what makes you think that?
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February 2015 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes March 10th
- Thread starter donny2112
- Start date
what makes you think that?
archnemesis
Member
[3DS] 265k
[PS4] 295k
[WIU] 75k
[XB1] 220k
[PS4] 295k
[WIU] 75k
[XB1] 220k
I don't know if the pattern is the same in the US, but in Sweden people are broke in January because they spent all their money on Christmas shopping.
Aquamarine
Member
The existence of the Wii U port seems illogical otherwise.
the wii u port could have been started even before the wii u launched.
and it seems weird if nintendo was offering that level of support when nis america of all companies turned out to be localizing it.
freefornow
Gold Member
[PS4] 257K
[3DS] 236K
[XB1] 219K
[WIU] 73K
[3DS] 236K
[XB1] 219K
[WIU] 73K
StrongBlackVine
Banned
Amazon had a ridiculous Xbox One bundle recently. It might skewed closer than other retailers because of that.
The XBO actually had the first spot for a long time before a few days due to the ridiculous offer that Amazon had
Aquamarine
Member
The Last Story, a Nintendo moneyhat contracted out to Mistwalker, was published by XSEED Games in the USA.
Small companies can still publish Nintendo games in other territories. It's not unheard of.
harrisk954
Member
[3DS] 310K
[PS4] 220K
[WIU] 65k
[XB1] 170K
[PS4] 220K
[WIU] 65k
[XB1] 170K
GifGafIsTheBestGaf
Member
yup, i think im low balling so im gonna change mine a bit (hopefully i wont underestimating WW sales though)
BlackBuzzard
Banned
So was the Amazon Xbox one bundle the only big deal for the console this month or did any other retailers have any good deals? Did the PS4 have any bundles at various retailers?
Aquamarine
Member
An update, now that we have Japan sell-through numbers:
1.7 million PS4 consoles sold worldwide between 2015-01-05 and 2015-03-01.
- 16716 PS4 consoles sold in Japan from 2015-01-05 through 2015-01-11
- 13074 PS4 consoles sold in Japan from 2015-01-12 through 2015-01-18
- 11513 PS4 consoles sold in Japan from 2015-01-19 through 2015-01-25
- 13971 PS4 consoles sold in Japan from 2015-01-26 through 2015-02-01
- 14812 PS4 consoles sold in Japan from 2015-02-02 through 2015-02-08
- 17981 PS4 consoles sold in Japan from 2015-02-09 through 2015-02-15
- 23210 PS4 consoles sold in Japan from 2015-02-16 through 2015-02-22
- 46495 PS4 consoles sold in Japan from 2015-02-23 through 2015-03-01
= 157772 PS4 consoles sold in Japan from 2015-01-05 through 2015-03-01
- 189000 PS4 consoles sold in the USA from 2015-01-04 through 2015-01-31
= 1.35 million PS4 consoles sold worldwide in January and February excluding Japan and USA January
GifGafIsTheBestGaf
Member
thank you Aqua
Ummm seems to hint at 300k PS4 sales in February at least!
But that seems to be against the yoy decline situation we have seen in January so we'll see.
Maybe a few of the deals and recent bundles really had an impact for the month.
the last story was also worked on by nintendo's european branch. it seems like the only thing they're doing with rodea is putting it in directs.
Cornbread78
Member
Aquamarine
Member
It's not on the list because Amazon doesn't directly sell 3DS systems.
GifGafIsTheBestGaf
Member
EDIT: ah^^
n3DS isnt on the top 100 list, only the black 3DS is (83) though it must be because the new units are only sold right now by third parties at ridiculous prices
n3DS isnt on the top 100 list, only the black 3DS is (83) though it must be because the new units are only sold right now by third parties at ridiculous prices
Aquamarine
Member
Just look at all of these 1-star anti-scalper reviews:
http://www.amazon.com/New-Nintendo-3DS-XL-Black/product-reviews/B00S1LRX3W/
Cornbread78
Member
Ok then, so it will remain the wildcard for this month.... There is really no way to even track it outside of educated guesses, lol
Vinsanity.
Member
Anyone willing to bet on The Order being in the Top10 for February? I'm thinking it won't be...
Cornbread78
Member
TheDangerMan
Member
[3DS] 245K
[PS4] 225K
[WIU] 50K
[XB1] 185K
[PS4] 225K
[WIU] 50K
[XB1] 185K
Aquamarine
Member
SCEA would have a real problem if it didn't enter the Top 10.
That shouldn't be a hard threshold at all to meet in February.
Cornbread78
Member
Not sure if other stores ran into this, but we sold out on launch day and have yet to receive more copies.....
theprodigy
Member
of course it will make top 10, if it didn't it would be the early frontrunner for bomba of the year
pharmboy044
Member
Of course it will but it might be in the bottom half. It would have been a different story if it came out in March.
this isn't a nintendo game though. kadokawa published it and prope originally created it. nintendo published the last story in europe and japan.
Aquamarine
Member
Nintendo doesn't have to have published the game for there to have been a moneyhat / exclusivity deal going on.
jamesinclair
Banned
[PS4] 277,777
[XB1] 222,222
[3DS] 199,999
[WIU] 77,777
[360] 66,666
[PS3] 55,555
[VITA] 22,222
[Wii] 11,111
[PSP] 500
[XB1] 222,222
[3DS] 199,999
[WIU] 77,777
[360] 66,666
[PS3] 55,555
[VITA] 22,222
[Wii] 11,111
[PSP] 500
BlackBuzzard
Banned
Well here it goes
[3DS] 325K
[PS4] 300K
[WIU] 60K
[XB1] 220K
[3DS] 325K
[PS4] 300K
[WIU] 60K
[XB1] 220K
The Last One
Member
Type-0 is in the top 20 of Amazon best sellers for a few days now. Hope this means we'll see it in the NPD top 10 for March.
Decent sized shipment?
SatoAilDarko
Member
Isn't the Wii U port the only way to sell the Wii version in some form? Considering it's backwards compatible. I mean without a Wii U version the finished Wii version gets lost to history and possible leaks.
Also of all the 3DS games to pay for a Wii U port Rodea is not something I think Nintendo would care to add to the small roster.
Well, there's that, too, but if it was just that, February would be a return to "normal" monthly rates. Instead, February is usually above "normal" monthly rates by a fair bit. Not sure if tax returns is the reason, but the bump is typically there for whatever the reason is.
Aquamarine
Member
I assume if Kadokawa really cared about profitability, they wouldn't have bothered with releasing the Wii U / Wii version in the first place. Like how Capcom didn't bother with a Wii U version of Monster Hunter 4.
Third-party Wii U console exclusives aren't exactly the most profitable venture at the moment.
Nintendo makes odd decisions. Fatal Frame V funding. Hotel Dusk funding. Devil's Third funding. Bayonetta 2 funding. Zangeki no Reginleiv funding. Disaster: Day of Crisis funding. Pandora's Tower funding. The Last Story funding. Endless Ocean funding.
They can be quirky and illogical at times, and Rodea the Sky Soldier (which seems like another one of Nintendo's passion projects) sounds perfect for a random moneyhat.
Iwata is a developer at heart. He loves this kind of stuff.
Trust me. I'm a PhD
Member
Timeline wise, this puts their pre order interest (relative, as we do not know for sure in what volume anything is being bought on that list without some base numbers) above Evolve and about the same as the Order in their respective 10 days up to launch. Can any of our retail heroes give us insight into if this is true elsewhere, or is just happening on Amazon? Also, the split seems to REALLY favor the PS4 version, but given the franchise history, I guess that is a given...
I'm going to go ahead and predict that Evolve is a relative bomb:
http://www.amazon.com/gp/bestsellers/2015-02/videogames#5
This can't be good, not given the constant barrage of commercials and press I've been seeing.
http://www.amazon.com/gp/bestsellers/2015-02/videogames#5
This can't be good, not given the constant barrage of commercials and press I've been seeing.
1st Course
Member
Shouldn't be too hard. I think it takes like 70-80K to enter the charts during this period of the year. Anything that's not down right bomba or very niche should be able to chart.
Man-is-Obsolete
Member
It's becoming pretty apparent why many games put in a single player campaign and advertise that even though it is MP focused. There's too much competition in the mp space and many don't see the value in a $60 MP only title. Also MP games have become flavor of the week so it is a gamble to spend $60 on a game that could have its community shrink fast.
Aquamarine
Member
Well, maybe not *that* low, but you get the idea.
Man-is-Obsolete
Member
Didn't Sly Cooper 4 make it with around 100k?
Aquamarine
Member
Then you have Feb months where it bottoms out at like 140K
It depends on the release slate.
1st Course
Member
Not necessarily. Prototype 2 debuted #1 on NPD yet that didn't stop Activision from closing the studio behind it few months later.