guy.
I feel like if Chiwetel doesn't get the Leading actor award, Lupita Nyong'o will get the supporting actress. Just a hunch.
Gentleman Jack
Member
I feel like 'I'M TOO UNINFORMED TO PICK' or 'random' should be an option for the smaller categories like short film - live action or foreign language in the Google Form. I literally picked at random.
I want June Squibb to win it so badly tho. Goddamn comedy curse at the Oscars won't help.
I want June Squibb to win it so badly tho. Goddamn comedy curse at the Oscars won't help.
That's my thinking too, and I think that's why it's hers, because McConaughey is a lock.
Charles Foster Kane
Rosebud
^^ yeah.
You can see in the summary how random the answers for Short Film - Animated and Short Film - Live Action are.
You can see in the summary how random the answers for Short Film - Animated and Short Film - Live Action are.
Here's a freebie: The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life is about a 110-year-old Holocaust survivor, who died two days before the voting ballots went out. At the risk of sounding insensitive, it's got that shit on lock.
Gentleman Jack
Member
The randomness in the animated short film is puzzling. Anybody who saw/voted for Frozen should have seen 'Get A Horse!' at least.
I'd be very surprised if it was that way round. I'm torn between Cuaron and McQueen; former's getting all the guild awards but this is the Oscars, and politics iz politics innit.
Fuck Lawrence though. Never been a big fan of her, wasn't a fan of her in SLP, she was no better than decent in AH, and she's gonna have more Academy Awards than Martin Scorsese at 24.
Gentleman Jack
Member
Charles Foster Kane
Rosebud
She has the benefit of being hot at the box office and among younger demographics though.
If you mean the OT, it should be up on Sunday.
It seems that way.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
Thread inspired a blogpost:
Congratulations: You Just Won Your Oscars Betting Pool.
(trust me. I'm hardly ever wrong. About anything. Ever.)
(really)
My explanations for how and why I picked what I picked are detailed in that post. The key takeaway: Actually having watched the movies you're voting on isn't necessarily a help when it comes to picking what will win a statue. In fact, in most cases, it's going to fuck you up. Because you fool yourself into believing the awards are a legitimate meritocracy, when they're very much not
Congratulations: You Just Won Your Oscars Betting Pool.
(trust me. I'm hardly ever wrong. About anything. Ever.)
(really)
My explanations for how and why I picked what I picked are detailed in that post. The key takeaway: Actually having watched the movies you're voting on isn't necessarily a help when it comes to picking what will win a statue. In fact, in most cases, it's going to fuck you up. Because you fool yourself into believing the awards are a legitimate meritocracy, when they're very much not
Thread inspired a blogpost:
Congratulations: You Just Won Your Oscars Betting Pool.
(trust me. I'm hardly ever wrong. About anything. Ever.)
(really)
My explanations for how and why I picked what I picked are detailed in that post. The key takeaway: Actually having watched the movies you're voting on isn't necessarily a help when it comes to picking what will win a statue. In fact, in most cases, it's going to fuck you up. Because you fool yourself into believing the awards are a legitimate meritocracy, when they're very much not
Yep. I've seen all but Philomena for this year's best picture nominees, I think that 12 Years a Slave has a lot of issues in the storytelling department that hamper it enough that it's probably near the bottom of the list of the ones I did see, and it's still going to win because it's had the least amount of detractors of any of the nominees.
I will say that I don't agree with you that they won't split for Best Director, however, and there's very one simple fact to support that: if 12 Years a Slave wins, and it's looking incredibly likely, Steve McQueen is going to get an Oscar regardless, as he's one of the nominated producers on the film. Cuaron has won too many awards already for that to not go his way, and Academy voters can feel happy about it since McQueen will be up there accepting the biggest prize of the night.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
I still feel that the sci-fi bias is really present at the Academy, and Cuaron could get bumped in the effort to give 12 Years a big party. But it does say something that almost every other guild/awards show has given Cuaron love.
I won't deny the genre bias that the Academy has, because it's absolutely true, but I think that Gravity has that rare crossover appeal for the voters because of the thematic content it's handling throughout, and while it's not a staggeringly highbrow film by any stretch, I think that makes an important difference that combined with the quality of the direction itself that makes it really hard for me (and many others) to consider betting against Cuaron, and I think that's also why it wouldn't shock me if Gravity winds up upsetting in the best picture category.
And like you mentioned, it's not like the bias against genre is an Academy-exclusive problem, and Cuaron has had no problems overcoming it elsewhere.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
No doubt. Of all the picks, it's the only one that specifically flies in the face of the advice I'm giving at the very top of the article, even with links provided to sites that support your choice
(I give myself an out with the Bullock/Blanchett decision, at least)
(I give myself an out with the Bullock/Blanchett decision, at least)
ViewtifulJC
Banned
I'd be more worried about Cuaron if this was an Avatar situation and he didn't win the PGA and the DGA. But he did. And he'll probably get the Best Director on March 2nd, too.
DerZuhälter
Member
Took the vote, and it's really frustrating to see that the things I really did like, will likely get squat.
friskykillface
Banned
Leo gonna lose again? bummer
hes gotta win one
bummerhes gotta win one
Leo gonna lose again?
hes gotta win one
He will win years down the line for an unworthy performance as a makeup Oscar. Such is his fate.
War Peaceman
You're a big guy.
Leo gonna lose again?
hes gotta win one
In all fairness, there are at least two better leading male performances this year.
Charles Foster Kane
Rosebud
I know Inside Llewyn Davis may not be the greatest movie, but I think it should have been nominated to BP over something like Philomena.
Harvey had to get something in the running, and the reviews for August: Osage County were too brutal to be considered, and awards ceremonies prior to the Oscar nominations didn't take the easy bait in The Butler.
Charles Foster Kane
Rosebud
Yeah, it's quite pathetic.
Btw, you only need to vote in the link once. I noticed someone already voted twice.
Charles Foster Kane
Rosebud
I was actually wondering if I should include those joke votes. I mean, I know many of the usernames posted, but I don't know them all, so it would be kind of difficult to know which aren't actual members.
Charles Foster Kane
Rosebud
"DaRealCFK"
The fuck?
The fuck?
CFK rosebudded
Charles Foster Kane
Rosebud
What you think will win. And well, we work on the honor system; you're supposed to enter your username. I see what everyone voted for.
He/she voted for AH for BP. Clearly trolling me.
breakfuss
Member
Ohhh, my bad, I didn't notice the username field.
ComputerMKII
Banned
Nevermind, made a separate thread
Charles Foster Kane
Rosebud
Looking at the percentages in the op, I noticed Foreign film should have been higher.
breakfuss
Member
What saddens me is that I walked out the movie thinking Fassbender was at least one of the shoe-ins and now he's the least likely to win, lol.
Charles Foster Kane
Rosebud
Needless to say, this closes before the ceremony.
PIMPBYBLUD
Member
So many great movies this year it will be the first time I watch the Oscars.
Gravity will win Technical and Best Director. It might also win for best sound editing and mixing. I love the OST!
12 Years a Slave and Anerican hustle will win some as well.
Gravity will win Technical and Best Director. It might also win for best sound editing and mixing. I love the OST!
12 Years a Slave and Anerican hustle will win some as well.
Phire Phox
Banned
There goes nothing. Submitted my predics. Supporting Actress could be a closer race than I thought. I originally though Lupita had it on lock, but with Jlaw winning the BAFTA and GG, she might take it.
Also, I'm a bit surprised that Let it Go is dominating the predictions for Original Song. I think Oridinary Love would be the one to take it since Mandela's death recently and it seems like the type of song that appeals to Oscar voters.
Hell, maybe we'll see a tie in this category........yeah, probably not.
Also, I'm a bit surprised that Let it Go is dominating the predictions for Original Song. I think Oridinary Love would be the one to take it since Mandela's death recently and it seems like the type of song that appeals to Oscar voters.
Charles Foster Kane
Rosebud
That would be kind of cool. I mean, Jlaw winning is lame no matter what, but that would at least be interesting.
crazy monkey
Banned
done.
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