Smiles and Cries
Member
CowboyAstronaut said:
less than 15% of the vote would send a nice message Mississippi no one would ever fuck with your state again
CowboyAstronaut said:
electricpirate said:Hey Ami, where could i go to get more information about getting involved in the PA ground game? I'm in NYC, and didn't start following the election in time to have any impact here, now I want to help outside of donations.
Although, I'm sure there would be some angry Philadelphian's to see any kind of NYer out campaigning
"Hillary is seen as the one who can get the job done"--but nothing about how she actually could. Is she planning a third-party run? Does she think Obama is going to die? The memo does not say.
The reason it doesn't say is that Clinton's path to the nomination is pretty repulsive. She isn't going to win at the polls. Barack Obama has a lead of 144 pledged delegates. That may not sound like a lot in a 4,000-delegate race, but it is. Clinton's Ohio win reduced that total by only nine. She would need 15 more Ohios to pull even with Obama. She isn't going to do much to dent, let alone eliminate, his lead.
That means, as we all have grown tired of hearing, that she would need to win with superdelegates. But, with most superdelegates already committed, Clinton would need to capture the remaining ones by a margin of better than two to one. And superdelegates are going to be extremely reluctant to overturn an elected delegate lead the size of Obama's. The only way to lessen that reluctance would be to destroy Obama's general election viability, so that superdelegates had no choice but to hand the nomination to her. Hence her flurry of attacks, her oddly qualified response as to whether Obama is a Muslim ("not as far as I know"), her repeated suggestions that John McCain is more qualified.
Clinton's justification for this strategy is that she needs to toughen up Obama for the general election-if he can't handle her attacks, he'll never stand up to the vast right-wing conspiracy. Without her hazing, warns the Clinton memo, "Democrats may have a nominee who will be a lightening rod of controversy." So Clinton's offensive against the likely nominee is really an act of selflessness. And here I was thinking she was maniacally pursuing her slim thread of a chance, not caring--or possibly even hoping, with an eye toward 2012-that she would destroy Obama's chances of defeating McCain in the process. I feel ashamed for having suspected her motives.
This needs to be pushed over the weekend and Monday. Obama's gonna need it with the GOP trying to throw a wrench in.CowboyAstronaut said:
APF said:I did hit that nail directly on the head, yes; the only conclusion you can come to is that even BHO and his in-over-their-heads advisers don't buy the garbage they spew, and will indeed rapidly draw back; not from Iraq--but from their empty promises.
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:lolCowboyAstronaut said:I figured something out you guys. Hilary is not going to accept her loss I put money on it she will run as a third party candidate :lol
You guys wanna bet?
He's held a press conference on it. Doesn't seem to be getting national attention, but I hope it gets attention in Mississippi.Rur0ni said:This needs to be pushed over the weekend and Monday. Obama's gonna need it with the GOP trying to throw a wrench in.
CowboyAstronaut said:I figured something out you guys. Hilary is not going to accept her loss I put money on it she will run as a third party candidate :lol
You guys wanna bet?
That will really do a good job of improving her pity vote. Poor Hilary the outcast of her party running as a woman fighting against the male establishment risking it all for her Country. :lol
good question does that mean bye bye PD?Artie said:Since Obama technically won Texas, is Triumph going to be unbanned? :lol
Smiles and Cries said:good question does that mean bye bye PD?
Artie said:Since Obama technically won Texas, is Triumph going to be unbanned? :lol
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=9826512&postcount=1323Amir0x said:shit
that IS a good question
what do you think PD, call this a "draw" and unban Triumph?
Triumph said:The ban bet was for a month, and it was over Texas- not Texas and Ohio. And I take winning to be percentage of popular vote... even if he wins more delegates, she'll claim a win if she takes the percentage and the media will buy it. See Nevada.
If Pee Dee wants to double down, we can do a ban bet for TWO months if he'll add Ohio to the mix. I'm feeling frisky.
PhoenixDark said:He didn't "win" the state.
GhaleonEB said:
Fast rebuttal.PhoenixDark said:He didn't "win" the state.
:lol :lolAmir0x said:I unbanned him anyway because OBAMA IS AWESOME
That's bullshit. If it was truly a draw, they should both be banned, but it wasn't.Amir0x said:I unbanned him anyway because OBAMA IS AWESOME
Neither of them are being banned, that's the draw.Rorschach said:That's bullshit. If it was truly a draw, they should both be banned, but it wasn't.
Amir0x said:I unbanned him anyway because OBAMA IS AWESOME
GhaleonEB said:
Amir0x said:I unbanned him anyway because OBAMA IS AWESOME
wtf. He LOST. The bet was on just the primary.Amir0x said:Neither of them are being banned, that's the draw.
A lesson in which I was the winner? That is quite confusing.Amir0x said:whatever ban bets are dumb, take a lesson
I take Simpsons rules unless specifically noted. :[Amir0x said:Neither of them are being banned, that's the draw.
Cheebs said:wtf. He LOST. The bet was on just the primary.
Edit: NM you already replied
And I didnt bet on the caucus at all. Me and PD bet Triumph on the PRIMARY. Just the primary.
belvedere said:So can we post the details on how he won Texas?
How many delegates did each of them take from Texas etc.
Haha don't blame me. Triumph was the one going around trying to get people to bet against him on Texas. His cockiness about it is what got me to take him up on his offer.Amir0x said:The lesson in which BAN BETS ARE DUMB. Like I can keep up on the convoluted terms of your bets! Jesus someone had a list in the other thread, I never banned anyone on it either
They're spinning the way they claimed the Hillbots would if the tables were turned. How ironicritical...or is it hyporonical?PhoenixDark said:The caucus was irrelevant considering he still lost the state. While this spin is indeed entertaining it's not extremely truthful.
Cheebs said:A lesson in which I was the winner? That is quite confusing.
My lesson is that many Obama fans are blind to the possibility of loss I guess?
I've said before: I don't like a disconnect between popular vote and delegate allocation, just as I don't like the disconnect between popular vote and the electoral college. It goes both ways.PhoenixDark said:Nice :lol
I wonder how you guys felt about this same issue 8 years ago...
Then why is no one outside of BarackObama.com and GAF claiming Obama won Texas? Is every single newspaper and news show ran by Hillbots?Rorschach said:They're spinning the way they claimed the Hillbots would if the tables were turned. How ironicritical...or is it hyporonical?
Think of that post as talking to PhonexiDark, not about him.Cheebs said:Then why is no one outside of BarackObama.com and GAF claiming Obama won Texas? Is every single newspaper and news show ran by Hillbots?
Artie said:what have i done