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[cvxfreak]

It's too early. Ni no Kuni isn't Monster Hunter.

 

[Road]

It is 14th on Lepton's ranking for future releases (December and on): http://www.lepton.ne.jp/ranking/hatsubai/index.cgi

I think it is just a cause of being early too. It is a new IP after all.

 

[BishopLamont]

It's too early. Ni no Kuni isn't Monster Hunter.

Yer...I think being a new IP is the reason here, way too early at this point.

PS. Damn you road.

 

[AranhaHunter]

It is 14th on Lepton's ranking for future releases (December and on): http://www.lepton.ne.jp/ranking/hatsubai/index.cgi

I think it is just a cause of being early too. It is a new IP after all.

:lol @ number 13 on that list.

 

[Chris1964]

Famitsu handheld openings

1989.04.21 (Nintendo GameBoy) - unknown (3 days)
1990.10.06 (Sega GameGear) - unknown (2 days)
1995.07.21 (Nintendo VirtualBoy) - unknown (3 days)
1996.07.21 (Nintendo GameBoyPocket) - unknown (1 day)
1998.04.14 (Nintendo GameBoyLight) - unknown (6 days)
1998.10.21 (Nintendo GameBoyColor) - 155.774 (5 days)
1998.10.28 (SNK NeoGeoPocket) - 21.471 (5 days)
1999.03.04 (Bandai WonderSwan) - 102.655 (4 days)
1999.03.19 (SNK NeoGeoPocketColor) - 18.809 (3 days)
2000.12.09 (Bandai WonderSwanColor) - 145.975 (2 days)
2001.03.21 (Nintendo GameBoyAdvance) - 611.504 (5 days)
2002.07.12 (Bandai SwanCrystal) - 30.692 (3 days)
2003.02.14 (Nintendo GameBoyAdvance SP) - 117.859 (3 days)
2004.12.02 (Nintendo DS) - 441.485 (4 days)
2004.12.12 (Sony PSP-1000) - 166.074 (1 day)
2005.09.13 (Nintendo GameBoyMicro) - 148.117 (6 days)
2006.03.02 (Nintendo DS Lite) - 67.653 (4 days)
2007.09.20 (Sony PSP-2000) - 263.538 (4 days)
2008.10.16 (Sony PSP-3000) - 155.720 (4 days)
2008.11.01 (Nintendo DSi) - 170.779 (2 days)
2009.11.01 (Sony PSP Go) - 28.275 (1 day)
2009.11.21 (Nintendo DSi LL) - 103.524 (2 days)
2011.02.26 (Nintendo 3DS) - xxx.xxx (2 days)

 

[cvxfreak]

http://www.andriasang.com/e/blog/2010/10/10/monhan_five_million_hamamura/

Famitsu's Hamamura thinks MHP3 can sell 5 million units.

He said the same thing with DQIX, and we all know that hasn't happened. Has this guy ever been right? I remember he made a prediction for Love and Berry a few years back that didn't quite hit the mark, either.

 

[Chris1964]

He also said 1,5m for MH3.

Edit: I try to understand how exactly he believes 2010 this will be PSP's best year (hardware side) knowing it must sell 1,8 million units the remaining 12 weeks in order to beat 2008.

 

[Road]

He's talking fiscal year, so there are still 26(?) weeks left. =P But, you're right, as far as hardware sales go, PSP won't probably beat 2007/2008. Maybe he meant software or overall revenue/market share.

There are some interesting graphs on the Famitsu article, though: http://www.famitsu.com/news/201010/09034590.html

Update sales for Mario games (SMG, MPDS, MP8, MKDS etc.): http://www.famitsu.com/news/201010/images/00034590/OKbqB89DjBF33K7f3v1f54azk4bxp58p.jpg

Monthly software sales for Wii: http://www.famitsu.com/news/201010/images/00034590/fiV7bs3oE367w76QGT1o819v632X1bJP.jpg

360 slim weekly sales share: http://www.famitsu.com/news/201010/images/00034590/Wg3HDRqXjg632fujZu63TBxV36ECl889.jpg

FY2010H1 Top 15 publishers with unit sales: http://www.famitsu.com/news/201010/images/00034590/yY672J3kU3kr32x1AWct46SRc1nTZED7.jpg

FY2010H1 Top 10 titles: http://www.famitsu.com/news/201010/images/00034590/aPX2z33v9bN5pwSJANGL9L45vg8WdGNo.jpg

"Return of the King" lol: http://www.famitsu.com/news/201010/images/00034590/SGaOvY8Xvasy537Koyma5M7stYfRBVP3.jpg

And a lot of cell phone / social gaming stuff.

 

[Chris1964]

The resolution sucks but Mario Galaxy is at 995.283, up from 977.953 through March 31. Galaxy 2 helped it a lot. Million seller for Famitsu too before the year ends.

 

[Chris1964]

Famitsu First Half Fiscal Year 2010 top 15 (29/03/10-26/09/10)

01. [NDS] Pokemon Black / White (Pokemon Co.) - 3.409.457 / NEW
02. [NDS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Joker 2 (Square Enix) - 1.262.895 / NEW
03. [WII] Wii Party (Nintendo) - 971.006 / NEW
04. [NDS] Inazuma Eleven 3: World Challenge!! Spark / Bomber (Level 5) - 836.341 / NEW
05. [WII] Super Mario Galaxy 2 (Nintendo) - 793.623 / NEW
06. [PSP] Metal Gear Solid: Peace Walker (Konami) - 765.145 / NEW
07. [PSP] Monster Hunter Diary: Pokapoka Ailu Village (Capcom) - 451.635 / NEW
08. [WII] New Super Mario Bros. Wii (Nintendo) - 377.204 / 3.964.959
09. [PS3] Sengoku Basara 3 (Capcom) - 358.135 / NEW
10. [NDS] Friend Collection (Nintendo) - 345.694 / 3.431.532
11. [PSP] Hatsune Miku: Project Diva 2nd (Sega) - 325.530 / NEW
12. [WII] Wii Fit Plus (Nintendo) - 294.380 / 2.082.240
13. [WII] Dragon Quest: Monster Battle Road Victory (Square Enix) - 277.980 / NEW
14. [WII] Mario Kart Wii (Nintendo) - 250.268 / 2.858.107
15. [PS3] White Knight Chronicles: Awakening of Light and Darkness (SCE) - 241.848 / NEW

 

[Moor-Angol]

BTW Moor the link for the Xbox list is broken on the main page.
http://www.japan-gamecharts.com/xbox.php

the link is not broken, the chart is not completed so i didn't put the link on the main page yet

 

[Chris1964]

Top selling Mario games tracked from Famitsu (16/06/96-03/10/10)

01. [NDS] New Super Mario Bros. (Nintendo) - 5.911.258
02. [WII] New Super Mario Bros. Wii (Nintendo) - 3.968.378
03. [NDS] Mario Kart DS (Nintendo) - 3.667.585
04. [WII] Mario Kart Wii (Nintendo) - 2.861.520
05. [NDS] Mario Party DS (Nintendo) - 1.983.713
06. [WII] Mario Party 8 (Nintendo) - 1.414.586
07. [GBA] Famicom Mini: Super Mario Bros. (Nintendo) - 1.280.158
08. [NDS] Super Mario 64 DS (Nintendo) - 1.200.279
09. [WII] Super Mario Galaxy (Nintendo) - 995.283
10. [WII] Super Mario Galaxy 2 (Nintendo) - 800.279

* The photo says the numbers are through 26/09/10 -> it's wrong.


Famitsu (through 03/10/10)

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
|    |[GCN]Mario Sunshine| [WII]Mario Galaxy |[WII]Mario Galaxy 2|       difference      |
|    |     (19/07/02)    |    (01/11/07)     |     (27/05/10)    |                       |
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|-----------|-----------|
|Week|  Weekly |   LTD   |  Weekly |   LTD   |  Weekly |   LTD   |  SMG2-SMS |  SMG2-SMG |
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|-----------|-----------|
|  1 |  280.610|  280.610|  256.431|  256.431|  337.569|  337.569|     56.959|     81.228|
|  2 |  102.576|  383.186|   78.439|  334.690|  116.153|  453.722|     70.536|    119.032|
|  3 |   59.975|  443.161|   43.317|  378.007|   71.803|  525.525|     82.364|    147.518|
|  4 |   39.562|  482.723|   37.484|  415.491|   49.304|  574.829|     92.106|    159.338|
|  5 |   43.921|  526.644|   36.354|  451.845|   38.461|  613.290|     86.646|    161.445|
|  6 |   22.794|  549.438|   48.750|  500.595|   30.470|  643.760|     94.322|    143.165|
|  7 |   18.588|  568.026|   70.541|  571.136|   21.122|  664.882|     96.856|     93.746|
|  8 |   13.739|  581.765|  109.029|  680.165|   15.513|  680.395|     98.630|        230|
|  9 |    9.891|  591.656|   67.519|  747.684|   17.899|  698.294|    106.638|    -49.390|
| 10 |    8.929|  600.585|   62.017|  809.701|   14.057|  712.351|    111.766|    -97.350|
| 11 |    8.820|  609.405|   17.617|  827.318|   12.117|  724.468|    115.063|   -102.850|
| 12 |    6.827|  616.232|   16.643|  843.961|   16.192|  740.660|    124.428|   -103.301|
| 13 |    5.927|  622.159|    9.056|  853.017|   11.255|  751.915|    129.756|   -101.102|
| 14 |    6.146|  628.305|    7.234|  860.251|    9.119|  761.034|    132.729|    -99.217|
| 15 |    5.194|  633.499|    6.344|  866.595|    9.462|  770.496|    136.997|    -96.099|
| 16 |    5.112|  638.611|    5.868|  872.463|    7.906|  778.402|    139.791|    -94.061|
| 17 |    4.366|  642.977|    4.357|  876.820|    7.053|  785.455|    142.478|    -91.365|
| 18 |    2.156|  645.133|        -|        -|    8.168|  793.623|    148.490|          -|
| 19 |    2.651|  647.784|        -|        -|    6.656|  800.279|    152.495|          -|
| 20 |    2.721|  650.505|        -|        -|         |         |           |           |
| 21 |    3.481|  653.986|        -|        -|         |         |           |           |
| 22 |    4.446|  658.432|        -|        -|         |         |           |           |
| 23 |    9.965|  668.397|        -|        -|         |         |           |           |
| 24 |    9.043|  677.440|        -|        -|         |         |           |           |
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|-----------|-----------|
|Year|   YTD   |   LTD   |   YTD   |   LTD   |   YTD   |   LTD   |  SMG2-SMS |  SMG2-SMG |
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|-----------|-----------|
|  1 |  677.440|  677.440|  747.684|  747.684|  800.279|  800.279|    122.839|     52.595|
|  2 |   84.358|  761.798|  197.442|  945.106|         |         |           |           |
|  3 |   28.191|  789.989|   27.218|  972.324|         |         |           |           |
|  4 |        -|        -|   22.959|  995.283|         |         |           |           |
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|-----------|-----------|
| LTD|        -|  789.989|        -|  995.283|        -|  800.279|     10.290|   -195.004|
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1. [N64] Super Mario 64 (Nintendo) - 162.111 / 1.639.921
2. [NDS] Super Mario 64 DS (Nintendo) - 120.062 / 1.200.279
3. [WII] Super Mario Galaxy (Nintendo) - 256.431 / 995.283
4. [WII] Super Mario Galaxy 2 (Nintendo) - 337.569 / 800.279
5. [GCN] Super Mario Sunshine (Nintendo) - 280.610 / 789.989

 

[FINALFANTASYDOG]

He also said 1,5m for MH3.

Edit: I try to understand how exactly he believes 2010 this will be PSP's best year (hardware side) knowing it must sell 1,8 million units the remaining 12 weeks in order to beat 2008.

If you read the original article it's a bit more clear: (This is a paraphrase of what he said)

"the situation now is where third parties can't succeed on the DS and WII, However psp3 and X-box 360 development is expensive. So software makers are choosing to develop for psp, this is why we are seeing such a full slate of titles this year that could lead to psp's best year yet. "

Then he lists all the major titles coming out this year,

Also he quotes the release of peace walker and Monster hunter village as being part of the ever growing favorable condition of the psp.

 

[Chris1964]

If you read the original article it's a bit more clear: (This is a paraphrase of what he said)

"the situation now is where third parties can't succeed on the DS and WII, However psp3 and X-box 360 development is expensive. So software makers are choosing to develop for psp, this is why we are seeing such a full slate of titles this year that could lead to psp's best year yet. "

Then he lists all the major titles coming out this year,

Also he quotes the release of peace walker and Monster hunter village as being part of the ever growing favorable condition of the psp.

I read the article afterwards. Saying this doesn't give him credit.

 

[Jay Sosa]

Holy shit. Great Okamiden numbers!

. Seems they made the right choice by releasing it for the NDS. Hopefully that means we see another Okami games soon.

 

[Chris1964]

Some additional info from Famitsu semi annual game industry seminar.

*Famitsu First Half Fiscal Year 2010 top 15 publishers (units)

01. Nintendo - 4.436.797
02. Pokemon Co. - 3.859.750
03. Konami - 3.184.100
04. Bandai Namco - 2.391.077
05. Square Enix - 2.250.915
06. Capcom - 2.136.762
07. Sega - 962.744
08. Level 5 - 941.584
09. SCE - 700.929
10. Koei Tecmo - 453.392
11. Hudson - 423.139
12. Marvelous Entertainment - 358.631
13. Atlus Co. - 263.508
14. Idea Factory - 251.783
15. D3 Publisher - 180.609


*76 titles are scheduled for release at 3DS.

 

[Dascu]

Some additional info from Famitsu semi annual game industry seminar.

*Famitsu First Half Fiscal Year 2010 top 15 publishers (units)

01. Nintendo - 4.436.797
02. Pokemon Co. - 3.859.750
03. Konami - 3.184.100
04. Bandai Namco - 2.391.077
05. Square Enix - 2.250.915
06. Capcom - 2.136.762
07. Sega - 962.744
08. Level 5 - 941.584
09. SCE - 700.929
10. Koei Tecmo - 453.392
11. Hudson - 423.139
12. Marvelous Entertainment - 358.631
13. Atlus Co. - 263.508
14. Idea Factory - 251.783
15. D3 Publisher - 180.609


*76 titles are scheduled for release at 3DS.

Is there a list of all these titles?

 

[Chris1964]

Is there a list of all these titles?

No, he mentioned only the number, but more or less we know them.

 

[Chris1964]

Health and Sports Day in Japan delayed Pokemon numbers (again). Maybe we'll get them tomorrow.

These are the upcoming new hardware SKUs until the end of the year.

NDS

28/10/10
DSi LL Super Mario 25th Anniversary Edition (limited)
Special Edition Red DSi LL
¥18.000

28/10/10
DSi Super Mario 25th Anniversary Edition (super limited - available only at Seven-Eleven)
Special Edition Red DSi
¥15.000

20/11/10
DSi Pokemon Black (unknown if limited, possibly is)
Black DSi and Pokemon Black
¥19.800

20/11/10
DSi Pokemon White (unknown if limited, possibly is)
Black DSi and Pokemon White
¥19.800

PSP

18/11/10
Black/Red PSP-3000 (limited)
¥16.800

18/11/10
White/Blue PSP-3000 (limited)
¥16.800

01/12/10
Monster Hunter Portable 3rd Limited Edition (limited)
Slightly redesigned PSP-3000 and Monster Hunter Portable 3rd
¥19.800

WII

11/11/10
Wii Super Mario 25th Anniversary Edition (unknown if limited, possibly is)
Red Wii, 1 Red Wiimote Plus and Super Mario Bros.
¥20.000

PS3

21/10/10
Normal SKU (not limited)
White PS3 320GB and 1 White DS3
¥34.980

28/10/10
Playstation 3 Value Pack (limited)
Black PS3 160GB, 2 Black DS3 and WE2011
¥39.980

03/11/10
PlayStation 3 Racing Pack (limited)
Blue PS3 160GB, 1 Blue DS3 and GT5
¥35.980

18/11/10
Normal SKU (not limited)
Black PS3 320GB, 1 Black DS3 and Torne
¥39.980

360
20/11/10
360 Kinect Special Edition (not limited)
Black XBox360 250GB + Kinect
¥29.800

 

[Spiegel]

PSN PSP Weekly Top 20 (Oct 4 - 10)

1. Zero No Kiseki (Falcom/5200Y)
2. Monster Hunter Portable 2G (Capcom/1600Y)
3. Black Leopard: A New Tale of Yakuza (Sega/5600Y)
4. Project Diva DLC (Sega/2000Y)
5. Project Diva 2nd (Sega/5400Y)
6. Project Diva DLC2 (Sega/3000Y)
7. Beauty Clock (300Y)
8. Phantasy Star Portable 2 PSP the Best (Sega/2500Y)
9. Tetris (900Y)
10. Beats (SCE/800Y)
11. Bushou Shiki: Battle Masters (Konami/4800Y)
12. Dissidia Final Fantasy Universal Tunning (Square Enix/2100Y)
13. Sengoku Basara: Battle Heroes (Capcom/1600Y)
14. Kono Aozora ni Yakusoku (5040Y) NEW
15. Tokimeki Memorial 4 (Konami/1800Y)
16. Dissidia Final Fantasy (Square Enix/2100Y)
17. Minna no Golf Portable 2 (SCE/2200Y)
18. Ys SEVEN (Falcom/5200Y)
19. Sengoku Esatsu Yugi Hototogisu Dairan (Irem/3800Y)
20. Dot Defense (SCE/1200Y)

 

[Chris1964]

FlingSmash will be bundled with pink Wiimote Plus. The price is 4.800 yen.
http://www.inside-games.jp/article/2010/10/13/45009.html

Last week's DSiWare and WiiWare rankings
http://www.inside-games.jp/article/2010/10/13/44996.html
http://www.inside-games.jp/article/2010/10/13/44995.html

 

[duckroll]

I wonder what numbers for PSN are actually like. For example, is the top5 selling in hundreds? Or in thousands?

 

[Chris1964]

Famitsu top 10: 04/10/10 -10/10/10

01. [NDS] Pokemon Black / White (Pokemon Co.)
02. [PS3] Gekijouban Macross F: Itsuwarino Utahime - Hybrid Pack (Bandai Namco)
03. [NDS] Kingdom Hearts Re:coded (Square Enix)
04. [PS3] Red Dead Redemption (Take-Two Interactive)
05. [PSP] Class of Heroes 3 (Acquire)
06. [PS3] F1 2010 (Codemasters)
07. [WII] Wii Party (Nintendo)
08. [360] Red Dead Redemption (Take-Two Interactive)
09. [PS3] Dead Rising 2 (Capcom)
10. [PSP] K-On! After School Live!! (Sega)

Macross has the best opening ever for the series.

 

[duckroll]

http://www.4gamer.net/games/117/G011794/20101013046/

Macross Frontier movie - 152k
KH Re:Coded - 95k

 

[Spiegel]

Pokemon - 231,638 / 3,992,855
Macross - 152,699
KH Recoded - 95,505
Red Dead Redemption PS3 - 70,599

Top 20
http://www.4gamer.net/games/117/G011794/20101013046/

PSP 33,683
DSi 22,301
DSi LL 21,777
PS3 19,948
Wii 12,158
DS Lite 5,960
Xbox 360 2,746
PS2 1,373
PSP go 1,191

 

[duckroll]

For benefit of everyone who predicted, here are the results for the prediction games:

MacF - 152k
Re:Coded - 95k
RDR PS3 - 70k
RDR 360 - 25k
Class of Heroes 3 PSP - 30k
Class of Heroes 3 PS3 - 14k

 

[Busaiku]

That seems like a really low debut for Kingdom Hearts.
Was that to be expected since it's just a remake? Or did it really bomb?

 

[Kenka]

wtf Kingdom Hearts, why so low ?

 

[duckroll]

I wouldn't say Re:Coded "bombed", but so far the debut definitely underperformed. This was expected though, because retailers were already hinting that the game wasn't getting much traction in pre-orders, and it didn't seem like there was a ton of interest as normal.

It should be noted that this is a remake of the cellphone game, which most KH fans in Japan would have already played if they cared about it back when it was released over a year ago. The DS remake was created mainly for the western audience who were unable to play the mobile version.

The marketing for this in Japan was also a lot lower than usual for a KH game, and it was announced at E3 in a very quiet manner, and released in Japan just a few months after that.

 

[Spiegel]

Let's hope the rumored shipment information wasn't true then because it was 250k iirc

 

[duckroll]

Let's hope the rumored shipment information wasn't true then because it was 250k iirc

I don't think Re:Coded will have a lot of trouble eventually selling 200-250k. I think the shipment is true, and it probably won't ever receive a second one, but like I said, this was a much smaller scale release in Japan.

 

[Road]

It is a spin-off. It is a remake. It is also the third Kingdom Hearts game released in the past fifteen months, with another new installment already announced and a Final Mix version to be released soon.

Macross Frontier, on the other hand, best first week ever?

 

[duckroll]

Macross Frontier shows that if you bundle a demo or a throwaway interactive experience into a blu-ray movie which would have sold pretty well on its own, you can increase the sales even more. It also indicates that the otaku fanbase in Japan are well informed enough that it doesn't matter whether you sell the movie in video stores or game stores - they'll know where to buy it.

Also, interesting note:

RDR PS3+360 = 96k
Re:Coded = 95k

Nomura suicide?

 

[Spiegel]

I don't think Re:Coded will have a lot of trouble eventually selling 200-250k. I think the shipment is true, and it probably won't ever receive a second one, but like I said, this was a much smaller scale release in Japan.

Well, I said that because all of the KH games released after the first one have sold >55% of the LTD sales in the first week.

 

[Kenka]

39 % drop week over week for Pokémon.

Drop rates so far :

Week 1 : 68 %
Week 2 : 55 %
Week 3 : 39 %

I wonder how it compares to previous iterations of the franchise.

 

[cvxfreak]

I wouldn't say Re:Coded "bombed", but so far the debut definitely underperformed. This was expected though, because retailers were already hinting that the game wasn't getting much traction in pre-orders, and it didn't seem like there was a ton of interest as normal.

It should be noted that this is a remake of the cellphone game, which most KH fans in Japan would have already played if they cared about it back when it was released over a year ago. The DS remake was created mainly for the western audience who were unable to play the mobile version.

The marketing for this in Japan was also a lot lower than usual for a KH game, and it was announced at E3 in a very quiet manner, and released in Japan just a few months after that.

Basically this. No hardware bundle, no BbS-like hype, nothing. Just a regular release for a reasonably big series.