LittleAngryDog
Banned
I will try to summarize about why "12.6TFLOPs" (funny number btw) is still dreaming.
January 2012: AMD reaches 28nm (coming from 40nm). The Radeon HD 7970 reaches 3.8TFLOPs at a launch price of 550$.
October 2013: The Radeon R9 290X reaches 5.6TFLOPs at a launch price of 550$. Around this moment, Xbox One and PS4 are released at 400$ (lets for get Kinect) with 1.3 and 1.84 TFLOPs, being PS4 a console with a well tight price.
June 2015: The Radeon Fury X reaches 8.6TFLOPs at a launch price of 650$.
November 2016: PS4 Pro reaches 16nm, and arrives with 4.2TFLOPs at a launch (and still) price of 400$.
August 2017: The Radeon Vega 64 reaches 12.6TFLOPs at a launch price of 500$.
November 2017: Xbox One X arrives with 6TFLOPs at a launch (and still) price of 500$.
It took almost five years for PS4 Pro to reach the 7970 raw power at a reasonable price. This is what you say it is going to happen: In three years PS5 will reach Vega 64 power. At a reasonable price. Just because of Navi and the 7nm. Just forgetting that they need to work in a new internal architecture for the console, they need a new CPU, Vega was a total and weird failure in terms of consumption, RAM prices are going nuts because of the smartphones, AMD graphics cards prices are going nuts because of the dataminers, and the price of PS4 Pro isn't even including a 4K blu-ray reader.
Ok, it's not just math about the years to be accurate with pricing and the increasing of performance, but it really isn't rocket science to know that PS5 is going to be anyway a expensive platform, and that PS5 is not going much further away than Xbox One X, even if AMDs Navi just results to be a really huge success.
The NAVI architecture is going to be very good. Nothing spectacular but probably will correct the failures of VEGA, otherwise AMD will be stuck to failure since a prelude to the Nvidia VOLTA (GTX Titan V) architecture has already proved incredible. We have two more performance jumps until the end of 2019. This year we will have another advancement VEGA performance making the mainstream GPU a little more powerful. We will have next year another advancement of the GPU mainstream which may be the biggest of all with the coming NAVI architecture. And if the PS5 is released in November 2020 as I'm predicting.
The console will have its 12.6Tflops without major difficulties because in 2020 we will see another refresh of the NAVI architecture increasing the power of the mainstream GPU. Maybe I'm wrong about the amount of memory as the user '' demigod '' said. But 3.0 / 3.2Ghz and 12.6Tflops is perfectly possible. I'm being absolutely realistic based on the date of November 2020.
Remember! I'm not kicking 2019, let alone 2018. I'm talking about a console with mainstream specifications from November 2020. Nothing more and nothing less. If this is not possible by then I think the PS5 should only launch in 2021/2022.
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