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PoliGAF 2014 |OT2| We need to be more like Disney World
- Thread starter Aaron Strife
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NYCmetsfan
Banned
Fox alert: Hannity is going to have on Pat Buchanan to tell us why banning travel from all of West Africa isn't racist. The go to expert
benjipwns
Banned
It's great, now they can pickup REAL insurance from the individual marketplace.
Lol, right on time.
I'm gonna un-Diablos and say I actually think Dems will end up holding their majority, but it might be a long night...
I know it's crazy because I see how the average is 60% GOP or what have you, but there's still time.
If Dems can let the RV model trump LV models once more in just enough races, they've got this.
Yup. I finally took a peek at the Senate seats up for grabs in 2016. It's a ridiculously favorable map. To put this in terms of college football games, it's a cupcake schedule for Democratic senatorial candidates.
November 2016 could really bring forth a Republican Party apocalypse. If everything lines-up perfectly, their worst nightmare - Hillary Clinton with a Senate supermajority and the House - could really come true.
Why? For entertainment?You guys might want to read this book:
RustyNails
Member
Finally we will have universal healthcare!
Dems won't hold the senate, though. With all of the gay marriage, the GOP is bound to have a huge come back due to all of the old, white, antigay folks coming out to vote for them in the midterm. Then in 2016, you can guarantee a GOP house, senate, and white house so that the Tea Party can guarantee no liberal, activist judges get placed on the SCOTUS.
Truth fact.
Edit:
In all honestly, I do worry a little bit about the black Christian vote. They are even more vehemently against gays than white Christians are... They could cause a bit of a problem...
benjipwns
Banned
To recognize that once we get voter fraud out of the system, this country is going to vote like 1972 and 1984, all the time, every time.
Uh huh.
Aaron Strife
Banned
Not a chance.
WayneMorse
Banned
And there's great potential to push the Senate in a more leftward direction. Progressives are already getting chairman positions on committees and the Senate map in 2016 gives Dems a lot of races where nominating a progressive is feasible unlike this year's.
eBay Huckster
Member
it's time for MAXIMUM ANTI-DIABLOS
zero shift
Banned
This is what people forget. The Dems have been fantastic at communicating with minorities and single people (the fastest growing demographics) as well as the youth. I wouldn't be surprised if the nation looked similar to California twenty years from now.
WayneMorse
Banned
it's time for MAXIMUM ANTI-DIABLOS
If this is the result on election night I'll buy a cake with this map in frosting and mail a piece of it to all of you.
RustyNails
Member
Lot of pollsters still dont understand the kansas shakeup. For all intents and purposes Democrats gained one seat in the senate.
Lets just hope Orman keeps his dick in his pants for the next few weeks.
I am thinking that Braley is going to pull a win out of his ass. Kentuky is a DEADHEAT, but looking awfully better than it did two weeks ago when it was written off. Nunn I think is a goner, and so is Carter. I dont think Georgia is civilized yet. Its confederate blood runs deep and red.
Lets just hope Orman keeps his dick in his pants for the next few weeks.
I am thinking that Braley is going to pull a win out of his ass. Kentuky is a DEADHEAT, but looking awfully better than it did two weeks ago when it was written off. Nunn I think is a goner, and so is Carter. I dont think Georgia is civilized yet. Its confederate blood runs deep and red.
Make mine chocolate, please.
I'm going to try and keep myself grounded with regards to the Senate results. This will be the first time I vote in midterms or a governor's race, so I don't know enough about how much can change a month before an election. Yesterday, I saw Sam Wang's site had Dems down to like 51% chance of maintaining the Senate, then 63% today.
How much do current events affect upcoming elections, such as the gay marriage rulings? I know the abortion issue in Texas has women's reproductive rights groups riled up, but I assume it won't really be enough to impact the governor race.
How much do current events affect upcoming elections, such as the gay marriage rulings? I know the abortion issue in Texas has women's reproductive rights groups riled up, but I assume it won't really be enough to impact the governor race.
No.
NYCmetsfan
Banned
You guys might want to read this book:
you should post what election cycle this was written in, helps the post make sense
There are probably as many young antigay people as old antigay people. Only the older ones are more vocal on the antigay side and the younger ones less so
Black people are as in favor of gay marriage these days as anyone.
theprodigy
Member
it's time for MAXIMUM ANTI-DIABLOS
>anti-Diablos
>has Louisiana going to the Republicans
yeahok.gif
benjipwns
Banned
The aggregates I'm looking at all have Kansas going for him?
Except for Prop 8...
It's whatever stupid single issue the media can define your race with.
Like if somebody says that if it's legitimate gay marriage your body has some way of shutting it down.
I bet you're saying that because you looked it up and saw the publication date.
I thought it was from 2004 lol
Rhomega Beta
Member
You guys might want to read this book:
An uncontested majority party whose color is red. That sounds familiar...
NYCmetsfan
Banned
still works as long as its clear that it signals a party who had won a few and thinks its inevitable the country keeps moving their way.
eBay Huckster
Member
neurosisxeno
Member
I have almost no doubt the Senate will stay Blue.
NYCmetsfan
Banned
I really can't tell if people aren't aware how silly they sound
Aaron I get, but you guys sounds like republicans in 2012.
Aaron I get, but you guys sounds like republicans in 2012.
Why?
If forced to guess, it seems like Uncle-Joe-as-tiebreaker is going to be the very best case scenario that we're going to get. But I think Dems miss that by one, maaaybe two seats.
My pessimism doesn't go very far past Election Day. Not like it's going to change the trajectory of the last two years. Congress will be too busy campaigning to get anything done until 2016 anyway.
My pessimism doesn't go very far past Election Day. Not like it's going to change the trajectory of the last two years. Congress will be too busy campaigning to get anything done until 2016 anyway.
benjipwns
Banned
I've been here before, in 2000 and 2004, and I just hope we've got someone on duty for the Jesusland maps.
T
thepotatoman
Unconfirmed Member
Well then you need to temper your expectations at least a little bit. You're crazy if you don't think Republicans at least have a pretty good shot. Even going off Wang's 70% chance of Dem hold, you're still looking at a fairly decent opportunity for Republicans and that's the most Dem favor you're going to get.
benjipwns
Banned
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2014/10/what-liberals-get-wrong-about-football.html
lol, the punditocracy
NYCmetsfan
Banned
Chait? Lol
Uh, Chait this is what liberalism has always been. In fact any ideology pretty much says its world is the best and others should conform.
I don't see why folks would want to bother with getting upset for this particular cycle, other than building-upon future numbers. The GOP gets a week or so of a victory lap, and then we go right back to.. nothing.
And as a bonus? We get to hear incessant whining from the right about how the GOP Congress isn't doing enough to challenge the evil dictator in the White House.
benjipwns
Banned
GOP's effective new message? "Tony Perkins and David Lane are right: Gay Marriage will lead to the collapse of American Society"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LPZy-oJ3qVQ
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LPZy-oJ3qVQ
T
thepotatoman
Unconfirmed Member
I assume he's talking about me posting about hoping for SD and GA going above AK and LA. For the record I'll take as many dem seats as I can get, but if we're losing them anyway, that's how I'd like to see them lost.
I'm aware that sounds similar to the tea party radicals, but I don't see a reason to care. In my eyes tea party isn't bad for being anti establishment, they're bad for the dumb positions they hold.
NYCmetsfan
Banned
I like their political stuff but a lot of the other stuff is insufferable upworthy crap. Its like that obnoxious kid who knows the answer to everything and feels debate has been shut because he wikied something. Their social/pop culture stuff is more insufferable salon-lite crap.
benjipwns
Banned
My favorite was the "40 maps that explain modern Europe" or something like that, and like 15 of them weren't maps but pictures of boats and stuff.
Aaron Strife
Banned
Black Mamba
Member
It seems too high, but remember that the GOP is more likely to vote in midterms and thus Romney voters are more likely to vote, so the total gap should close or flip.
Oblovion said:
Answered that one here: http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=133329191&postcount=101
BTW, while I obviously want the Dems to hold as many seats as possible, there would be something massively entertaining about the idea of the Dems holding 50 seats and McConnell losing to Grimes. Oh my god, I'd nearly die.
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