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Hurricane Season 2016 |OT|
- Thread starter Relix
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perfectchaos007
Member
Was wondering when this thread was going to be made. Better late than never!
This is also the earliest we have ever gotten to a "C" storm in any hurricane season.
But the NHC projects an average year....
This is also the earliest we have ever gotten to a "C" storm in any hurricane season.
But the NHC projects an average year....
Yeah I've been too busy, thought somebody had done it but nope. But here it is and hey... a nice storm heading to Florida for a change of pace!
You can thank Hurricane Alex for that.If he did not form in the middle of January we probably wouldn't have the third named storm of the year in early June.
perfectchaos007
Member
No doubt. That was totally arbitrarily tacked on to this season due to the calendar year, but I would have tacked it on to the 2015 season since it formed closer to the 2015 hurricane season than 2016' season
perfectchaos007
Member
There's a Tropical Depression in the Gulf of Mexico but since it's headed towards Mexico no 1 care
I just found out about it. Father's Day!
Interesting...it will be a minor storm at maximum I guess.perfectchaos007
Member
Danielle is just a few hours away from landfall
perfectchaos007
Member
July was completely silent in the Atlantic, but the Pacific was quite active. Generally means the Atlantic could have a busy August. Lo and behold a couple of waves formed off Cape Verde and could become tropical depressions right around the start of August
perfectchaos007
Member
They may form despite the Saharan Dust which would be impressive
Sadly these invests will be almost dead by the time they get close to the Lesser Antilles.
perfectchaos007
Member
96L has dissipated but it appears 97L will turn into Earl in the next 5 days.
I'm guessing high pressure over the southern US is what's going to keep Earl from making any sort of northerly turn. Another Mexican Yucatan peninsula storm
maquiladora
Member
maquiladora
Member
#Earl
Wafflecakes
Member
It has been a fairly quiet.... decade... for Hurricanes it seems.
I remember it use to be storm after storm year after year and everyone was blaming global warning.
Then... nothing.
I remember it use to be storm after storm year after year and everyone was blaming global warning.
Then... nothing.
maquiladora
Member
Tropical cyclone activity goes up and down in multi-decade cycles.
http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/we...y-may-be-over-study-finds-20150908-story.html
perfectchaos007
Member
It has been almost 4 years since a hurricane has been in the gulf. The longest streak without a hurricane in the gulf since the 1800s.
Dead Prince
Banned
The leftover rain started Friday here in Louisiana and been non stop. Lots of rain and flooding
CaptainofIndustry
Member
Yeah, it's been bad here. Stay safe!
Dead Prince
Banned
It's stopped raining but the water is rising. Hopefully it goes down soon
Edit: we ended up evacuating because the water kept rising.
Dead Prince
Banned
Looks like the road near the house is flooded. More than likely the neighborhood is flooded
Now we are leaving the friends house because water is coming this way.
Now we are leaving the friends house because water is coming this way.
perfectchaos007
Member
Be safe! I know there's water everywhere but take some bottles of water with you.
Dead Prince
Banned
Thanks. We have water with us
The streetß near the house is slowly flooding we are staying for a bit to see how fast it comes before we head out
Dead Prince
Banned
From what I heard the house on another street is flooded near the roof. So most likely our place is gone. Hopefully not. Road closure so we won't know
maquiladora
Member
It's a long way off but we should keep an eye on 99L
It's a long way off but we should keep an eye on 99L
This season I checked and restocked my hurricane supplies, test fired my generator, filled my gas cans with ethanol-free gasoline, and paid a lot of money to have some large trees removed or trimmed back away from the house.
I'm as ready as it gets. Which means nothing will come near the east coast of Florida.
The cool air on the other side is nice, but if you lose power for more than a few days it gets damn nasty.
perfectchaos007
Member
ugh. brings back nightmares from Ike. some of the businesses got power back before my residence and I would spend most of the day sitting inside a fastfood joint to get out of the 95 degree house. Unfortunately I couldn't sleep at Burger King so I had to eventually go home and sleep in my 90 degree bed
It's a long way off but we should keep an eye on 99L
Keeping my eye on this one. Euro has it into Daytona then across toward New Orleans. Still over a week away so a lot can change though.
perfectchaos007
Member
99L has been fizzling though. Only a 40% chance of development. However the invest behind it will probably be a TS by Monday
Pandora012
Member
maquiladora
Member
Still worth keeping an eye on Invest 99l.
Latest Euro model run is showing it crossing Florida as a strong Tropical Storm / low end Cat 1 Hurricane and rapidly deepening in the Gulf and recurving back to hit Big Bend as a Major Hurricane.
Still a week or so away and intensity is the most difficult thing for the models to estimate.
Latest Euro model run is showing it crossing Florida as a strong Tropical Storm / low end Cat 1 Hurricane and rapidly deepening in the Gulf and recurving back to hit Big Bend as a Major Hurricane.
Still a week or so away and intensity is the most difficult thing for the models to estimate.
perfectchaos007
Member
Still worth keeping an eye on Invest 99l.
Latest Euro model run is showing it crossing Florida as a strong Tropical Storm / low end Cat 1 Hurricane and rapidly deepening in the Gulf and recurving back to hit Big Bend as a Major Hurricane.
Still a week or so away and intensity is the most difficult thing for the models to estimate.
Storm systems that hit florida, then wrap around and hit florida again aren't uncommon historically. Ivan's path has always made me chuckle
Still worth keeping an eye on Invest 99l.
Latest Euro model run is showing it crossing Florida as a strong Tropical Storm / low end Cat 1 Hurricane and rapidly deepening in the Gulf and recurving back to hit Big Bend as a Major Hurricane.
Still a week or so away and intensity is the most difficult thing for the models to estimate.
A hit like that into a low lying area there would probably change the coastline.
Baraka in the White House
2-Terms of Kombat
Oy, no thanks. I went without power for 17 days after Ike.
maquiladora
Member
Latest Euro run takes a very similar track to the previous one.
maquiladora
Member
Latest HWRF model shows a Cat 4 940mb hurricane in the Bahamas heading northwest on Sunday...Latest GFS model shows nothing.
maquiladora
Member
Latest Euro just out. Landfall as a Cat 1 in the Miami region, strengthens as it crosses southern Florida. Rapidly deepens in the Gulf into a Major Hurricane and makes landfall around Mobile Bay at a catastrophic intensity of around 935mb.
Thankfully it's just a model and the thing isn't even a tropical depression yet but the Euro has been consistent in developing this for 3 runs now. Keep a close eye on it just in case...
Thankfully it's just a model and the thing isn't even a tropical depression yet but the Euro has been consistent in developing this for 3 runs now. Keep a close eye on it just in case...
Lactose_Intolerant
Member
Latest Euro just out. Landfall as a Cat 1 in the Miami region, strengthens as it crosses southern Florida. Rapidly deepens in the Gulf into a Major Hurricane and makes landfall around Mobile Bay at a catastrophic intensity of around 935mb.
Thankfully it's just a model and the thing isn't even a tropical depression yet but the Euro has been consistent in developing this for 3 runs now. Keep an close eye on it...
Just the rainfall could be pretty catastrophic for Louisiana.
perfectchaos007
Member
Latest Euro just out. Landfall as a Cat 1 in the Miami region, strengthens as it crosses southern Florida. Rapidly deepens in the Gulf into a Major Hurricane and makes landfall around Mobile Bay at a catastrophic intensity of around 935mb.
Thankfully it's just a model and the thing isn't even a tropical depression yet but the Euro has been consistent in developing this for 3 runs now. Keep a close eye on it just in case...
The 2nd landfall point keeps shifting further west in the Euro model. I think the longer it takes for 99L to form, the further west it will track. If it develops ahead of schedule then it will make that northerly turn earlier and may only brush the florida eastern coast
maquiladora
Member
The Euro develops a strong ridge which forces it westward. It only begins to turn north after deepening to a strong hurricane in the Gulf. I doubt it will be get strong enough to turn poleward without the assistance of a trough before reaching Florida but intensity is the hardest part to forecast.
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