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2012 NPD Predictions - Closes February 6th

donny2112

Member
For the monthly January 2012 predictions, go here.

This prediction thread covers the grand total of all console hardware sales as given in the NPD reports (or estimations of NPD data from a lack of actual NPD data) from January through December 2012.

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EST on Monday, February 6th. Format use is absolutely required.

Do not use decimal points or "m"/"million" in your predictions. If you predict over 1 million for a system, you can use 1000K or more to get to your prediction. Be careful to use the appropriate number of place values so you don't over or understate your predictions by a factor of 10. People who have such outliers will be disqualified.

Note the new platforms this year! We're saying goodbye to the NDS, and hello to the PSV and WII U.

Format:

[360]
[3DS]
[PS3]
[PSV]
[WII]
[WIU]

Good

[360] 5500K
[360] 5500000
[360] 5,500,000

Bad

[360] 5.500.000
[360] 5.5 million
[360] 5.5m
[360] - 5.5 m
360 - 5 million

2011 Results*
jvm/Gamasutra said:
[360] 7300K
[WII] 4500K
[PS3] 4500K
[3DS] 4100K
[NDS] 3800K
[NGP] 0K

* Many numbers were not publicly available throughout the year, so using jvm/Gamasutra's estimates.

2010 Results
NPD said:
[NDS] 8,557,500
[WII] 7,069,900
[360] 6,764,089
[PS3] 4,333,500
[PSP] 1,660,324*

* PSP numbers for December 2010 were not made available, and thus the number you see here includes an estimate of 428,000 December hardware sales from jvm at Gamasutra.

2009 Results
NPD said:
[NDS] 11,185,400
[WII] 9,594,000
[360] 4,770,700
[PS3] 4,334,500
[PSP] 2,495,900
[PS2] 1,799,900

2008 Results
NPD said:
[WII] 10,170,989
[NDS] 9,951,108
[360] 4,735,403
[PSP] 3,828,746
[PS3] 3,544,966
[PS2] 2,503,231

2007 Results
NPD said:
[NDS] 8,500,000
[WII] 6,290,000
[360] 4,620,000
[PS2] 3,970,000
[PSP] 3,820,000
[PS3] 2,560,000


Potentially significant releases for 2012
(No guarantee these'll come out in 2012. Also, this list is not meant to be comprehensive.)

360 - Halo 4, price drop
3DS - 3DSXL, NSMB3D
PS3 - vs. XIII, price drop
PSV - Launch
WII - WII U, price drop
WII U - Launch

2011 NPD Prediction Thread
2010 NPD Prediction Thread
2009 NPD Prediction Thread
2008 NPD Prediction Thread
2007 NPD Prediction Thread
2006 NPD Prediction Thread
 
Wow, last year went really bad for me. Let's try this again.

[360] 6100k
[3DS] 6200k
[PS3] 4050k
[PSV] 2650k
[WII] 2350k
[WIU] 1450k
 

Hammer24

Banned
Yeah, last year wasn´t too hot on the prediciton front. Lets try again.

[360] 7007K
[WII] 3003K
[WIU] 1001K
[PS3] 4404K
[3DS] 7707K
[PSV] 1901K
 
When do you think the Wii U will hit?

If it's like the Wii and hits in November surely it will be hard for it to rack up 2500k, won't it?
A lot of things would have to happen for that number imo.
First an August-September launch. Second a $300-$250 price tag. I don't see that happening but I wouldn't complain if it did.
 
No Xbox next ? Neogaf doesn't believe in 2012 Launch ? :D
i still do... hope still vivid until "E3 disappointment.. "


anyway


[360] 6600K
[3DS] 6200K
[PS3] 3800K
[PSV] 1900K
[WII] 2600K
[WIU] 1500K
 

Road

Member
[WIU] is so ugly.

We've discussed it before, but seeing it written next to the others now...

Disguised bump.
 

starship

psycho_snake's and The Black Brad Pitt's B*TCH
[360] 6500K
[3DS] 7500K
[PS3] 4500K
[PSV] 2500K
[WII] 2500K
[WIU] 2500K
 
[WIU] is so ugly.

We've discussed it before, but seeing it written next to the others now...

Disguised bump.

I'm inclined to agree, having also even written it for some thread or another. Perhaps [NWU] or whatever 3-letter hardware code Nintendo uses would be better? e.g. SNS, NUS, DOL, RVL, etc.
 

Wolfie5

Member
[360] 6500k
[3DS] 9000K
[PS3] 4000K
[PSV] 2000K
[WII] 3500K
[WIU] 2500K

Expecting a September Wii U launch with 1 million sales. Oct-Dec 1,5 million (shortages).

In case it gets released:
[720] 1500K
 
It's funny and depressing that Versus XIII is always listed a potential system seller for the yearly prediction threads :( It has to be listed because it's an announced exclusive from a major developer and series, but it's still sad to see it on there.

[360] 6500k
[3DS] 7000k
[PS3] 3500k
[PSV] 2000k
[WII] 2300k
[WIU] 2000k
 
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