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March 2011 NPD Prediction Thread (3DS launch) - Closes April 11

J

jamesinclair

Banned
[3DS] 888,888
[360] 555,555
[WII] 477,777
[PS3] 444,444
[NDS] 414,414



[PSP] 111,111
[PS2] 66,666


I have a feeling this months results will be worst than last month, because 3DS predictions are all over the place, from 500k to 1.2k.
 
J

jvm

Gamasutra.
[3DS] 600K
[NDS] 540K
[360] 525K
[WII] 500K
[PS3] 400K

Biggest non-holiday month for hardware in a long time? Could be. Or not. :|
 
D

donny2112

Member
antonz said:
not possible.
Click to expand...

Pokemon Black/White launched at the beginning of the month with 1.1m sold on the first day plus special Pokemon DS systems. It's possible. Don't know if it's likely, but definitely possible. :)
 
A

antonz

Member
donny2112 said:
Pokemon Black/White launched at the beginning of the month with 1.1m sold on the first day plus special Pokemon DS systems. It's possible. Don't know if it's likely, but definitely possible. :)
Click to expand...
True forgot about pokemon. Pachter cheated and said to expect numbers down 8% for the month
 
N

Nuclear Muffin

Banned
donny2112 said:
Pokemon Black/White launched at the beginning of the month with 1.1m sold on the first day plus special Pokemon DS systems. It's possible. Don't know if it's likely, but definitely possible. :)
Click to expand...

Nah no chance, you're discounting the people who would've picked up Pokemon along with their 3DS.
 
K

Kafel

Banned
Wedbush and EEDAR analysts Michael Pachter and Jesse Divnich have both predicted 500,000 3DS sales during the system's first five days on sale in the region, the handheld having launched on March 27.
Click to expand...

Hardware sales estimates, Wedbush / EEDAR (year-over-year change):
3DS - 500,000 / 500,000
360 - 480,000 (+42%) / 515,000 (+52%)
Wii - 410,000 (-26%) / 400,000 (-28%)
PS3 - 380,000 (+21%) / 410,000 (+31%)
DS - 350,000 (-50%) / 380,000 (-46%)
PSP - 130,000 (+8%) / 118,000 (-2%)
PS2 - 25,000 (-79%) / N/A
Total - 2,275,000 (+6%) / 2,323,000 (+8%)
Click to expand...

http://www.computerandvideogames.com/297607/news/500k-3ds-sales-in-the-us-in-march-analysts/
 
D

donny2112

Member
Nuclear Muffin said:
you're discounting the people who would've picked up Pokemon along with their 3DS.
Click to expand...

And these people would've waited in large numbers for three weeks after Pokemon B/W's release to do so?

If anything, I think it's the people who aren't going to jump on early to the 3DS train that would be most likely to have splurged on a Pokemon DSi with Black/White. Anyways, just pointing out a circumstance that could've led to DS outselling 3DS this month.

~2 hours left to predict. :)
 
D

donny2112

Member
March 2011 NeoGAF NPD Predictions

GAF Aggregate

1. 3DS - 711K
2. 360 - 472K
3. NDS - 412K
4. WII - 409K
5. PS3 - 363K

GAF_spec

1. 3DS - 654K
2. 360 - 470K
3. NDS - 415K
4. WII - 401K
5. PS3 - 350K


Edit:
For the NateDrake and Gamer98, their 3DS predictions were set to 0, since they didn't follow the format. On the flipside, if 3DS does sell 500K, it'd actually be better for them in units and the same result in points. :lol
 
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