Triggerhappytel
Member
I seriously seriously doubt it will outsell the 4.5 million of Resistance: Fall of Man. Even Resistance 2 sold I think about 2.5 million; I think that's about the level Sunset can expect.
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Predict the biggest gaming bomb of Fall 2014
- Thread starter ……forgetit
- Start date
I seriously seriously doubt it will outsell the 4.5 million of Resistance: Fall of Man. Even Resistance 2 sold I think about 2.5 million; I think that's about the level Sunset can expect.
davidjwallace
Neo Member
Bayonetta 2, The Crew, The Evil Within, Shadow of Mordor, and Lords of the Fallen will all bomb.
I'm betting under 1m.
Life time? 2014? October?
RespectThySole
Member
Yeah, no way it's going to sell 4.5 million. If reviews are great then it's possible that it can sell around 2m+. The thing is though the RFOM numbers are kinda misleading because it was a massively bundled launch title, which is why Resistance 2 and especially Resistance 3 sold nowhere near as much.
RespectThySole
Member
This is very unlikely, if titles like Ryse and Knack which where almost universally panned can sell around a million in under a year, I don't see Sunset selling less than that in its lifetime especially since it's receiving way more marketing and will likely be a much better game than either of those titles.
It doesn't seem to be much like TDU (or TDU2)? They're open world racing titles with a variety of race types, cars, free roam co-op, and both have a fairly weak "story." They're very similar. In addition, Ivory Tower, one of the studios working on The Crew is made up of former team members that worked on TDU and Need for Speed.
Resistance 2 sold 3m, mostly at a budget price as well. SO will do better at $60 then both Resistance and R&C as its getting a decent marketing campaign
Edit. R1 was a launch and was a pack in.
puffyshirt
Banned
Thinking SO will sell better than a Ratchet title is legit insane.
Driveclub is not a sim, not even close.
Either way, I think Driveclub will sell poorly at retail as a result of the PS+ situation. For as many people who try the trial and say "this is great, I want more!", I can only help but feel there will be twice as many saying "fun demo, great looking game... back to Destiny."
Triggerhappytel
Member
Wait, so Resistance FOM doesn't count because it was a launch title that was heavily bundled, and Resistance 2 doesn't count because it "mostly" sold at a budget price? Any other shifting goalposts to add? We don't even have any way to measure how many copies it would sell at $60 versus discounted prices, and I'm not even sure MS themselves would be able to accurately record such specifics.
Anyway, let's just wait and see if Sunset Overdrive sells 3 million+ copies to a user base of 6-7 million, shall we?
scoobs
Member
Almost zero chance this game bombs
……forgetit
Member
So not sure if I should bump this thread or not, but I'd thought it would be fun to talk about how accurate we were at the mid way point.
Bayonetta 2 am cry.
The Crew was really a suprise for me. That game seriously looked all kinds of bad. "Nextgen" thirst was real.
Trust me. I'm a PhD
Member
Evil Within was best debut for a new horror series ever, so I think it did ok^^ I thought the crew under performed, but the genre is kind of a low selling one outside of Europa, so maybe it did enough to make Ubisoft happy^^
Edit: The Evil Within thing was for NPD, so not sure about rest of world except Japan and UK where it did relatively good as well^^
https://www.ubisoftgroup.com/comsit...0959_ubisoftq3fy15englishfinaltcm99193930.pdf
2 million copies shipped for The Crew by 31 December 2014.
Also, something that might be a little indication, the Facebook page for The Crew has 800K likes which is a lot. (the Forza Motorsport page has ~400K likes for comparison, Gran Turismo has ~2.3M likes)
Edit: Ubisoft were targeting 2.5 million sales for The Crew. They've probably reached that number.
Trust me. I'm a PhD
Member
I know beating a dead horse, but poor hindle^^ You could not have been more wrong...
Trust me. I'm a PhD
Member
Wow. Yeah, that is more than Driveclub and Forza combined. Not bad at all^^ I wonder if Ubisoft if planning on mmaking it a full blown franchise?
Trust me. I'm a PhD
Member
*Shrug* Made it into my top 10 for 2014, so I thought it turned out fine^^ Hope we get a sequel
-MD-
Member
A lot of people seemed to like it and it was received pretty well critically, my favorite game from last year as well.
Revelations 2 is uh... well I'm not a fan of it, played a couple hours and shelved it.
Triggerhappytel
Member
Really interesting reading back over this topic. So can we conclude what were the biggest software bombs of 2014? I'm sure Bayonetta 2 did poorly, but it was probably in line with pared-back expectations. I was surprised how well The Crew sold, although Ubi has been hiding sales numbers behind shipped announcements. I still think Escape Dead Island probably did very poorly, but then it was clearly low budget so who knows what kind of turnover Deep Silver needed.
Do we have any idea how Sunset Overdrive sold?
Do we have any idea how Sunset Overdrive sold?
I'm on mobile, so I can't pull up the sugar numbers. Escape Dead Island almost certainly bombed, as a last gen exclusive that was critically panned, it didn't stand much of a chance. I wouldn't necessarily call it a huge bomb though, as expectations were most certainly low. Sunset Overdrive might be a bit trickier. It didn't chart in its first NPD, and the white Xbox it was bundled with was limited. Whether it's broken 1 million or not yet is debatable.
Chobel
Member
We have US number for 2014: 280K. It also didn't do well in the other countries.
OnionPowder
Member
There's no word on how well it sold. It was #9 on individual SKU for the NPD it released but other than that nothing.
Triggerhappytel
Member
Ouch; holy shit. That's much poorer than expected. I expect its sales outside of NA and UK weren't notable, so I assume it did very poorly. Poor Insomniac
fuck
SO is Insomniac's best game to date. that number should be 10x that tiny amount :/
Yeah i was dissapointed that this was for last year.
Damn Insomniac can't catch a break if that sales number is anywhere close to truth.
Terareflection
Member
Well, you might as well.
Mass_Pincup
Banned
So much crow to eat...
Word? That's way worse than I imagined..way way worse.
……forgetit
Member
You do it, not feeling like it this year.
Scottish Sin
Member
I really hope those Sunset Overdrive numbers are off. It's a great game and insomniac deserve better.
Chobel
Member
I'm not good when it comes to creating threads XD
I didn't think it would do as well as it did. Now its on its way to becoming a huge gaming series.
Damn shame about SO. I think the Ratchet & Clank remake will be a big success for them, though. Especially at only $40.
Be honest, you bumped this thread to gloat at hindle, right?
Shocking to see some of the predictions in here but hindsight is 20 20. You did pretty well though.