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The biggest selling game of the fall will be...
- Thread starter Stoney Mason
- Start date
SapientWolf
Trucker Sexologist
I would put Halo 3: ODST in front of NSMB Wii, only because ODST will be frontloaded. NSMB will likely have sold more by summer as new Wii owners pick it up with their new purchase.bearcatjosh said:
VegaShinra
Junior Member
MW2 will easily be the top selling game this fall.
pizzapizza64
Member
SapientWolf said:
Makes sense. I wonder when NSMB Wii will be released? I'm imagining October or November.
elrechazado
Banned
JoJo13 said:
to be fair to the list, it's market research done using surveys of customer awareness, not a top ten list of "what some random site thinks will be the top selling games". big difference between the two.
I'm not saying this data is wrong, but I really can't see how ODST will outsell Modern Warfare 2, even on the Xbox 360. Call of Duty 4 sold more on the Xbox360 than Halo 3, I believe. And with ODST being an expansion with little hype right now, I don't see it selling near the number of units as H3 did. Combine that with Modern Warfare 2 probably doing better than its predecessor and there's no way.
People thinking ODST will be a huge game like Halo 3 need to open their eyes. I think it'll do five million worldwide tops, which is big, but nowhere near as big as the mainline games.
People thinking ODST will be a huge game like Halo 3 need to open their eyes. I think it'll do five million worldwide tops, which is big, but nowhere near as big as the mainline games.
Viewtiful Joe
Banned
Regarding Gran Turismo 5:
I know that the series is very good. Previous games in the series have been top notch. But I really believe that the sales succes of GT3 and GT4 on the PS2 were mainly by casual gamers, or people who wanted their first racer game.
Look, I know the game will sell a couple of millions to the so called "hardcore" gamers (I hate both casual and hardcore terms), but it will not reach the same numbers as previous games.
I have tons of friends, cousins, etc, with a PS2, and 80% of them has Gran Turismo 3 or 4. And some of them also bought GT5
. But also, a lot them will not buy GT5 because after playing other games they just realized that games like Burnout are more fun to play (at least to them) than a simulator.
I really don't think that GT5 will be the same hit as previous games, but that just my humble opinion.
I know that the series is very good. Previous games in the series have been top notch. But I really believe that the sales succes of GT3 and GT4 on the PS2 were mainly by casual gamers, or people who wanted their first racer game.
Look, I know the game will sell a couple of millions to the so called "hardcore" gamers (I hate both casual and hardcore terms), but it will not reach the same numbers as previous games.
I have tons of friends, cousins, etc, with a PS2, and 80% of them has Gran Turismo 3 or 4. And some of them also bought GT5
. But also, a lot them will not buy GT5 because after playing other games they just realized that games like Burnout are more fun to play (at least to them) than a simulator.I really don't think that GT5 will be the same hit as previous games, but that just my humble opinion.
H_Prestige
Banned
Firewire said:
Even if Uncharted were multiplatform its numbers still wouldn't be remotely close to what MW2 will do. The game will sell 'well', but it's just not that popular.
I hope NSMB does really well. It looks very fun.
ODST may outsell MW2 on 360 alone, but it doesn't have a chance in hell outselling it across both platforms.
Stoney Mason
Banned
GarthVaderUK said:
This.
I mainly posted it as reference point so if they do it every month like the story implies we can get a sense of movement based on marketing and advertising. I found the chart interesting and sort of just view it as a snapshot in time. Who is to say that Uncharted 2 won't shoot up the chart in two months based on Sony promotion.
HomerSimpson-Man
Member
Uncharted 2 will probably outdo it's predecessor and sell well enough for itself, it's probably the game I'm most looking forward to this fall, though I can't really see it shoot up the charts like the other heavy hitters (I remember how weak their ads are, seriously now CG trailers? The hell is this? The game is beautiful enough as is!); Modern Warfare 2 will sell eleventy billion copies.
GarthVaderUK
Banned
JdFoX187 said:
I'm not sure about that, Call of Duty 4 was at about 13 million in May 2009 across multiple platforms, while Halo 3 was at 8.1 million in January 2008 (and the 360 userbase has grown substantially since then, with Halo 3 showing decent legs).
Viewtiful Joe said:Regarding Gran Turismo 5:
I know that the series is very good. Previous games in the series have been top notch. But I really believe that the sales succes of GT3 and GT4 on the PS2 were mainly by casual gamers, or people who wanted their first racer game.
Look, I know the game will sell a couple of millions to the so called "hardcore" gamers (I hate both casual and hardcore terms), but it will not reach the same numbers as previous games.
I have tons of friends, cousins, etc, with a PS2, and 80% of them has Gran Turismo 3 or 4. And some of them also bought GT5
I really don't think that GT5 will be the same hit as previous games, but that just my humble opinion.
I agree with your arguments, it's not going to do 10 or 15 million but ultimately we are going to have to sit back and let the sales do the talking as there are people out there who have unquestionable faith this is going to be a massive hit and others who think that this won't meet up to the sales of its predecessors. Ultimately the scale of its success will depend on Sony's extent of bundling the game with consoles, even then since the PS3 doesn't sell very well it won't really help that much unless it is released before the holidays.
Dedication Through Light
Member
Griffith said:
Yeah I think in the end it will command it.
But since the poll seems to split Multiplatform games up on platforms. I wonder which system will get more in the end.
Im shocked that LBP is up there, I guess weekly DLC keeps it fresh in peoples minds and random updates on the PSP version
I believe last we heard GT5P sold 3.7 million. GT5 will sell allot more.Viewtiful Joe said:Regarding Gran Turismo 5:
I know that the series is very good. Previous games in the series have been top notch. But I really believe that the sales succes of GT3 and GT4 on the PS2 were mainly by casual gamers, or people who wanted their first racer game.
Look, I know the game will sell a couple of millions to the so called "hardcore" gamers (I hate both casual and hardcore terms), but it will not reach the same numbers as previous games.
I have tons of friends, cousins, etc, with a PS2, and 80% of them has Gran Turismo 3 or 4. And some of them also bought GT5
I really don't think that GT5 will be the same hit as previous games, but that just my humble opinion.
Keavy_Rain
Member
The GameStop by my house used the unsold boxes of Rock Band 2 and Guitar Hero: World Tour bundles to make a really neat fort.SapientWolf said:
The roof was tiled with used copies of the various Guitar Hero games and the manager is excited for the releases of the GH5 and Beatles: Rock Band instrument bundles because it means he'll finally get his formal dining room.
Realistically, I imagine they'll only get cheaper. Last time I was at GameStop they were selling the GH:WT bundles for $90 and had the GH2/3 games in the $15 bin. If my RB guitars would work with GH2 I'd have bought that game. I love Harmonix but have no need for three fake guitars, which is why I only ordered the standalone game for Beatles: Rock Band.
I hope the stores buy Beatles: Rock Band bundles and instruments based on preorder demand. I don't see many people willing to drop $450 on a full set of replica instruments nor do I see many stores having the room necessary to stock it all.
H_Prestige
Banned
Firewire said:
Agreed.
Bam Bam Baklava
Member
If it is anything like the last time it will be Halo with the early lead but COD will eventually outsell it.
Lord Error
Insane For Sony
Hmm, I really can't see for example GTA and LBP PSP selling close to Assassins Creed 2 (in particular), and Splinter Cell or Uncharted 2, which are not even on the list.
I guess it tells something of how much of an impression GoW3 actually left in its latest showing, despite what some of GAF thought about it, but I don't know, list is kinda weird.
I guess it tells something of how much of an impression GoW3 actually left in its latest showing, despite what some of GAF thought about it, but I don't know, list is kinda weird.
GavinGT said:
Look at the online numbers.
Halo 3 sold considerably more on 360 than COD4 360 version.
Yet COD4 360 was top of Xbox Live most of the time until CODWAW came out.
That means statistically, if a 360 owner has both Halo 3 and COD4, he's more likely to play COD4 online, at least COD4 online more.
That's certainly the case for myself and my friends, not that anecdotal evidence means anything.
Don't forget that Halo 3 ODST is 60 bucks for a 2 year old multiplayer mode, while MW2 has brand new multiplayer mode. The Halo fanboys will buy it, but they aren't all that gullible.
Halo ODST will probably maximally sell half of what Halo 3 sold. There's a number of reasons for that, mainly the fact that it's the same multiplayer as Halo 3, just with an expansion pack campaign and a new co-op mode selling for $60. It's not the next true Halo title. There also seems to have been a huge shift in FPS gamers towards CoD and away from Halo.
Are you really going to pull Major Nelson numbers to substantiate sales figures? That's not counting how many people don't get online for both games. Not to mention how many played through one game or another and put it down and haven't touched it again. I haven't played Modern Warfare in about six months. Yet, I put Halo 3 in recently. It counts as an extra person online for H3 and not someone online for CoD4. Stupid way to measure.Asmodai said:
godhandiscen
There are millions of whiny 5-year olds on Earth, and I AM THEIR KING.
Since ODST is not a main entry in the series, I am not expecting much in terms of its sales. Hopefully it surpases my expectations.
Ok I see some wrong information in this thread. Halo 3 outsold COD4 on the 360.. not sure where some of you are getting your numbers. With that said. I still give the nod to ODST outselling MW2 this fall. Of course only on the 360 again. Overall Gamesales. MW2 will easily do 12+million by Spring of next year.
This thread was not interesting or surprising at all (no offense). It's just a shame that quality titles, won't be getting massive sales like some other quality titles do (Call of Duty MW2) or titles that haven't deserved it (Madden 2010). It doesn't matter if God of War III is up that high on that list. That game could get perfect 10s and MW2 (for PS3) and would still beat GOWIII in sales.
Stoney Mason
Banned
Stoney Mason
Banned
Nutter said:
And just so the haters can hate even more.
I'm not really on the hate or love Activision fence like others. They are just another company to me.
Let's put that in perspective.
(2007) COD 4: 13 million across all platforms.
(2008) COD WaW: 11 million across all platforms.
(2009) COD MW2: XX million.
And that's just one franchise for them. Throw in the WoW money and everything else that would add on top and you can add Bobby Kotick to those "it prints money" gifs.
You may not like him and his philosophy but they are rolling in the dough at the moment.
JdFoX187 said:
Counting the number of unique users online seems like a great way to tell which game people prefer when comparing two high selling titles like COD4 and Halo 3. The data suggests that more people prefer COD4 on 360, therefore it's reasonable to expect that MW2 might sell quite a bit more than H3 ODST, especially considering that multiplayer is a huge part of shooter games and H3 ODST has absolutely no new multiplayer but still has a full price tag.
Just a prediction. If H3 ODST sells twice as much as MW2 on 360, you can say "I told you so." :lol Isn't that the whole point of Sales- Age? If it has one?
SPACECADET
Member
put in my bet for modern warfare being the best selling this fall.
EternalGamer
Banned
Why is Wii Sports Resort not on this list? I think its pretty clear that it will be the year's biggest seller given the install base of the Wii and the fact that it is a sequel to the game that largely made the Wii such a huge seller. Mario and Wii Fitt + will be 2 and 3. Maybe Halo or some other traditional game can eek out a fourth place position, however.
Let time decide how Activision will do in the long term.
Right now they're in position to have a really good fall even if GH and that Tony Hawk game flops.
I'm guessing Uncharted 2 will sell quite a bit more than the first, with all the word of mouth the game's been receiving. If Sony's able to pull just Infamous level marketing with Uncharted 2 then I can see the game being in the top 10 NPD and be the best selling PS3 game for at least two months after release.
Right now they're in position to have a really good fall even if GH and that Tony Hawk game flops.
I'm guessing Uncharted 2 will sell quite a bit more than the first, with all the word of mouth the game's been receiving. If Sony's able to pull just Infamous level marketing with Uncharted 2 then I can see the game being in the top 10 NPD and be the best selling PS3 game for at least two months after release.
Only if you have the mentality of a small child.Asmodai said:
I'm expecting MW2 to outsell Halo 3 ODST on 360 in the end, because both the campaign and MP components are all-new. I'm expecting ODST to have a larger debut, though. But we'll see.
From what's known so far, the online functionality for both Firefight and Campaign will mirror Halo 3's tech - which if the case will lead to a lot of disappointment. Bungie is generally ahead of the curve with their online implementations, and in many ways still is, but feature parity with Halo 3's campaign two years later will be a disappointment. (No drop-in, drop-out co-op, no saved film clips, etc.)Sean said:
GarthVaderUK
Banned
JdFoX187 said:
At 9 million sales on 360 that would put combined PS3 and PC sales of the game at 4 million worldwide.
For Halo 3 to be under 9 million sales currently, it would have to have sold less than 900K copies worldwide in 16 months (starting from just over 3 months after the game launched). During this period of time the 360 userbase increased by over 12 million.
If we take the logical step of saying Halo 3's sales are likely to be more than 900K worldwide in 16 months, but still try to argue that CoD4 on 360 has somehow sold more than Halo 3 in total, then you'd be forced to say that even fewer copies of CoD4 were sold between PS3 and PC - and that's just not realistic.
It's simply not very likely at all for Call of Duty 4 on 360 to have outsold Halo 3!
Dedication Through Light
Member
EternalGamer said:
Isnt this a consumer's thought list? Perhaps the people have no interest in WSR or at least think its compelling enough.
1000 ppl
Mr.Potato Head
Banned
Destroy ODST? Im not too sure about that...it may sell more overall but "destroy"..i cant comprehend your logic there, palConcept17 said: