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Brad Sams: XBox Lockhart is cancelled.

Munki

Member
Then why didn't we hear anything about this Lockhart canceling around or after GDC (mid-March 2019)? I trust Matt alot too, but the logic doesn't add up.

I am not sure, but I think he was asked the same thing in the other thread. I'll try to comb through to see what his answer was, the convo was pretty interesting last night, lots of insight from ppl who are more in the know.
 
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mckmas8808

Mckmaster uses MasterCard to buy Slave drives
I am not sure, but I think he was asked the same thing in the other thread. I'll try to comb through the other thread to see what his answer was, the convo was pretty interesting last night, lots of insight from ppl who are more in the know.

Hmmmm...yeah check that out as I don't go over there. But you make it sound very interesting. I might have to take a peek lol.
 

Dabaus

Banned
Yeap it looks MS took the decision after Devs feedback on devkits with Lockhart / Anaconda cross development.

But some tools here will say Lockhart never existed and devs where lying about it.

If dev kits went out post GDC then the feed back from devs and the cancellation of Lockheart would have to be between GDC and E3 2019? That would be "Many weeks ago" correct?
 

ethomaz

Banned
If dev kits went out post GDC then the feed back from devs and the cancellation of Lockheart would have to be between GDC and E3 2019? That would be "Many weeks ago" correct?
It is possible... people are questioning because Zhuge said in ERA that Lockhart was canned last year.
 

Dabaus

Banned
It is possible... people are questioning because Zhuge said in ERA that Lockhart was canned last year.

So now that the Lockheart is cancelled, do you guys think Sony, assuming they were aiming for 399, go buck wild and make a 499 machine? Maybe they were planning 499 all along but now will want to go 399? Maybe they will keep their cards close to their chest and not say anything on price until Microsoft does? What do you guys think?
 

NickFire

Member
So now that the Lockheart is cancelled, do you guys think Sony, assuming they were aiming for 399, go buck wild and make a 499 machine? Maybe they were planning 499 all along but now will want to go 399? Maybe they will keep their cards close to their chest and not say anything on price until Microsoft does? What do you guys think?
I don't think Sony would raise their target price over something like this. They know the money is in services and software sales, and will be pricing their console to sell as many as possible while keeping any losses within reason is my guess.
 

ethomaz

Banned
I don’t believe Sony targeted $399 from what Cerny said in the interview.

Perhaps $449 or $499?
 
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THE:MILKMAN

Member
I don’t believe Sony targeted $399 from what Cerny said in the interview.

Perhaps $449 or $499?

Two points about that.

1, I can't believe Peter Rubin asked about, and then left out, a quote about price.
2, Mark Cerny's quoted sentence couldn't be any more PR and I'm sure it was a pre-prepared answer from the team knowing it would be asked. Sony were probably shocked it wasn't included in the original article!

Bonus: I think there is still as much a chance for a $399/£349 price as any other.
 
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mejin

Member
thinking back now...people were saying sony needed to react to whatever MS did and in the end we saw the complete opposite.

Even without press on E3 and people remembered Sony instead of MS.

crazy shit will come next gen and the only one with a clear path is sony.
 

Codes 208

Member
So now that the Lockheart is cancelled, do you guys think Sony, assuming they were aiming for 399, go buck wild and make a 499 machine? Maybe they were planning 499 all along but now will want to go 399? Maybe they will keep their cards close to their chest and not say anything on price until Microsoft does? What do you guys think?
I think they’d keep a level head and continue doing their thing. Whiles its possible it could be $499 system, the ps4 launched as the stronger system at $399 so i think they know their own sweet spot.
 

NickFire

Member
Bonus: I think there is still as much a chance for $399/£349 price as any other.

I do too and actually expect it. They are making so much money on services and software I can't see them doing anything that could slow things down unless forced to, and I tend to believe they have really good leverage on the prices they will pay.
 
D

Deleted member 752119

Unconfirmed Member
Yeah I don't think there's much of a future for cheaper, less powerful budget consoles. We'll just see one launch model in the $400-500 (or more with inflation as time goes on) at launch and more powerful mid gen refreshes going forward.

Xcloud, Stadia etc. services are the cheap entry point for more casual gamers going forward, hardware will be pricier and for core/hard core gamers who wouldn't be buying the cheaper, inferior console in large numbers anyway. The budget strapped crowd can just pay for streaming or wait and buy the base model console after price drops in 2-3 years like they do now, no need to cater to them at launch.
 
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DeepEnigma

Gold Member
PC games can release with a million different PC setups, some super weak some super powerful, consoles have 3 and suddenly its a problem.

And PC games never take advantage of the fullest specs due to this, but rather, "brute force" non optimized lower spec baselines with added paint.

PC games would melt peoples minds if they could be designed from a high spec ground up, and not have to worry about lower spec machines.

The highest spec baseline for consoles is not only better for gamers, devs, game design, etc., but PC's as well, since they will have higher spec ports to take advantage of the tech people shell out on.
 
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So now that the Lockheart is cancelled, do you guys think Sony, assuming they were aiming for 399, go buck wild and make a 499 machine? Maybe they were planning 499 all along but now will want to go 399? Maybe they will keep their cards close to their chest and not say anything on price until Microsoft does? What do you guys think?

I don’t believe 399 was ever the target to begin with. I firmly believe both the PS5 and Next Box will launch priced higher than 399 bucks.
 
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D

Deleted member 752119

Unconfirmed Member
I don’t believe 399 was ever the target to begin with. I firmly believe both the PS5 and Next Box will launch prices higher than 399 bucks.

Yep, I expect $499.99.

I expect the vast majority of big games will be cross gen. Budget conscious/limited folks can just play those games on their PS4s/Pros/X1s/X1Xs. With everything being X86 architecture now it will be a lot easier for devs to make things cross gen and maximize the potential market and Sony/MS don't care whether they're getting that $60-100 game/ultimate edition purchase, PS+/Live/Gamepass sub fee etc. on a last gen or next gen machine. There's less pressure to lose a bunch of money on each unit sold to drive up launch window hardware sales in that climate, so they'll go with $500 and see what happens.
 
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Mass Shift

Member
Im not an expert on the habits on hardware architects but I would think/assume that one of the higher ups leaving 18 months from launch after a 180 on plans leaving probably isnt a good sign. Thats just the conclusion ive made man. Im sticking with it.

Well the only reason to keep your SoC team and your project leads in place is if you have something else for them to do. Even after they leave they can still do interviews for deep dives if they're called upon to do so.

Seriously if your job is done I don't need to keep you in house for anything, you and I would have even covered the SoC's roadmap towards future die shrinks in advance of your departure.

And on a related topic.

Despite what some here are suggesting, it really isn't possible for MS to begin "scaling back" Anaconda right now. If Anaconda always was planned to be the "Monster Eater" then MS can't change anything about it now. They're locked in. If it was originally supposed to be priced as a premium device they will have to take a considerable loss to be able to market it competitively.

Perhaps it was dev feedback, or maybe it was just a concept that became less desirable as XCloud became more efficient. And I actually thought Lockhart and Anaconda meant MS was going with a modular system this generation. That was MY way of making sense of it.
 
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Well the only reason to keep your SoC team and your project leads in place is if you have something else for them to do. Even after they leave they can still do interviews for deep dives if they're called upon to do so.

Seriously if your job is done I don't need to keep you in house for anything, you and I would have even covered the SoC's roadmap towards future die shrinks in advance of your departure.

And on a related topic.

Despite what some here are suggesting, it really isn't possible for MS to begin "scaling back" Anaconda right now. If Anaconda always was planned to be the "Monster Eater" then MS can't change anything about it now. They're locked in. If it was originally supposed to be priced as a premium device they will have to take a considerable loss to be able to market it competitively.

Perhaps it was dev feedback, or maybe it was just a concept that became less desirable as XCloud became more efficient. And I actually thought Lockhart and Anaconda meant MS was going with a modular system this generation. That was MY way of making sense of it.

This sounds like FUD.
 

mckmas8808

Mckmaster uses MasterCard to buy Slave drives
Well the only reason to keep your SoC team and your project leads in place is if you have something else for them to do. Even after they leave they can still do interviews for deep dives if they're called upon to do so.

Seriously if your job is done I don't need to keep you in house for anything, you and I would have even covered the SoC's roadmap towards future die shrinks in advance of your departure.

And on a related topic.

Despite what some here are suggesting, it really isn't possible for MS to begin "scaling back" Anaconda right now. If Anaconda always was planned to be the "Monster Eater" then MS can't change anything about it now. They're locked in. If it was originally supposed to be priced as a premium device they will have to take a considerable loss to be able to market it competitively.

Perhaps it was dev feedback, or maybe it was just a concept that became less desirable as XCloud became more efficient. And I actually thought Lockhart and Anaconda meant MS was going with a modular system this generation. That was MY way of making sense of it.

Well....we KNOW it was due to devs complaining about how difficult it was to make games for Lockhart "AND" Anaconda considering the game's scope. Plus XCloud is a major player for the Xbox team now. So it was both that made them change their minds.
 

Mass Shift

Member
This sounds like FUD.


Well let me put it this way for you. After everything that has happened with regards to these rumors? Until we get a leak with an accurate Scarlett sdk that has the appropriate 48GBs of gddr6, I will be sprinkling salt on EVERYTHING from here on out.

Including my neighbor's cat.
 

Drewpee

Banned
As long ad they can claim ownership of the most powerful console it is a good idea. It is not a good idea if they expect to compete with Sony or Nintendo with a similarly priced console and specs. Micrisoft needs a lane and that lane should always be "most powerful console ever"
 

Nikana

Go Go Neo Rangers!
Well the only reason to keep your SoC team and your project leads in place is if you have something else for them to do. Even after they leave they can still do interviews for deep dives if they're called upon to do so.

Seriously if your job is done I don't need to keep you in house for anything, you and I would have even covered the SoC's roadmap towards future die shrinks in advance of your departure.

And on a related topic.

Despite what some here are suggesting, it really isn't possible for MS to begin "scaling back" Anaconda right now. If Anaconda always was planned to be the "Monster Eater" then MS can't change anything about it now. They're locked in. If it was originally supposed to be priced as a premium device they will have to take a considerable loss to be able to market it competitively.

Perhaps it was dev feedback, or maybe it was just a concept that became less desirable as XCloud became more efficient. And I actually thought Lockhart and Anaconda meant MS was going with a modular system this generation. That was MY way of making sense of it.

I'm sorry why can't Microsoft make changes right now?
 

Jigsaah

Gold Member
Honestly I was kinda looking forward to that choice. It would have been a little more powerful than the X and cheap. I could have traded in the X and got that and the PS5. Now I'm pretty sure I'm spending 1000 bucks come next holiday for both
 
Microsoft's power is something to be reckoned with. They felt that it wasn't enough with just cancelling promising games like Fable Legends or Cancelbound so they had to cancel a next-gen console, too. It's gonna be scary once they manage to control the Infinity Glove properly.
 

Armorian

Banned
I'll bet a shiny silver dollar on two things:
1) Scarlett will be more powerful than PS5
2) Scarlett will be priced the same or less than the PS5.

1. Why would it? Rumors suggest the opposite and Lockhart didn't have any impact on Anaconda internals
2. That's a given
 
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HeresJohnny

Member
If this is true, Microsoft believes it can sell enough $500-$550 consoles to be competitive. (Hint: they can’t)

Edit: or maybe they genuinely believe their own bullshit with the “we don’t care about selling hardware we want to sell services” shtick. If that’s true, Sony should send them flowers, because if their main competitor’s plan to for the coming generation is to not sell hardware RIGHT before hardware is gonna come out, then they are fucked.

I’m fact, how is this supposed to make the consumer feel? “Buy our system or not, we don’t really care anyway we only want service customers.” Hmmmm, that’d get me to pause long and hard over investing in an Xbox if I was open to the idea.
 
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Nikana

Go Go Neo Rangers!
Source? Ive been told 18 months minimum from final tape out to store shelves.
Source? Ive been told 18 months minimum from final tape out to store shelves.

I should of clarified. They clearly cant go from something like Zen to Zen 2 or Vega to RDNA at this point without a significant change and reconstruction. That was always my understanding would take about 18-24 months.

But before the one year mark to ship they definitely could make smaller adjustments to CUs, CPU adjustments, clock speeds, etc.
 

Lukin1978

Member
If this is true, Microsoft believes it can sell enough $500-$550 consoles to be competitive. (Hint: they can’t)

Edit: or maybe they genuinely believe their own bullshit with the “we don’t care about selling hardware we want to sell services” shtick. If that’s true, Sony should send them flowers, because if their main competitor’s plan to for the coming generation is to not sell hardware RIGHT before hardware is gonna come out, then they are fucked.

I’m fact, how is this supposed to make the consumer feel? “Buy our system or not, we don’t really care anyway we only want service customers.” Hmmmm, that’d get me to pause long and hard over investing in an Xbox if I was open to the idea.
Well said so much truth in this they are selling the xbox brand so hard because they are not selling the consoles.
 
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Mass Shift

Member
I should of clarified. They clearly cant go from something like Zen to Zen 2 or Vega to RDNA at this point without a significant change and reconstruction. That was always my understanding would take about 18-24 months.

But before the one year mark to ship they definitely could make smaller adjustments to CUs, CPU adjustments, clock speeds, etc.

Well if all you're talking about is tweaks then sure, MS could make such adjustments. The question is why would they?

What would be the benefits to scaling back performance? The benefit certainly wouldn't be economical, at the end of the day they're still giving consumers the same architecture.

My point is that if you are MS, at some point Lockhart was revealed to be either unnecessary or impractical for you so you scrapped it. What then would be the usefulness in taking your flagship console and scaling it back to fill the gap that the lesser powered console was going to fill? The console you no longer need.
 

somerset

Member
Few here understand- but each new console gen begins with *very* ambitious multi-faceted plans that are almost always whittled down to something more streamlined before the new products finally hit the market.

*If* MS has cancelled the other console, it will be for only *one* reason- the performance war with Sony.

The plan was seemingly to have the same core *processing* power in both- or maybe the cheaper console scaled down to 1440 over the other's 4K. But the level of saving was going to be problematical, if the Xbox Next is to be the ultimate killer console.

Few here understand just how ambitious MS and Sony really are (hint- both are aiming far higher than leaked 'specs'). At least one can be expected to do something *stupid* (or excessive). And the other knows it, so it is like a bidding war at an auction.

At E3, MS said what I had already told you peeps here- that their *only* goal is the very best 2D (TV, not VR) traditional gaming platform that current hardware will allow. The cheaper console, as i said, was to be a derivative of the more expensive- which is technically problematic to say the least.

And given the coming shrink that the Xbox 1X will get soon, reducing its cost and making it the *basic* Xbox of the 'previous' gen, there was going to be an uncomfortable overlap. Or more likely the new cheaper console was to be in the stead of the shrunk 1X- and then the penny dropped about the price diff.

PS for the ill-informed dribblers dribbling on about a certain irrelevant MS person moving to Intel- it is *AMD* who are doing the only engineering that matters on the Xbox Next. MS's only job is to get their *software* working on AMD's hardware. MS's only input on the hardware side is just how much hardware they are prepared to buy per console. How big the dies are to be, and what the die configurations are (do *not* bank on just a single APU this time). MS pays the bills, and AMD does the work to spec. AMD needs a MS 'engineer' telling them how to do their job like I need a hole in my head.
 

Bernkastel

Ask me about my fanboy energy!
Microsoft's power is something to be reckoned with. They felt that it wasn't enough with just cancelling promising games like Fable Legends or Cancelbound so they had to cancel a next-gen console, too. It's gonna be scary once they manage to control the Infinity Glove properly.
You do realise that Lockhart was just a rumour by the same people who made wrong predictions about E3. Funny, that just like Scalebound no one here wanted a cheaper alternative called Lockhart to exist, but suddenly everyone wants it now.
Instead of Lockhart, they will just keep selling Xbox One S/X as a cheaper alternative, which in my opinion is better. Just because something existed in the drawing board at some point does not mean it has to be put into consumers hand, otherwise they will be charged by Internet Morality Court.
 

Nikana

Go Go Neo Rangers!
Well if all you're talking about is tweaks then sure, MS could make such adjustments. The question is why would they?

What would be the benefits to scaling back performance? The benefit certainly wouldn't be economical, at the end of the day they're still giving consumers the same architecture.

My point is that if you are MS, at some point Lockhart was revealed to be either unnecessary or impractical for you so you scrapped it. What then would be the usefulness in taking your flagship console and scaling it back to fill the gap that the lesser powered console was going to fill? The console you no longer need.
I wasn't saying they should. I was simply responding to the they can't make changes at this point.

But they also could improve things and go for a higher end experience and not scale scale back.
 

JaffeLion

Banned
Even without press on E3 and people remembered Sony instead of MS.

not really. people are still talking about the new flight simulator on xbox. most viewed E3 trailer this year! people are talking about keanu reeves, who was on the XBOX conference.
 

Mass Shift

Member
I wasn't saying they should. I was simply responding to the they can't make changes at this point.

But they also could improve things and go for a higher end experience and not scale scale back.


Lockhart never made much sense to me but I tried to rationalize MS' strategy as a necessity to fill a low end gap that quite honestly needed to be addressed. They still have millions of people accessing LIVE on 360s. So Lockhart as an entry vehicle for newbies and casuals sounded like a decent enough carrot stick.

Okay so XCloud solves the entry level platform issue, but does nothing for the standard level. We all agree that Lockhart would have under performed and perhaps frustrated devs and core gamers alike. So the flagship platform is the only one left, so MS will naturally have to take a loss because they can't sell it at a premium.
 
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