Support NeoGAF

[SIP YEK NOD]

[360]410k -63k
[NDS]585k -49k
[PS2]122k +51.5k
[PS3]222k +10.4k
[PSP]244k -6k
[WII]515k +172k

351.9k off total, DAMN YOU WII!

 

[Gaborn]

[360] 315k +32.2k
[NDS] 625k -88.2k
[PS2] 174k -.5k
[PS3] 225k +7.4k
[PSP] 236k +2.1k
[WII] 614k +73k

Honestly not too bad. I was wayyyy off on the Wii and the DS, but I think most people were. I was dead on with the others (except a little bearish on the 360 like most people) so I'm happy.

edit: 203.4k off total! woo hoo, that's actually better than I thought!

 

[ayrkain]

[PS3] 225K +7.4k
[PSP] 260K -21.9k
[PS2] 130K +43.5k
[360] 375K -27.8k
[WII] 500K +187.0k
[NDS] 525K +11.8k

Well, the Wii totally kicked my butt for my first time out. Sigh. 299.4 off.

 

[BishopLamont]

But either way I don't expect anything lower than 57% increase, which on 244k, would be 383k. That should be the low end. Anything lower than that would be a major dissapointment for the first month of a $100 price drop.

Ah poor jimbo, can't catch a break even after he's gone.

 

[HiResDes]

Based on your prediction, I think you mean the exact opposite of what you said.

yes

 

[jvm]

306 off. Embarrassing as hell. :^(

 

[tahrikmili]

[360] 480K
[NDS] 540K
[PS2] 140K
[PS3] 240K
[PSP] 260K
[WII] 460K

First time I'm trying this, let's see what happens. :lol

[360] +132.5K
[NDS] +3.2K
[PS2] -33.5K
[PS3] +7.6K
[PSP] +21.9K
[WII] -227.0K

I really fucked up Wii and 360, otherwise not bad for a first attempt

 

[BLaZiN PRopHeT]

[360] 395k + 48k
[NDS] 600k + 64k
[PS2] 170k - 3k
[PS3] 250k + 18k
[PSP] 285k + 47k
[WII] 545k - 147k

 

[Rolf NB]

[360] 292k
[NDS] 702k
[PS2] 188k
[PS3] 242k
[PSP] 341k
[WII] 616k

[360] +55.2k
[NDS] -165.2k
[PS2] -14.5k
[PS3] -9.8k
[PSP] -102.9k
[WII] +71.0k

That's a pretty shitty sum total error of 480k. Consoles were kind of alright, but the handhelds, oh, the handhelds.

 

[starship]

[360] 310k (37.2k)
[NDS] 670k (133.2k)
[PS2] 180k (6.5k)
[PS3] 240k (7.6k)
[PSP] 260k (21.9k)
[WII] 610k (77K)

283.4k off, Wii and DS killed me. Fuck you Nintendo.

 

[dyls]

[360]360K (347.2K) +13
[NDS]620K (536.8K) +84
[PS2]165K (173.5K) -8
[PS3]220K (232.4K) -12
[PSP]285K (238.1K) +47
[WII]660K (687.0K) -27

Total about 191K off. Only about 60K for the four consoles, though. Just those damn handhelds...

 

[Randy Lanzarote]

[360] 310k
[NDS] 555k
[PS2] 145k
[PS3] 207k
[PSP] 260k
[WII] 490k

34.7k
18.2k
28.5k
25.4k
21.9k
197k

=325k off


Dam you Wii! I was doing pretty well until I got to you! :/

 

[Atreides]

[360] 340K
[NDS] 645K
[PS2] 180K
[PS3] 214K
[PSP] 310K
[WII] 560K

360 -7.2K
NDS +108.2K
PS2 +6.5K
PS3 -18.4K
PSP +71.9K
WII -127K

Total: 339,2K

I can understand why Wii got higher weekly sales than last month (more supply), but I don't get why DS and PSP got quite lower weekly sales. Somebody have any idea?

 

[hydragonwarrior]

So is the analyst from this thread 2 months away from being right?

 

[Sho_Nuff82]

So is the analyst from this thread 2 months away from being right?

Seems so.

I also find these two threads pretty lol-worthy:

Sony Unconcerned about 360 price Cuts

Microsoft Xbox console sales double after price cut

It'll have an effect, surely, but it won't have the same effect as last year's price drop. Many people were purchasing their 360 in anticipation of Halo 3.

This + your numbers from the prediction thread + your comments in this thread = complete loss of credibility.

 

[Frankfurter]

[360] 290k - 57.2k off
[NDS] 600k - 63,2k off
[PS2] 160k - 13,5k off
[PS3] 230k - 2,4k off
[PSP] 260k - 21,9k off
[WII] 600k - 87k off


245.2k off total.

 

[perfectchaos007]

when will results be posted?

 

[apujanata]

I am 280.8K off.

 

[RobertM]

360 405,000 347,200 +57,800
NDS 560,000 536,800 +23,200
PS2 130,000 173,500 -43,500
PS3 220,000 232,400 -12,400
PSP 270,000 238,100 +31,900
Wii 500,000 687,000 -187,000

355.8k off total. Damn.

 

[dyls]

Paging Donny. I want to know where I stand in this incredibly important contest.

 

[donny2112]

Paging Donny.

I saved all the thread pages from when the deadline was, but I haven't compiled anything, yet, for hardware or software. Probably later Monday or Tuesday night I'll be able to put the prediction results up.

 

[adversesolutions]

360 ftw
now if it only got rid of region-lock

 

[Brakara]

Spooky. They are quite close... and oddly this month I made sure not to look at anyone else's prediction so I wasn't influenced.

Yeah, it was more of a warning since my performance for the last few months have been pitiful. Oh, well, at least we were on the target with the 360, PS2 and PS3 numbers.

 

[Psychotext]

I was really happy with most of my predictions... but oh god, so far out on the Wii. :lol

I really thought they'd have started holding back supply for xmas.

 

[Ydahs]

[360] 260k + 87k
[NDS] 590k - 56k
[PS2] 160k + 13k
[PS3] 220k + 12k
[PSP] 270k + 32k
[WII] 520k + 167k

Off by 367k! Wow! :lol :lol

Totally off on Wii60.

 

[donny2112]

September 2008 NPD Predictions

Unit Results

1. cw_sasuke - 70,000
2. sinnergy - 170,800
3. doicare - 188,400
4. dyls - 190,800
5. laserbeam - 195,200
6. Gaborn - 203,400
7. Chumly - 203,800
8. Jesse2040 - 205,200
9. Digital-Hero - 207,000
10. Machado - 210,600
11. Arsenic - 222,600
12. Spiegel - 223,800
13. Strike - 225,800
14. Flakster99 - 231,400
15. llonesmiz - 239,000
16. jj984jj - 240,200
17. AniHawk - 241,400
18. Frankfurter - 245,200
19. Frillen - 248,400
20. Accident - 251,400
21. Hammer24 - 253,800
22. skedar897 - 259,400
23. WrikaWrek - 260,600
24. INDIGO_CYCLOPS - 263,400
25. RBH - 265,200
26. comedy bomb - 268,200
27. Omikaru - 270,800
28. rostocker - 271,800
29. DayShallCome - 274,200
30. DMeisterJ - 275,200
31. LiquidMetal14 - 276,000
32. toxk_02 - 276,200
33. TwilightPrincess - 277,400
34. apujanata - 280,800
35. starship - 283,400
36. Jonsoncao - 284,400
37. Pachter - 291,400
38. Olaeh - 297,000
39. Dunlop - 298,200
40. SuperSonic1305 - 298,800
41. Brak - 299,200
42. ayrkain - 299,400
42. Minsc - 299,400
44. Sean - 300,400
45. Hyllian - 300,800
46. Alcibiades - 301,000
47. timetokill - 301,800
48. danwarb - 302,200
49. Orgen - 302,400
49. Psychotext - 302,400
51. nextgeneration - 303,800
52. jvm - 305,200
53. felipeko - 305,400
54. Rapping Granny - 308,800
54. TerryLee81 - 308,800
56. Private Hoffman - 315,200
57. archnemesis - 315,400
57. Chibbi Brady - 315,400
57. womfalcs3 - 315,400
60. blitz64 - 315,800
61. Hunahan - 318,400
62. No_Style - 319,000
62. VanMardigan - 319,000
64. andy_lhc - 319,600
65. *Guaraná - 320,800
65. Sleeker - 320,800
67. BLaZiN PRopHeT - 321,000
68. dammitmattt - 323,800
69. Rpgmonkey - 324,000
70. Jokeropia - 325,200
71. scottnak - 327,200
72. sionyboy - 328,200
73. Brakara - 328,400
74. markatisu - 329,400
75. Osuwari - 330,400
76. Scott32020 - 330,800
77. 1cesc - 331,400
78. Cygnus X-1 - 333,400
78. Plinko - 333,400
78. Region-FreeWii - 333,400
81. Brashnir - 335,600
82. Thunder Monkey - 335,800
83. Linkup - 337,000
84. John Dunbar - 338,200
84. JoshuaJSlone - 338,200
86. Atreides - 339,200
87. boontje - 340,400
88. Aladuf - 340,800
89. botticus - 343,400
90. doomed1 - 345,200
91. Yes Boss! - 349,800
92. SIP YEK NOD - 350,800
93. LOCK - 355,200
94. RobertM - 355,800
95. RattleHead_ - 358,400
96. donny2112 - 360,800
96. N.A - 360,800
98. Ydahs - 365,200
99. Opiate - 365,800
100. duk - 370,200
101. Clever Pun - 373,200
102. HiResDes - 380,800
103. daegan - 381,400
104. robotnjik - 382,000
105. jibblypop - 383,200
106. domokunrox - 386,800
107. kottila - 390,600
108. SuperBanjo - 395,200
109. jimbo - 397,800
110. akilshohen - 399,000
111. Gadfly - 400,200
112. choodi - 405,400
113. JJConrad - 409,000
114. Sir Fragula - 410,600
115. JavyOO7 - 414,800
116. Jewbacca - 415,600
117. perfectchaos007 - 416,400
118. bcn-ron - 418,400
119. tahrikmili - 426,000
120. rikitikitik - 428,800
120. roonow - 428,800
122. affableamerican - 429,000
123. mr_bishiuk - 435,200
124. Duxxy3 - 437,000
125. Mojojo - 446,400
126. gtj1092 - 448,400
127. NemesisPrime - 450,600
128. vectorman06 - 450,800
129. DigitalSoul - 451,400
130. h3ro - 453,600
131. Rekwest - 455,000
132. Zihark - 465,000
133. Death_Born - 465,800
134. Choke on the Magic - 472,200
135. manzo - 478,800
136. wayward archer - 480,800
137. indie85 - 494,000
138. Casey120 - 495,000
139. Lagunamov - 550,800
140. Revelations - 686,000
141. dasupremeone - 795,000
142. Atomspike - 1,602,800




Point Results

     Sept 2008                   Last 3 months                Overall 2008	
1.   cw_sasuke          141.35   doicare             356.79   doicare             952.3
2.   sinnergy           135.18   Gaborn              342.05   starship            932.01
3.   dyls               128.39   dyls                338.29   nextgeneration      923.37
4.   Chumly             124.76   laserbeam           338.23   botticus            920.4
5.   doicare            123.17   DayShallCome        337.97   donny2112           915.6
6.   laserbeam          119.19   toxk_02             335.04   llonesmiz           911.97
7.   Flakster99         118.14   AniHawk             334.58   dyls                911.81
8.   jj984jj            117.46   Chumly              333.3    DayShallCome        910.52
9.   llonesmiz          117.08   danwarb             330.95   Jokeropia           902.62
10.  Gaborn             116.86   Flakster99          330.95   JoshuaJSlone        902.53
11.  WrikaWrek          115.16   botticus            330.59   AniHawk             898.35
12.  Brak               113.11   Jokeropia           327.86   Psychotext          892.2
13.  Jesse2040          113.11   No_Style            327.59   Brak                888.31
14.  Brashnir           113.01   llonesmiz           326.93   danwarb             887.28
15.  Rapping Granny     112.26   Brak                326.72   blitz64             886.86
16.  Frillen            111.77   Spiegel             326.7    rostocker           886.14
17.  Spiegel            111.04   timetokill          326.45   SuperBanjo          883.44
18.  perfectchaos007    110.81   rostocker           325.33   Pachter             883.41
19.  Pachter            110.53   Orgen               325.23   Frankfurter         875.39
20.  Strike             110.3    Ydahs               325.21   felipeko            871.91
21.  INDIGO_CYCLOPS     109.92   Jesse2040           324.28   Flakster99          870.42
22.  Machado            109.47   N.A                 324.05   Chibbi Brady        868.98
23.  Accident           109.37   Minsc               322.9    Spiegel             868.17
24.  skedar897          108.74   apujanata           322.57   Strike              865.39
25.  RBH                108.67   jj984jj             322.49   Brakara             862.71
26.  rostocker          108.38   Linkup              322.21   scottnak            860.02
27.  Frankfurter        108.22   Scott32020          321.13   RBH                 858.36
28.  Arsenic            108.15   JoshuaJSlone        321.02   rikitikitik         857.87
29.  Jonsoncao          108.1    perfectchaos007     320.77   Frillen             855.1
30.  Rekwest            108.06   JJConrad            320.38   womfalcs3           850.75
31.  Hammer24           107.87   nextgeneration      320.23   Region-FreeWii      844.51
32.  Digital-Hero       107.6    Hammer24            319.42   Hammer24            842.88
33.  Hyllian            107.57   Frillen             318.92   choodi              837.36
34.  starship           107.41   Region-FreeWii      318.91   Yes Boss!           836.88
35.  Omikaru            107.41   andy_lhc            318.74   JJConrad            831.67
36.  AniHawk            107.37   RBH                 318.53   SIP YEK NOD         827.69
37.  DayShallCome       107.15   Atreides            318.49   Chumly              826.95
38.  SuperSonic1305     107.06   Psychotext          318.31   Thunder Monkey      806.34
39.  Psychotext         107.02   Brakara             318.1    perfectchaos007     793.77
40.  comedy bomb        106.83   Private Hoffman     317.74   toxk_02             793
41.  andy_lhc           106.55   Opiate              316.86   Linkup              792.87
42.  Private Hoffman    106.44   BLaZiN PRopHeT      316.07   apujanata           787.33
43.  toxk_02            106.13   felipeko            315.72   N.A                 775.63
44.  Dunlop             106.12   Plinko              315.56   Jesse2040           775.28
45.  timetokill         106.07   Pachter             315.29   archnemesis         770.95
46.  Minsc              105.87   archnemesis         315      Minsc               770.9
47.  Sean               105.69   skedar897           314.83   Osuwari             770.87
48.  Brakara            105.56   starship            314.8    Orgen               766.65
49.  apujanata          105.54   SuperBanjo          314.72   Bending_Unit_22     761.8
50.  TerryLee81         105.46   rikitikitik         313.3    Ydahs               758.64

Congratulations, cw_sasuke!

 

[JoshuaJSlone]

Congratulations, cw_sasuke!

Wow, yeah. Nobody else was nearly as close.

 

[Psychotext]

I want to go on record and say I hate Nintendo for never shipping what I expect them to ship. :lol

 

[apujanata]

34. apujanata - 280,800 (unit based)

49. apujanata 105.54 (point based)

This is a bad month for me.

Congrats, cw_sasuke

 

[Captain Smoker]

:lol @ Sasuke

Gut geraten.

 

[SuperSonic1305]

40. SuperSonic1305 - 298,800

Wow. I think I was near 100 last month.

 

[DayShallCome]

Wow, yeah. Nobody else was nearly as close.

Yeah, that was a thrashing.

 

[Gaborn]

6. Gaborn - 203,400

Woo hoo! personal best by far I think!

Also, congrats to cw-sasuke, that's amazing

 

[dyls]

Nice. Climbing that ladder. It's about to get much tougher, though, as the higher sales over the holidays make for more chances to wildly miss.

 

[cw_sasuke]

Congratulations, cw_sasuke!

thx @ all

:lol @ Sasuke

Gut geraten.

Tja xD

 

[Jesse2040]

How come I am ranked #8 for Sept, but ranked #13 in points?

 

[donny2112]

How come I am ranked #8 for Sept, but ranked #13 in points?

Units vs. Points

 

[doicare]

I played it safe this month so can't complain for being out by nearly 200,000, should have gone with what i originally thought tho. November and december is going to be a laugh, if what i have heard is true then there will be many, many tears for budding gaf game sales analysts. :lol

O and as always many thanks to donny for taking the time to put together the thread and working out the results.

 

[JoshuaJSlone]

I played it safe this month so can't complain for being out by nearly 200,000, should have gone with what i originally thought tho. November and december is going to be a laugh, if what i have heard is true then there will be many, many tears for budding gaf game sales analysts. :lol

I don't suppose you want to share this, but if something was really notable I imagine we'd have picked up some scent of it at least by the time a week had passed after the month ending.

 

[timetokill]

Thanks for bringing the results

Kind of a low month for me, but I'm still doing okay in the last 3 months. wish I had started doing estimates earlier so I could be on the 2008 year list!

 

[doicare]

I don't suppose you want to share this, but if something was really notable I imagine we'd have picked up some scent of it at least by the time a week had passed after the month ending.

If i told you then it wouldn't be a supprise.