Private Hoffman said:
And you'd be wrong, of course.
Interesting that neither the 360 or PS3 are even at prices of where the PS2/Xbox1 launched at, yet we're to believe that they're just going to pack their bags for the "next generation" only to release at a higher cost? What kind of planet do you live on?
The fact that there's been such a large increase in cost will only mean an extended lifecycle for the consoles. Since we haven't even hit 299 and below, where most of the sales will eventually come from, it's absurd to claim that neither the 360 or PS3 will surpass 40 million units. 360 will have the biggest difficulty due to a potentially saturated market in the US while the PS3 still can do well in all three primary regions.
It's an idea, but for the most part I doubt it will work.
By the time either platform is down enough in price to be at the mass market levels we think of, both will be considered old. With electronics being old is a death knell.
But again if sales don't drastically improve when they've hit those milestones, why would they last on the market? Why would Sony continue to pump money into a platform that's sending little back?
The crux of your argument is based on the idea that sales will improve. My argument is that the improvement will be negligible.
As for their next platforms. I really doubt Sony and MS will ever try this again. I really doubt any platform will launch at over $400 again. What that will likely mean is a Wii inspired PS4 and 720.
Both marginal upgrades over their last platforms.
I don't see any reason for the PS3 or the 360 to buck the trends of past fledgling platforms. They will be "failures" for the rest of their existence. In three to four years another round of the console warz will begin. At new low prices.