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Ukrainian Conflict - Donetsk Boogaloo

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So what are the chances of an actual war breaking out over this? Does Putin really want war that badly? I don't even know how one would play out in a nuclear age between modern countries, it would just be hell on earth
 
That would be a whole 4% more than in Russia two years ago (it's kinda hard to believe it's been two years already).

18k1daz57fwuujpg.jpg


http://gawker.com/5864945/putin-clings-to-victory-as-russias-voter-turnout-exceeds-146

To be more precisely it was 146%.
P.S. It is Russian election not Crimea.
I suppose they love democracy so much that they wanted to vote more than once
 
So what are the chances of an actual war breaking out over this? Does Putin really want war that badly? I don't even know how one would play out in a nuclear age between modern countries, it would just be hell on earth

The idea behind the nuclear deterrent is to keep any war that breaks out conventional. Russia seems to be aiming for more than just Crimea. If they do indeed push farther I expect Ukraine and Russia to get into a war and then we will have to see.
 
So what are the chances of an actual war breaking out over this? Does Putin really want war that badly? I don't even know how one would play out in a nuclear age between modern countries, it would just be hell on earth

If Ukraine starts the war, east-ukraine and the people there will support russia, the Pro-Russia protests in Kharkiv and Donetsk are just the beginning.
 
If Ukraine starts the war, east-ukraine and the people there will support russia, the Pro-Russia protests in Kharkiv and Donetsk are just the beginning.

It won't be that simple, there are a lot of people in the East who prefer trade with Russia, but they don't necessarily want to become a Russian province.
 
Well, to be fair, it seems that there are plenty of people in Crimea who are in favor of this decision. Lots of them are attending celebratory events:

Bi3xOUnIYAAQICM.jpg


source, it's a photographer who works for Novaya Gazeta, the most (and probably only) anti-governmental Russian newspaper and who is generally pretty cool.

I'm sure the plebiscite was rigged in some way, but one wonders what would the results actually be like if it was done properly. The referendum is illegitimate no matter what, but it would be interesting to know what those people actually want and how the things would play out if this debacle with Russian didn't occur in the first place.
 
At the end of the day we royally screwed over Ukraine with the Budapest memorandum. Ukraine used to be the third largest Nuclear power in the world.
 
I'm disturbed that 12 Ukranian officials in Crimea have reportedly gone missing with one of them being seen kidnapped by armed masked men. Shady shit.
 
The idea behind the nuclear deterrent is to keep any war that breaks out conventional. Russia seems to be aiming for more than just Crimea. If they do indeed push farther I expect Ukraine and Russia to get into a war and then we will have to see.

See what? Ukraine doesn't have nukes and the west is not going to get involved. If you think Russia's reputation is bad now I can't imagine what it would look after they use nuclear weapons against a non-nuclear state.
 
I'm disturbed that 12 Ukranian officials in Crimea have reportedly gone missing with one of them being seen kidnapped by armed masked men. Shady shit.

Yep said to be a lot of kidnappings occurring. 3 Orthodox Priests who have been very vocal against Russia are missing as are several more journalists.

See what? Ukraine doesn't have nukes and west is not going to get involved. If you think Russia's reputation is bad now I can't imagine what it would look after they use nuclear weapons against a non-nuclear state.
I mean see what happens. Ukraine has been moving its tanks and other armor to the Eastern Ukraine. If Russia decides to make a move they will come into direct contact with Military forces that have been ordered to fight.

If a fight breaks out I cant see the west staying as neutral
 
Well, to be fair, it seems that there are plenty of people in Crimea who are in favor of this decision. Lots of them are attending celebratory events:

Bi3xOUnIYAAQICM.jpg


source, it's a photographer who works for Novaya Gazeta, the most (and probably only) anti-governmental Russian newspaper and who is generally pretty cool.

I'm sure the plebiscite was rigged in some way, but one wonders what would the results actually be like if it was done properly. The referendum is illegitimate no matter what, but it would be interesting to know what those people actually want and how the things would play out if this debacle with Russian didn't occur in the first place.

There probably is a majority of people who would vote to join Russia but that's not really the point, the point is how this was conducted without the actual consent of the government of the country it's in and under military supervision and coercion. You think if a piece of Texas wanted to vote to join Mexico that everyone would be fine with that?
 
The majority of Crimea really does want to join Russia. That was never the debate. The debate is whether Crimea has a right to secede.
 
The majority of Crimea really does want to join Russia. That was never really the debate. The debate is whether Crimea has a right to secede.

That is false. As recent as polling in 2012 70% of the Population described itself as Ukranian.

Now Russia has people whipped up in such a fury they cant even see straight. A known Neo Nazi comes in and declares himself Governor of Donetsk. He gets arrested and now they demand he be freed because he is their "governor" meanwhile they cry for help because supposedly speaking Russian is grounds for being shot on sight by Nazis.

Yet they actively embrace real Neo Nazis in propaganda induced fear
 
And what would the West do exactly?



Yes it's completely comparable to HIroshima because the generally agreed upon "rules" on the use of nukes already existed since many countries already possessed them. It's not like they were new or anything.

Mass-extinction of non-combatants was acceptable back in the day? Well that is why I probably wrote kinda ironic.
 
The majority of Crimea really does want to join Russia. That was never the debate. The debate is whether Crimea has a right to secede.

It's probably not such a huge majority even if there was nothing dodgy going on. A lot of people are apparently boycotting these "illegal" elections, it may not have been hassle free if you weren't pro Russia.
 
the point is how this was conducted without the actual consent of the government of the country it's in

Well, that's not really possible currently. Unless you count the current illegitimate government as legitimate.

And didn't something like that happen in Kosovo as well?

18k1daz57fwuujpg.jpg


http://gawker.com/5864945/putin-clings-to-victory-as-russias-voter-turnout-exceeds-146

To be more precisely it was 146%.
P.S. It is Russian election not Crimea.

I got something similar. And it's even from the official voting records:
http://online-dienste.bayreuth.de/w...?Gemeinde=4034721330000.html&Stimmbezirk=alle

Hxjexxn.jpg


Wahlbeteiligung = voter participation
Stimmberechtigte = eligible voters
Wähler = actual voters

In this case, I think there is some valid explanation although it looks fishy.
In your case it seems like a television network fuck up.
 
The majority of Crimea really does want to join Russia. That was never the debate. The debate is whether Crimea has a right to secede.

Polls in the past had secessionists as a minority, probably because it's not guaranteed to make anything better. What's changed is this current atmosphere of manic russophilia and the veiled threat against those who would voice opinions to the contrary.
 
There probably is a majority of people who would vote to join Russia but that's not really the point, the point is how this was conducted without the actual consent of the government of the country it's in and under military supervision and coercion. You think if a piece of Texas wanted to vote to join Mexico that everyone would be fine with that?

I'm not sure why you have to say this. I agree with you, I do not support this referendum in any way and I even stated so in my post.
 
Mass-extinction of non-combatants was acceptable back in the day?

Yes, the firebombings of Berlin, Dresden, Tokyo etc. Dresden alone resulted in the deaths 25-35 thousand in a single attack. A single attack on Tokyo killed at least 4 times that many. That's more than Hiroshima's initial death toll.
 
Polls in the past had secessionists as a minority, probably because it's not guaranteed to make anything better. What's changed is this current atmosphere of manic russophilia and the veiled threat against those who would voice opinions to the contrary.

As one of the posters earlier pointed out a lot of older people are being promised bigger Russian pensions etc. Funny thing about that though is the Ukrainian "Dollar" is worth almost 5 times what the Russian Ruble is. So even if they suddenly get paid 300 ruble versus 150 Ukrainian "dollars" they will actually have far less buying power
 
Yes, the firebombings of Berlin, Dresden, Tokyo etc. Dresden alone resulted in the deaths 25-35 thousand in a single attack. A single attack on Tokyo killed at least 4 times that many. That's more than Hiroshima's initial death toll.

I know. But I thought it is rather a case of USA will get away with everything, and not that it was okay to kill civilians.

But we are derailing^^
 
I'm not sure why you have to say this. I agree with you, I do not support this referendum in any way and I even stated so in my post.

Sorry that was more a general statement after the first sentence. Not directed towards you specifically, more a general hypothetical question.
 
Well, to be fair, it seems that there are plenty of people in Crimea who are in favor of this decision. Lots of them are attending celebratory events:

Bi3xOUnIYAAQICM.jpg


source, it's a photographer who works for Novaya Gazeta, the most (and probably only) anti-governmental Russian newspaper and who is generally pretty cool.

I'm sure the plebiscite was rigged in some way, but one wonders what would the results actually be like if it was done properly. The referendum is illegitimate no matter what, but it would be interesting to know what those people actually want and how the things would play out if this debacle with Russian didn't occur in the first place.
Don't believe everything you see...
Another view.

Bi4Cd_rCMAAdWL2.jpg:large
 
So what are the chances of an actual war breaking out over this? Does Putin really want war that badly? I don't even know how one would play out in a nuclear age between modern countries, it would just be hell on earth

If there was a war over this wouldn't that cause Crimea to be even more against Ukraine? Likely a majority of the people there, because they were subject to propaganda or not, probably think they are participating in a peaceful democratic process to decide their future. If Ukraine tried to take military action because of the results, I think that would just solidify the "fascist" image or whatever they have of the current government there.
 
So the EU is not accepting the result of this vote. Well lets see what they plan to do now.


Martin Schulz - President of the European Parliament in a live TV debate on austrian television channel: Crimea is a part of russia now - we can do nothing. Yatsenyuk must stop his aggressive rhetoric

This will happen.
 
95% voted for secession? LOL and I thought North Korea was bad. Do they think that people will actually believe that this was an even remotely legitimate vote? I mean come ON
 
Martin Schulz - President of the European Parliament in a live TV debate on austrian television: Crimea is a part of russia now - we can do nothing. Yatsenyuk must stop his aggressive rhetoric

This will happen.

European Parliament (EP) President Martin Schulz regretted that "an illegitimate and illegal referendum" took place in Crimea on Sunday and "complicated future efforts to resolve the crisis." "This ballot was valid neither under the Ukrainian nor international law," he said in a statement here tonight. "The European Parliament fully supports territorial integrity of Ukraine. A united Ukraine must be able to determine its future freely," Schulz affirmed.
"I would like to repeat my condemnation of Russia's military incursion into Crimea. It was a breach of international law and a violation of Ukrainian sovereignty.
"Arguments that a military action is needed to protect an ethnic minority were often used in that in past, with disastrous consequences," he added.

this guy?

lol
 
I know. But I thought it is rather a case of USA will get away with everything, and not that it was okay to kill civilians.

But we are derailing^^

Interesting how that keeps happening to you. Why do all these other posters insist on talking to you about all these things that have nothing to do with this thread, I wonder?
 
Well, that's not really possible currently. Unless you count the current illegitimate government as legitimate.

And didn't something like that happen in Kosovo as well?



I got something similar. And it's even from the official voting records:
http://online-dienste.bayreuth.de/w...?Gemeinde=4034721330000.html&Stimmbezirk=alle

Hxjexxn.jpg


Wahlbeteiligung = voter participation
Stimmberechtigte = eligible voters
Wähler = actual voters

In this case, I think there is some valid explanation although it looks fishy.
In your case it seems like a television network fuck up.

Actually they are, but now it is meme in runet and shows how Russian TV works.
 
Ever since the first Gulf War in 1991 there's been a precedent that you don't invade your neighbor, annex and get away with it. That might change now, with interesting ramifications worldwide.
 
this guy?

lol

The Crimea is now a part of Russia and we can do nothing? I think it's a fact.

Edit: He is against economic sanctions because it would damage our economy. The sanctions against oligarchs will not work because their money is long gone.
 
Ever since the first Gulf War in 1991 there's been a precedent that you don't invade your neighbor, annex and get away with it. That might change now, with interesting ramifications worldwide.

it is not the same as Kuwait and not the same as Kosovo either.
 
this guy?

lol

Why? He is right.

What else is the European Union supposed to do? Run and Gun? As soon as the Crimean Parliament is ceasing its work, Crimea will be part of Russia.

Edit: Russia will not falter because of some ineffective sanctions.
 
Kucinich, who served eight terms in the United States House of Representatives and ran for president as a Democrat and was also against the Afghanistan and Iraq war had this to say about Ukraine:
What I’d do is not have USAID and the National Endowment for Democracy working with US taxpayers’ money to knock off an elected government in Ukraine, which is what they did. I wouldn’t try to force the people of Ukraine into a deal with NATO against their interests or into a deal with the European Union which is against their economic interests.

more

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eaR1_an9CnQ

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/03/07/us-foreign-aid-ukraine_n_4914682.html

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2004/nov/26/ukraine.usa
 
That's why they must not be ineffective. Give them some teeth and Russia will falter.
Putin strengthened Russia's economy during his previous presidency and made Russia's economy immune to USA's sanctions. They still get deals from China, Korea, and Japan even if EU and USA put sanctions on Russia.
 
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