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Pachter on Wii U, Next-gen, CoD, Activision and more.

-Wii U will have a great future thanks to awesome support.
-DLC will continue to make up for lower sales of most titles
-Next XBox and PS4 will have no hard drive
-Call of Duty will continue to be a success
-Next Bungie game will be multiplayer only and the single player aspect will be subscription only. Activison will screw up Vivendi. Take-Two and Zynga will both share Activision.
-Everyone else becomes irrelevant except Nintendo

perfect!
reverse pachter always works, just like reverse gaf
 
Well, a few weeks ago when he praised Wii U I was hesitant to believe it would be successful.

Now that he's trashed it I'm pretty sure it's a guaranteed success.

Also, a HUGE LOL at the PS4/MS consoles having 2 TB hard drives.
 
I guess that is a problem with them, in that they don't announce things too early.

But like... anything at all too early.

Thing is though, third parties usually have control over what to announce and when themselves.

Maybe Nintendo is trying to control things at this point, but if there's some hidden groundswell of third party support behind Wii U, I think they might realise fairly soon that it's time to let third parties get on with it.
 
All his points have some merit:

1. WiiU - nothing points out that is is going to be any different than Wii. Hardcore gamers are waiting for PS4/next Xbox. WiiU will be sustained and build on Nintendo IPs due to vast difference in graphics between the consoles.

2. CoD - a very frank assessment. A large group of people plays CoD fanatically, yet they are paying only $60 for the base game. Although Pachter did not comment on CoD Elite, which is probably bringing a lot of revenues.

3. DLC - right again, marginal at best. The speed most gamers are going through the titles makes DLC useless for most of them - what good is DLC for you if you sold the game 3 months ago? X360 DLC on Skyrim is particulary a striking example of doing things wrongly - most X360 players sold Skyrim long time ago, whereas all PC gamers have it, since it is Steamworks. I'm sure Steam activity logs for the beginning of January will be many times that of X360 Dragonborn.
 
"This multiplayer thing being free was a mistake. I don't think anybody ever envisioned it would be this big. It's a mistake because it keeps those people from buying and playing other games.”

This statement confuses me. So he's saying that it's a mistake to sell the game for 60$ because those people aren't pumping enough money into the industry?

I mean what the hell does activision care if you only buy one game a year so long as it's their game? (on a side note I find it hilarious my spelling auto-correct wants to replace "activision" with "vivisection," seems strangely appropriate)
 
lol Activision will get eaten alive by the market if they try to make Bungie's game's MP subscription based. I almost want them to just to see Activision eat some just humble pie but I'd rather not see Bungie get screwed.
 
Dude directly contradicts himself when he says the COD guys are spending $60/year ... then goes on to talk about how huge DLC is.

Newsflash, COD moves a lot of DLC. A lot.
 
“They have their niche, Nintendo's first-party content is great content, and hardcore people will keep buying their consoles, but they're not going to only play with Nintendo consoles.”

I still say not to trust an analyst who tells you EVERYTHING FOR FREE.
This comment highlights it perfectly, Pachter is trying to get the market to think Nintendo having good sales or any green shoots means nothing.

Its bollocks. People will not keep buying consoles they don't play.

How many times have we heard the 'hardcore will keep buying' line from him? For how many years?


Ignore this man, hes playing the game.
The man makes his money off these 'reports' but gives them away for free? I. CALL. BULLSHIT.
 
He is unfortunately right about the business model for yearly shooters (from a financial point of view). Obviously the rest is a lot of crap.
 
I can't make out if he's calling COD a failure because Activision didn't make subscription money off of it (nevermind annualized game and DLC costs), or if it is a failure because the lack of a subscription model didn't force people to buy other games (why? to avoid the subscription? and this helps COD somehow?), or what. Nevermind that these market variables do not exist in a vacuum.

I suppose context is key.
 
This is a great opportunity for someone to start saving all of his crazy comments since this marks the start of a new home console generation. Then we can determine how inaccurate he has been with an annual report. If I remember to, I'll try to start saving the big ones like these.
 
We probably will at some point, assuming they're still using HDD at all.
New PS3s are 0.5TB disc or 12GB flash.
At some point definitely. The 360 went from 20 to 500, right?
I'm just not sure about launch.
 
Well I can already tell that he's wrong about the Activision Bungie one because it's Bungie's call and not Activisions. So that's one that's for sure wrong.
 
All his points have some merit:

1. WiiU - nothing points out that is is going to be any different than Wii. Hardcore gamers are waiting for PS4/next Xbox. WiiU will be sustained and build on Nintendo IPs due to vast difference in graphics between the consoles.

2. CoD - a very frank assessment. A large group of people plays CoD fanatically, yet they are paying only $60 for the base game. Although Pachter did not comment on CoD Elite, which is probably bringing a lot of revenues.

3. DLC - right again, marginal at best. The speed most gamers are going through the titles makes DLC useless for most of them - what good is DLC for you if you sold the game 3 months ago? X360 DLC on Skyrim is particulary a striking example of doing things wrongly - most X360 players sold Skyrim long time ago, whereas all PC gamers have it, since it is Steamworks. I'm sure Steam activity logs for the beginning of January will be many times that of X360 Dragonborn.
It is different,the gamepad is not the 'waggle' of it's time.
 
At this point I'm just sorry he didn't come out and say 'We'll neversee Bravely Default outside Japan' so I could pump my hopes high
 
-Wii U will have a great future thanks to awesome support.
-DLC will continue to make up for lower sales of most titles
-Next XBox and PS4 will have no hard drive
-Call of Duty will continue to be a success
-Next Bungie game will be multiplayer only and the single player aspect will be subscription only. Activison will screw up Vivendi. Take-Two and Zynga will both share Activision.
-Everyone else becomes irrelevant except Nintendo
A few truly insane bits aside (Activision related stuff) it really does sound more plausible inverting it. I'd love 2 TB hard drives in the next consoles, but it'd figure if they saw that flash memory were cheap enough, nodded, and stuck with that only on board with hard drives optional, similar to Wii U (but hopefully with a dock to store them in).
 
2TB hard drives standard?

Pachter you idiot.

He must not remember how much HD prices went up after the shortage before he opened his mouth on that one. Somewhere in the area 160-250 GB is reasonable provided we have the option to add our own external or internal storage. Might as well add $50-75 to the console price if the manufactuers pulled a move like that or eat a big loss.
 
2T to hold all those 40GB+Games.

Honestly Im frightened of the rumors of each game coming with an CD Key code. That is something that would make me give up on any format that supports that.
 
2. CoD - a very frank assessment. A large group of people plays CoD fanatically, yet they are paying only $60 for the base game. Although Pachter did not comment on CoD Elite, which is probably bringing a lot of revenues.

Elite is free now, which tells me it wasn't the success that Activision thought it would be.
 
I agree with him that 3rd party support on Wii U will probably be terribly bad. That's hardly a difficult prediction, though, but sadly the pretty obvious reality.

Most publishers/developers are about to start development on next-gen plattforms, which probably will heavily outclass the Wii U. At the same time, it's just not worth the effort to get used to the Wii U architecture for the very last generation of current-gen games when most publishers would drop the support in 2014 anyway when they change over to pushing next-gen games.

Nintendo wanted to get better 3rd party support with the Wii U, but at this point I'm not sure if it'll at least get better effort than the Wii back in the day.
 
Well the HDDs will be bigger for sure, but 2TB is a bit excessive

500GB will probably be the initial standard
 
2T to hold all those 40GB+Games.

Honestly Im frightened of the rumors of each game coming with an CD Key code. That is something that would make me give up on any format that supports that.

This right here.
 
It is different,the gamepad is not the 'waggle' of it's time.

And? The difference between WiiU and next-gen consoles will be striking, by all accounts. Yes, you could probably port it with significant downgrade in IQ, however tell me this - what hardcore gamer would buy it, knowing it runs much better on other consoles? As a result the people who will own a WiiU will be exactly the same as the ones who own Wii: a. they love Nintendo franchises; b. WiiU will be their secondary console.

Elite is free now, which tells me it wasn't the success that Activision thought it would be.

Then Pachter is right, although indirectly - CoD is too feature-packed, which makes Elite redundant. If Activision has their way MP will be priced separately.
 
Did he just say Activision failed with COD because multiplayer doesn't require a subscription and people are able to play for free then turn around and call them "Greedy Pigs" when he postulated Activision is going to do that for Destiny? .....In the same talk?
 
Well, right now, that doesn't seem so much of a prediction as an observation. Coming from this thread and seeing what's currently lined up for Wii-U in the first part of next year, it's hard to argue that it sure looks the way Pachter is painting it.

If the reality is different Nintendo needs to start illustrating it. Actually, they should have been doing that before launch.
That doesn't necessarilysay much; PS2 had overwhelmingly better games compared to the 360 in 2005 and comparable support in 2006; however, the difference now is that Wii U is not going to get ports from PC, which considered almost all the important games 360 had

PS2 games with MC over 85

From 2005

Resident Evil 4
God of War
Guitar Hero
Shadow of the Colossus
World Soccer Winning Eleven 8 International
Burnout Revenge
Dragon Quest VIII: Journey of the Cursed King
NBA Street V3
Gran Turismo 4
Madden NFL 06
Tekken 5
Fight Night Round 2
NCAA Football 06
Tom Clancy's Splinter Cell Chaos Theory
MVP Baseball 2005
SoulCalibur III
We Love Katamari
Psychonauts
Prince of Persia: The Two Thrones

From 2006
Metal Gear Solid 3: Subsistence
Okami
Final Fantasy XII
Guitar Hero II
Devil May Cry 3: Special Edition
Bully
NCAA Football 07
Final Fantasy XI: Treasures of Aht Urhgan
Kingdom Hearts II
Midnight Club 3: DUB Edition Remix

360 games with MC over 85

from 2005
Call of Duty 2
Project Gotham Racing 3
Geometry Wars: Retro Evolved
Dead or Alive 4

From 2006
Gears of War
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion
Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon Advanced Warfighter
Burnout Revenge
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Vegas
Fight Night Round 3
The Elder Scrolls IV: Knights of the Nine
Tom Clancy's Splinter Cell Double Agent
Dead Rising
F.E.A.R.
 
2T to hold all those 40GB+Games.

Honestly Im frightened of the rumors of each game coming with an CD Key code. That is something that would make me give up on any format that supports that.

I wouldn't mind cd-keys if the games cost the same as PC games...

Yeah, thats never going to happen.
 
Pachter said:
Next-generation consoles are going to have big hard drives, they're also going to have disc drives,” predicted Pachter. “I would guess that the PS4 and the Xbox 720 will have 2 TB hard drives. That pretty much means you can download anything you want and never get rid of anything. You'll have room for a couple of hundred games, no problem.”
zdd0A.gif
 
He goes to say how Wii U won't be anyone's console of choice for playing CoD, then affirms CoD itself is a failure.

Further dissection to the comments he's made would unveil madness to last us days.
 
why do i click

every time, when it's a pachter thread, i click, and i dont know why




I think his observations about DLC not being the industry's saving grace are correct, though. It helps the big games through sheer volume, but probably produces barely a blip on the financials of mid- and low-tier selling games.
 
2T to hold all those 40GB+Games.

Honestly Im frightened of the rumors of each game coming with an CD Key code. That is something that would make me give up on any format that supports that.

I think it would just make me pull the trigger and switch fully over to PC. The money I save on renting is the only thing keeping me hanging on with consoles.
 
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