Well, despite I don't disagree with you, it's true that it's kinda difficult follow your arguments. Aostia almost explained your point, but I think it's a little bit exagerated.
Of course the end of this year won't be as important as others were. However, I can't see it being that bad.
We have some PS4 stuff, and 3DS hardware could make really good numbers. Splatoon and Mario Maker will help Wii U, etc. I mean, it's bad but not that bad.
well honestly:
Xbone: lol
PS3: almost non-existent in terms of HW nowadays. can't see this change in the incoming holidays
PS4: many games were delayed, so I think there will be a bunch of Western games trying to pull its hw: the price cut is the most significant factor, btw, in the incoming holiday period, imho. can't see it putting the charts on fire, considering the actual sw situation.
Wii U: probably up YoY, thanks to Splatoon and SMM possibly better than last years' offer in terms of "new audience", but nothing spectacular (can't see it being able to repeat '13 holidays numbers)
Vita: seems on decline YoY and I don't know if there is something out there able to recover the system for the holidays.
3DS: probably the worst YoY holiday comparison incoming here, due to the launch of the NEW 3DS models last year, and the lack of brand new significant software (the paradox is that it seems that next year is better shaped despite it being its...6th? year on the market)
Every single console seems weaker than last/previous years for the incoming holiday season, for many (and different) reasons. There is the PS4 price cut and the Splatoon effect for the home segment, but seems still not so significant in Japan, honestly.
Software wise too, with the lack of big releases we are probably in to see also a missed opportunity in trying to exploit, for example, the advantages of a very solid/big/healthy install base (the 3DS one) especially during a period of the year that usually is favorable to that console. MH X will probably sell well, but still less than a main entry; Monster Strike imho is a very big question mark. Other games are old games, that probably will have legs, but being old and spinoffs can't compete with previous Decembers.
Lol
Just when I said that probably was delayed to early next year.
they read GAF, obviously, and noted how we underlined an opportunity there!
Here' the big december game for the 3DS... Monster Strike, coming out on December 17th in Japan. 4500 Yen.
Source (Famitsu leaks, no scans)
Very confused about the actual sales potential of this game, honestly. Looking at P&D (continues...)
Will it follow the same trajectory P&D had?
it debuted VERY well, and ended up with a huge LTD imho.
The "sequel" demostrated, on the other hand, that there was a lot of curiosity around this "experiment", that didn't last in the mouth of the consumer. Some IPs are better suited for mobile gaming (for many reason I can't explore here now), so I wonder what will prevail: Monster Strike success or "Mobile gaming on portable bad taste"?
In any case it will be probably the most interesting thing to observe in December sales-wise.