What are you talking about? I was referring to the voter intention poll in the link I posted:
Macron inherits
43% of Fillon's voters
70% of Hamon's voters
50% of Mélenchon's voters
Le Pen inherits
31% of Fillon's voters
3% of Hamon's voters
12% of Mélenchon's voters
If you have more recent/accurate numbers feel free to share them
Your data is useless because it's not inline with how people voted in the election.
The election happened we know the margins and how people voted.
And your poll is inaccurate compared to the result (60/40 vs 66/33).
And as for the numbers you showed it tells us mostly nothing for the horseshoe or fishhook theory.
People on the left mostly voted for the centrist and people on the right mostly voted for the centrist too.
Some people on the right have been expected to go far right as there's been talks between Fillon's people (mostly rogues) and Lepen's people.
Again from the official numbers we have :
Lepen at 10 638 475 (and from the holdover from the 1st round, she and her associates did 7 678 491 + 1 695 000 = 9 373 491 so roughly she got 14% of fillon's vote IF all her votes came from Fillon which is a very big assumption).
And if we go this way and do the same simple calculus for Macron, if he got voters in that order : Macron, then Mélenchon, then Hamon, then basically everyone else and Fillon last (no lepen of course), Macron still got far more people from Fillon than Lepen did (roughly 2M).
But if you prefer articles,
googletrad is there for you
And also
this one.
the 2nd is actually more interesting as people who voted for Dupont Aignan were nearly evenly split between Lepen and Macron.
Dupont Aignan basically allied himself to Lepen for the 2nd round and called to vote for her. And EVEN THEN they didn't vote for her in the end.
So even the far right doesn't vote for the far right in the end.
So the fishhook theory that the center is closer to the far right? BS.
Most people who voted, overwhelmingly choose the centrist over the far right fascist....nearly even among the less centrist rigthwing.