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October 2014 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes November 11th

donny2112

Member
What is NPD?: NPD is one of the main retail tracking firms in the U.S., and also about the only one who specifically goes into detail on video games sales. This thread is to predict what the NPD hardware sales will be for the most recent month. NPD months are defined here, from jvm.
What do I win?: Bragging rights. We also keep track of predictions over the year and have an annual contest using "points." Still just bragging rights, but Sales-Agers have fun seeing how well we can do with it. See here for details on the point calculations.

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EST on Tuesday, November 11th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: October 5-November 1, 2014 (4 weeks, September was 5 weeks)
NPD Release: Thursday, November 13th @ 4 p.m. EST (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EST)

Format:
Note: PS3 and WIU will only be counted for unit results and cardinal order bonus. They are not included for point results.

[360]
[3DS]
[PS3]
[PS4]
[WIU]
[XB1]

Good/Bad Formatting
Code:
Good              Bad
[PS4] 300K       [PS4] 300 thousand
[PS4] 300,000    [PS4] 300.000
[PS4] 300000     [PS4] - 300000


Potential hardware impacting events in October:
Summary
Super Smash Bros. for 3DS - October 3 (launched with 2 days left in the September NPD period; 28 days)
XB1 Holiday $50 price drop announced for Nov. 2-Jan. 3 - October 27 (6 days)

Prediction Format: (repeating to emphasize to use this format)

[360]
[3DS]
[PS3]
[PS4]
[WIU]
[XB1]

September's Results - thanks to various angles
(QUOTE TO SEE and go ahead and use the format above for your predictions, since you're quoting. :p)

September 2013 NPD thread
October 2013 NPD thread

NPD Prediction Thread Archive
 
Sunset Overdrive/Bayonetta 2 confirmed insignificant ;)

edit: wait a minute does the XB1 holiday deal run through precisely November/December NPD?.....
 

Mpl90

Two copies sold? That's not a bomb guys, stop trolling!!!
Ah! Such a thread would imply we get numbers in any way possible. So funny! Ahahaah.

;___________________;
 

Duxxy3

Member
[360] 60k
[3DS] 105k
[PS3] 40k
[PS4] 285k
[WIU] 80k
[XB1] 250k

PS4 should be roughly 300k. Not sure about XB1 because I'm not sure how limited the SO bundle is.
 

ethomaz

Banned
Tagged. I will post my numbers soon.

This month is a bit predictable and I don't expect too much about SO. Destiny otherwise will be on TOP10 again due lack of big releases.

November is when MS is putting all their cards.
 

Road

Member
This thread is to make your random guess. I'd rather it not end up closed because of that old discussion derailing it.

Worry about the numbers later. *shrugs*

[360] 44k
[3DS] 111k
[PS3] 33k
[PS4] 299k
[WIU] 66k
[XB1] 199k
 

Chocolate & Vanilla

Fuck Strawberry
[360] 51k
[3DS] 120k
[PS3] 33k
[PS4] 290k
[WIU] 62k
[XB1] 195k

Think Destiny was still the biggest console seller. Don't see SO shifting that much hardware.
 

Welfare

Member
Can't check any more since the thread's been closed, but I'm pretty sure creamsugar's post was a joke (his post embedded an email-protected tag revealing the joke).

Really?! Fuck I can't check since the threads locked. But were you serious?
 

2thepoint

Junior Member
Not to be rude but is it even worth it this month? Main sources of information are gone right now.

Don't worry, Aqua will appear when we least expect it, like CBOAT.

She may even be in this thread right now....queue X-Files theme tune.
 

Chobel

Member
[360] 51K
[3DS] 88K
[PS3] 30K
[PS4] 281K
[WIU] 64K
[XB1] 259K

Not to be rude but is it even worth it this month? Main sources of information are gone right now.

We have other sources, it may take longer than usual for those sources to reveal the numbers, but eventually we will have them.

Really?! Fuck I can't check since the threads locked. But were you serious?

Yeah, I saw the email tag too.
 

allan-bh

Member
creamsugar joke really spread out.

Anyway, another month with PS4 crushing Xbox One. I'm curious about Bayonetta 2 and Sunset Overdrive sales.
 
Really?! Fuck I can't check since the threads locked. But were you serious?

Yeah it said something like 'this is fun'. I thought it was best not to bother correcting people.
Edit: oh someone linked to it so you can see for yourself, I'm on mobile but guess it's still there.
 
I think people need to realize this is for October, before the holiday price drop. And if you look at Amazon best sellers for the month of October, which have always been correct in relation to NPD numbers, had both the standard PS4 and Destiny bundle selling better than the highest charting Xbox One...


Ill make my prediction later, but Xbox One isn't going to win October, it's time will come in November...


I'm anxious to see if there is any way Xbox One sales for November and December can make up the difference the PS4 accumulated in September and October...That would have to happen to make any type of dent in the sales gap for North America...
 

Rymuth

Member
Don't worry, Aqua will appear when we least expect it, like CBOAT.

She may even be in this thread right now....queue X-Files theme tune.
She will return in our hour of need.

I'll hold off posting my prediction until SwiftDeath arrives so I can
ripoff...err...adjust my prediction accordingly...yeah, that's the ticket.
 
Regarding november, aren't like half the sales from around Black Friday? I think it's best to wait and see what happens through the month, there's too many unknowns right now, we might even see stock shortages coming back.
 

Regiruler

Member
[360] 50k
[3DS] 290k
[PS3] 30k
[PS4] 340k
[WIU] 140k
[XB1] 325k

Also I predict Bayonetta 2 is going to chart, but at the very back of the list.
 

Welfare

Member
Regarding november, aren't like half the sales from around Black Friday? I think it's best to wait and see what happens through the month, there's too many unknowns right now, we might even see stock shortages coming back.

I doubt that. It seems that all 3 have enough supply for this holiday season.
 
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