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[DayShallCome]

I'm going to assume the vast majority of GAF overpredicted the PS360.

No doubt about it. Even before SC's remarks, if you sat down to do the math, it's hard to see either 360 or PS3 doing better than 300k for April.

 

[slaughterking]

Where is Matts equally vague statement?

 

[Talamius]

It'll maybe get close in June with the 5 week month and potentially more shipments because of Wii Fit madness adding to current madness, but I don't foresee anything close to 1m for Wii this month - maybe next if Nintendo decide to chuck massive Wii shipments along with Wii Fit shipments, however.

PS3 and 360 are niche products compared to Wii, nowadays. Even in the conservative gaming market of the US, and with the massive launch of GTA.

I think the biggest threat to Wii is Nintendo clearing its backlog of demand and not be able to do enough to keep demand massively high - PS3, 360, GTA, Halo 3 don't seem to make much effect.

I think Wii Fit madness may do it. FWIW Wii Fit will be on cars in both U.S. Memorial Day races, the #40 in the Coke 600 in Charlotte and then the #16 at the Indy 500.

 

[MobiusPigeon]

wii selling a crapload is the norm. a shocker would be mk doing just "ok" and the hd consoles eating wiis lunch finally like alot have been hoping for. nintendo fans would have a fit and ps360 fans would rejoice. that's the only thing i could think of outside of the 360 version of gta outselling the ps version 3 to 1. anything outside of those 2 scenarios is "meh"

 

[Oblivion]

Oh shit, it's NPD day today, isn't it? Forgot all about it. :lol

 

[DeadyFernGarden]

Mario Kart destroying GTA4?

My waiting redeemed!

 

[RobertM]

Wii>PS3+360 and PS3>360? :lol

the question, GTA4 hardware effect bigger in april or may?

I bet it's the former, but possibility of PS3 selling like crazy because of GTA4 is a high possibility, I just haven't heard any reports indicating that though.

 

[Sharp]

wii selling a crapload is the norm. a shocker would be mk doing just "ok" and the hd consoles eating wiis lunch finally like alot have been hoping for. nintendo fans would have a fit and ps360 fans would rejoice. that's the only thing i could think of outside of the 360 version of gta outselling the ps version 3 to 1. anything outside of those 2 scenarios is "meh"

I thought you said that wouldn't be a shocker though, you were telling me you pretty much expected it (at least for MK).

 

[Parl]

I'm going to assume the vast majority of GAF overpredicted the PS360.

I was tempted to put my 230k prediction for 360 up quite a lot and my 270k prediction for PS3 up quite a lot, but I stayed firm on my methods and didn't let GAF influence me.

If you assumption is correct, it will do good for me on predictions. Although this is the only time I've entered this year so far.

 

[Sharp]

Wait, going to the NPD page, did NPD add Wal-Mart recently? If so, how did I miss this?

 

[Taurus]

Tease!

Cant see what would be truly shocking though

Must be something beating GTA or maybe 360/PS3 GTA 3x the other or something

Well GTA4 is a big favourite here so it shouldn't be anything GTA4 related. And we *know* GTA4 is going to do great on both platforms. What would be shocking from hardly-core's point of view? Non-consoles and non-games outselling real consoles and real games with a big margin..? Spceulation, speculation...

 

[AniHawk]

I didn't predict, so I can't make claims of how I expected things to go, but I'm thinking the Wii widened its lead even further.

Microsoft released a statement about GTA IV's affect on hardware sales. In the last week of the month, it increased hardware by a measly 54%. Going off of averages from previous months (and assuming the weekly average hadn't decreased even further from March even though it decreased from April), I got about 88k for the week, about 240k for the month.

I gave that number a 10k boost, just to be generous.

I think I also might've underpredicted the Wii AGAIN. I even gave it an increased weekly average, since the new FY means more supply.

I would be surprised to see Mario Kart outsell GTA IV though. I can see it topping the charts, but outselling the combined total? I doubt it.

 

[MobiusPigeon]

i expect mk to do so so. but ps360 owning wii? that would shock. mk can't do better than gta. i dunno about you guys but unless they shipped some insane amount of mks there have been too many out there for it to have bested either version of gta.

 

[Sharp]

i expect mk to do so so. but ps360 owning wii? that would shock. mk can't do better than gta. i dunno about you guys but unless they shipped some insane amount of mks there have been too many out there for it to have bested either version of gta.

I don't think it did either (though it would be amusing) if only because Nintendo hasn't said anything. But PS3 or 360 > Wii would be pretty megatonish, I agree. I don't think it's all that likely though.

And I'm not really getting the Wal-mart announcement on the NPD page. So now they're tracking consumers for Wal-mart... but don't actually get any retail sales information from them?

 

[AniHawk]

i expect mk to do so so. but ps360 owning wii?

The PS360 total has outsold the Wii before. Either PS3 or 360 outselling the Wii would be huge though. That would be a truly monstrous week for GTA IV.

 

[Luckyman]

PS2>PS360

 

[BenjaminBirdie]

PS2>PS360

Oh yes, this. I didn't even think about that possibility....

 

[Grecco]

The PS360 total has outsold the Wii before. Either PS3 or 360 outselling the Wii would be huge though. That would be a truly monstrous week for GTA IV.

I cant see this happening. Xbox360 or ps3 selling 700k consoles?

On the other hand. I think Mario Kart has a chance to upset GTA, and be the shocker.

John Davidson predicted it.

 

[DeadyFernGarden]

So did I!

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=10286548&postcount=490

 

[Nuclear Muffin]

No way is MKWii gonna touch GTA 4, not even close!

 

[mr_bishiuk]

Gta must have been beaten by some non game, that would be something I "really, really, really" don't want to see

 

[szaromir]

The biggest shocker would be GTA4 PS3 outselling GTA4 360 and that would really make GAF implode.

 

[MobiusPigeon]

if wii sells an insane amount as usual the big thing will be record breaking industry numbers as a whole. so that's my prediction. 1-gta 360 3 to 1, 2-ps360 owning wii, or 3-billions made this month as a WHOLE. anything else wouldn't be huge at all imo.

 

[mr_bishiuk]

So did I!

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=10286548&postcount=490

Hardly a prediction!

 

[Y2Kev]

We have press releases from companies from earlier this week that makes half of these posted scenarios impossible. Think, people. Sonycowboy does this every time.

It's about Wii. It's massive Wii and/or DS numbers.

 

[Sharp]

if wii sells an insane amount as usual the big thing will be record breaking industry numbers as a whole. so that's my prediction. 1-gta 360 3 to 1, 2-ps360 owning wii, or 3-billions made this month as a WHOLE. anything else wouldn't be huge at all imo.

We already know this month is going to be huge as a whole, just on the back of GTA sales. 1m Wii sales in April would be pretty impressive I think, wouldn't that be by far the most ever outside a holiday month? I doubt they'll be that big though.

 

[Captain Smoker]

NPD - time again. 8)

Any chance to get more numbers, Top10´s still sucking. ;__;


[I know that I should be thankful to get even numbers]

 

[Link]

No way is MKWii gonna touch GTA 4, not even close!

Not combined, but I can see it outselling each individual version.

 

[mr_bishiuk]

We have press releases from companies from earlier this week that makes half of these posted scenarios impossible. Think, people. Sonycowboy does this every time.

It's about Wii. It's massive Wii and/or DS numbers.

But why would that make Gaf die? it happens every month!

 

[Oblivion]

I doubt MK did that well. Otherwise Nintendo would have made a press release about it after the first week like Mario Galaxy.

 

[Opiate]

The only news that would really be a noticable shift, in my opinion, is the Wii being outsold by the PS3 or 360 individually.

I think most people here expect the Wii to outsell the PS3 and 360 individually and perhaps combined. Saying that the Wii really really outsold them instead of really outsold them isn't a shocker to me, at least personally, just a more exaggerated form of what I'm already expecting.

Perhaps others thought differently with the release of GTA4. We'll see soon enough.

 

[Sharp]

Not combined, but I can see it outselling each individual version.

Then it would have had to sell more than Smash in its first week, right? Since we kind of know how much GTAIV sold. Wouldn't that have been a bigger opening than Brawl, the previous record-holder for NoA, and wouldn't we therefore have gotten a press release? 'Cause we didn't.

 

[exarkun]

The biggest shocker would be GTA4 PS3 outselling GTA4 360 and that would really make GAF implode.

More like Assplode right? But seriously, that would never happen. Fortunately, I highly doubt it will be 2:1 ratio that people thought it was going to be. And I think I overstated the ps3/x360 numbers. Balls.

 

[polluar]

I've put this filter on all threads with NPD. You really, really, really don't want to see the industry numbers they just released. O M G. It's going to be painful and kill GAF.

Wii just destroyed the other ...

 

[Kifimbo]

I doubt MK did that well. Otherwise Nintendo would have made a press release about it after the first week like Mario Galaxy.

And SSBB. Maybe it didn't do well at all ? I know I saw a lot of copies instore.

 

[Link]

Then it would have had to sell more than Smash in its first week, right? Since we kind of know how much GTAIV sold. Wouldn't that have been a bigger opening than Brawl, the previous record-holder for NoA, and wouldn't we therefore have gotten a press release? 'Cause we didn't.

Yeah, it's pretty much not gonna happen, but it's not completely impossible. I agree there would be a press release, though.

 

[Y2Kev]

But why would that make Gaf die? it happens every month!

Because this is the point when even the most thickheaded of cheerleaders will be forced to face facts. GTAIV is out. It came. It went. Wii stands unblemished.

Plus he says that every month.

 

[Oblivion]

And SSBB.

Oh shit...in that case, nevermind. There's still the possibility. :lol

 

[polluar]

Not combined, but I can see it outselling each individual version.

No way !!! SSBB did "only" 2.7 million copies last month. that's what GTA IV did in one hour on Xbox 360

 

[Firewire]

Gta must have been beaten by some non game, that would be something I "really, really, really" don't want to see

I doubt that, its probably along the lines of the Wii selling close to a million or something.

 

[Sharp]

And SSBB. Maybe it didn't do well at all ? I know I saw a lot of copies instore.

Well, depends what you mean by "didn't do well." Expectations are pretty high, especially after strong European / Japanese initial sales (and legs) but I don't see that being a super megaton unless it totally bombed.

 

[Taurus]

Because this is the point when even the most thickheaded of cheerleaders will be forced to face facts. GTAIV is out. It came. It went. Wii stands unblemished.

Imo this.

 

[Captain Smoker]

No way !!! SSBB did "only" 2.7 million copies last month. that's what GTA IV did in one hour on Xbox 360

 

[BenjaminBirdie]

Because this is the point when even the most thickheaded of cheerleaders will be forced to face facts. GTAIV is out. It came. It went. Wii stands unblemished.

Yep.

 

[Htown]

And SSBB. Maybe it didn't do well at all ? I know I saw a lot of copies instore.

And as a cashier I saw an awful lot of them coming through the checkout.

 

[polluar]

You will see ! GTA IV may have done monstruous numbers ! MK with 1 million + (which is good by the way) will be ridiculous

 

[Agent Icebeezy]

If Mario Kart outsold GTA4, I'm going to laugh my ass off.

 

[Ganondorf>Link]

Nintendo’s Wii Sits Atop April U.S. Sales

Wii™ emerged as the top-selling console in April, according to the independent NPD Group, which tracks U.S. video game sales. Wii sold more than 714,000 units in April alone, bringing its lifetime sales in the United States to more than 9.5 million.

“Wii sales were buoyed in part by the strong launch of Mario Kart Wii, which sold more than 1.1 million units,” said Cammie Dunaway, Nintendo of America’s executive vice president of Sales & Marketing. “Our belief in appealing to a broad, diverse audience of players continues to resonate with consumers, and we look forward to continuing our outreach to an expanded audience with the launch of Wii Fit next week.”

Other Nintendo highlights from April’s NPD report include:

* Mario Kart® Wii finished as the No. 2 game of the month.
* Six of the top 10 games of the month are for Nintendo systems: Mario Kart Wii (No. 2), Wii Play™ (No. 4), Super Smash Bros.® Brawl (No. 5), Pokémon® Mystery Dungeon: Explorers of Darkness (No. 7), Pokémon® Mystery Dungeon: Explorers of Time (No. 8) and Guitar Hero III: Legends of Rock (No. 9).
* Super Smash Bros. Brawl crossed the 3 million sales mark in the United States.
* Wii and Nintendo DS™ again finished as the two top-selling hardware systems.

 

[BenjaminBirdie]

Nintendo’s Wii Sits Atop April U.S. Sales

Wii™ emerged as the top-selling console in April, according to the independent NPD Group, which tracks U.S. video game sales. Wii sold more than 714,000 units in April alone, bringing its lifetime sales in the United States to more than 9.5 million.

“Wii sales were buoyed in part by the strong launch of Mario Kart Wii, which sold more than 1.1 million units,” said Cammie Dunaway, Nintendo of America’s executive vice president of Sales & Marketing. “Our belief in appealing to a broad, diverse audience of players continues to resonate with consumers, and we look forward to continuing our outreach to an expanded audience with the launch of Wii Fit next week.”

Other Nintendo highlights from April’s NPD report include:

* Mario Kart® Wii finished as the No. 2 game of the month.
* Six of the top 10 games of the month are for Nintendo systems: Mario Kart Wii (No. 2), Wii Play™ (No. 4), Super Smash Bros.® Brawl (No. 5), Pokémon® Mystery Dungeon: Explorers of Darkness (No. 7), Pokémon® Mystery Dungeon: Explorers of Time (No. 8) and Guitar Hero III: Legends of Rock (No. 9).
* Super Smash Bros. Brawl crossed the 3 million sales mark in the United States.
* Wii and Nintendo DS™ again finished as the two top-selling hardware systems.

There it is.

 

[Oblivion]

Wow, Smash Bros. plumetted.