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270 to win: Post your Election predictions!
- Thread starter Mass Effect
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PumpkinSpice
Banned
Imma dream big:
Rentahamster
Rodent Whores
Nevada yes; Florida we'll see. The scope of this conversation chain though, is in the context of the rust belt states.
I'm voting for Hillary, but I hope it's close enough to put dems on edge. I really hate the smugness of my own party even more than god-fearing GOP platitudes.
If I had to predict tho, I think Trump gets like 30-34% of the vote at most. It's smelled like that since primary season.
If I had to predict tho, I think Trump gets like 30-34% of the vote at most. It's smelled like that since primary season.
Team Alucard
Banned
My dream scenario is not a Trump blowout, but a narrow victory where the Democrats win the swing states with high latino populations, but he still wins because of white labor Democrats in the midwest completely rejecting Hillary Clinton.
I think that outcome sends the best message.
GiantEnemyGoomba
Member
Not actually expecting McMuffin to win Utah, but I still put it because it would be fun.
balladofwindfishes
Member
High latino turnout would win both Nevada and Florida.
Liu Kang Baking A Pie
Member
North Carolina politics are a mess this year, and I'm guessing Trump wins the state but Democrats get the state positions.
-Pyromaniac-
Member
canadians can play too
CharminUltra
Member
Bernie write-ins take it all!
Thanks, Nate Silver.
Is this possible? I mean an electoral collage tie, what happens then?
Which message, you should have picked Bernie or Hillary should be in jail? Or something else?
Either way, if you believe the outcome will send a message, I hope you see the message if Trump gets blown out, that maybe it's time for your party to rethink certain things.
Dubbedinenglish
Banned
The House chooses the Pres.
House gets to call it. Republicans would love this outcome.
Liu Kang Baking A Pie
Member
House votes. Trump wins because of Republican majority.
By the way, everyone, this is extremely possible. Minorities in Nevada might save the world.
Thanks, Nate Silver.
BlueLiquid
Member
I'm pretty confident in Florida. NC... could be a coin flip but I'm leaning toward Dems who are sick of McCrory's shit to show up.
Obama's supposed to campaign in MI to shore that up. He just needs to remind them who bailed their asses out in 2008.
please no.
Liu Kang Baking A Pie
Member
Polls have shown NC is a mess from their messes. People are voting Trump but Democrat for state positions. They're just upset McCrory lost them money, but they still want Trump. Never forget how conservative the Carolinas are.
Florida is unlikely. Cubans skew Republican.
Mackenzie 92
Member
What message is that?
Don't worry. We Michigan folks love Democrats. Guarantee you MI will be blue.
Those are the Cubans of 1986, not 2016.
Team Alucard
Banned
That Sanders would have been the better candidate.
Yep. If no candidate reaches 270, the house chooses between the top 3 (if more than 2 candidates receive electoral votes). It's happened before, but it's been a while. In 1824, John Quincy Adams was selected despite having fewer electoral votes than Andrew Jackson. In that election 4 candidates received electoral votes.
Here's what I got...
I'm being 'pseudo-pessimistic' because I know Trump winning is a possibility, however, I'm pretty confident of Clinton taking it based on exit polling.
I'd love to wake up on Wednesday after a total landslide but I just don't think it'll happen like some have suggested.
I'm being 'pseudo-pessimistic' because I know Trump winning is a possibility, however, I'm pretty confident of Clinton taking it based on exit polling.
I'd love to wake up on Wednesday after a total landslide but I just don't think it'll happen like some have suggested.
maybe Trump doesn't take Hawaii but huge landslide regardless
lol
QuantumZebra
Member
My actual prediction
Nevada? Just curious, but what is your rationale there?
There's your problem.
QuantumZebra
Member
Yea I mean Jon Ralston (check him out on Twitter) is a NV reporter and has amazing details on early voting results... right now the Dems are beating their 2012 #'s and still have time to go.
The Latino and Women's vote is going to sink Trump - if Hillary wins, it will be because of that.
ErasureAcer
Banned
Here's my prediction. McMuffin wins Utah.
there's definitely a good chance hillary wins the state (and i hope she does) but a lot of polls show trump ahead
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep.../nevada_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson-6004.html
Mackenzie 92
Member
Eh, I like Sanders, but him being the better candidate is debatable.
As far as the message, not sure what worth it would have when you'd be turning the supreme court over to right-wingers for three decades. That would essentially guarantee no progressive reforms or progress, regardless if the dems took the presidency back in 2020 with a more progressive candidate. Dems already have zero to no shot of taking the house back until 2030, so a Trump win at this point would secure a conservative paradise for decades in the US.
You'd be cutting off your nose to spite your face in order to send a meaningless message.
CrispyBoar
Banned
Even if Trump wins, there's a high chance that he'll be impeached.
No one who is mentally sane would want that douchebag as President, not even someone like Congress.
No one who is mentally sane would want that douchebag as President, not even someone like Congress.
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