Since we're less than 24 hours away from the first E3 presentation, I wanted to do one last list, complete with reasoning and percentages.
1.) Starfield: Its been rumored for years now but they had to get Fallout 4 out first. If this game was in pre-production until FO4 came out, it'll have had two years to get developed. Its possibly Wolfenstein gets announced and TEW gets pushed into next year if they're only showing two new games, but then again they could simply show three.
Likelihood of Apperance: Forty percent. As much as I want this, and despite that cute little thing someone did where they acted like the word Starfield was drawn out on that Bethesdaland image, I just think this is something they announce at next year's show.
2.) Star Wars: Visceral: Its scheduled for 2018, and EA loves showing games early. A sneak peek at this title along with a release date would make the show for me. They built hype for Battlefront 2 last year, why not build hype for Visceral's game this year?
Likelihood of Appearance: Eighty percent. It's not a shoo-in, but I'd be pretty shocked if it wasn't there on any level when they already showed a brief clip of it last year.
3.) Rocksteady's new IP: It's been two years since Arkham Knight dropped, and there's no chance Batman VR was a product that required the whole team. I could see this game coming out in 2019 so they could start hyping us up about it now. Hopefully it's either Superman or Justice League, or something superhero-related even if its an original IP.
Likelihood of Appearance: Thirty percent. Ultimately this feels too soon for RS to pop up again, and next year feels much more likely in my opinion, if they don't reveal the game's existence sometime after this E3 but before the next.
4.) Dragon's Dogma 2: It feels coincidental that they revealed a current-gen Dragon's Dogma port right around E3 season. Capcom could show off the upgraded Dragon's Dogma 2 alongside the rumored Super Street Fighter V (lol) and Monster Hunter 5 and probably have more hype surrounding them than they have in years honestly. Maybe they reworked Deep Down into this? I can't imagine why you wouldn't just take advantage of an IP that's already got some heat behind it in the first place.
Likelihood of Appearance: Twenty percent. I think DD2 might be in the works, but I also think its an end of the gen appearance like its big brother was.
5.) Tales of: If Sony's doing a major push for Japanese titles, it wouldn't be bad for them to give this a shot. Berseria actually didn't too badly over here when you look at a Sony chart for NPD sales, so the right hype behind this might take the next game to superior heights. Or it could be at Nintendo's 22 minute conference to prove they've got third-party support.
Likelihood of Appearance: Ten percent. Unless they put some serious marketing effort into this one, I just don't see it. I think Code Vein is their "big" RPG for 2018 Stateside, and the next Tales hits in 2019 for us.
6.) Fire Emblem Switch: Honestly the only reason I think we might not see this is because Nintendo is pretty set on only showing games that are JUST about to come out. But they already mentioned it during the FE Direct in February, and they'll be talking about Fire Emblem Warriors here too so maybe they'll fit it in anyway. I just need a title and a bit of a glimpse at what it looks like on the Switch and I'll shut up.
Likelihood of Appearance: Seventy percent. Fire Emblem Warriors is the perfect segue into talking about FE Switch, so I can only imagine they drop it because the Direct is only twenty two minutes and they're REALLY centered around keeping you looking at 2017 only.
7.) Final Fantasy XVI: This is Square's thing now, they might as well lean into it. Final Fantasy XV's done and dusted, so you have to have something on XVI by now. You don't even need much, just a one minute trailer and a title is plenty IMO. A small part of me wants this because I wanna see who freaks, but mostly I just want to see what the first new single-player FF in over a decade looks like now.
Likelihood of Appearance: With Square you never know, so split it right down the middle and say 50-50. I will make another bold prediction and say within the next twelve months (here, PSX, or at E3 2018) we WILL learn of this game's existence. They can't help themselves.
8.) Spider-Man: The most interesting game at last year's show, no comparison. Fortunately...
Likelihood of Appearance: 100 percent. The only thing to wonder is if this game could actually come out this year (lol) or not.
9.) Sucker Punch's New IP: I quite enjoyed Second Son. Delsin was more interesting to me than Cole and Seattle was a beautiful city, displaying Sucker Punch's wizardry with then next-gen technology. They've had years to work since then, and the sequel isn't due out until 2019 at the earliest I'm guessing. Still, Sony likes showing stuff early and they've got very little new stuff in the tank right now so they need this.
Likelihood of Appearance: 70 percent. Sony's not going to let the show go by without anything new, and this has been in the works a long time now. They'll give us a trailer with a title at the end and no date, and we'll spend two months combing over it then another 10 begging for new information.
10.) Western Fantasy RPG: There hasn't been a decent AAA one since The Witcher 3, and no Shadow of War doesn't count, even though I'm getting it anyway. For sure somebody's been working on one, but hopefully that somebody is actually read to show it.
Likelihood of Appearance: Forty percent or so. Techland's got one for sure that they might be ready to show off, but outside of that I don't know anyone that's doing one yet so I'm just crossing my fingers at the moment.
Aaaand that's it. I shook my magic eight ball and the ten games I want the most are almost all really iffy shows. E3 2018'll be much kinder to me, I'd think.