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Sony Q3: Game Operating Income $53M (PS3/PS2 15.6M in 2012)

Cake Boss

Banned
So the divisions thats holding Sony back is the mobile telecommunication division and the home theater one.

The most profitable one is the financial and Game division, as well as music and picture division.(movies and music)
 

schuelma

Wastes hours checking old Famitsu software data, but that's why we love him.
So do we have any way of reasonably guessing how much Vita has shipped so far? Can we somewhat estimate PSP numbers?
 
So the divisions thats holding Sony back is the mobile telecommunication division and the home theater one.

The most profitable one is the financial and Game division, as well as music and picture division.(movies and music)

Within those two, Vaio and Bravia are the real failures.
 
Nintendo posted an operating loss. Nintendo is losing money selling video games. And I know you know this, because we've discussed it to death. Nintendo's "profit" last quarter was entirely due to restating the value of their dollar- and euro-denominated accounts.
They had a (loss bearing) console launch, I'm not sure what this has to do with 3DS? 3DS returned to profitability last summer, after a year of loss bearing made it a viable gaming handheld in a cut throat mobile environment.

I guess Sony looked at Nintendo missing projections by just a couple million and decided they needed to dramatically outdo that?

21 - 20 - 17.3

16 - 12 - 10 - 7
 

Biggzy

Member
Well you cant say that for a fact. In my experience, when companies branch out and expand, they have a habit of taking their eye of their "bread & butter" money. Sony are a good example of that because as soon as they started to diversify, their tech divisions started to lose ground.

Sometimes its better to concentrate fully on what you know than get sidetracked chasing even more money

That would be true if it wasn't for the fact that there bread and butter - traditionally televisions e.t.c - are being gobbled up by S. Korean companies and a softening market to boot, and a strong Yen for the past couple of years eating into their margins at home as well.

Diversifying can be an achilles heel, but it also can give a corporation breathing space if one of their divisions gets into trouble.
 

Cornbread78

Member
Very nice Sony, way to be "Back in Black"

www.youtube.com/watch?v=CwIvBNsSywQ



Now knowing that the SS are selling at a high profit and the PS4 is on the way, is there any chance at all Sony will put out a price drop in NA for PS3 and VITA after the 2/20 conference?

a $199 VITA and $225 SS would be very attractive price points, if they can still pull a profit off them and oick up some aditional momentum going into PS4 time...




Also, will this new marketing firm start workign on advertising for their LCD/LED TVs finally? I can't remember the last time I saw any advertisment for them and they are realy good quality, but nothing.....
 

jcm

Member
They had a (loss bearing) console launch, I'm not sure what this has to do with 3DS? 3DS returned to profitability last summer, after a year of loss bearing made it a viable gaming handheld in a cut throat mobile environment.

I guess Sony looked at Nintendo missing projections by just a couple million and decided they needed to dramatically outdo that?

21 - 20 - 17.3

16 - 12 - 10 - 7

Honestly I don't see any point having a discussion with you. It's the same thing over and over again. Me: Nintendo is losing money. You: something something something something else but nothing to do with the topic at hand, which is Nintendo's profit. You take this shit way too personally, and spend way too much time defending the honor of the 3DS.

If Sony had cut the price of the Vita by $80 they would have lost money in the gaming division, just like Nintendo did when they cut the price by $80. I don't know why this is so hard to understand.
 
Very nice Sony, way to be "Back in Black"

www.youtube.com/watch?v=CwIvBNsSywQ



Now knowing that the SS are selling at a high profit and the PS4 is on the way, is there any chance at all Sony will put out a price drop in NA for PS3 and VITA after the 2/20 conference?

a $199 VITA and $225 SS would be very attractive price points, if they can still pull a profit off them and oick up some aditional momentum going into PS4 time...




Also, will this new marketing firm start workign on advertising for their LCD/LED TVs finally? I can't remember the last time I saw any advertisment for them and they are realy good quality, but nothing.....

Nah, it's still too close to the holidays to consider a price cut. They need to wait until at least April. In fact if they do it in March they would take the inventory write down up front, which might actually account for the low profit figure.
 

Kagari

Crystal Bearer
Nah, it's still too close to the holidays to consider a price cut. They need to wait until at least April. In fact if they do it in March they would take the inventory write down up front, which might actually account for the low profit figure.

They'll likely do one around E3 in June.
 
Somebody break it down to me like a grade schooler...did PS3 really outsell the 360 as reported last month? These numbers and charts are giving me a headache
 

jcm

Member
You're right it doesn't matter to Japan or the US.

I don't think it matters to anyone. Nothing is going to change when the PS3 passes the 360, if it hasn't already happened.

Somebody break it down to me like a grade schooler...did PS3 really outsell the 360 as reported last month? These numbers and charts are giving me a headache

We don't know because Sony are being assholes and obfuscating their numbers, most likely because they are ashamed of the Vita numbers.
 
Now knowing that the SS are selling at a high profit and the PS4 is on the way, is there any chance at all Sony will put out a price drop in NA for PS3 and VITA after the 2/20 conference?

What's 'SS'? Thats what I used to use when talking about the Saturn :p

And I would bet on a PS3 price cut at the conference or at E3. No console in history launched with its predecessor still sitting over $199. IIRC the Xbox and PS3 dropped to $129 (Or $99? I cant find the info) at that point even though MS were losing heavy on each system
 

Biggzy

Member
I don't think it matters to anyone. Nothing is going to change when the PS3 passes the 360, if it hasn't already happened.

Like I said, all that will happen is a little chest beating from Sony and that's it. This generation is almost over, the battle for the next-gen is where it is at now.
 

Oersted

Member
Selling the HQ worked out well.

They're bundling the numbers because of the Vita. They can't bundle PSP/PSV sales without bundling PS3/PS2 sales a well.

Most likely. But is there a official explanation? Hiding your numbers in a fiscal report seems so...
 

jcm

Member
Like I said, all that will happen is a little chest beating from Sony and that's it. This generation is almost over, the battle for the next-gen is where it is at now.

Yes, I agree with you. I was trying to figure out what OJG was implying.
 

Cornbread78

Member
Selling the HQ worked out well.



Most likely. But is there a official explanation? Hiding your numbers in a fiscal report seems so...

Because they are fiscal reports for investers and they do nto care to deliver numbers for gaming forums and gaming Sales Age professionals. Investers just wat the bottom line and really do not care to compare the PS3/PS2 sales numbers with XBox 360, as long as Sony is profitable.
 

test_account

XP-39C²
Selling the HQ worked out well.
Is it sold yet? The news about it were reported in mid January and was formulated as "is selling", so it wouldnt be covered in the Q3 results if it isnt sold yet. It wouldnt have any affect on the profability of the gaming sector either.
 

jcm

Member
Is it sold yet? The news about it were reported in mid January and was formulated as "is selling", so it wouldnt be covered in the Q3 results if it isnt sold yet. It wouldnt have any affect on the profability of the gaming sector either.

No, it hasn't actually been sold yet. It's supposed to close in March, so it will be included (as operating income, which makes no sense to me) this fiscal year, assuming no snags.

Not implying anything. I agree that nothing will change and only fanboys will care and we might get a press release if it happens. But the gen is over.

Fair enough. I'm with you.
 
Honestly I don't see any point having a discussion with you. It's the same thing over and over again. Me: Nintendo is losing money. You: something something something something else but nothing to do with the topic at hand, which is Nintendo's profit. You take this shit way too personally, and spend way too much time defending the honor of the 3DS.

If Sony had cut the price of the Vita by $80 they would have lost money in the gaming division, just like Nintendo did when they cut the price by $80. I don't know why this is so hard to understand.

On the subject of forecasts vs actual Nintendo are not much better than Sony.

3DS: 2011/12 fct - 16m, actual - 13.53m
Wii: 2011/12 fct - 13m, actual - 9.84m; 2012/13 April fct - 10.5m, Jan fct - 4.00m and the software forecast has been lowered by 20m.
 
Honestly I don't see any point having a discussion with you. It's the same thing over and over again. Me: Nintendo is losing money. You: something something something something else but nothing to do with the topic at hand, which is Nintendo's profit.
The topic at hand was eating losses shorter term initially in order to secure a platform's longer term viability and future. Which 3DS did and Vita didn't. 3DS is hardly unique in that regard either (PS2, 360, etc). The reason we keep doing this dance is because whenever the notion that Sony could be doing more is brought up, and a comparison to Nintendo's efforts made, you attempt to discredit it by looking purely at overall company profitability, divorcing it from any 3DS context. And then you accuse me if going offtopic?


You take this shit way too personally, and spend way too much time defending the honor of the 3DS.
lol. I don't think I've never met a man in such desperate need of a mirror.


If Sony had cut the price of the Vita by $80 they would have lost money in the gaming division, just like Nintendo did when they cut the price by $80. I don't know why this is so hard to understand.
Well, maybe because you keep pointing to Nintendo's current profitability? Let me know when those goalposts get too heavy for you.
 
They'll likely do one around E3 in June.

That's the most likely target, but they may want to just load the losses up now in a year when they are already performing poorly and line up next year for a massive turnaround.

However, they probably won't have a lot of inventory to write down in June.
 
Nah, it's still too close to the holidays to consider a price cut. They need to wait until at least April. In fact if they do it in March they would take the inventory write down up front, which might actually account for the low profit figure.

Or they could finally release the 12gig outside of Europe.
 

Oersted

Member
Because they are fiscal reports for investers and they do nto care to deliver numbers for gaming forums and gaming Sales Age professionals. Investers just wat the bottom line and really do not care to compare the PS3/PS2 sales numbers with XBox 360, as long as Sony is profitable.

Sony is delivering the Wii sales seperated, the X360, the WiiU seperated, the 3DS and DS ones seperated. Sony investors are for sure way more interested into detailed DS numbers than into detailed PS3/PS2/Vita/PSP numbers.

Is it sold yet? The news about it were reported in mid January and was formulated as "is selling", so it wouldnt be covered in the Q3 results if it isnt sold yet. It wouldnt have any affect on the profability of the gaming sector either.


They put one in Tokyo on sale and the reports made it look like they already got the money from the NY HQ sale. Am I wrong on this? Feel free to say why ;)
 

test_account

XP-39C²
They put one in Tokyo on sale and the reports made it look like they already got the money from the NY HQ sale. Am I wrong on this? Feel free to say why ;)
The headquarter in Tokyo was also reported in January 2013 as far as i know, but i dont know if it has sold yet. Jcm said above here that they havnt gotten the money for the New York headquarter yet (or at least it isnt included in the Q3 financial report i would guess).
 
Well said. the only thing that gives me pause is how heavily Vita was advertised Nov/Dec of last year. it contradicts my idea that Sony is letting Vita die as silently as possible, without more sunk costs. They clearly spent a pretty penny doing all that advertising.

Well, that's because COD/AC were their last hope of saving the platform in the West. They made that pretty clear in interviews last year.

What money?

Sony launched the Vita at basically a break even price, and that was including R&D subsidization, which is in the past. On a per unit basis they're likely turning a small profit on Vita hardware.

There is no real confirmation of this at all. I'm sure they're not losing massive amounts on it, since it's a much more sensibly designed product than PS3, but the economy of scale would make it very hard, if not impossible, to turn a profit on hardware that's selling this badly.

On the software side they have a lost cost port pipeline from PS3 to Vita, so cross play games cost very little extra, likely far less in cost than they make up in sales. The Vita exclusives are almost all being developed by a teams too small/not proven enough to be given an eight figure PS4 budget.

Which is true, but what impact are those ports/B-titles going to have on Vita hardware?

Sony at this point is best served treating the Vita as a slow burn a la Gamecube, which Nintendo made good money on despite it's lack of market penetration. They can keep making first party titles from their "B tier" first parties where a six to seven figure budget is a reasonable risk.

Sony wishes Vita were selling as "well" as GC. Considering the terrible sales to date and the lack of any system-seller software on the horizon, 22m LTD hardware and 208M LTD software would require the most miraculous turnaround in the history of the industry.

This is how companies like XSEED and Aksys survive, porting games to the U.S. with the knowledge that 50K sales is a "success". Sony has a far easier time doing this since as the first party they don't have any royalties to pay and therefore higher profit margins on a per unit basis.

What do niche localizations have to do with original titles, most of which have much higher budgets and thus need to sell far better?

Consider Uncharted: Golden Abyss. It had moved north of 500K units as of June 2012, when it was still at pretty much full retail MSRP of $49.99. Sony's per unit take on that can be safely estimated in the $35 range. So 500K * $35 per = $17.5M in revenue, for a game that likely cost nowhere near that to make.

Per creamsugar's leaks in the last NPD thread, we know that it hadn't broken 300K in actual sell-through in the US at the end of 2012; Declassified, of all titles, was the only Vita title that did so. A 300K sales ceiling on a new platform is remarkably awful, no matter how you slice it.

This model even works for 3rd parties, as Ubisoft (despite not giving real numbers) has stated they've been quite pleased with AC3:Liberation's sales on the Vita. Keeping costs more in line with what PS2 titles cost and avoiding the current generation skyrocketing of development cost is a recipe for success on Vita.

Yep, those Western third parties must be pleased as punch with how their software is selling on Vita. Just look at their current 2013 lineup for the platform, consisting of two Lego games and, uh... what else? As for Japanese third parties, there's really nothing coming up besides niche titles and Bamco/Tecmo Koei multiplats. If they have faith in the Vita ecosystem, that's a very strange way to show it.

And yes, I know what that one Ubi exec said about Liberation's sales in one interview back in November. Actions speak louder than words. When they announce another Vita exclusive of comparable scale, I'll believe they're happy with how it sold.

The Vita has a very workable profit model for Sony to work with as it currently stands.

According to your optimistic assumptions and your bottomless faith in retailers to keep carrying it, yes.
 
Sony is delivering the Wii sales seperated, the X360, the WiiU seperated, the 3DS and DS ones seperated. Sony investors are for sure way more interested into detailed DS numbers than into detailed PS3/PS2/Vita/PSP numbers.




They put one in Tokyo on sale and the reports made it look like they already got the money from the NY HQ sale. Am I wrong on this? Feel free to say why ;)

You are wrong. The proceeds of the sale will be booked in Q4 when the sale closes on March 15th. Reports saying that Sony posted an operating profit this quarter because of the sale of their HQ are wrong, the proceeds from that sale haven't been booked. I'm not even sure the figure is excluded in their FY forecast.

The sale is listed right at the end of the PDF under post 31/12/12 developments.
 
ADRs have taken a huge hit:

SNE 14.83 -0.99 (-6.26%) 14.91B

Could have something to do with not meeting analysts expectations.

The net loss narrowed to 10.8 billion yen ($115 million) in the three months ended December from 159 billion yen a year earlier, the Tokyo-based company said in a statement today. The TV maker was expected to post a 21 billion-yen profit based on the average of three analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/busin...eecc56-7109-11e2-b3f3-b263d708ca37_story.html

In the three months to December 31, Sony posted 46.4 billion yen in operating profit compared with a 91.7 billion yen loss a year ago. The result came in below the average 72.1 billion yen profit estimated by six analysts.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/02/07/us-sony-earnings-idUSBRE91606I20130207
 

Kagari

Crystal Bearer
Shows how much I was paying attention:

The yen weakened 11 percent against the U.S. dollar during the final three months of the year, and by 14 percent against the euro.

This is good news, potentially.
 

jcm

Member
Yep. In the UK some stores ended up refusing to stock the Gamecube because of it's 'soft' sales.

The Vita's bigger problem I think is the software. There's no margin for Sony or retailers on the actual hardware. They both make money on software and accessories. If the retailers can't sell the software, there's no reason for them to carry the hardware. I guess maybe the memory cards help somewhat, since there's probably a decent margin there, and anyone who is buying hardware needs one. Except then the bundles have been including them, which returns us to square one.

So I think the question is, what level of sales keeps Vita in retailers? If they are down, say 25% YOY this year, is the system still viable? What if they're down 50% YOY? Also, with the console generation changeover, shelf space will be at a real premium. 6 consoles, most of them in multi-SKU variations, plus 4 handhelds, also in multi-SKU variations? That's a tall order for say, Target or Walmart.
 

Basch

Member
PSP+PSV is down to 7mill from 10mill forecast before. Terrible.

And to think the PSP is probably doing at least a third of those numbers. lol So does anybody have any idea what LTD sales are for the PS3? I tried reasoning around 0.8 for the PS2 this last quarter, which would put the PS3 at 76 mil. Is that a reasonable guess?
 

Biggzy

Member
The Vita's bigger problem I think is the software. There's no margin for Sony or retailers on the actual hardware. They both make money on software and accessories. If the retailers can't sell the software, there's no reason for them to carry the hardware. I guess maybe the memory cards help somewhat, since there's probably a decent margin there, and anyone who is buying hardware needs one. Except then the bundles have been including them, which returns us to square one.

So I think the question is, what level of sales keeps Vita in retailers? If they are down, say 25% YOY this year, is the system still viable? What if they're down 50% YOY? Also, with the console generation changeover, shelf space will be at a real premium. 6 consoles, most of them in multi-SKU variations, plus 4 handhelds, also in multi-SKU variations? That's a tall order for say, Target or Walmart.

Like I said previously in this thread, Sony needs to come up with solutions for the Vita's lack of sales soon. However, I look at there coming software line-up and I can't see anything that would make people go out and get a Vita and, as you have noted, with the coming generation retailers are going to be really pressed to find shelf space for it. They can't just allow the Vita to keep limping like it is.
 
And to think the PSP is probably doing at least a third of those numbers. lol So does anybody have any idea what LTD sales are for the PS3? I tried reasoning around 0.8 for the PS2 this last quarter, which would put the PS3 at 76 mil. Is that a reasonable guess?
Through to March 31st 2012 it was 63.9M.

From April 1st through December 31st 2012 PS3 + PS2 was 13.1M.

The PS3 is at 77M - whatever the PS2 shipped during that period.

For the equivalent period the prior year:
PS2 = 3.5M (1.4M->1.2M->0.9M)
PS3 = 12M (1.8M->3.7M->6.5M)

Considering the downward trajectory it was on, I wouldn't be surprised if the PS2 shipped <=2M for the 9 months ended Dec 31st, bringing the PS3 LTD to ~75M. But it's difficult to determine any concrete figure.
 

jcm

Member
Through to March 31st 2012 it was 63.9M.

From April 1st through December 31st 2012 PS3 + PS2 was 13.1M.

The PS3 is at 77M - whatever the PS2 shipped during that period.

For the equivalent period the prior year:
PS2 = 3.5M (1.4M->1.2M->0.9M)
PS3 = 12M (1.8M->3.7M->6.5M)

Considering the downward trajectory it was on, I wouldn't be surprised if the PS2 shipped >=2M, bringing the LTD to ~75M. But it's difficult to determine any concrete figure.

Edit: NVM I misunderstood your post. I thought you were saying 2M PS2 for the quarter. 2M for 3 quarters seems reasonable. Carry on.
 

Miles X

Member
Wasn't PSV + PSP original forecast something like 16m? How can they be that far off with their expectations ... 9m!
 
Through to March 31st 2012 it was 63.9M.

From April 1st through December 31st 2012 PS3 + PS2 was 13.1M.

The PS3 is at 77M - whatever the PS2 shipped during that period.

For the equivalent period the prior year:
PS2 = 3.5M (1.4M->1.2M->0.9M)
PS3 = 12M (1.8M->3.7M->6.5M)

Considering the downward trajectory it was on, I wouldn't be surprised if the PS2 shipped >=2M, bringing the LTD to ~75M. But it's difficult to determine any concrete figure.

I would be surprised if PS2 sold over 1.5m tbh, Sony were really winding it down last year.

Separately, I was just taking a look through Sony Ericsson's old income statements. They sold 6m Xperia phones last year, so they still had a 45% YoY increase in shipments which is a good result. I think the next quarter is going to be massive for them in mobile if they market Xperia Z properly. In the UK the ball is just getting rolling, they really need to push it hard. I think Q1 could be their best ever.
 
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