I still don't think Naughty Dog are revealing this VGA's. I am still expecting Santa Monica game to be revealed. For 2 reasons, Sony can't have too many fall 2014 games at once. They also cannot have similar games releasing near the same time. Uncharted and The Order are similar when it comes to the cinematic story telling as well as both being TPS. Also lets not forget Stig's team hasn't made a game since GoW3, so it sould be further along than what Uncharted 3 team are doing. I honestly just expect launch event to have Epic Games new IP (multiplatform, with PS4 exclusive DLC) and gameplay reveal for The Order. Finally I expect Santa Monica's new IP to be revealed at VGA's which will be a action brawler similar to GoW. So the fall lineup for PS4 in 2014 will be The Order and Santa Monica new IP, perhaps if we're lucky Media Molecule new IP would get revealed at GDC. Uncharted 4 would get revealed next E3 for a April 2015 release.
So basically I expect announcements to be spread out like this
Launch Event
The Order Gameplay Trailer
Drive Club trailer
Epic New IP, from creators of Gears (multiplatform, exclusive DLC)
VGA
Santa Monica new IP
GDC
Media Molecule new IP
E3
Uncharted 4
The Last Guardian
TGS
Demon's Souls 2
Gamescom
Guerilla Games new IP