Little to no doubt it will be exclusive. Major doubts about Indiana Jones being exclusive though. It’s a Disney Bethesda contract, for a wide release. MS wouldn’t even be able to launch it on Gamepass without having to renegotiate with Disney. So they would have to renegotiate with Disney to take PlayStation out of the picture, while at the same time do a deal to put Indy on Gamepass even though Disney would get % on sales. This one is the one that will be announced as multiplatform, but MS will have marketing rights so expect them to be hush hush about that and create some confusion. Looking forward to that thread.
Imagine being this clueless.