Same goes to assuming a huge leap in development costs or fracturing of markets without any basis.
Where did I say huge leap in development costs? I have not once quantified the scope. The fact is though, development costs will rise with this. The fact is, you're fragmenting the user base from a devleoper's view. How big or small these things doesn't change two facts, development costs increase and the user base from a developer viewpoint is fragmented. Some people seem to have trouble accepting these things which are true. Out of all the speculation in this therad, these two points are things that we know.
The rumor and reporting right now is for one iteration. Not multiple. So you're extrapolating without any basis. It's unknown how it will go.
No, an extrapolation is taking what we know and making a conclusion. I'm not making any conclusion here and pointing out that we have no idea how things are going to be moving forward. Nobody here can answer with any type of certainty what the new business model is like, how frequent are we going to get change, and if we even have generations anymore. Nobody can answer these questions. That's not extrapolation, that's being open and not jumping to any conclusion.
No table has been flipped. Since you're a developer, surely you have contacts at Sony with their third party support teams and could get some real answers, rather than just making huge assumptions?
It has been flipped. Consoles used to be in generational form which lasted for at least 5 years if not more. Having a mid generation upgrade is a completely different paradigm in the console market. So yes, things have been flipped and developers didn't see this coming at the beginning of the generation. Not all PS4 developers are privileged to all the information about what's going on the business side either. When things like this happen, larger, more important partners are disclosed on some details, and then they slowly bring in more people on to the tech until it's formally announced and then the gate is wide open. Just because I can gather info on the devkit and the tech doesn't mean I'll be able to gain insight in the 10 year plan Sony has.
Sure there are. Lots of people, actually. But they're likely very wrong, but it's still going on.
I was referring to the current discussion, not earlier in the thread which seems to have died out with the knee jerk reactions.
Such as yourself with the fragmentation and significantly higher costs/time of development argument?
Quote me where I quantified the scope. You've somehow read, it'll take time, money and resources to support and added in the "significantly higher" part on your own.
However, your arguments have not been facts. They have been assumptions. And yes, there are potential problems given your assumption set. Insight into those potential problems are valuable indeed.
Fact - We don't know how many iterations we are going to get
Fact - We don't know if the generation model still exists
Fact - The user base will be fragmented
Fact - Development costs go up
These are all facts.
You've been insulting from your first comment. And you continue to be personally insulting.
My take is far from "ungrounded", friend.
Sorry, you were insulting first. I can quote you if you can't remember. I'm just calling you out on how you tried to dismiss what I posted, which I supported with what was the real reasons behind the decline of the Wii.