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[QuantumZebra]

Most Likely:


Worst Case:

I agree with these

 

[fierrotlepou]

How fucked is the world if Trump wins?

 

[djplaeskool]

I love this picture so much

 

[Betty]

How fucked is the world if Trump wins?

Lots of initial panic followed by crashing stock markets or falling value of the dollar.

He basically fails to do any of the things he promised mostly the building of a wall and fixing everything from the economy to jobs and makes bad decisions non stop until the end of his term.

Also racist attacks and groups will be empowered bigly.

 

[Rentahamster]

I'm not so sure about crashing stock markets. Maybe short term dips in particular industries that fear his outsourcing tax. I think it's more likely that the market will be glad that the election is over with, and reflect that certainty as such.

 

[d1rtn4p]

I'm not so sure about crashing stock markets. Maybe short term dips in particular industries that fear his outsourcing tax. I think it's more likely that the market will be glad that the election is over with, and reflect that certainty as such.

All signs are pointing to a depression within the next couple of years anyway, so I'm not sure it would even matter at this point.

 

[TheOctodad]

All signs are pointing to a depression within the next couple of years anyway, so I'm not sure it would even matter at this point.

Source?

 

[Sean C]

I'm not so sure about crashing stock markets. Maybe short term dips in particular industries that fear his outsourcing tax. I think it's more likely that the market will be glad that the election is over with, and reflect that certainty as such.

The uncertainty about the election will be replaced with the certainty that the president is an erratic moron with no knowledge of public policy nor any inclination to listen to people who have such knowledge.

 

[slit]

All signs are pointing to a depression within the next couple of years anyway, so I'm not sure it would even matter at this point.

You know how long people have been saying this?

Since like 1940!

 

[Addnan]

I tried.

I don't understand you Americans. Trying to imagine anything other than this in any other country.

 

[madstarr12]

Most Likely outcome:

Best Case scenario for Clinton:

Best Case scenario for Trump:

 

[thepotatoman]

I'll just play it safe and trust in the polls, with the sole exception of North Carolina where the voter suppression is scaring me.

 

[GoodCoffeeJoey]

 

[CazTGG]

 

[dysonEA]

My prediction, still a few unknowns.

 

[davepoobond]

Utah to mcmuffin

 

[eBay Huckster]

http://www.270towin.com/presidential_map_new/maps/zGXmK.png

GA/AK are wild cards

most likely to be wrong re: AZ and maybe OH

 

[uncelestial]

For those curious how 538's model plays out, it's looking pretty good, and we haven't even had any post-FBI-clearance polling:

 

[Magni]

Light blue/red means a <5% victory margin in that state/district.

(Utah to McMullin)

Wouldn't bet money, but wouldn't be that surprised either:

And of course, the dream is 538 all in blue.

 

[Big Green Anus]

Hillary is definitely going to win, but I sadly see Trump doing better than Romney. I guess that would mean more dog whistling politics from the Republican party if he does much better than Romney.

 

[John Dunbar]

For those curious how 538's model plays out, it's looking pretty good, and we haven't even had any post-FBI-clearance polling:

you know things are bad if that counts as "pretty good".

 

[FunkyMunkey]

How fucked is the world if Trump wins?

republicans immediately move to impeach and remove him and prop up their (controllable) snake oil bigot bitch boy mike pence

 

[outunderthestars]

On mobile, but I have it 305-233 for Clinton


http://www.270towin.com/maps/6vN4E

 

[M.Bluth]

you know things are bad if that counts as "pretty good".

I read it as this

 

[Vormund]

I'm from Australia so I really don't know what I am doing, but thought i'd chip in anyway:

 

[adj_noun]

All hail President Trump.

 

[outunderthestars]

I'm from Australia so I really don't know what I am doing, but thought i'd chip in anyway:

Pretty good map. I can't see Clinton taking GA though.

 

[Aaronrules380]

I tried.

I don't understand you Americans. Trying to imagine anything other than this in any other country.

You say after brexit and the surge of the right wing in Europe

 

[Futureman]

this seems like the safest bet to me right now...

hopefully McMuff and Lebron/OH flip to drop Trump below 200.

 

[Aaronrules380]

republicans immediately move to impeach and remove him and prop up their (controllable) snake oil bigot bitch boy mike pence

They wouldn't actually do this because they need trump voters to vote for them

 

[Neoweee]

this seems like the safest bet to me right now...

hopefully McMuff and Lebron/OH flip to drop Trump below 200.

Indiana is not a safe bet at all.

 

[Wiz]

This is it right here.

 

[Banana Aeon]

 

[Ekai]

My dream scenario is not a Drumpf blowout, but a narrow victory where the Democrats win the swing states with high latino populations, but he still wins because of white labor Democrats in the midwest completely rejecting Hillary Clinton.

I think that outcome sends the best message.

The message that a racist xenophobic etc. etc. fascist dictator in the making is the wet-dream of shitbags? Everyone already knows this.

 

[Devilgunman]

FL you have one job. Don't fck this up.

 

[Garrett Hawke]

The message that a racist xenophobic etc. etc. fascist dictator in the making is the wet-dream of shitbags? Everyone already knows this.

there is no point responding to that poster, honestly.

just put them on ignore

 

[Ekai]

I've tried before, Garrett. I'm aware of their claimed irrational fear about "Hillary taking our guns!" among a lot of other stuff. I honestly feel sorry for TA in some ways. In others though they want to damn other trans-individuals because they don't accept themselves so......yea. : /
Not really worth discussing.


My map:

 

[Gutek]

I think you guys are going about this all wrong, you can't look at polls or early voting or reason. This is 2016. 2016 is weird and fucked up.

That's my map.

 

[Addnan]

You say after brexit and the surge of the right wing in Europe

And Trump still wouldn't get elected here. He is on another level of extreme compared to our right wing parties.

 

[Vanillalite]

Pretty by the numbers. Too many Latinos in FL, but not enough to flip AZ. Michigan goes blue as polling suggests. The South including NC stays red. Penn and Ohio split blue/red respectively.

Very much close, but not that close. Basically no surprises.

*Edit: Was lazy and forgot to flip Utah to neutral and split the vote in NE.

 

[Carpe Carnim]

I am fully admitting that this is a bullish map, but I think there are a lot of Latinx in swing-states being under-reported here. Clinton has way more headroom than Trump (That Bum) has. We will see tomorrow night how this all shakes out, but I desperately want a >350 EV win.

 

[Vermillion]

I've come from the darkest timeline future

These scare me, because I can believe this happening.

 

[QuiteWhittle]

50 C - 44 T

 

[Toxi]

For those curious how 538's model plays out, it's looking pretty good, and we haven't even had any post-FBI-clearance polling:

Romney lost 332 to 206. Even if this election is closer, I'll be surprised if Clinton wins 279 to 259.

 

[perfectchaos007]

Romney lost 332 to 206. Even if this election is closer, I'll be surprised if Clinton wins 279 to 259.

Yeah but Romney lost to a pretty well liked candidate, relatively speaking

 

[Veritigo_X]

Pretty safe guess. AZ and OH could go to Hillary too, but I'm not really expecting it.

 

[Liu Kang Baking A Pie]

These scare me, because I can believe this happening.

538 has a 78% chance of Hillary winning Michigan. Don't sweat it. It's not even a battleground, but it's the only way Trump wins in those maps.

 

[perfectchaos007]

538 has a 78% chance of Hillary winning Michigan. Don't sweat it. It's not even a battleground, but it's the only way Trump wins in those maps.

My only hangup is that polls in Michigan were also certain Hillary would beat Bernie.

 

[KingBroly]

RCP has moved both Virginia and New Mexico to toss-up states, btw

 

[Cidd]

FL you have one job. Don't fck this up.

Putting hopes on Florida is a lost cause this state is fucked. I'm moving to Seattle.

Fuck Florida.