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August 2011 NPD Predictions - closes September 6

Phonomezer said:
That old SUPPLY chestnut rears its head again, I see :p

Wasn't there some old Sony PR with that guy that used to work at Skyy Vodka that said each store had to have 30 units in the store to be considered "in stock"?

Edit: Found it.

David Karraker from Sony Computer Entertainment contacted us to clarify what the term "supply constrained" actually means. Here's the official explanation.

The industry standard for a product to be considered to be in an "in-stock" position for a store is 30 units per store. This would be the level you would see for a PS2 or Xbox 360. At this level, retailers will feature a product in their weekly advertising circulars. If you are not at this level, retailers can't guarantee consumers will find one if they go into the store and they most likely won't support your product in weekly ads. Although you can indeed find PS3s in stores currently, we are no where near an "in-stock" position.
 

NateDrake

Member
Software:
august%202011%20npd%20chart.jpg
 
Ridley327 said:
Deus Ex must've posted some crazy numbers to be number 1 after five days of sales.


NCAA 11 sold less than 110k on the 360 last year (So I guess less than 200k all together) so maybe not, still, pretty good numbers.
 

Mpl90

Two copies sold? That's not a bomb guys, stop trolling!!!
Good Zelda
Obviously way higher in the individual chart, right?
 

jvm

Gamasutra.
If we believe the 218K figure for the PS3 (est. from MS PR and Nintendo PR) then I was ~144K off. Not horrible, considering how crazy the figures could have been this month. Nailed the Wii figure.
 

Thoraxes

Member
Thoraxes said:
[3DS] 527k
[NDS] 165k
[360] 180k
[PS3] 143k
[Wii] 146k
Wow, I hit the NDS one right on the fucking mark. Perfect prediction on that. I was pretty bad on the others though.
 

donny2112

Member
NeoGAF August 2011 NPD Prediction Results

Units

1. noobie - 110,000
1. firelink - 110,000
3. Heavy - 131,000
4. Brakara - 136,000
5. andy_lhc - 141,000
6. Jallopy - 150,000
7. Indyana - 155,000
8. Strike - 156,000
9. Road - 157,000
10. Dedication Through Light - 162,000
11. archnemesis - 166,000
12. Jonsoncao - 168,000
13. jvm - 169,000
14. confuziz - 170,000
14. SuperBanjo - 170,000
16. doicare - 171,000
17. Teetris - 175,000
18. Goldmund - 176,000
19. pitseleh - 180,000
20. donny2112 - 186,000
21. botticus - 191,000
22. Ydahs - 201,000
23. BurntPork - 205,000
24. Raonak - 206,000
25. BLaZiN PRopHeT - 211,000
26. GAF_Agg - 211,100
27. Zero-Crescent - 216,000
28. Osuwari - 220,000
29. Graphics Horse - 226,000
30. allan-bh - 230,000
30. Jesse2040 - 230,000
32. Adam Blade - 234,000
33. tonitoni - 236,000
33. uchihasasuke - 236,000
35. Pachter - 240,000
36. Megadragon15 - 245,000
37. NeoUltima - 246,000
38. rostocker - 251,000
39. artwalknoon - 256,000
39. Hiro_Kunimi_80 - 256,000
41. SonicX_Zero - 265,000
42. rayner - 266,000
43. Coxy - 270,000
44. Duxxy3 - 275,000
45. siyrobbo - 285,000
46. Jokeropia - 286,000
47. CrankyKong - 310,000
48. Saiyar - 316,000
49. Orgen - 328,000
50. Elios83 - 330,000
51. MasterShotgun - 346,000
52. Syphon Filter - 410,000
53. AlexMeloche - 420,000
53. dragonfart28 - 420,000
55. perfectchaos007 - 510,000
56. Thoraxes - 539,000
57. ItWasMeantToBe19 - 570,000
58. MatthewB92 - 770,000
59. Sennorin - 895,000

Points

Code:
     August 2011                 Overall 2011 (Top 7/8 months)
1.   noobie            117.24    Zero-Crescent       617.12
2.   firelink          105.96    Pachter             604.42
3.   Heavy              98.15    confuziz            603.19
4.   Brakara            95.12    NeoUltima           599.5
5.   andy_lhc           93       Road                598.74
6.   Jallopy            92.65    archnemesis         587.29
7.   Indyana            91.22    donny2112           577.67
8.   Strike             89.15    Elios83             574.19
9.   Road               89.03    Strike              571.57
10.  SuperBanjo         85.09    Jesse2040           571.51
11.  confuziz           84.49    Indyana             571.23
12.  Goldmund           84.14    pitseleh            564.4
13.  botticus           84.03    Hiro_Kunimi_80      560.18
14.  Dedication Through 83.97    jvm                 556.54
15.  doicare            83.22    Teetris             555.06
16.  jvm                83.13    rostocker           550.49
17.  Raonak             83.06    SuperBanjo          549.83
18.  archnemesis        83.02    Saiyar              548.6
19.  pitseleh           82.98    Goldmund            538.2
20.  Teetris            82.9     botticus            538.15
21.  Jonsoncao          82.66    andy_lhc            527.41
22.  donny2112          81.64    Brakara             526.27
23.  BLaZiN PRopHeT     81.53    Jokeropia           524.21
24.  Ydahs              81.34    Ydahs               522.79
25.  BurntPork          80.99    rayner              519.96
26.  Graphics Horse     80.7     Orgen               516.7
27.  Adam Blade         79.84    doicare             513.25
28.  Jesse2040          78.99    Megadragon15        511.9
29.  allan-bh           78.73    SonicX_Zero         510.38
30.  rostocker          78.15    BLaZiN PRopHeT      506.11
31.  Hiro_Kunimi_80     78.14    Dedication Through L504.87
32.  Zero-Crescent      77.93    Osuwari             501.08
33.  tonitoni           77.69    perfectchaos007     499.58
34.  Pachter            77.26    starship            494.56
35.  Osuwari            77.07    Jonsoncao           466.51
36.  artwalknoon        76.32    skedar897           448.94
37.  rayner             75.94    Hammer24            418.99
38.  Coxy               75.86    allan-bh            399.49
39.  Megadragon15       75.68    siyrobbo            381.29
40.  SonicX_Zero        75.46    kefka2030           354.13
41.  Jokeropia          75.11    ItWasMeantToBe19    348.6
42.  NeoUltima          75.1     uchihasasuke        346.64
43.  uchihasasuke       74.88    Credo               337.44
44.  siyrobbo           74.84    bakemono            335.59
45.  Duxxy3             74.38    Scott32020          320.91
46.  CrankyKong         73.44    NateDrake           319.7
47.  Saiyar             71.69    AdventureRacing     299.37
48.  MasterShotgun      70.61    scottnak            292.48
49.  Elios83            70.4     timetokill          291.86
50.  Orgen              70.23    antonz              273.98

Congratulations, noobie and firelink! :D

Remember that next month the overall yearly rankings will go to their final "n-2" calculation, so you'll be able to see more clearly where you stand going into the home stretch. :)
 

Nemo

Will Eat Your Children
Man I suck ass these past months. Need to put some more time into predictions from now on
 
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