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[MoonFrog]

Well at least Splatoon should have legs, even if it's coming out on a platform that can't currently manage the install base to match interest in the title. Really is a sad situation.

 

[ArkhamFantasy]

Looks like SE trying to keep its "One AAA game a year" promise.

2016:FFXV
2017Q11
2018:KH3
2019:FF7 remake or Avengers.

 

[Edge_Maverick]

Looks like SE trying to keep its "One AAA game a year" promise.

2016:FFXV
2017Q11
2018:KH3
2019:FF7 remake or Avengers.

It's actually 1 or 2 AAA/Big games per fiscal year. This is my current bet:

- FY2018: DQXI
- FY 2019: KH 3 + Shadow of the Tomb Raider
- FY 2020: FF7 Remake + The Avengers Project

Going by previous interviews and financial reports, it looks like they have decided what'll be released until FY2020. However, delays could always happen (and this being S-E... it's very likely).

 

[Jim_Cacher]

Splatoon 2 climbs back to 1st place in Amazon JP ranking.

 

[zeromcd73]

My local yodobashi report again this week. Same 200 units available as last week, but way more people.

https://twitter.com/pachi_pansya/status/886354135724904448

The line actually wraps around the entire building:

 

[Sammy Samusu]

This is hilarious but I do feel bad for all the kids that are going to miss Splatoon's launch window.

 

[Nirolak]

It's actually 1 or 2 AAA/Big games per fiscal year. This is my current bet:

- FY2018: DQXI
- FY 2019: KH 3 + Shadow of the Tomb Raider
- FY 2020: FF7 Remake + The Avengers Project

Going by previous interviews and financial reports, it looks like they have decided what'll be released until FY2020. However, delays could always happen (and this being S-E... it's very likely).

With that schedule they could also quite likely make FF7 and The Avengers into cross-gen projects, which would make a lot of sense for the first game of a trilogy and a service title.

 

[1st Course]

My local yodobashi report again this week. Same 200 units available as last week, but way more people.

https://twitter.com/pachi_pansya/status/886354135724904448

The line actually wraps around the entire building:

And Splatoon 2 isn't even out yet...

 

[Kanann]

FFVIIr for PS5 is good in words, but do developer and comsumer ready for it? especially Japan market that just barely adopt PS4 on this recent 1-2 years.

 

[MoonFrog]

FFVIIr for PS5 is good in words, but do developer and comsumer ready for it? especially Japan market that just barely adopt PS4.

Cross-gen?

 

[ULTROS!]

It's actually 1 or 2 AAA/Big games per fiscal year. This is my current bet:

- FY2018: DQXI
- FY 2019: KH 3 + Shadow of the Tomb Raider
- FY 2020: FF7 Remake + The Avengers Project

Going by previous interviews and financial reports, it looks like they have decided what'll be released until FY2020. However, delays could always happen (and this being S-E... it's very likely).

To note, there's always an FF and KH release every year, even if they aren't major. So I guess next year it's just Dissidia FF? Hopefully we get something like FF7 Compilation HD (Crisis Core, Dirge of Cerberus, and maybe Before Crisis using FFVII's engine/assets).

 

[Blackleg-sanji1]

To note, there's always an FF and KH release every year, even if they aren't major. So I guess next year it's just Dissidia FF? Hopefully we get something like FF7 Compilation HD (Crisis Core, Dirge of Cerberus, and maybe Before Crisis using FFVII's engine/assets).

Ffxiii:The Goddess trilogy
#believe

 

[sphinx]

This is hilarious but I do feel bad for all the kids that are going to miss Splatoon's launch window.

seriously, I'd make a change in the rules and let 10 kids that have their birthday on that week be able to buy a switch directly without lottery

 

[jonno394]

Do we think the YSO predictions due later today will show retailer predicted Switch numbers alongside Splatoon numbers?

 

[Chris1964]

Week 29, 2017 (Jul 17 - Jul 23)

new releases

{2017.07.20}
[3DS] Layton's Mystery Journey: Katrielle and The Millionaire's Conspiracy <ADV> (Level 5) (¥4.444)
[3DS] Layton's Mystery Journey: Katrielle and The Millionaire's Conspiracy (&#949 _Nintendo eShop Download Version_ |DL| <ADV> (Level 5) (¥4.444)
[3DS] Yo-kai Watch 3: Sushi / Tempura [Level 5 the Best] <RPG> (Level 5) (¥2.400)
[3DS] Yo-kai Watch 3: Sushi / Tempura (&#949 _Nintendo eShop Download Version_ |DL| [Level 5 the Best] <RPG> (Level 5) (¥2.400)
[3DS] Sumikko Gurashi: Koko, Dokonan Desu? <ETC> (Nippon Columbia) (¥4.800)
[3DS] Sumikko Gurashi: Koko, Dokonan Desu? (&#949 _Nintendo eShop Download Version_ |DL| <ETC> (Nippon Columbia) (¥4.800)
[3DS] Farming Simulator 18: Pocket Nouen 4 <SLG> (Intergrow) (¥4.600)
[3DS] Farming Simulator 18: Pocket Nouen 4 (&#949 _Nintendo eShop Download Version_ |DL| <SLG> (Intergrow) (¥4.260)
[3DS] Kouekizaidan Houjin Nihon Kanji Nouryoku Kentei Kyoukai: Kanken Training 2 <EDU> (Imagineer) (¥3.800)
[3DS] Kouekizaidan Houjin Nihon Kanji Nouryoku Kentei Kyoukai: Kanken Training 2 <EDU> (Imagineer) (¥3.800)
[PSV] World Election # <ADV> (Piacci) (¥6.800)
[PSV] World Election (Limited Edition) <ADV> (Piacci) (¥8.800)
[PSV] World Election (&#949 _PS Store Download Version_ |DL| <ADV> (Piacci) (¥5.800)
[PSV] Himehibi 1 Gakki: Princess Days <ADV> (Takuyo) (¥5.800)
[PSV] Himehibi 1 Gakki: Princess Days (&#949 _PS Store Download Version_ |DL| <ADV> (Takuyo) (¥5.800)
[PSV] Farming Simulator 18: Pocket Nouen 4 <SLG> (Intergrow) (¥4.600)
[PSV] Farming Simulator 18: Pocket Nouen 4 (&#949 _PS Store Download Version_ |DL| <SLG> (Intergrow) (¥4.260)
[PSV] Rabi x Rabi: Puzzle Out Stories <PZL> (SilverStar) (¥4.800)
[PSV] Rabi x Rabi: Puzzle Out Stories (&#949 _PS Store Download Version_ |DL| <PZL> (SilverStar) (¥4.320)
[PSV] Dragon Ball Z: Battle of Z [Welcome Price!!] <FTG> (Bandai Namco Games) (¥3.800)
[PSV] Dragon Ball Z: Battle of Z (&#949 _PS Store Download Version_ |DL| [Welcome Price!!] <FTG> (Bandai Namco Games) (¥3.800)
[PSV] Tokyo Ghoul: Jail [Welcome Price!!] <ADV> (Bandai Namco Games) (¥2.800)
[PSV] Tokyo Ghoul: Jail (&#949 _PS Store Download Version_ |DL| [Welcome Price!!] <ADV> (Bandai Namco Games) (¥2.800)
[PSV] Under Night In-Birth Exe:Latest _PS Store Download Version_ |DL| <FTG> (Arc System Works) (¥5.370)
[NSW] Fate/Extella: The Umbral Star # <ACT> (Marvelous) (¥7.800)
[NSW] Fate/Extella: The Umbral Star (Limited Box) <ACT> (Marvelous) (¥9.800)
[NSW] Fate/Extella: The Umbral Star (&#949 _Nintendo eShop Download Version_ |DL| <ACT> (Marvelous) (¥7.800)
[NSW] Cars 3: Driven to Win <RCE> (Warner Entertainment Japan) (¥5.700)
[NSW] Cars 3: Driven to Win (&#949 _Nintendo eShop Download Version_ |DL| <RCE> (Warner Entertainment Japan) (¥5.200)
[PS4] Under Night In-Birth Exe:Latest <FTG> (Arc System Works) (¥6.800)
[PS4] Under Night In-Birth Exe:Latest (&#949 _PS Store Download Version_ |DL| <FTG> (Arc System Works) (¥5.370)
[PS4] Cars 3: Driven to Win <RCE> (Warner Entertainment Japan) (¥5.700)
[PS4] Cars 3: Driven to Win (&#949 _PS Store Download Version_ |DL| <RCE> (Warner Entertainment Japan) (¥5.200)
[PS4] MXGP3: The Official Motocross Videogame <RCE> (Intergrow) (¥5.500)
[PS4] MXGP3: The Official Motocross Videogame (&#949 _PS Store Download Version_ |DL| <RCE> (Intergrow) (¥5.092)
[PS4] Saint Seiya: Soldiers' Soul [Welcome Price!!] <FTG> (Bandai Namco Games) (¥3.800)
[PS4] Saint Seiya: Soldiers' Soul (&#949 _PS Store Download Version_ |DL| [Welcome Price!!] <FTG> (Bandai Namco Games) (¥3.800)
[PS4] So Many Me _PS Store Download Version_ |DL| <PZL> (Nippon Ichi Software) (¥1.500)
[PS3] Under Night In-Birth Exe:Latest _PS Store Download Version_ |DL| <FTG> (Arc System Works) (¥5.370)

{2017.07.21}
[NSW] Splatoon 2 # <ACT> (Nintendo) (¥5.980)
[NSW] Splatoon 2 (Nintendo Switch Splatoon 2 Set) <BUN> (Nintendo) (¥35.960)
[NSW] Splatoon 2 (&#949 _Nintendo eShop Download Version_ |DL| <ACT> (Nintendo) (¥5.980)
___

YSO predictions
01. [NSW] Splatoon 2 < 900k (average 850k)
02. [3DS] Layton's Mystery Journey: Katrielle and The Millionaire's Conspiracy < 50k (average 40k)
03. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe < 30k (average 25k)
03. [3DS] Sumikko Gurashi: Koko, Dokonan Desu? < 30k (average 25k)

 

[Zedark]

Damn that Splatoon 2 prediction. Hope they're right, I need to get to 1050k sold this month for my prediction league bet.

Edit: Also, that MK8D number suggests they expect only approximately 50k-60k Switch units? Really hope it'll be more.

 

[schuelma]

YSO predictions
01. [NSW] Splatoon 2 < 900k (average 850k)

Lol. That's the range I've internally been thinking but the recent talk on this thread has/had me doubting.

Should be fascinating

 

[Vena]

Holy shit.

 

[schuelma]

Edit: Also, that MK8D number suggests they expect only approximately 50k-60k Switch units? Really hope it'll be more.

Ehh I doubt that is the thinking. I mean, if Splatoon 2 is going to be selling to 3/4's of the userbase, probably not that much room for a ton of other software.

 

[Zedark]

Ehh I doubt that is the thinking. I mean, if Splatoon 2 is going to be selling to 3/4's of the userbase, probably not that much room for a ton of other software.

That makes sense.

 

[LordKano]

Yeah no I'm optimistic about Splatoon 2 but even I know that it won't sell 900k. What even would be the userbase ratio ? 80% ?

 

[Alrus]

An opening close to 900k on such a limited userbase would be insane. True phenomenon and finally exciting times for sales discussion after the spring/early summer slump.

 

[schuelma]

Yeah no I'm optimistic about Splatoon 2 but even I know that it won't sell 900k. What even would be the userbase ratio ? 80% ?

Again, we'll see in a little over a week but high numbers are a lot more possible if you assume many Switch owners have been buying the system for Splatoon 2.

 

[Aostia]

Those splatoon 2 estimates are insane

 

[Chris1964]

If predictions come true Splatoon 2 will beat New Leaf's opening weekend (600k physical + 200k digital on a 8m userbase).

Super Smash Bros. Melee was the last game with so insane attach rate for a non launch title.

 

[twothunder]

i was expecting a big opening but still.
prediction of around 800K for Splatoon , eh? that would be crazy if true

 

[Gradivus]

What's the Deal with YSO? Sorry for the ignorance, but I don't know much about it.

 

[Mr Swine]

Looks like SE trying to keep its "One AAA game a year" promise.

2016:FFXV
2017Q11
2018:KH3
2019:FF7 remake or Avengers.

That should keep PS4 afloat with MonHun + many other games. PS4 could sell much better than PS3

 

[Kudo]

If those estimates are correct, Splatoon single handedly saving gaming in Japan.
Think DQXI will do similar numbers?

 

[schuelma]

That should keep PS4 afloat with MonHun + many other games. PS4 could sell much better than PS3

You think PS4, at under 5 million sold, could sell "much better" than 10 million LTD?

 

[jonno394]

If those estimates are correct, Splatoon single handedly saving gaming in Japan.
Think DQXI will do similar numbers?

DQ XI should be opening to much bigger numbers or else it'll be a disaster.

 

[LordKano]

If those estimates are correct, Splatoon single handedly saving gaming in Japan.
Think DQXI will do similar numbers?

If DQXI sold as much it would be a gigantic failure.

 

[Kudo]

DQ XI should be opening to much bigger numbers or else it'll be a disaster.

If DQXI sold as much it would be a gigantic failure.

That's good, let's hope it does better then.
It's been a while since last mainline DQ so I'd assume there's lots of hype for this.

 

[Alrus]

If those estimates are correct, Splatoon single handedly saving gaming in Japan.
Think DQXI will do similar numbers?

Honestly, DQ needs to open to more than twice that to not be considered sorta underwhelming. First traditional mainline DQ in a while and it's multiplat.

 

[Mr Swine]

You think PS4, at under 5 million sold, could sell "much better" than 10 million LTD?

I had to check PS3 total sales and I fought it was closer to 8 million, my bad! But I still think it can outsell PS4 in the end!

 

[frankie_baby]

Damn that Splatoon 2 prediction. Hope they're right, I need to get to 1050k sold this month for my prediction league bet.

Edit: Also, that MK8D number suggests they expect only approximately 50k-60k Switch units? Really hope it'll be more.

I'd imagine Zelda will get a bigger boost than MK, splatoon will keep people satisfied multiplayer wise so if people are picking up a second game i think they'll go for the single player

 

[Hero]

That's an insane prediction but Splatoon craze has swept the nation, so it's doable.

 

[MANUELF]

That number reminds me of Melee being a million seller with 1.2 million gamecubes out

 

[Skullwaker]

That Splatoon 2 prediction is insane. I was thinking more along the lines of 600-700k, which would already be very good.

I hope the Switch gets a notable stock increase so games like Zelda can benefit as well.

 

[AcademicSaucer]

They have Splatoon 2 bundles so the stock has to atleast be bigger than 100k right ?

 

[frankie_baby]

They have Splatoon 2 bundles so the stock has to atleast be bigger than 100k right ?

They pushed out 80k for mario kart so you would think so but wit the way stock has been we really dont know, i wonder if they might resort to air freighting some like they did in March

 

[The Emperor]

Ffxiii:The Goddess trilogy
#believe

I need this tbh

At least for Lightning Returns to be running better.

 

[jonno394]

They have Splatoon 2 bundles so the stock has to atleast be bigger than 100k right ?

You'd hope so. To me the hardware numbers for this and the following weeks are more important than the actual Splatoon 2 numbers. Sure big Splatoon 2 launch is great, but low hardware shows that the promised increase to production still hasn't taken effect/still isn't good enough.

 

[Ōkami]

Lowest prediction for Splatoon 2 is 650k, so even at worst they expect it to be on par with FFXV.

If it manages to outdo it it'd be the biggest first week for a console game since New Super Mario Bros. Wii.

 

[sphinx]

this is a fucking tragedy for nintendo.

they could sell, what, 300k switches in a week?

instead they'd sell like 60k.

what a major fuck up of epic proportions.

 

[schuelma]

Obviously Splatoon 2 is going to be huge- that's a given- I think what I'm most curious about is the impact on software, both already released (BoTW, MK8, ARMS) and what will be out soonish (MH XX, Pokken, FE Warriors). Is the surge of new switch owners (presumably higher hardware sales starting next week) going to have a positive impact on catalog titles and upcoming releases? Or is Switch going to solely be a Splatoon 2 machine until the end of the year and drown out everything else?

 

[Anoxida]

Honestly, DQ needs to open to more than twice that to not be considered sorta underwhelming. First traditional mainline DQ in a while and it's multiplat.

I think it will. 1.8-2 million is what we'll get.

 

[cw_sasuke]

Those Splatoon 2 predictions are crazy..if it comes anywhere close this, wow.

 

[Skullwaker]

Obviously Splatoon 2 is going to be huge- that's a given- I think what I'm most curious about is the impact on software, both already released (BoTW, MK8, ARMS) and what will be out soonish (MH XX, Pokken, FE Warriors). Is the surge of new switch owners (presumably higher hardware sales starting next week) going to have a positive impact on catalog titles and upcoming releases? Or is Switch going to solely be a Splatoon 2 machine until the end of the year and drown out everything else?

I think Splatoon 2's release can only help other titles at this point.

MK8D releasing didn't stop Zelda from selling, just like Arms releasing didn't stop MK8D from selling, etc. I think they're all different enough that they'll maintain their sales momentum, if not benefit from the increased hardware sales.

As for upcoming titles, they have their own appeal as well. MHXX is the first MH on the system and has a bundle, so it'll do decent enough. Pokken will probably do similar to the original game, if not better. Fire Emblem Warriors will be the first major single player experience since Zelda, and I think it'll do similar to Hyrule Warriors (maybe better considering it's on a superior system).

 

[Chris1964]

We could have Famitsu early reports 3 weeks in a row.

New 2DS LL, Splatoon 2, Dragon Quest XI.