The X1 outsold the Wii U in a month in which they killed their own sales and the WiiU had a couple days of Mario Kart help. The X1 won't be outselling the PS4 next month, but lets stop with the "fortunate to outsell the Wii U" hyperbole too
But why do you think these sales threads exist? It's to estimate and pinpoint how the sales of certain game and game platforms will hold up. And for investors to see if putting your money into a stock for a company will be viable or not. Henceforth why I made my own personal prediction.
Watch Dogs split is interesting, Destiny is probably going to look something like that, if not worse. It's not the exclusive content that does it but marketing. Wonder how Evolve and CoD shake out this fall as those are the two MS has marketing deals with.
PS4 domination continues, great stuff from Sony. Glad to see there is one console that is really leading the way into this new generation. Not surprised about XBO's poor numbers in May and I'm not sure why anybody would be. They announced the price cut knowing full well May would be a throwaway month, June will be interesting. (though I doubt it'll be much better)
It started being born with late PS2 era games like Guitar Hero, blossomed last generation, and then got stolen away by Apple and Google this generation. If MS, Sony or Nintendo had been savvy enough, they would have been able to keep that large, growing, highly profitable market segment; they were not. It's not really an insult, though, as Apple and Google are two of the most competitive companies right now.
The important thing here is that last generation wasn't a "bubble" or anything. It isn't that the audience suddenly came and then just as suddenly went away; that would imply that they left gaming entirely. Instead, these gamers came... and then were stolen away from consoles by gaming platforms that are better at serving their preferences and tastes. Those gamers are still around, they just don't care about the Xbox One or PS4 or Wii U very much.
Wii shouldn't really be included in the analysis, as that market was something completely foreign to either the 360 or PS3 audiences, largely, and has not been recaptured by the Wii U. They have moved on to mobile platforms.
I don't see how it's going to get "much worse" from here on out, when Microsoft has already taken some necessary steps to improve their situation in the US, and there's a huge amount of titles releasing in the fall that will usher in more current-gen adoption.
Then you have the impact of normal price drops, improving lineups, and last-gen die off.
There could ultimately end up being a slight contraction for the 360 + PS3 market, but current sales numbers (which have dwarfed the previous gen's early adoption numbers), don't indicate that at all yet.