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Art Laffer on the effect of Kansas' tax cuts: "You have to view this over 10 years"

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Oblivion

Fetishing muscular manly men in skintight hosery
Raise my taxes if old:

Celebrity economist Arthur Laffer told me in an interview last week that he was not surprised by the huge deficits Kansas is facing because of massive tax cuts.

Back in August 2012, Laffer told a crowd at the Johnson County Community College, if Kansas would slash its income tax rates, it would result in “enormous prosperity.”

He told a reporter at the time that he had not produced an economic model on when Kansas will notice meaningful economic growth.

Two-and-a-half years later, Kansas is staring at a budget crisis, with more than a billion dollar gap between revenues and expenses projected in the current and next budget years. The state is also experiencing a low private job growth rate, as well as a slow-growing economy.

In a 45-minute phone interview, Laffer said while he is “not surprised,” he didn’t know why the deficits have occurred. He still believes adamantly in his supply-side economic theory: If you reduce income taxes, you will raise more revenue, not less.

Just when the revenue starts to rise is another matter.

“You have to view this over 10 years,” Laffer said. “It will work in Kansas.”


The economist clearly did not see the massive tax cuts in Kansas as an “experiment,” as described by Kansas Gov. Sam Brownback. Rather, he viewed the positive outcome in Kansas from tax slashing as a certainty.

“It may be a problem in the short term,” he said. But he said the governor and Legislature “did the right thing” by cutting income taxes.

Read more here: http://www.kansascity.com/opinion/opn-columns-blogs/steve-rose/article7024256.html#storylink=cpy

Step 1: Claim that tax cuts increase revenue and job growth because tax cuts always increase revenue and job growth.
Step 2: Don't bother creating any actual economic models because tax cuts always increase revenue and job growth.
Step 3: When confronted with reality, admit that although tax cuts always increase revenue and job growth, tax cuts will, amazingly enough, not lead to increased revenue and job growth.
Step 4: Brush away Step 3 because fuck it, why not?
 
You have to wait until I'm dead . . . . and then I don't give a shit what you think or say.

(Actuarial charts say that he'll most likely be dead before the 10 years are over.)
 

Averon

Member
So the brilliant economics the GOP have been howling about for decades takes 10 yeas to "kick in"

This would be laughable if it weren't for the fact that so many people truly believe it.
 

JJD

Member
If I could drag one man out back and beat him to death with his own shoes, it would be that guy.

Out of curiosity, why? Not trying to troll or anything I'm just actually curious why you picked him out of countless bad guys out there.
 
We tried this bullshit on the federal level with Reaganomics. American wages have been stagnant since then, rising poverty, shrinking middle-class but the wealthy doing absolutely stellar. They said the wealth would trickle down...
 
Obligatory.

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slit

Member
Someone should tie him in a chair and slap him until he admits he's wrong.

It's the only way these people will admit it.
 

Oblivion

Fetishing muscular manly men in skintight hosery
What's so stunning is how utterly confident and smug he (and his ilk) are when it comes to arguing in support of this trickle-down garbage. Unless I'm mistaken, all, or virtually all instances where we tried lowering taxes, on any level of government has never resulted in more revenue than without the tax cuts. Hell, even Ronaldus Magnus, who brought us supposedly the greatest period of economic prosperity in the history of civilization, didn't even result in more revenues. And that's with the entire fricken country. What kind of economic explosion did they expect to come out of an oversized dirt ball like Kansas?
 
Someone should tie him in a chair and slap him until he admits he's wrong.

It's the only way these people will admit it.

I think they already know that they are wrong. They don't care if they are wrong. They just care about cutting the taxes on rich people.

When it fails, taxes will get raised, things will start working again . . . and then they can float the idea again because people are stupid. Who doesn't want to believe that cutting taxes will fix everything?
 
What's so stunning is how utterly confident and smug he (and his ilk) are when it comes to arguing in support of this trickle-down garbage. Unless I'm mistaken, all, or virtually all instances where we tried lowering taxes, on any level of government has never resulted in more revenue than without the tax cuts. Hell, even Ronaldus Magnus, who brought us supposedly the greatest period of economic prosperity in the history of civilization, didn't even result in more revenues. And that's with the entire fricken country. What kind of economic explosion did they expect to come out of an oversized dirt ball like Kansas?

You've got to give it time. Don't think short term, think long term. Soon, the rising tide will lift all boats.
 
I think they already know that they are wrong. They don't care if they are wrong. They just care about cutting the taxes on rich people.

When it fails, taxes will get raised, things will start working again . . . and then they can float the idea again because people are stupid. Who doesn't want to believe that cutting taxes will fix everything?

Yeah. They don't actually care whether it's good for people because they believe in cutting taxes, period.
 

slit

Member
I think they already know that they are wrong. They don't care if they are wrong. They just care about cutting the taxes on rich people.

When it fails, taxes will get raised, things will start working again . . . and then they can float the idea again because people are stupid. Who doesn't want to believe that cutting taxes will fix everything?

Of course they know they're wrong and that's why you force them to be truthful.
 

Chichikov

Member
Why?

Does he just feel it in his gut, or are there any good studies that support this with evidence?
He makes a lot of money pushing that theory, as Upton Sinclair said “It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it".
The funny thing is that those tax cuts pretty much works as intended.
I don't know, maybe Laffer actually believes it, and Reagan might have too, but for the most part, proponents of such policies weren't expecting a revenue increase, I mean, they don't want the government to "have more money". Those policies were meant to achieve two things -

  1. Give the GOP a popular economic position to campaign on (everybody hates paying taxes, right?).
  2. Starve the beast, create a crisis which would totally force us (with the help of chicken shit Democrats) to make "hard decisions" and cut program the public likes.
Though these days there's a whole lot of Republicans who might actually believe that bullshit works.
 

Oblivion

Fetishing muscular manly men in skintight hosery
Conversely, Obama's job killing tax hikes and regulations haven't worked as advertised by Republicans either.

Why's reality gotta be such a dick, huh?
 

BobLoblaw

Banned
If you reduce income taxes, you will raise more revenue, not less.
One of the stupidest theories out there. What the fuck is wrong with Republicans? Cutting taxes CANNOT create infinite revenue.
 

Oblivion

Fetishing muscular manly men in skintight hosery
Or they fully realize that no one is going to accept 10 years of a bad policy and will change it before the 10 years. Then they'll say "It was JUST about to start working!"

Laffer didn't fail Kansas. Kansas failed Laffer.
 

jblank83

Member
Two-and-a-half years later, Kansas is staring at a budget crisis, with more than a billion dollar gap between revenues and expenses projected in the current and next budget years. The state is also experiencing a low private job growth rate, as well as a slow-growing economy.

WHOOPS

Guess it's time to beg... I mean "lobby"... for tax dollars provided by hard working blue-state citizens.
 

Stinkles

Clothed, sober, cooperative
Bad excuse. His voting believers regardless of age, are not into long term planning due to stupidity and impending death.
 

Bronetta

Ask me about the moon landing or the temperature at which jet fuel burns. You may be surprised at what you learn.
Dont worry guys Amjad will remind us in 10 years.
 
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