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Polygon: Xbox Scorpio will be a ~6 TFLOP system (v PS4K's 4.14), unveil soon, Fall 17

AmyS

Member
6TF is less what previous rumors targeted at.

6TF is actually achievable with full and highly clocked Polaris 10 and not with bigger Vega chip from which I expect much higher performance.

Either a full highly clocked Polaris 10 or a cut down Vega 11 (Vega 10 would be too big / expensive / hot, etc.).
 

NESpowerhouse

Perhaps he's wondering why someone would shoot a man before throwing him out of a plane.
NX is finished, isn't it? It'll likely be around PS4 levels of power at best, so this probably doesn't bode well for 3rd party support for the console.

EDIT: Then again, they will probably have to make the games be scalable enough to work on older hardware, so there's that.
 

gamerMan

Member
So are we going to have a situation where 'the most powerful console' will be alternating every 12-18 months? :p

Ridiculous right? It's pretty easy to make better hardware than someone else. You just put better parts inside. How long till Microsoft and Sony run this into the ground? I say 10 years.

While the internet is too slow right now, a better idea for this iterative hardware is to make gaming a service and all the hardware is scaled on the backend. You just connect to it. The console is a blackbox in the cloud and can easily be upgraded invisibly like a web server.

This is just a little silly.
 

RiccochetJ

Gold Member
Just when I start not giving a shit about e3's the pull me back in.

I only really care about the conferences and then the nightly Giant Bomb E3 after hours show and the guests that they pull in.

And the dancing otter that people around here post during the GB guest breaks.
 

allan-bh

Member
On mobile so can't quote multiple posts (too much of a hassle), but from last page, the PS4 is not leading because of power. Xbox One launched in significantly less countries than the PS4, and the few they did launch in, the system was $100 more expensive. That wrecked MS and even then price drops didn't save them because it was either too little too late, they reversed price drops, or they didn't do anything at all. Sony had the mind share thanks to the botched XB1 reveal, and the lower price after launch cemented its lead.

Damn top of page

True, but the gap would be lower if Xbox One was more powerful.
 

CLEEK

Member
If anyone can subsidize the hell out of their hardware it'll be Microsoft, right?

I mean, MS has fat stacks. They could afford to dump the original Xbox to get the 360 out, I assume they can afford to dump the One to get this new thing out.

I'm not really sure how well Sony is doing right now, but I know that they were kind of struggling just a few years ago overall (gaming division's doing really well now obviously).

I doubt that subsidising a mature division to get marketshare for a revision of an existing product would sit well with investors. The days of MS pumping endless money into Xbox are over. The division and its products have to stand on their own two feet.

I can't see any console maker ever subsidising their hardware like they used to in previous gens. Selling hardware at a slight loss, sure, but we'll never see another PS3 event again.
 

Bsigg12

Member
This isn't an iteration Xbox One. It's a whole new Xbox. They're dumping it 3-4 years into its life.

edit: speculation

It'll likely get 2-3 more years of support once the Xbox Scorpio launches bringing it to a 6-7 year lifecycle. Just speculation on my part based on comments earlier in the year.
 

ironcreed

Banned
Well fuck me, should i be cancelling my xbox one i just orderd off ebay? lol

14saeo.jpg
 

clem84

Gold Member
NX is finished, isn't it? It'll likely be around PS4 levels of power at best, so this probably doesn't bode well for 3rd party support for the console.

EDIT: Then again, they will probably have to make the games be scalable enough to work on older hardware, so there's that.

MS' and Sony's iterative console model is gonna save the NX. :D
 

K.Jack

Knowledge is power, guard it well
6TF is less what previous rumors targeted at.

6TF is actually achievable with full and highly clocked Polaris 10 and not with bigger Vega chip from which I expect much higher performance.

That's 150W on GPU alone. We going liquid cooling too?
 

orochi91

Member
Eh, I was being sincere.

I've been put in my place.

I'm curious to see too if MS will take a big hit on hardware.

Since this will be their first foray into an iterative cycle, maybe they should?

On the other hand, they recently wrote off ~$1 billion due to their failed smartphone venture, so maybe they'll be cautious about frivolous expenses.
 
6 teraflops is nice. I am wondering myself if they will announce this at E3 or wait till sometime early next year. If they do it this E3 that would be crazy.
 
I think it's very odd that they want to announce XBOXTwo (not the other devices) so early. It will definitly hurt XBOX One sales. One might imagine that they think it will hurt PS4 and especially PS4 Neo sales even more. Spoiler alert!
It won't
.
 
But Xbox is Windows 10, they can have all the budget they want now.

Xbox division is in the Windows division as of about 2 years ago. Xbox hardware was moved to the Surface team last summer, a team who is now the Microsoft Hardware team, also under the umbrella of the Windows team.

In other words, Xbox is now on the tip of the spear for Windows. Arguably, they have more resources than they ever did before, but it's all about what's best for the Windows platform.

You guys should read SPE's latest post:

I doubt that subsidising a mature division to get marketshare for a revision of an existing product would sit well with investors. The days of MS pumping endless money into Xbox are over. The division and its products have to stand on their own two feet.

I can't see any console maker ever subsidising their hardware like they used to in previous gens. Selling hardware at a slight loss, sure, but we'll never see another Original Xbox/Xbox 360/PS3 event again.
 
This isn't an iteration Xbox One. It's a whole new Xbox. They're dumping it 3-4 years into its life.

edit: speculation


The rumours say MS are releasing a slim-version of the XB1 this year. I don't believe even MS would pay the amount of money it costs to design and produce that if they were only going to support it for 12 months.
 

rambis

Banned
Sounds good but target rating doesn't quite excite me yet. Would love to see what they come up with becuase 6 TFLOPs sounds insane in a console this year.
 

raphanum

Member
This is all rumour and speculation, no? It seems silly to leak your spec details a year or more before release as your competitors can also adjust specs.
 

Anion

Member
I can believe that it would be more powerful than the ps4, as that really was a sore point for Microsoft this whole generation - regardless if it was the contributing factor or not to its sales loss

But 6Tflop on a console........is a bit too much. Honestly, dedicated hardware and all - that's insane.
 

Shpeshal Nick

aka Collingwood
It can have backwards compatibility, but Xbox One owners would be out of luck if a game was designed for a way more powerful system.


Speculation... Edited

If game development stops targeting the base Xbox One around 2018, that will be a "traditional" console cycle. Which is fine, especially given the likelihood of permanent backwards compatibility.
 

Bsigg12

Member
I think it's very odd that they want to announce XBOXTwo (not the other devices) so early. It will definitly hurt XBOX One sales. One might imagine that they think it will hurt PS4 and especially PS4 Neo sales even more. Spoiler alert!
It won't
.

Soon is going to be a Sony-esque soon. I wouldn't expect them to announce it until early next year especially with the Xbox One slim coming this year. Maybe a hint at E3 like and we have more information of how we plan to build upon the Xbox brand early next year, or they won't say a thing and everyone will freak out that it was all a lie.
 

Yoday

Member
I doubt that subsidising a mature division to get marketshare for a revision of an existing product would sit well with investors. The days of MS pumping endless money into Xbox are over. The division and its products have to stand on their own two feet.

I can't see any console maker ever subsidising their hardware like they used to in previous gens. Selling hardware at a slight loss, sure, but we'll never see another PS3 event again.
I agree, but I think people are severely overestimating what a 6TF console would cost to produce in 2017. They aren't paying even remotely close to retail prices for their parts. The XBO may not be very powerful, but the APU is a beast in size. That same size APU in 2017 without ESRAM would produce a pretty damn powerful console. They could spend the same amount on the XB2 APU that they did on the XBO APU and get a system much more powerful than the Neo. Hell, it could be a little smaller than the XBO APU and easily outperform the Neo. I think the bigger question in both cost and performance is the direction they go on memory. If they wait for HBM2 it will be a monster, but I'm not sure how much that would increase costs.
 

Welfare

Member
True, but the gap would be lower if Xbox One was more powerful.
But how much would lower be? Assuming everything was the same for the Xbox One, bad reveal, launch in tiny amount of countries, and $100 more expensive because of forced Kinect, the amount of consoles that would be flipped would be insignificant.

A more powerful XB1 requires a completely different machine and marketing than what actually happened, and how that would have gone is a different discussion.
 

Varg

Banned
Well fuck me, should i be cancelling my xbox one i just orderd off ebay? lol

Why would you ? This is a perfect time to enjoy the exclusives and all of the BC goodness and building your library, so it can transfer over whenever the next one comes out next year.
 
This gets a 0% accuracy rating. There is no way in hell the PS4 would be doing so much better than the Xbox One had it not had the "it's more powerful" argument from day one.
Considering the bulk of the of PS4 is in markets where the Xbox one is a moot point, actually yeah. Power is not the defining factor here.

But yeah. Let's pretend this will be the first time Microsoft has the most powerful console on the market.
 

RedSwirl

Junior Member
That's pretty much what would happen.

Scorpio comes out and is the most powerful console on the market. It has 2 years to make hay until the next PS comes out and replaces it as the new shiny most powerful console on the market. Then next PS has 2 years to make hay before the next Xbox comes out and is more powerful, ad infinitum.

Eventually power means nothing and it becomes solely about ecosystem and software. iOS v Android.

It was always about software. The most powerful console in the past usually didn't win the most market share.

And I think it started being about ecosystem starting with the Xbox 360 and Live's clear advantages over PSN back then. These moves are just de-emphasizing the monolithic boxes even further.
 
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