Damn thats ARMS YSO predictions is literally bomba on epic proposition. O_O
Sad that it looks like it will bomba, will probably reach 150k when it's all said and done
Damn thats ARMS YSO predictions is literally bomba on epic proposition. O_O
people have insane expectations of a new IP launching on a userbase of 900K
That would also mean a total failure on Nintendo side to actually do a better product which could sell rather than making a bomba product.
ARMS had huge push like Nintendo. I don't think it is insane for both Nintendo and many people to believe that 150k+ FW should be possible especially when Test Punch also had happen.
That would also mean a total failure on Nintendo side to actually do a better product which could sell rather than making a bomba product.
ARMS had huge push like Nintendo. I don't think it is insane for both Nintendo and many people to believe that 150k+ FW should be possible especially when Test Punch also had happen.
Are we looking at the same prediction?Damn thats ARMS YSO predictions is literally bomba on epic proposition. O_O
It's ultimately a fighting game, which is why I said a few weeks ago that I really didn't know how it would do in Japan, since bombing or a moderate result seemed equally plausibly.
It also stuck out to me that I saw vastly less Japanese names in the Test Punch than in the Test Fire, but didn't want to go in too hard on that in case they were doing closer location based matchmaking.
people have insane expectations of a new IP launching on a userbase of 900K
Are we looking at the same prediction?
70k would be pretty good for ARMS.
I don't see it becoming the next Splatoon though like some people are hoping for. I'm thinking somewhere around 250k LTD if that.
But I don't know shit.
70, 100 or 140k opening, LTD is the only thing that matters.
But it was obvious from day 0 that a Splatoon isn't happening.
I feel one of the notable differences between ARMS and Splatoon is that Japan was showing continual interest in first person shooters (Call of Duty, Battlefield, Destiny) and third person shooters (Uncharted, or even similar games like GTA, Resident Evil 4-6, and MGS4 and 5), but Japan delivered very few of those, and almost none of them with a competitive multiplayer setup.
Splatoon came in and filled the void with a Japanese made competitive third person shooter that had an accessible and relatable aesthetic, and a flagship game mode that worked really well for people who had almost no experience with shooters.
With ARMS, the fighting game genre is something that has existed in Japan for ages (with most games in it being made by Japanese developers), and there wasn't a clear sign that anyone was still looking for experiences like this given how almost every game in the genre is selling.
We can also look at Minecraft and Terraria being followed up by a majorly successful Dragon Quest Builders for another example of a company seeing an opening for a locally made game, and successfully capitalizing on that. However, the key here is that there was demand, but not perfect domestic product. That's just not true of ARMS' genre.
Arms always looked like it would do better in the West.
Splatoon didn't have a monster opening and it sold big time LTD.
Arms won't be another Splatoon but it will put up good numbers when all is said and done.
Many Nintendo games sell well over time and don't necessarily put up crazy week 1 numbers
if the whole switch shortage situation was due to nintendo stockpiling units for the arms launch then we may see the numbers being a bit inflated.
Could be. The YSO predictions don't seem to expect an increase in stock (MK8D is <20k), so the number could be higher if there actually is a higher shipment for Switch (with some associated ARMS buyers).
250k LTD would be a failure. This is a heavily-advertised, family-friendly multiplayer game from the Mario Kart team that will receive free DLC over time, and it has motion controls. They didn't greenlight it for 250k copies sold.
But I don't think a 70k first week would necessarily spell doom. I would expect 100k, but it's clearly meant to be an evergreen title. I think they'd be happy with 500k LTD in Japan.
oh wait, damn it
It's ultimately a fighting game, which is why I said a few weeks ago that I really didn't know how it would do in Japan, since bombing or a moderate result seemed equally plausibly.
It also stuck out to me that I saw vastly less Japanese names in the Test Punch than in the Test Fire, but didn't want to go in too hard on that in case they were doing closer location based matchmaking.
well the question really is if nintendo was stockpiling or if that was just BS and switch really had severe production shortage issues. we will see.
Lol.
This. People are thinking too much about Splatoon as an example now, but ending up like Pokken in Japan would already be fantastic for a fighting game.
edit: and this prediction would still make it sell more than Tekken.
Ōkami;240152348 said:Preorders
[SWI] Splatoon 2 - 638
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI: In Search of Departed Time - 363
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI: In Search of Departed Time - 330
Arms is the kind of title that sells 75k launch and still sells 75 weekly in holiday periods. The launch is absolutely not indicitave of the potential. Lets see how it holds up a month from now.
will Splatoon surpass both DQXIs before the games are released?
how? the game has a beta, people already know what they will get. it's not like the word of month is gonna explode after launch. Also people will have a lot of games to buy on switch in holiday and this is not the most appealing one.
Look out everyone, Xbox one x is going to break sales records when/if it releases in Japan
I agree with you but on the other hand I feel that the fighting genre never had a true innovation for years so it kind of declined to irrelevence. It was a majorly popular genre years ago and I have a feeling that a good product could reigite the genre. Not saying rhat that is necesarily ARMS but it could go both ways.
will Splatoon surpass both DQXIs before the games are released?
Code Vein confirmed platforms finally, light the Oregano signal.
Only Nintendo can have a successful console with NO third-party support.
I don't know if that's good or bad.
75k would be better than SFV iirc.
I think we will have many meltdowns and bans during E3, this will clean Media Create threads a bit. After all there are big releases coming that will shift attention else where.