That's true, but the Wii u was on par with the PS3 and 360 when it released. Switch is already substantially weaker than the current gen, let alone the pro and one x. It's just a weird landscape imo that I'm not sure compares to the past.
Yo, the Switch number stated is very high, but it has no correlation with PS4lol @ the people in this thread that are gonna try to rationalize this.
If the switch does 130M then the PS4 will surpass the PS2 as the best selling console and move on to sell 180M+ and rational people know that none of those things are going to happen.
Shame on me for thinking you had anything of value to say. Good day, sir.Wow, are you really going to sit there and act as if someone correctly predicting 200M when most were saying it would sell about 60M tops is "dumb luck?" It's not a gut feeling, it's a highly educated guess.
Don't forget that this 130 million will likely include the Switch "Plus" and Switch "Mini"
The Switch is selling bonkers at 299$ USD.
And hardware is still in its first revision.
And games like Pokémon, Smash and Animal Crossing aren't announced yet.
And who knows which games will unexpectedly take off on this platform (ala Monster Hunter, Splatoon or Yokai Watch).
PS2 & DS numbers aren't that unrealistic.
The 3DS had all those games at a cheaper price and hasn't hit near 100m what are you smokin.
The argument from Credit Suisse seems to be from a Japanese analyst (Yoneshima Keiichi) who based their conclusions on a Famitsu survey that found users (in Japan) using Switch more like a portable than a traditional home console. Thus, the reasoning goes, the system is more likely to sell in line with handheld systems than home ones.
I can see this perhaps being the case in Japan, but is there good evidence for other territories that the Switch is used primarily as a portable system?
The 3DS had all those games at a cheaper price and hasn't hit near 100m what are you smokin.
The 3DS had all those games at a cheaper price and hasn't hit near 100m what are you smokin.
I'm calling 40m by time they release their next gen machine
One, PS4 and even WiiU sold "bonkers" at the beginning.The Switch is selling bonkers at 299$ USD.
And hardware is still in its first revision.
And games like Pokémon, Smash and Animal Crossing aren't announced yet.
And who knows which games will unexpectedly take off on this platform (ala Monster Hunter, Splatoon or Yokai Watch).
PS2 & DS numbers aren't that unrealistic.
Yeah, I think the only way it's possible to reach those numbers if it can break into China, India, and other untapped markets. The price will have to go down quite a bit and there'll have to be a few revisions.The other interesting part of the article cited the MOBA that's insanely popular in China (on mobile now, can't remember the name) as a potential driver for these sales. I wonder if this analyst is expecting a much bigger Nintendo presence in China with the Switch.
Yeah the Wii dropped off massively in Japan fairly quickly IIRC, and the Switch has the potential to do 3DS numbers (possibly even DS numbers after a price cut or revision) there assuming there's enough stock.
For reference, the Nintendo DS didn't reach 130 million until a bit over 5 years after it came out.The argument from Credit Suisse seems to be from a Japanese analyst (Yoneshima Keiichi) who based their conclusions on a Famitsu survey that found users (in Japan) using Switch more like a portable than a traditional home console. Thus, the reasoning goes, the system is more likely to sell in line with handheld systems than home ones.
I can see this perhaps being the case in Japan, but is there good evidence for other territories that the Switch is used primarily as a portable system?
the 3DS was extremely popular in Japan and less so in North America
the Switch is popular in both markets
I can tell you right now that no, that isn't ever going to happen lmao
how is the ww numbers of the switch compared to the 3ds 6 months from launch only?
Lets betI don't see it selling like a portable device unless it is way cheaper.
The PS4 is still selling pretty bonkers. Nowhere near PS2 bonkers, but still bonkers.One, PS4 and even WiiU sold "bonkers" at the beginning.
The reason for these numbers are worldwide launches with unmatched supply in comparison to older home consoles (outside of Wii).
The thing is, I don't think it's selling well in other territories because of the dock.The strength of the Switch is that it can sell like a portable in Japan (where portables sell best) and like a console in other territories where consoles sell best, making it the best of both worlds for Nintendo.
Lol that's not gonna happen. I'd avatar bet on it lol
Prepare to lose. :^)I'll take it.
Switch is nowhere as big as Wii was, I don't see how it could hit such a number. I see Switch under 100 million lifetime.
Prepare to lose. :^)
Always am, but I love taking chances Can we call this an official avatar bet for 2022?
Switch will be bigger than the Wii in Japan and could be on par with it in other territories. it'll also likely outlive the Wii.